Service Plays Tuesday 03/31/09

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Maddux Sports

Basketball
#753 - NBA - 3 units on Atlanta +3
#765 - NBA - 3 units on Utah +6.5
#774 - NCAA - 3 units on Bradley -2
 

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Stephen Nover

NBA

Detroit at Cleveland Over (177.5 -104)

The oddsmaker has a bias to the under in this matchup since the first three Pistons-Cavaliers games all went under the total this season.

But those were different circumstances. These two teams have strong defensive reputations, but the Pistons have scored at least 98 points in seven of their last eight games.

Cleveland has scored 96 or more points in its last 10 games. Both appear to be in a stronger offensive mode than at any time in the season.
The average score in the Cavs' last 10 games is 198.4. The average score in the Pistons' last 10 games is 192.4.
 

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HalfBets.com

SSG has a 9* Game of the Week on the Notre Game/Penn State game. They didnt have any plays in College yesterday. Here is what they have tonight

Notre Dame v. Penn St 9:20pm
Notre Dame has seemed to squeak their way through this NIT tournament with some not so impressive wins at home. Penn St has been on the road and made it to MSG and getting 4 in this game. However we think Notre Dame really turns up the heat here on Penn State. Look for a ton of scoring here since this is the end of the road for one of these teams.
PICK: OVER 139.5 Game (9*) GOW
Bonus PICK: Notre Dame -4 Game (3*)

:laugh:
 

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Stephen Nover

NBA

Chicago at Indiana Under (215.5 -110)

This is a make or break game for the Pacers' playoff hopes as they trail Chicago by 4 1/2 games with just eight to play.

This also is the team's second meeting in four days. So I'm expecting a tight defensive battle with nobody being taken by surprise. The defenses will know the offenses.

The key, of course, is can these mediocre-to-bad defenses get enough stops to have this total go under.

The Bulls won 112-106 on Saturday at home against the Pacers, but they shot 50.6 percent from the field to get those 112 points.

Historically, Indiana does well defensively versus Chicago at home. The Pacers have held the Bulls to an average of 95.7 points the past six times they've hosted them.

The under also has cashed in 10 of the Pacers' last 11 home contests.

----

Indiana (-1.5 -110)

This matchup is the Pacers' season. They trail the Bulls by 4 1/2 games with eight left for the final playoff spot.

Do the Pacers have a shot at the playoffs? No, but they don't want their forlorn hopes to end at home against a team they lost to by six points just four days ago on the road. The Bulls beat the Pacers at the United Center on Saturday, 112-106, shooting 50.6 percent from the floor.

The Pacers have won 15 of their last 20 home games. The Pacers have covered 13 of their last 19 at home. They have defeated Chicago in 18 of their last 21 games at Conseco Fieldhouse.

The Pacers are committing less than 13 turnovers per game during their last five matchups. Brandon Rush has stepped up the past couple of games to take the scoring pressure off Danny Granger.
 

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Don't mean to clutter but this was posted yesterday as a game of the year by SSG and today they have the other side just wondering which is correct?

03-30-2009, 08:52 AM #8
ryan1
RX Junior

Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: California
Posts: 29

db5 HalfBets.com
New week and SSG had a 2-0-1 night in NBA. Big 9* win on the OVER in Wash.Indiana game. Tonight they have two GUARANTEED plays on the NIT games. I am posting the 9* Game of the week

Notre Dame v. Penn St 9:20pm
Notre Dame has seemed to squeak their way through this NIT tournament with some not so impressive wins at home. Penn St has been on the road and made it to MSG and getting 4 in this game. Take the points with a team that has been pretty impressive on the road.
PICK: Penn St +4 Game (9*) GOW

HalfBets.com
SSG has a 9* Game of the Week on the Notre Game/Penn State game. They didnt have any plays in College yesterday. Here is what they have tonight

Notre Dame v. Penn St 9:20pm
Notre Dame has seemed to squeak their way through this NIT tournament with some not so impressive wins at home. Penn St has been on the road and made it to MSG and getting 4 in this game. However we think Notre Dame really turns up the heat here on Penn State. Look for a ton of scoring here since this is the end of the road for one of these teams.
PICK: OVER 139.5 Game (9*) GOW
Bonus PICK: Notre Dame -4 Game (3*)
 

