WNBA
Thursday, August 7
Formerly strong team becoming wasteland for bettors
The Phoenix Mercury were looking like guaranteed money for bettors not long ago, but after a stunning 11-0 run against the spread, the money has dried up. The Mercury have now lost three-straight ATS for bettors.
The Mercury are seven-point road favorites against the San Antonio Stars Thursday.
Thursday, August 7
Formerly strong team becoming wasteland for bettors
The Phoenix Mercury were looking like guaranteed money for bettors not long ago, but after a stunning 11-0 run against the spread, the money has dried up. The Mercury have now lost three-straight ATS for bettors.
The Mercury are seven-point road favorites against the San Antonio Stars Thursday.
River City Sharps
3 Units Baltimore Orioles +104
The Toronto Blue Jays try and get a game closer to the lead in the AL East tonight as they host the Baltimore Orioles in the final game of their three-game set. The Orioles will give the ball to Miguel Gonzalez (5-6, 3.93) to be opposed by the Jays J.A. Happ (8-5, 4.34) The Jays took a 5-1 decision on Wednesday night, but these teams have seemingly been moving in different directions over the past couple of weeks. The Orioles have been red hot and have been playing particularly well on the road, winning five of their last seven games. Showalter's team has been pretty solid in bouncing back off a loss this season, posting a 35-16 record in their last 51 games following a loss. Thursday's have been good as well for Gonzalez as the Orioles are 7-1 in Gonzalez's last eight Thursday starts and 4-1 in his last five games as the road dog. We expect the Orioles to get another bounce back win here tonight.
3 Units Baltimore Orioles +104
The Toronto Blue Jays try and get a game closer to the lead in the AL East tonight as they host the Baltimore Orioles in the final game of their three-game set. The Orioles will give the ball to Miguel Gonzalez (5-6, 3.93) to be opposed by the Jays J.A. Happ (8-5, 4.34) The Jays took a 5-1 decision on Wednesday night, but these teams have seemingly been moving in different directions over the past couple of weeks. The Orioles have been red hot and have been playing particularly well on the road, winning five of their last seven games. Showalter's team has been pretty solid in bouncing back off a loss this season, posting a 35-16 record in their last 51 games following a loss. Thursday's have been good as well for Gonzalez as the Orioles are 7-1 in Gonzalez's last eight Thursday starts and 4-1 in his last five games as the road dog. We expect the Orioles to get another bounce back win here tonight.
Chase Diamond
10* NY Yankees +113
This game has the 62-49 Tigers and the 59-54 Yankees. We have ridden the Yankees for 3 straight wins and I'm confident in them finishing off the sweep today they are red hot right now and believe they can make the playoffs.Shane Greene has been very strong in his first 5 starts and I think this line looks fishy Vegas is trying to get as much Tigers action as possible early and it's working as 68% are backing them yet the line has moved 9 cents the wrong way showing major sharp action on the Yanks.
10* NY Yankees +113
This game has the 62-49 Tigers and the 59-54 Yankees. We have ridden the Yankees for 3 straight wins and I'm confident in them finishing off the sweep today they are red hot right now and believe they can make the playoffs.Shane Greene has been very strong in his first 5 starts and I think this line looks fishy Vegas is trying to get as much Tigers action as possible early and it's working as 68% are backing them yet the line has moved 9 cents the wrong way showing major sharp action on the Yanks.
StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets
WNBA | CHICAGO at MINNESOTA
Play Under – Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play On – Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
30-13 since 1997. ( 69.8% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a losing record
127-70 since 1997. ( 64.5% | 50.0 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )
WNBA | CHICAGO at MINNESOTA
Play Under – Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play On – Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
30-13 since 1997. ( 69.8% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a losing record
127-70 since 1997. ( 64.5% | 50.0 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )
StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets
MLB | HOUSTON at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL)
80-39 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets
MLB | MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 75-35 (+40.5 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams – averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.5)
MLB | HOUSTON at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL)
80-39 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets
MLB | MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 75-35 (+40.5 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams – averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.5)
Kevin's Pick(s):
Hutchison decided to have his best start of the season last night, and Chen seemed a little off giving up 4 early runs. Today we have two afternoon plays going between Kyle and I... lets pick up a couple of winners.
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers - BREWERS TO WIN (-132)
Listed Pitchers: Peavy vs Peralta
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.52 units)
The Giants and Brewers have split the first two meetings of this series, with Milwaukee taking the first 4-3 and San Fran winning 7-4 last night. The Giants will send newly acquired Jake Peavy to the mound who is 1-11 on the season with a 4.73 ERA, .267 OBA and 1.38 WHIP. He went 6.1 innings without giving up a hit in his last outing before allowing 4 hits and 4 earned runs over 7 innings in a loss vs the Mets. On the road this year he is 1-7 with a 5.80 ERA, and he has given up 3 or more earned runs against in 4 straight starts. Willy Peralta will take the rubber for the Brewers and he is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA, .258 OBA and 1.28 WHIP on the year. At home his ERA rises slightly to 3.82, but his OBA and WHIP are better at home with a .254 OBA and 1.21 WHIP. Since a very rough outing on July 8th he has allowed just 5 earned runs against over his last 4 starts. Take note that the Giants are just 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a home favorite, 4-0 in Peralta's last 4 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 home starts, and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning record. The Brewers are also 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs the Giants and 7-3 in their last 10 meetings overall. Peralta has been pitching well lately, and I will back him and the Brewers at home this afternoon.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ N.Y. Yankees - TIGERS TO WIN (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Porcello vs. Greene
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
Didn't take long to get credited with a loss yesterday. I would rather get it over with quick and easy then get backdoored late like the game before. Lets get neither this afternoon in the fourth game of the Tigers/Yankees' series and pick up a winner.
