Service Plays Thursday 8/7/14

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Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Angels are 13-0 since April 09, 2014 after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually for a net profit of $1317.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Jeremy Guthrie starts the Royals are 10-0 since August 14, 2012 after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start as an underdog for a net profit of $1109.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The White Sox are 5-20 since May 4, 2013 on the road vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not the last game of a series.

CHOICE TREND:

The White Sox are 0-14 since September 26, 2006 as a road dog after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent as a favorite for a net profit of $1400 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Jordan Zimmermann starts the Nationals are 14-1 since July 18, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1220.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

LAS VEGAS -- The Los Angeles Dodgers haven’t won a Freeway Series over Orange County’s Angels since 2006, but with a win tonight they’ll take three of four, and it would be only the fourth time since the advent of interleague play that the Dodgers would emerge the victors. Overall, the Angels still hold a 57-42 advantage in wins and a 9-3-5 edge in series.

In order for the Angels to keep the Dodgers from accomplishing the series win, they’re going to need C.J. Wilson to step up big time, and with the way he’s pitched lately, that’s a tall task. Over his last five starts, opponents are hitting .416 against him, which has led to 25 earned runs over 18 innings. Fortunately for the Angels, they’ve been able to get him out of the game quickly enough to give their stellar offense a chance to come back and win three of those starts.

After missing a month due to a sprained ankle, Wilson came back on Saturday at Tampa Bay and couldn’t make it out of the second inning. His ankle was fine, but his stuff wasn’t, as he was tagged for six runs in a 10-3 loss.

In the grand scheme of things, Wilson is expected to be a huge part of the Angels’ future this season, not only in their quest to pass the A’s in the AL West, but also in any potential playoff series. He's supposed to be the No. 3 starter behind Jered Weaver and Garrett Richards, but as of right now, he’s got a lot more work to do.

The good news for Wilson is that he’s won his last six decisions at home and the Angels have won 36 of their last 51 home games overall. And not that it means much, but the Angels are 17-4 in their last 21 Thursday games. The Angels are also 6-1 in the final of four-game series this season. Maybe those numbers contribute to Wilson being a short favorite tonight.

The Dodgers tonight start Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has been on a roll lately, allowing only seven runs over his last four starts covering 26 innings. The Dodgers won all four games, with Ryu getting the decision in three of them.

The surprising part of Ryu’s game this season is that he’s been stingier on the road (2.89 ERA) than at home (3.94). Dodger Stadium is usually a safe haven for pitchers to lower their ERAs. In Ryu’s only meeting with Angels, he threw a two-hit shutout last May at Dodger Stadium.

Look for Wilson to shake some of the rust off his last start and not be as bad, but he’s in a tough spot against Ryu. With Ryu the +101 underdog, the Dodgers are the play.

Thursday selections:

Pirates (Volquez) -134 vs. Marlins, 7:05 p.m. ET

Royals (Guthrie) -107 at Diamondbacks, 9:40 p.m. ET

Dodgers (Ryu) +101 at Angels, 10:05 p.m. ET

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Goble - Against the Number


253 New England Patriots PK +105


The Patriots are in an interesting position here as far as their quarterback situation goes. Brady may not see the filed tonight, but this play really has nothing to do with him. This play revolves around each teams main backup quarterback and what I expect the teams motivations to be in regards to them. Ryan Mallett has spent the last 3 years on the bench behind Tom Brady. I don’t believe the Patriots really see him as the heir apparent to the throne of New England so this preseason will mean a LOT to them in regards to building up his trade value. The Pats drafted another QB in the 2nd round and they’re not the kind of team to do that if they’re not planning on keeping that player around. Mallett should see significant playing time and he is more than capable under center. Mallett knows where he stands and will be looking for this to be his chance to score a payday with another team. Couple that with the fact that there will be an intense battle for carries in the running game and there should be a lot of motivation for this Pats offense. On the other side, Cousins is firmly embedded as the backup to Griffin. With Griffin’s health ALWAYS in questions, the Redskins will have to do their best to get Cousins his work early, and then retire him to the bench. Who will be seeing the majority of the snaps then?….the mighty Colt McCoy (que the wah wah sound bite). I like my chances if I get a significant portion of this game with with Mallet Vs McCoy and will take the dog money here.