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*8-1 (89%) RUN* EARLY *ROUT* from SCOTT RICKENBACH!:

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@page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style><!--[if gte mso 10]> <style> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} </style> <![endif]--> Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 1* (regular play) Atlanta Hawks (+) @ Philadelphia @ 7:05 PM ET – With Atlanta coming off of a big win over the Lakers on Sunday and the Sixers off of a tight loss to Detroit on the same day, the “knee jerk” reaction here will be to back the Sixers at home. While that strategy (taking a decent team off of a loss or fading a good team off of a win over a better team) does work at certain times during this season, this is not the right time for that! When it’s late in the season and teams are battling for playoff position, it’s truly “crunch time”. This is why, even though the Hawks are off of an impressive win over the Lakers, this will certainly not be a flat spot for them here. The Hawks are trying to hang onto their playoff seeding and they will be taking on a Sixers team that is not playing it’s best ball right now. Also, Samuel Dalembert’s injury is another concern for Philly as he got hurt at Detroit on Sunday.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
The Hawks had lost three of four before beating the Lakers and this is what is helping to give us so much line value here. The key is that those three Hawks losses came against Cleveland, Boston, and San Antonio. The Cavaliers, Celtics, and Spurs are all NBA Title contenders! So, what had the Hawks done before losing three of their last four games? They had won seven straight! They won’t let losses to three strong teams stand in the way of future success and they proved that by knocking off the Lakers on Sunday. There certainly will be no “let up” against the Sixers either. The Hawks lost to Philly by 15 points in their most recent meeting and that game was played in Atlanta. Also, the Hawks are still trying to secure the #4 seed in the Eastern Conference and, until they do, there will certainly be no letting up for Atlanta as they try to secure the home court edge for their first round match-up.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
The Sixers are battling just to make sure they get into the playoffs. However, they haven’t really proven that with the way they’ve been playing. They’ve lost back to back games to Charlotte and Detroit and they had the home court edge against the Bobcats and the Pistons were a team that had been struggling badly. As for the Sixers, their defense is a real concern as they’ve allowed at least 100 points in six of their last seven games. In fact, in their last seven games they’ve allowed an average of 106 points per game. They’re facing a Hawks team that hasn’t allowed a team to score more than 102 against them in their last 13 games. Over their last 17 games, the Hawks have allowed just 91 points per game and they held the Lakers to just 35% shooting from the field on Sunday. This is why, even though they shot poorly too, the Hawks still won the game by double digits. One of the keys was Atlanta’s three point shooting and Atlanta is nailing about 37% of their threes this season while the Sixers, at 32%, are the worst three-point shooting team in the league. With the Sixers Dalembert hurting, the Hawks could take advantage in the paint and they should hold the edge with their perimeter shooting as well. The road team holds the value in this one and they get their revenge. [FONT=&quot]Play Atlanta plus the points as a regular selection.<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 
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Lance's Lock

Overall record: 759-653-28

Current streak: 1 loss

Todays play: San Diego St. +1
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Gamblersworld - Tip of the Day‏

Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NCAA Basketball

Game: 8:00PM CIT: Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Bradley Braves

Prediction: Bradley Braves

Current Line: -1

Over/Under: 126

Reason: The Old Dominion Monarchs and the Bradley Braves will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at Carver Arena in the championship game of the CollegeInsider.com tournament.

Oddsmakers currently have the Braves listed as 1-point favorites versus the Monarchs, while the game's total is sitting at 126.

Old Dominion advanced to the championship game with an 81-43 rout of James Madison last Thursday. Old Dominion easily covered the 7.5-point spread, but the combined 124 points fell UNDER the night's posted total of 130.

Gerald Lee scored 18 points, while Frank Hassell had 16 points and 13 rebounds for a double-double.

Bradley scored 33 points in the second half and ran to a 59-49 victory over Pacific last Wednesday night in the tourney semfinals. Bradley covered the 5.5-point spread, while the 108 points went UNDER the game's posted total of 130.

