Service Plays Thursday 9/4/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HARRY BONDI

College Football Bonus Play

TEXAS SAN ANTONIO (+7) over Arizona
8 p.m. ET

Texas San Antonio is fairly new to the Division I scene but this is one of the most experienced rosters in college football, with 21 returning starters and more seniors (37) than most programs have in two seasons. Head Coach Larry Coker, who won a national championship at Miami, has instilled a physical and nasty style of play and that was clearly evident last week, especially on defense, when the Roadrunners (+10) shutdown Houston in a 27-7 victory. That was a against a Houston offense that averaged more than 30 points per game last season. Arizona steamrolled UNLV last week but we’re not comfortable laying a TD on the road here with a redshirt freshman at QB against a veteran defense. Texas San Antonio is a profitable 15-7 ATS the last three years, including 5-1 in September. This is an overlay. Take the home dog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE REAL ANIMAL SPORTS

Bonus Plays 3-0 last week. Tonight 2* UTSA +7:

The line value has diminished greatly tonight with UTSA only +7. A year ago they were +24 ½ in Tucson and lost 38-13. Certainly catching six turnovers contributed to the upset win at Houston, spoiling the new stadium opener for the Cougars. But the Roadrunners have 37 seniors and 10 returning starters on defense, a unit that is allowing just 10.4 points per game in their last five. Plus we catch Arizona freshman QB Anu Solomon making his road debut. Last week he posted 425 passing yards and four touchdowns on the way to a school-record 787 total yards against UNLV. But Arizona last year won at UNLV 58-13 (same score as last week) and then proceeded to only win at Cal by five points and lost at Washington by 18 and Arizona State by 37. UTSA has won six straight. Arizona is just 4-6 SU in their last 10 on the road and their only wins last year came against bottom-feeders UNLV, Colorado, and Cal. Coach Rodriguez is only 2-10 SU, 3-9 ATS in his 12 road openers. Meanwhile Coach Coker is 16-8 ATS as an underdog in his career. Arizona’s front seven is extremely small by Pac-12 standards and UTSA loves to run the football. UTSA had a 40:22-22:14 advantage over Houston with the clock and held the cougars to just 208 total yards of offense including -26 on the ground! While UTSA lost by 25 at Arizona last year they were only out-gained by 43 total yards. Curiously, the Wildcats are 3-14 ATS on the road after outgaining their last opponent by 225 yards or more. Note that UTSA was in revenge last week after losing to Houston 59-28. This team is vastly improved. Grab the points with the Roadrunners.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

Green Bay vs. Seattle - September 4, 2014 - 8:30 PM
Pick: Your pick will be graded at BetOnline @ Under 46 -110
Evaluation: Sep 4 - 8:30 PM

Reason For Pick:
I'm playing Green Bay and Seattle UNDER the total. This is a very good opening night game. It's a rematch of the famous "Fail Mary" game on Monday Night Football two years ago and could end up being a preview of this year's NFC Championship Game. Though it's "only" opening night, I anticipate a "playoff-like intensity" and a lower-scoring game than most are expecting.
When these teams met that fateful Monday night two years ago, it was a very low-scoring affair. It was a 14-12 game and that's including the winning score, which should not have counted. The key for Seattle (other than the replacement refs) was sacking Aaron Rodgers eight times. The Seahawks pass rush may very well not be that dominant this time, but the secondary is now the best in the league and overall the defense is better.
By now, you're familiar with many of the names on this Seattle defense which led the team to a win in Super Bowl 48. All the key players, Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas chief among them, are back having been re-signed. At home is where this group really shined a year ago. They allowed just 14.2 points per game at Century Link, holding the likes of New Orleans to just seven points and San Francisco only three. Both of those were night games by the way.
So to expect Rodgers and the Packers offense to come in here and put a significant number of points on the board would be unwise. Not only is the Under 7-0 in Seattle's last seven conference games, but it's 5-0 their last five home games. All four of Green Bay's September games went Over last year. That's not likely to happen again.
The public, which tends to love Overs, has predictably bet this number up a couple points already. That signals value in going the other direction right away.
Seattle opened last season with a 12-7 win. That was on the road, but also one of four games they failed to score more than 17 points.
There were only three games all year where the Seahawks allowed more than 20 points in 2013. Only three of their games featured a total higher than this one. Two of them went Under. The other was the Super Bowl.
If Seattle gets an early lead, look for them not to take a lot of chances and play ball control on offense. 9* main event.

 

[RANGERDOG]

Very embarrassing night, to go 0-4 isn't something we're proud of and we're ashamed that we let our guys down. We're never a company to only gloat when we win and hide when we lose. We stand up and accept defeat like men, this is one of those times. Unfortunately it just wasn't out night. After going 6-1 the previous 2 nights, 0-4 is a huge blemish on the record any way you slice it. We will kill it tomorrow and the entire weekend, redeem ourselves, put cash back in your bankrolls, and move on from this. Everyone keep your heads up, the best is yet to come.

Regards,


Josh
Sports Pick Predictions

 

[gmrcharity]

Brandon Lang

40 Dime

Greenbay

 

[RANGERDOG]

NFL starts today...LETS DO THIS! Going to lay off baseball for now, unless something really stands out to us. The end of the season is really tough to find value, so we're going to ride only with ole' trusty...football. Good luck tonight, let's start this thing out on the right foot!

NFL:
Seattle Seahawks -6, -105 (3 units)


NCAAF:
Arizona -7.5 (2 units)
Arizona/UTSA UNDER 56 (2 units)


GOOD LUCK!!!