Looking at this game I don't feel like the price is where it should be. I think Porcello is being a little bit disrespected with it. As I stated not that long ago, Porcello was on the edge of making the All-Star game and perhaps had a case for it. Porcello enters with a 3.18 ERA this afternoon and has been even stronger on the road with a 2.73 ERA and 8-2 record. He follows with a 1.09 WHIP and .280 away from home. Porcello went on a marvelous stretch, giving up no runs over three games and then he got blitzed for 7 runs. However, what I find impressive is the way he's respond after that game, not allowing more than 3 runs in any given start. Included in that was 1 run, 3, 0, and 2 allowed. His ERA was a sub 2.00 during that stretch, and his WHIP was 0.77 with a .215 OBP. On the other side Yankees' starter Shane Greene has been in all kinds trouble in his brief five games in the rotation. The ERA is okay at 3.68, but take notice of all of the runners he's been allowing to reach base safely. Most notably at home, where his WHIP is all the way up at 1.45 and he also has a .340 OBP. Greene's ERA is also much higher at Yankee Stadium, 5.73 ERA compared to 2.45 on the road. The Tigers dropped 2-1 from the Yankees so far in this series and I would be surprised to see them only take one. They have an excellent shot at splitting under these circumstances with Porcello going up against Greene. As I said I believe this price should be steeper, so ill gladly put my money on the Tigers in this spot.
Hutchison decided to have his best start of the season last night, and Chen seemed a little off giving up 4 early runs. Today we have two afternoon plays going between Kyle and I... lets pick up a couple of winners.
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers - BREWERS TO WIN (-132)
Listed Pitchers: Peavy vs Peralta
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.52 units)
The Giants and Brewers have split the first two meetings of this series, with Milwaukee taking the first 4-3 and San Fran winning 7-4 last night. The Giants will send newly acquired Jake Peavy to the mound who is 1-11 on the season with a 4.73 ERA, .267 OBA and 1.38 WHIP. He went 6.1 innings without giving up a hit in his last outing before allowing 4 hits and 4 earned runs over 7 innings in a loss vs the Mets. On the road this year he is 1-7 with a 5.80 ERA, and he has given up 3 or more earned runs against in 4 straight starts. Willy Peralta will take the rubber for the Brewers and he is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA, .258 OBA and 1.28 WHIP on the year. At home his ERA rises slightly to 3.82, but his OBA and WHIP are better at home with a .254 OBA and 1.21 WHIP. Since a very rough outing on July 8th he has allowed just 5 earned runs against over his last 4 starts. Take note that the Giants are just 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a home favorite, 4-0 in Peralta's last 4 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 home starts, and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning record. The Brewers are also 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs the Giants and 7-3 in their last 10 meetings overall. Peralta has been pitching well lately, and I will back him and the Brewers at home this afternoon.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ N.Y. Yankees - TIGERS TO WIN (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Porcello vs. Greene
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
Didn't take long to get credited with a loss yesterday. I would rather get it over with quick and easy then get backdoored late like the game before. Lets get neither this afternoon in the fourth game of the Tigers/Yankees' series and pick up a winner.
Looking at this game I don't feel like the price is where it should be. I think Porcello is being a little bit disrespected with it. As I stated not that long ago, Porcello was on the edge of making the All-Star game and perhaps had a case for it. Porcello enters with a 3.18 ERA this afternoon and has been even stronger on the road with a 2.73 ERA and 8-2 record. He follows with a 1.09 WHIP and .280 away from home. Porcello went on a marvelous stretch, giving up no runs over three games and then he got blitzed for 7 runs. However, what I find impressive is the way he's respond after that game, not allowing more than 3 runs in any given start. Included in that was 1 run, 3, 0, and 2 allowed. His ERA was a sub 2.00 during that stretch, and his WHIP was 0.77 with a .215 OBP. On the other side Yankees' starter Shane Greene has been in all kinds trouble in his brief five games in the rotation. The ERA is okay at 3.68, but take notice of all of the runners he's been allowing to reach base safely. Most notably at home, where his WHIP is all the way up at 1.45 and he also has a .340 OBP. Greene's ERA is also much higher at Yankee Stadium, 5.73 ERA compared to 2.45 on the road. The Tigers dropped 2-1 from the Yankees so far in this series and I would be surprised to see them only take one. They have an excellent shot at splitting under these circumstances with Porcello going up against Greene. As I said I believe this price should be steeper, so ill gladly put my money on the Tigers in this spot.