Sam Willard had 10 points with nine rebounds.

Team records:
Old Dominion: 24-10 SU, 13-16 ATS
Bradley: 21-14 SU, 16-15 ATS

Old Dominion most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-1
After playing James Madison are 6-4
After a win are 8-2

Bradley most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-4
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Old Dominion is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Bradley is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Bradley's last 11 games
Bradley is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
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Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Old Dominion Monarchs @ Bradley Braves - Tuesday March 31, 2009 8:00 pm
Pick: 4 units ATS: Old Dominion Monarchs +2 (-110)



Bradley has a substantial edge in home court advantage, as they have drawn over 10,000 fans in these post season games. In addition, they have played all of their CIT games at home, so the Braves are well rested. However, I feel that these two factors are giving us excellent point spread value, and the oddsmakers are telling us something about these two teams. Bradley is just a small favorite, despite playing with a fairly strong home court advantage. The Colonial Athletic Association is a step above the Missouri Valley Conference this season. This year has been one of the weaker years for the MVC, evident by only one team making it into the NCAA tournament. In addition, Northern Iowa was bounced in the 1st round, while Creighton was defeated at home by a relatively weak Kentucky team in the NIT. In addition, Old Dominion underperformed for most of this season before turning things on in February. The Monarchs are a very athletic and well coached team. In addition, their three wins in the CIT have come against much better teams than Bradley. The Citadel, Belmont, and James Madison are overall tougher opponents than Pacific, Oakland, and Austin Peay. In addition, Old Dominion played very well on the road this season, going 7-6 straight up away from home. They are an experienced team as well, so they won’t get rattled in the hostile environment. Look for Old Dominion to get the outright win.

4 UNIT SELECTION
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NIT
(at New York)

Baylor (23-14, 12-17 ATS) vs. San Diego State (26-9, 18-12-1 ATS)

Baylor advanced to Madison Square Garden for the NIT semifinals with victories over Georgetown (74-72), Virginia Tech (84-66) and Auburn (74-72), going 2-1 ATS. After narrowly edging Georgetown at home, the Bears went on the road and upset the Hokies and Tigers, with the last-second win at Auburn coming a week ago tonight.

Baylor ended the regular season in a 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS funk – all against Big 12 opponents – but has since won six of seven both SU and ATS, with the only blemish being a 73-60 loss to Missouri as a 6½-point underdog in the Big 12 tournament championship game. Four of the team’s last five wins have come by a total of 17 points.

As one of the tournament’s No. 1 seeds, San Diego State hosted all three of its NIT games. After two blowout wins over Weber State (65-49 as an 11½-point favorite) and Kansas State (70-52 as a five-point chalk), the Aztecs on Wednesday jumped out to a large lead against No. 2-seeded St. Mary’s and held on for a 70-66 quarterfinal victory, cashing as a 3½-point home chalk.

The Aztecs, one of the last teams left out of the Big Dance, are on an 8-1 SU run and they’ve followed up an 0-6 ATS drought by cashing in six of their last seven contests. SDSU’s only defeat in the last five weeks was a last-second 52-50 loss to Utah in the Mountain West Conference tournament title game in Las Vegas on March 14.

These teams feature contrasting styles. Baylor averages 75.5 points per game on 46.4 percent shooting – including 73.6 ppg on 50.8 percent shooting in the last five games – while San Diego State gives up just 59.8 ppg on 41.2 percent shooting, including 56.2 ppg and 36.7 percent in the last five.

San Diego State is 5-2 on neutral courts this season (3-2-1 ATS in lined contests), while the Bears are 5-1 SU and ATS at neutral sites (the only loss coming to Missouri in the Big 12 tournament title game).

The Bears are on ATS runs of 13-3 at neutral sites and 4-1 after a victory, but they’ve failed to cash in seven straight games when laying less than seven points. San Diego State sports positive pointspread runs of 6-1 overall (all versus winning teams), 5-0 in non-conference play, 5-0 against the Big 12 and 8-2 after a spread-over, but the Aztecs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 at neutral sites and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 as a ‘dog of less than seven points.

