THE SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
NIT
Baylor (22-14, 11-17 ATS) at Auburn (24-11, 21-7 ATS)
Baylor’s late-season surge has continued in the NIT with consecutive victories over Georgetown (74-72 as a three-point home favorite) and Virginia Tech (84-66 as a 4½-point road underdog). In Saturday’s rout of the Hokies, the Bears were unconscious from the field, shooting 61.7 percent (10-for-21 on three-pointers) while holding Virginia Tech to 32.4 percent shooting (7-for-30 from long range.
Auburn opened up NIT play by barely squeaking past Tennessee-Martin 87-82 as a 12-point home favorite Wednesday. However, the Tigers came back Friday and blew out Tulsa 74-55, cashing as a 5½-point home chalk as they added to the nation’s best pointspread record.
The Bears have won five of their last six (4-2 ATS) since the start of the Big 12 tournament after ending the regular season in a 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS freefall, while Auburn is 11-2 SU and ATS in its last 13 outings. The SU winner is 20-3 ATS in the Tigers’ last 23 games and 19-2 ATS in Baylor’s last 21.
Baylor lost its final six regular-season road games in Big 12 play both SU and ATS before surprising Virginia Tech on Saturday. Meanwhile, including its two NIT victories, Auburn has won seven in a row at home (6-1 ATS).
Despite a 5-13 ATS mark in their last 18 games overall, the Bears still sport positive pointspread records of 4-1 on the road, 4-1 as an underdog and 19-8-1 when catching less than seven points. The Tigers are on ATS runs of 21-7 overall (all this season), 7-1 at home, 6-1 as a chalk, 5-0 when laying less than seven points, 10-2 as a home favorite, 5-1 in non-conference action, 5-2 on Tuesday, 20-7 after a SU victory and 11-1 after a spread-cover.
The under is on streaks of 11-3-1 for Baylor overall, 6-2 for Baylor on the road, 6-2 when Baylor’s an underdog, 4-1 for the Tigers at home and 4-1 for the Tigers as a favorite.
ATS ADVANTAGE: AUBURN and UNDER
Penn State (24-11, 15-12-1 ATS) at Florida (25-10, 12-15-1 ATS)
Penn State needed a miraculous three-pointer at the buzzer to force overtime in its first-round 77-73 NIT home win over George Mason a week ago, then two days later had a much easier time with Rhode Island, cruising 83-72 as a one-point home favorite. The 83 points scored were the most for the Nittany Lions since they tallied 83 against Lafayette way back on Dec. 21.
Florida had no trouble earning its way to the NIT quarterfinals, first routing Jackson State 84-62 as a 14½-point home chalk Wednesday, then steamrolling Miami (Fla.) 74-60 as a 5½-point home favorite Saturday. The Gators have followed up a three-game SU and ATS slide by going 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five, and the winner has cashed in each of the team’s last nine contests.
The Nittany Lions lost four of their last five road games during the Big Ten season, both SU and ATS. The SU winner is 14-1 ATS in the team’s 15 road/neutral-site contests. Meanwhile, Florida is 19-1 in Gainesville, going 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a host (3-0 ATS in the last three).
Penn State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 non-conference games, but its 1-4 ATS drought on the road is further muddied by a 1-5 ATS mark in its last six following a spread-cover. The Gators are on ATS runs of 4-1 overall, 4-0 at home and 7-3-1 after a victory, but they’ve failed to cash in six of their last eight versus Big Ten foes and four of their past five on Tuesday.
The Nittany Lions are riding “over” tears of 5-1 overall, 4-0-1 on Tuesday and 5-0 after an outright win, the over is 7-2 in Florida’s last nine against the Big 10 and 7-3 in its last 10 on Tuesday. However, the under for the Gators is on streaks of 5-0 overall, 5-0 at home, 4-1 in non-conference play and 23-8-1 after a SU win.
ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA
NBA
Houston (47-25, 35-36-1 ATS) at Utah (43-26, 36-33 ATS)
The surging Rockets, who have taken over first place in the competitive Southwest Division as well as the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference standings, go for their fifth straight victory when they travel to Salt Lake City for a clash with the Jazz.
Houston is coming off Sunday’s 87-85 victory at San Antonio as a three-point road underdog, improving to 3-1 ATS during its four-game winning run. The Rockets have won 16 of their last 20 dating to Feb. 11, going 12-8 ATS, including 6-0 ATS on the road. In fact, Houston has won four straight on the highway since – ironically – a 101-94 loss at Utah on March 4, though the Rockets cashed as an 8½-point pup in that contest.
Utah is coming off a three-day layoff, having most recently played Friday when it went to Oklahoma City and defeated the Thunder 101-94, cashing as a four-point favorite to halt an 0-4 ATS downturn. The Jazz, who have played six of their last seven contests on the road, have won 12 consecutive games at Energy Solutions Arena, but after covering in the first eight of those wins, they’ve gone 0-4 ATS in the last four, beginning with the non-cover against Houston on March 4.
The home team has won all three meetings in this rivalry this season and six straight going back to last year’s opening-round Western Conference playoff series. However, the Rockets are 5-2 ATS in the last seven battles (2-1 ATS this year), and both the visitor and the underdog have cashed in nine of the last 13 head-to-head matchups.
Houston has been dominating on the defensive end of the court, holding five of its last six opponents to between 84 and 88 points, the lone exception being a 106-101 overtime win over Detroit. Furthermore, the Rockets have given up 88 points or fewer 11 times during their current 16-4 SU run, allowing just three teams to reach triple digits during this stretch.
The Jazz have won 18 of their last 23 contests, scoring in triple digits in 18 of those outings. Utah has been held under 90 points just once since Dec. 26, as stretch of 39 games.
In addition to cashing in six consecutive road games, the Rockets are on ATS runs of 4-0 as an underdog, 4-0 against the Northwest Division and 4-1 when playing on one day of rest. The Jazz have countered ATS slumps of 1-4 overall, 0-4 at home, 2-5 on Tuesday and 0-5 against winning teams with positive pointspread streaks of 13-6 as a favorite, 57-28-2 as a home chalk, 23-10 versus the Southwest Division, 9-4 after a SU win and 9-2 when playing after three or more days off.
For Houston, the under is on runs of 7-2 overall, 7-0 on the road, 4-0 as a ‘dog and 5-2 when playing on one day of rest, but the over is 8-0 in the team’s last eight games on Tuesday. Utah’s “under” streaks include 5-1 overall, 7-0 at home, 5-0 against the Western Conference, 7-1 following a SU victory, 7-2 as a favorite and 8-3 on Tuesday.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
<!-- / message -->
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
NIT
Baylor (22-14, 11-17 ATS) at Auburn (24-11, 21-7 ATS)
Baylor’s late-season surge has continued in the NIT with consecutive victories over Georgetown (74-72 as a three-point home favorite) and Virginia Tech (84-66 as a 4½-point road underdog). In Saturday’s rout of the Hokies, the Bears were unconscious from the field, shooting 61.7 percent (10-for-21 on three-pointers) while holding Virginia Tech to 32.4 percent shooting (7-for-30 from long range.
Auburn opened up NIT play by barely squeaking past Tennessee-Martin 87-82 as a 12-point home favorite Wednesday. However, the Tigers came back Friday and blew out Tulsa 74-55, cashing as a 5½-point home chalk as they added to the nation’s best pointspread record.
The Bears have won five of their last six (4-2 ATS) since the start of the Big 12 tournament after ending the regular season in a 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS freefall, while Auburn is 11-2 SU and ATS in its last 13 outings. The SU winner is 20-3 ATS in the Tigers’ last 23 games and 19-2 ATS in Baylor’s last 21.