260 Denver Broncos PK +105


Is there really such a thing as revenge motivation in the first game of the preseason? Probably not, but don’t tell the fans that. This may be one of the few games where the crowd is actually into game somewhere near the intensity of a regular season game. The Seahawks could blown out here and waive it off as “who cares we won the Super Bowl”, but the Denver fans will not let the Broncos off that easy if they don’t show up. Obviously Manning will be luck to see one series before Osweiler takes over. I do think there will be some significant playing time for the former Sundevil QB because right now he is the long term plan for the post Manning era, and has yet to see much playing time in the regular season so every live snap is important to his development. Where I think the Broncos have an advantage here is in the running game. There is no premier back in Denver, but there are a lot of solid players all fighting for carries and a final spot on the roster. I believe on the whole their depth is better than that of Seattle in the backfield and this could quickly turn into a ground game battle in the second half as the Seahawks backup QB’s aren’t exactly known for their throwing ability. The Broncos weakest link in regards to depth is their secondary and these are the kinds of QB’s that will have a hard time punishing that. Denver is still pretty pissed about their last game, and the stadium should be rocking, so i’ll take the dog money again, this time at home.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

mlbtotal
USA: MLB
St.Louis Cardinals – Boston Red Sox
Total: Over 7

 

[SalD'Amore]

Tom Brady is not playing tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux Future NFL Picks

20* Carolina under 8.5 wins

10* Week 1 Tampa bay +1.5

10* Seattle under 11 wins

 

[ScottL]

NFLX FYI: In Week A (HOF Game) and Week One last year the pointspread did not come into play. All 17 SU Winners covered ATS. And the Dogs in Week One were 11-5 SU. Going back the last 9 years the SU Winner is 131-14-6 ATS in Week A and Week One. Conclusion: Taking Dogs ATS is throwing money away. If you like a Dog this week history says the ML has more value.

 

[pic]

​Kelso 100 A's [ rl ] 25 Reds 25 Jets

 

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The Shadow Sports Syndicate

NFL: NY Jets-3

 

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Diamond Dog Sports

#961/962: Orioles/Blue Jays: Over 9.0 (-105) (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Gonzalez/Happ


XNFL
#251: Colts: +3.0 (-105) (0.5*)

#257/258: Bengals/Chiefs: Over 35.5 (-110) (0.5*)

 

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Gordon24

$400 Pirates

 

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

NFLx 7:00 pm New York Jets -3 for 3 units

NFLx 10:00 pm San Diego Chargers -3 for 3 units

MLB 9:40 pm Kansas City Royals 100 for 3 units

MLB 7:05 pm Pittsburgh Pirates -130 for 3 units

MLB 7:05 pm Baltimore Orioles 100 for 3 units

MLB 7:10 pm Cincinnati Reds -125 for 3 units

 

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THE WAGER WIRE / Smartbets

958 Pittsburgh Pirates -130 1u

 

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Sheep

Over 36.5 SF/BAL $1000
Bos +150 $1000

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HARRY BONDI

NFL Pre-Season Football Bonus Play

INDIANAPOLIS (+3) over NY Jets
7 p.m. ET — CBS
Disregard what Jets Head Coach Rex Ryan has been saying about the importance of this game to the media this week. Ryan has never put much emphasis on the first pre-season game and his ATS record shows it. Jets are 0-5 ATS in week 1 during Ryan’s tenure and we think that goes to 0-6 Thursday night against a Colts team that values winning in the pre-season. In fact, the Colts under Chuck Pagano are 5-2 ATS their last 7 pre-season games and not only have the best QB on the field in Andrew Luck, they have the second best QB on the field in his back up Matt Hasselback! Sure, the Jets have the starting QB battle going on between Geno Smith & Mike Vick but they like Luck will see little time. Ryan will be trying to decide whether Matt Simms or rookie Taj Boyd will be his third team guy. Colts will have no trouble shutting them both down and will prevail in the Meadowlands.

 

[Kazmania]

Sportslab?

 

[SalD'Amore]

Northcoast?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Betting As A Business

MLB (9:40 et)
Arizona (Nuno) +107 / Kansas City (Guthrie) 9:40 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Arizona)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

OC DOOLEY

2* Royals vs Diamondbacks - Over 8.5

 

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VEGAS RUNNER

NFAC Medium Margin Move - Houston Astros ML (1st 5innings)