For Baylor, the under is on streaks of 12-3-1 overall and 5-1-1 as a favorite. Meanwhile, San Diego State is in the midst of several “under” runs, including 39-16 overall, 35-16 in non-conference play, 4-1 against the Big 12, 7-1 at neutral sites, 11-3 as an underdog and 4-1 on Tuesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Notre Dame (21-14, 12-18 ATS) vs. Penn State (25-11, 16-12-1 ATS)

After a pair of close home wins over UAB (70-64) and New Mexico (70-68), Notre Dame had a relatively easy time with Kentucky in Wednesday’s quarterfinals, rolling 77-67 as a 3½-point home favorite to advance to New York. The Fighting Irish, whose year was derailed by a seven-game midseason losing skid, have won nine of their last 13, going just 7-6 ATS. In fact, they’ve covered in consecutive outings just once the entire season.

Penn State, which was one of the last teams left out of the NCAA Tournament, needed a miracle three-pointer against George Mason to force overtime in its opening-round NIT contest. The Nittany Lions went on to win that game 77-73 as a 5½-point favorite, then got past Rhode Island (83-72 as a one-point home chalk) and Florida (71-62 as a 10½-point underdog) to punch their ticket to Madison Square Garden. Going back to Feb. 14, Penn State is on an 8-3 run (6-5 ATS).

Penn State is shooting 48 percent in the NIT and holding the opposition to 43.7 percent, while the Irish are connecting on just 41.4 percent of their field goals in this event and allowing opponents to shoot 43.9 percent

The Nittany Lions have split their four neutral-site games this season both SU and ATS, with the winner cashing in each contest. Likewise, Notre Dame has split six games at neutral venues this season both SU and ATS, with the winner covering the spread each time.

Notre Dame continues to carry negative ATS trends of 3-8 after a SU win, 7-20 after an ATS triumph and 5-12 against teams with a winning record, but the Irish have cashed in seven consecutive Tuesday contests and four of their last five as a favorite. Penn State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 non-league outings, but 1-4-1 ATS In its last six against the Big East and 5-17-1 ATS in its last 23 as an underdog of less than seven points.

For the Irish, the “under” is on stretches of 8-1 overall, 8-3 at neutral sites 7-1 after a SU win, 7-1 as a favorite and 6-0 when giving points at neutral venues. Conversely, Penn State is on “over” tears of 5-2 overall, 4-1 against the Big East, 4-1-1 on Tuesday and 4-1 as an underdog.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


COLLEGE INSIDER TOURNAMENT

Old Dominion (24-10, 13-15-1 ATS) at Bradley (21-14, 16-15 ATS)

Old Dominion throttled Colonial Athletic Association rival James Madison 81-43 as an eight-point home favorite on Thursday to advance to the championship game of the inaugural College Insider Tournament. The Monarchs, who opened the tourney with a pair of eight-point home wins over The Citadel and Belmont, have won 13 of their last 15 games. They’re just 8-7 ATS during this stretch, but 3-1 SU and ATS on the highway (all in Colonial Athletic Association action).

Bradley barely knocked off both Austin Peay (81-74) and Oakland (76-75) in the first two rounds of the CIT, failing to cash in both games at home. But the Braves handled Pacific 59-49 on Wednesday and cashed as a five-point home favorite to halt overall ATS slides of 0-3 and 1-5. Bradley has followed up a four-game losing skid by going 8-2 in its last 10 (5-5 ATS), including 6-0 at home (3-3 ATS).

Old Dominion is on ATS runs of 8-3-1 as an underdog (7-3-1 as a road pup), 5-2 when catching less than seven points and 9-3 when playing on the road after three or more straight home games. However, the Monarchs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Tuesday outings and 4-18 ATS in their last 22 after a spread-cover.

Bradley’s ATS streaks include 37-18-3 at home, 9-4 as a favorite, 10-4 as a chalk of less than seven points, 23-10 after a SU win and 10-1 after surrendering less than 50 points in their previous contest. On the downside, the Braves are 2-6 ATS in their last eight out of conference and 1-5 ATS in their last six against teams with a winning record.

The Braves carry “over” streaks of 8-3 overall, 5-2 at home, 41-19-1 as a home chalk, 10-4-1 on Tuesday and 6-2 as a favorite. Conversely, the under for Old Dominion is on stretches of 5-1 overall, 8-2 on the road, 5-0 after a SU win and 9-2 as a road ‘dog of less than seven points.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


NBA

Atlanta (43-31, 41-32-1 ATS) at Philadelphia (37-35, 32-38-2 ATS)

The 76ers look to halt a two-game slide and continue their playoff push when they welcome the Hawks to the Wachovia Center.

Philadelphia followed up Friday’s 100-95 home loss to Charlotte as a 4½-point favorite with Sunday’s 101-97 setback at Detroit as a 2½-point underdog. The Sixers’ two-game dip comes on the heels of a 7-2 SU run, and they’ve now failed to cover in three straight games, five of the last seven and 15 of the last 22. Also, Philly is just 5-4 SU and 2-7 ATS at home during this 22-game stretch.

Atlanta is coming off Sunday’s 83-76 upset victory over the Lakers as a 3½-point home favorite, a triumph that came after consecutive home losses to the Spurs (102-92) and Celtics (99-93). The Hawks, who have played 11 of their last 12 games at home, get four of their next five on the road, where they’ve lost three in a row and six out of seven (3-4 ATS), the only win coming at lowly Washington.

These squads split their first two meetings this season, both in Atlanta, with the Hawks winning 95-88 as a 2½-point chalk and losing 109-94 as a 5½-point choice. Despite the 76ers’ cover in the latter contest, they’re still only 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Hawks, including 0-3 ATS (1-2 SU) at home. Also, the underdog is on a 6-2-1 ATS roll and the road team is on a 5-1-1 ATS romp in this rivalry.

Atlanta has failed to cover in six of its last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents, but otherwise the Hawks are on ATS runs of 9-2-1 overall, 9-3 against the Eastern Conference, 10-2 versus winning teams, 5-1 on Tuesday, 5-2 as an underdog and 12-5 as a pup of less than five points. Philadelphia is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 against the Southeast Division, but from there the pointspread runs turn negative, including 2-5 overall, 2-7 at home, 3-7 as a favorite, 4-10 as a home chalk of less than five points and 3-7 after a SU defeat.

For the Hawks, the “over” is on runs of 4-1 overall, 4-1 on the road, 4-1 as an underdog and 4-1 when playing on one day of rest. For the Sixers, the “over” streaks include 6-1 overall, 5-1 against the Eastern Conference, 5-2-1 versus the Southeast Division, 8-3-1 as a favorite, 9-3 on Tuesday, 4-1 when playing after one day of rest and 16-5-2 after a SU loss.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA and OVER


Utah (46-27, 37-36 ATS) at Portland (46-27, 38-34 ATS)

Two of the top three teams in the crowded Northwest Division square off at the Rose Garden, as the Blazers will host the Jazz.

Utah knocked off the Knicks 112-104 at home on Monday night to move into a second place tie with Portland in the Northwest Division, 1½ games behind the Nuggets, whom the Jazz will play in Denver on Thursday. Utah has rebounded from a three-game SU losing streak to win five of its last six, and since the beginning of February, Jerry Sloan’s squad is on a 20-5 SU run. However, the Jazz failed to cash as an 11-point favorite against the Knicks and they’ve followed up a 9-1 ATS run by going 5-10 ATS in their last 15.

Portland has been idle since Saturday’s 86-66 pummeling of Memphis as a 12½-point home favorite. It was the Blazers’ best defensive effort and the Grizzlies’ lowest point total of the season. Portland is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games and it has covered in six of its last seven overall. Additionally, Nate McMillan’s squad is 15-2 SU and 11-6 ATS in its last 17 at the Rose Garden

The home team has dominated this rivalry lately, winning six straight meetings and nine of the last 10 both SU and ATS, with the winner covering the pointspread in all 10 contests. This season, the Jazz won the first two clashes at home – 103-96 as a 6½-point favorite and 97-88 as a three-point chalk – but Portland cruised to a 122-108 win as a nine-point chalk in the most recent meeting Jan. 31.

