Vegas Butcher dime bet
301 HOU / 302 NEP UNDER 40.5
Analysis:
UNDER 40.5 HOU/NE
If you can find 41, play that of course, but regardless I like the chances of this game staying under the posted total. Pats starting a rookie QB on a short week, indicates a pretty conservative game-plan to me. Run Blount and play strong D. This is a defense that totally shut down Miami in the 1st half last week, before letting up a bit in the 2nd half as the Pats nursed a huge lead. I expect a stronger defensive effort for the full 60 minutes in this one. On the other side, we have a very inefficient Houston offense, ranking 30th in the league. Playing on a short week and going on the road, I don’t see their efficiency improving much. Of course Houston’s top-10 D will be a challenge for the home team in this one. Expect a slow paced game (HOU ranks 23rd and NE 29th in seconds/play) tonight, as I don’t see a lot of points