Josh
Sports Pick Predictions

 

[PeteEzra]

Cpaw, I posted Teddy Covers and Nover in this thread a couple days ago and now deleted?

 

[RANGERDOG]

CPAW, where's Dunkel MLB?

 

[PeteEzra]

Posting again, can delete if there was a problem.

Teddy Covers
Over 45.5

Stephen Nover
Over 45.5

 

[meetyourmismatch]

Ben Burns

Green Bay vs. Seattle - September 4, 2014 - 8:30 PM
Pick: Your pick will be graded at BetOnline @ Under 46 -110
Evaluation: Sep 4 - 8:30 PM

Reason For Pick:
I'm playing Green Bay and Seattle UNDER the total. This is a very good opening night game. It's a rematch of the famous "Fail Mary" game on Monday Night Football two years ago and could end up being a preview of this year's NFC Championship Game. Though it's "only" opening night, I anticipate a "playoff-like intensity" and a lower-scoring game than most are expecting.
When these teams met that fateful Monday night two years ago, it was a very low-scoring affair. It was a 14-12 game and that's including the winning score, which should not have counted. The key for Seattle (other than the replacement refs) was sacking Aaron Rodgers eight times. The Seahawks pass rush may very well not be that dominant this time, but the secondary is now the best in the league and overall the defense is better.
By now, you're familiar with many of the names on this Seattle defense which led the team to a win in Super Bowl 48. All the key players, Richard Sherman and Earl Thomas chief among them, are back having been re-signed. At home is where this group really shined a year ago. They allowed just 14.2 points per game at Century Link, holding the likes of New Orleans to just seven points and San Francisco only three. Both of those were night games by the way.
So to expect Rodgers and the Packers offense to come in here and put a significant number of points on the board would be unwise. Not only is the Under 7-0 in Seattle's last seven conference games, but it's 5-0 their last five home games. All four of Green Bay's September games went Over last year. That's not likely to happen again.
The public, which tends to love Overs, has predictably bet this number up a couple points already. That signals value in going the other direction right away.
Seattle opened last season with a 12-7 win. That was on the road, but also one of four games they failed to score more than 17 points.
There were only three games all year where the Seahawks allowed more than 20 points in 2013. Only three of their games featured a total higher than this one. Two of them went Under. The other was the Super Bowl.
If Seattle gets an early lead, look for them not to take a lot of chances and play ball control on offense. 9* main event.

Are BURNS 2 baseball plays the Brewers and the Rays? ty

 

[chilidog]

CPAW, where's Dunkel MLB?

free at dunkelindex.com, mlb is specifically at http://dunkelindex.com/MLB_Baseball_Schedule.asp

 

[gmrcharity]

Why do you continue to guess wrong plays instead of just buying the plays?

Are BURNS 2 baseball plays the Brewers and the Rays? ty

 

[Adonis70]

thx pete!!! i love my under bet even more now that teddy is on that...

 

[Chevyjsport]

Do not I repeat do not deal with Jason Jordan biggest scam out there worst service ever won't honor any agreement and guarnteed to lose every square ass play

 

[sponge3000]

Sam Martin's HUGE 25* CFB THURS GAME OF THE YEAR!! Arizona Wildcats

 

[AirTroop]

2Halves2Win NFL Week 1 Comp:

1* GAME / 2-TEAM TEASER: GREEN BAY @ SEATTLE: Seahawks +0.5 & u52.5 - TBD (TBDu)

CFB Week 2 Comp:

1* GAME / 2-TEAM TEASER: GREEN BAY @ SEATTLE: Seahawks +0.5 & u52.5 - TBD (TBDu)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Locksmith Sports

NFL
2* Seattle -6 (-105)

MLB
1* Red Sox +130
1* Tigers -134

CFB
1* Texas San Antonio +7 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cpaw, I posted Teddy Covers and Nover in this thread a couple days ago and now deleted?

Your posts were not deleted, the entire thread vanished. The Rx was having tech issues this morning and some threads were completely deleted.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Detroit at Cleveland[/h] The Indians look to follow up yesterday's 7-0 win over the Tigers and come into today's contest with a 5-0 record in Trevor Bauer's last 5 starts as a home underdog. Cleveland is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 15.419; Milwaukee (Peralta) 12.954 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Under

Game 953-954: Arizona at San Diego (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 13.941; San Diego (Kennedy) 15.400 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Diego (-145); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-145); Under

Game 955-956: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Workman) 15.807; NY Yankees (Capuano) 14.658 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+140); Over

Game 957-958: Detroit at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.662; Cleveland (Bauer) 16.995 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120); Over

Game 959-960: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 16.282; Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 14.226 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 7 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Under

Game 961-962: Seattle at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 14.494; Texas (Ross) 15.555 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Texas (+115); Under

Game 963-964: LA Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santiago) 16.477; Minnesota (Gibson) 14.920 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 965-966: Cincinnati at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 14.834; Baltimore (Tillman) 16.332 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-150); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee lost in tennis at Flushing Meadows in the US Open on Wednesday with Stan Wawrinka -$170/Kei Nishikori.

Ben lee won in MLB in the American League on Wednesday with the Royals -$178/Rangers.

For Thursday in the NFL E&B like the Seahawks -6/Packers.

"Mr Chalk" has Np for Thursday.

Ben lee is 2-2 -$62 for week forty five 204-230-5 -$2849 through Forty Four Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 73-52 -$278 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted