Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
Notre Dame -4.5 over Penn State
The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, while the Nittany Lions are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Irish are 12-3 vs non-conf opponents this year and that was vs teams with a winning pct of .585. The Lions have gone an impressive 14-2 vs thier non-conf opponent, but that was vs teams with a winning pct of just .404, so it really wasn't tha impressive. The Irih defense has been playing better of late as they have allowed just 63 ppg on just 37.9% shooting in their last 6 games. Th Lions have allowed just 62.7 pg overall, but in their last 4 games they have allowed 71.5 ppg. Overall the Irish' defensive efficiency is 86th, while PSU's is 117th. Notre Dame is 16th in offensive efficiency as they have averaged 75.5 ppg overall, including 74 ppg away from home. The Lions have averaged just 66.9 ppg overall , including 65 ppg away from home. Notre Dame is also the better rebounding team (30th to 214th) and they are much better at the FT line (111th to 261st). Notre Dame is much more battle tested than the Lions nd they should move on to the NIT Championship game with ease.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Old Dominion +2.5 Over Bradley
The Monarchs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games following three or more consecutive home games, while the Braves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. ODU hs been impressive in the CIT as the have won their 3 gams by an average of 18 ppg and that includes a 38 points win over a good James Madison squad last time out. In that last game ODU shot 46.2% from te field, while holding JMU to just 31.3% from the floor, plus they outrebounded the Dukes 51-21. That's total domination. The Braves have made it to the championship games but they have not impressed in getting here. In gme one thy struggled with Austin Peay, before winning by 7 and then they needed a75ft heave at the buzzer to beat a non-lined Oakland team. inally in their last game they did beat Pacific by 10, but they still only shot 44%from the floor and were outrebounded in the game. Bradley has been outrebounded in their last 4 games and must now take on n ODU team that in 25th in rebounding margin. I see the Monarchs taking tis one by 5+.
Baylor/ San Diego State Over 135
The Over is 9-3 in Aztecs last 12 neutral site games as an underdog. SDSU's offensive efficiency is 86th, while the Bears is 24th. Baylor's games were lower scoring down the stretch of the regular season, but their last6 in the post eason has averaged 142.7 ppg. Baylor's games have averaged 146.3 ppg overall and 67.3% of their games hav score more than tonights total. SDSU plays a slower brand of ball, but feel that the Bears will speed the game up enough to get this one in the 140's.
1 UNIT PLAY
Baylor -1 over San Diego State
The Bears are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games, while the Aztecs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games. The Bears offense will be too much fo SDSU to handle as they move on to the Championship Game.
NBA
4 UNIT PLAY
(Power Angle Play)
CLEVELAND -9.5 ovr Detroit
The Pistons are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, while the Cavaliers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU win of more than 10 points, plus the Favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Cavs have been on quite a roll lately as they have won their last 12 in a row, and their last 3 wins have been by an average of 20.3 ppg. Cleveland is an amazing 35-1 at home this year and have outscored their oppnents by an average of 14.5 ppg, plus they have beaten Detroit by 21 points in their only meeting played here this year. Not only is the Fav 8-0 the last 8 in the series, but 7 of the 8 wins were by double digits and Cleveland is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 as a home fav in this series and have outscored the Pistons by 17.7 ppg. Detroit has been struggling once again as they have won just 5 of their last 9 games. Detroit is 28th in scoring (94 ppg) and must now take on a Cleveland team that is tops in scoring defense (90.9 ppg) and 2nd in defensive FG% (42.9%). Detrot has also scored just 93.6 pg on the road, while Cleveland has allowed just 88.3 ppg a home. For years the Piston's have ruled the roost in the Central Division, but the tide is changing and the Cavs will look to get revenge every chance they can. Detroit will be lucky to post 80 points in this one as the Cavs take it by 15+.
POWER ANGLE For This Play--- Since Jan of 1996 the Pistons are 0-16 ATS as a regular season dog of a win in which they trailed at the end of each of the first 3 quarters.
3 UNIT PLAYS
(Power Angle Play)
Dallas/ Minnesota Under 200
The Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, while the Under is 9-1 in Timberwolves last 10 vs. Western Conference and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a S.U. win, plus the Under is 7- in the last 8 meetings in Minnesota. The T-Wolves last 8 games have averaged just 192.3 ppg, whie the last 5 meeings here have averaged just 177.8 ppg. Minnesota has averagd just 91.8 ppg in their last 8 games and they average 98.2 ppg overall. Th Dallas offense has not been that spectacular of late, as they hae averaged just 96.8 ppg in their lat 5 games, plus they only score 97 ppg on the road. The Mav last 5 games have averaged just 196.4 ppg, while their road games have put up just 196.9 ppg. This game will not feature 2 of the better defenses in the league, but with both offenses struggling right know I can only see a game in the low 190's at best.
POWER ANGLE For This Play--- Since Jan of 2000 the Under is 15-2-1 when the Mavs are off at least 1 days rest off a loss in which their pct of baskets that were assisted was at least 10% points higher than their seasonal average.
Lakers -5.5 over CHARLOTTE
The Lakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference, while the Bobcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Lakers are off a bad loss to the Hawks and this has been a team that hs bounced back nicely from losses this year. The Lakers are 11-3 SU off a loss this year and have outscored those opponents by an average of 6. ppg in th process, while each one of those 11 wins have been by 6 points or more. Charlotte has been paying better of late as they have won 5 of ther last 7 games, but only 1 of their wins was vs a winning and their two losses were vs losing teams. Not an impressive resume of late for the Bobcats. The Bobcats hve scored just 93.6 ppg at home, while Lakers have alow just 86.8 ppg in their last 4 games. The Lakers have score 106.3 pg on the road this year and and I just don't see the Bobcats being able to put up enough points to keep this one close. Lakers by double digits here.
2 UNIT PLAYS
Philly/ Atlanta Under 193
The Under is 9-4 in Hawks last 13 games following a ATS win, while the Under is 13-5-1 in 76ers last 19 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Atlantahas scored just 97.3 ppg on the road, while the Sixers have put up just 97.7 ppg at home. The Sixers play excellent defense at home, where they allow just 93.5 ppg on the year. Atlanta has allowed just 96.2 pg overall and 95.2 ppg in their last 5 games. I just don't see this one hitting190 points, let alone 193.
Utah/ Portland Under 192.5
The Under is 13-3 in the Jazz last 16 games after scoing 100 points or more, while the Under is 20-8 in Portland's last 28 vs the Northwest.
1 UNIT PLAY
Chicago/ Indiana Under 215.5