Baylor lost its final six regular-season road games in Big 12 play both SU and ATS before surprising Virginia Tech on Saturday. Meanwhile, including its two NIT victories, Auburn has won seven in a row at home (6-1 ATS).
Despite a 5-13 ATS mark in their last 18 games overall, the Bears still sport positive pointspread records of 4-1 on the road, 4-1 as an underdog and 19-8-1 when catching less than seven points. The Tigers are on ATS runs of 21-7 overall (all this season), 7-1 at home, 6-1 as a chalk, 5-0 when laying less than seven points, 10-2 as a home favorite, 5-1 in non-conference action, 5-2 on Tuesday, 20-7 after a SU victory and 11-1 after a spread-cover.
The under is on streaks of 11-3-1 for Baylor overall, 6-2 for Baylor on the road, 6-2 when Baylor’s an underdog, 4-1 for the Tigers at home and 4-1 for the Tigers as a favorite.
ATS ADVANTAGE: AUBURN and UNDER
Penn State (24-11, 15-12-1 ATS) at Florida (25-10, 12-15-1 ATS)
Penn State needed a miraculous three-pointer at the buzzer to force overtime in its first-round 77-73 NIT home win over George Mason a week ago, then two days later had a much easier time with Rhode Island, cruising 83-72 as a one-point home favorite. The 83 points scored were the most for the Nittany Lions since they tallied 83 against Lafayette way back on Dec. 21.
Florida had no trouble earning its way to the NIT quarterfinals, first routing Jackson State 84-62 as a 14½-point home chalk Wednesday, then steamrolling Miami (Fla.) 74-60 as a 5½-point home favorite Saturday. The Gators have followed up a three-game SU and ATS slide by going 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five, and the winner has cashed in each of the team’s last nine contests.
The Nittany Lions lost four of their last five road games during the Big Ten season, both SU and ATS. The SU winner is 14-1 ATS in the team’s 15 road/neutral-site contests. Meanwhile, Florida is 19-1 in Gainesville, going 6-3 ATS in its last nine as a host (3-0 ATS in the last three).
Penn State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 non-conference games, but its 1-4 ATS drought on the road is further muddied by a 1-5 ATS mark in its last six following a spread-cover. The Gators are on ATS runs of 4-1 overall, 4-0 at home and 7-3-1 after a victory, but they’ve failed to cash in six of their last eight versus Big Ten foes and four of their past five on Tuesday.
The Nittany Lions are riding “over” tears of 5-1 overall, 4-0-1 on Tuesday and 5-0 after an outright win, the over is 7-2 in Florida’s last nine against the Big 10 and 7-3 in its last 10 on Tuesday. However, the under for the Gators is on streaks of 5-0 overall, 5-0 at home, 4-1 in non-conference play and 23-8-1 after a SU win.
ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA
NBA
Houston (47-25, 35-36-1 ATS) at Utah (43-26, 36-33 ATS)
The surging Rockets, who have taken over first place in the competitive Southwest Division as well as the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference standings, go for their fifth straight victory when they travel to Salt Lake City for a clash with the Jazz.
Houston is coming off Sunday’s 87-85 victory at San Antonio as a three-point road underdog, improving to 3-1 ATS during its four-game winning run. The Rockets have won 16 of their last 20 dating to Feb. 11, going 12-8 ATS, including 6-0 ATS on the road. In fact, Houston has won four straight on the highway since – ironically – a 101-94 loss at Utah on March 4, though the Rockets cashed as an 8½-point pup in that contest.
Utah is coming off a three-day layoff, having most recently played Friday when it went to Oklahoma City and defeated the Thunder 101-94, cashing as a four-point favorite to halt an 0-4 ATS downturn. The Jazz, who have played six of their last seven contests on the road, have won 12 consecutive games at Energy Solutions Arena, but after covering in the first eight of those wins, they’ve gone 0-4 ATS in the last four, beginning with the non-cover against Houston on March 4.