Also in this divisional tussle, the favorite has gotten the money in each of the last five head-to-head battles, and going back several years, the host is on a 20-8 ATS roll, with the Blazers riding a five-game SU and ATS winning streak against the Jazz inside the Rose Garden.

Utah is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five roadies after going 4-0 SU and ATS in its previous four on the highway. Additionally, the Jazz are in pointspread ruts of 2-7 overall, 1-9 as an underdog, 0-8 as a road pup, 1-7 against winning teams and 2-7 when playing on back-to-back nights. Conversely, in addition to their 6-1 ATS run overall, the Blazers are on positive ATS streaks of 6-1 as a favorite, 4-0 on Tuesday, 4-1 against the Western Conference and 5-1 when going on two days’ rest.

The under is on runs of 5-2 for Utah overall, 7-1 for Utah against the Western Conference, 9-3 for Utah on Tuesday and 20-8 for Portland in divisional contests. On the flip side, the over is on streaks of 7-3-1 for the Blazers at home, 4-0 when the Blazers are favored by 5 to 10½ points and 15-5-1 when the Jazz are an underdog. Finally, the total has alternated in the last six meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PORTLAND
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Doc's Sports NBA's pick

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->5-Unit NBA Game of the Week #755 Take LA Lakers/Charlotte UNDER 191 (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

3-Unit Pick #758 Take Indiana -1 ½ Over Chicago (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

4-Unit Play #761 Take Oklahoma City +13 Over San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

3-Unit Play #767 Take New Orleans/Sacramento UNDER 201 ½ (10 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
 
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CHARLIE

nba. knicks @ denver over 221 & atlanta @ philly under 193
(500* 2 team parlay).
nba. san antonio-12 (30*)
nba. denver-2' (20*)
ncaa. penn st+4 (20*)
ncaa. old dominion+2 (10*)
nba. charlotte+5 (10*) Bonus Play
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Stephen Nover

Detroit at Cleveland Over 177.5

The oddsmaker has a bias to the under in this matchup since the first three Pistons-Cavaliers games all went under the total this season.But those were different circumstances. These two teams have strong defensive reputations, but the Pistons have scored at least 98 points in seven of their last eight games.Cleveland has scored 96 or more points in its last 10 games. Both appear to be in a stronger offensive mode than at any time in the season.The average score in the Cavs' last 10 games is 198.4. The average score in the Pistons' last 10 games is 192.4.
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Tom Freese Blue Line Club NIT 20* "NO BRAINER" SIDE WINNER TUESDAY!:<o:p></o:p>
Tom Freese Blue Line Club- Tuesday, March 31<o:p></o:p>
Baylor vs. San Diego St (7:00pm)

<o:p></o:p>
San Diego St is 5-0 ATS their last 5 Non-Conference games and they are 5-0 ATS their last 5 games vs. Big 12 teams. The Aztecs are 6-1 ATS their last 7 games vs. teams with a win percentage of over 60% and they are 8-2 ATS off an ATS win. Baylor is 6-13 ATS vs. teams that outscore their opponents by four or more points a game and they are 4-11 ATS their last 15 as favorites of 6.5 or less points. The Bears are 0-7 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or less points and they are 13-27 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games.



[FONT=&quot]20* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON #770 SAN DIEGO ST +<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 

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Brad Diamond 20* NIT MAXIMUM SIDE PLAY:<o:p></o:p>
BDS<o:p></o:p>
3/31/09<o:p></o:p>
NIT MAXIMUM SIDE

<o:p></o:p>
Play on: 20* Penn State (772) over Notre Dame

<o:p></o:p>
Would love to support the game Irish (21-14), but they are away from South Bend, so their odds of converting have been reduced two-fold. Plus, the Nittany Lions (25-11) are playing in a rare tourney game, no less in New York City where a huge array of PSU Alumni live and work. Remember, the Nits have the largest Alumni base in country. On the floor, the Lions outstanding guard tandem will control the tempo helping the underdog pull the outright upset. Finally, we note the Irish are 3-8 ATS off a SU loss and 5-12 ATS against a winning basketball team. [FONT=&quot]Take any points!<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 

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