The home team has won all three meetings in this rivalry this season and six straight going back to last year’s opening-round Western Conference playoff series. However, the Rockets are 5-2 ATS in the last seven battles (2-1 ATS this year), and both the visitor and the underdog have cashed in nine of the last 13 head-to-head matchups.
Houston has been dominating on the defensive end of the court, holding five of its last six opponents to between 84 and 88 points, the lone exception being a 106-101 overtime win over Detroit. Furthermore, the Rockets have given up 88 points or fewer 11 times during their current 16-4 SU run, allowing just three teams to reach triple digits during this stretch.
The Jazz have won 18 of their last 23 contests, scoring in triple digits in 18 of those outings. Utah has been held under 90 points just once since Dec. 26, as stretch of 39 games.
In addition to cashing in six consecutive road games, the Rockets are on ATS runs of 4-0 as an underdog, 4-0 against the Northwest Division and 4-1 when playing on one day of rest. The Jazz have countered ATS slumps of 1-4 overall, 0-4 at home, 2-5 on Tuesday and 0-5 against winning teams with positive pointspread streaks of 13-6 as a favorite, 57-28-2 as a home chalk, 23-10 versus the Southwest Division, 9-4 after a SU win and 9-2 when playing after three or more days off.
For Houston, the under is on runs of 7-2 overall, 7-0 on the road, 4-0 as a ‘dog and 5-2 when playing on one day of rest, but the over is 8-0 in the team’s last eight games on Tuesday. Utah’s “under” streaks include 5-1 overall, 7-0 at home, 5-0 against the Western Conference, 7-1 following a SU victory, 7-2 as a favorite and 8-3 on Tuesday.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
<!-- / message -->
Smart Money
NBA
#645 Golden State has been steamed all the way down to +8.5 from the opening # of +10.5.
Smart Money
NBA
#647/648 UNDER Houston/Utah was just hit from 195.0 to 193.0.
Smart Money
NBA
Wiseguys battling over the total in Houston/Utah today. Went from 193 up to 195, back down to 193 than now back to 194.
<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->
NBA
#645 Golden State has been steamed all the way down to +8.5 from the opening # of +10.5.
Smart Money
NBA
#647/648 UNDER Houston/Utah was just hit from 195.0 to 193.0.
Smart Money
NBA
Wiseguys battling over the total in Houston/Utah today. Went from 193 up to 195, back down to 193 than now back to 194.
<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->
<!-- / message -->
Vegas Runner:
vegas-runner | CBB Sides Triple-Dime Bet
<DT>650 Auburn -3.0 (-110) SportBet vs 649 Baylor <DD>Analysis: *** NCAABB 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***</DD><DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Tue, 03/24/09 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Total Double-Dime Bet <DT>646 SAN / 645 GSW Over 207.5 BetUS <DD>Analysis: ** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
</DD></DL>
That's all I can get for today guys I have other things to attend...Plus I just play the 3*'s and higher anyway.
Sorry
SSC
vegas-runner | CBB Sides Triple-Dime Bet
<DT>650 Auburn -3.0 (-110) SportBet vs 649 Baylor <DD>Analysis: *** NCAABB 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***</DD><DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Tue, 03/24/09 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Total Double-Dime Bet <DT>646 SAN / 645 GSW Over 207.5 BetUS <DD>Analysis: ** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
</DD></DL>
That's all I can get for today guys I have other things to attend...Plus I just play the 3*'s and higher anyway.
Sorry
SSC
Johnny Guild
Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz
The Jazz are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 home games, but just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home against Houston. Take the hot the Rockets tonight in a close clash versus Utah in Salt Lake City. Houston has won their last five games and the road team in this series is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Houston Rockets +5.5
NCAAB
Auburn Tigers -3.5
Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz
The Jazz are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 home games, but just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home against Houston. Take the hot the Rockets tonight in a close clash versus Utah in Salt Lake City. Houston has won their last five games and the road team in this series is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
Houston Rockets +5.5
NCAAB
Auburn Tigers -3.5
