Service Plays Thursday 8/28/14

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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Atlanta at NY Mets[/h] The Mets look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss as they close out the series against a Braves team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games after allowing 2 runs or less in the previous game. New York is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 28
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 16.332; Cincinnati (Axelrod) 14.621
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-120); Under
Game 903-904: Colorado at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 15.854; San Francisco (Petit) 14.616
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+165); Under
Game 905-906: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.032; NY Mets (Niese) 16.199
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Over
Game 907-908: NY Yankees at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.687; Detroit (Lobstein) 15.813
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under
Game 909-910: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.276; Baltimore (Norris) 15.304
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Over
Game 911-912: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Milone) 14.561; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.785
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-155); Over
Game 913-914: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.571; White Sox (Danks) 14.027
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-150); Over
Game 915-916: Texas at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 13.804; Houston (McHugh) 15.442
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Houston (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-150); Over
Game 917-918: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 14.843; LA Angels (Wilson) 15.518
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over
 
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[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Carolina at Pittsburgh[/h] The Steelers wrap up their preseason at home against a Carolina team that lost at New England (30-7) last week. Pittsburgh is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL preseason picks.
THURSDAY, AUGUST 28
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (8/26)
Game 101-102: Atlanta at Jacksonville (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.478; Jacksonville 118.770
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 1 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Under
Game 103-104: Detroit at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 116.771; Buffalo 123.728
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 7; 46
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-4 1/2); Over
Game 105-106: Indianapolis at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 121.526; Cincinnati 120.363
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 1; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3); Under
Game 107-108: St. Louis at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 117.113; Miami 122.084
Dunkel Line: Miami by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Miami by 3; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3); Over
Game 109-110: NY Jets at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 117.967; Philadelphia 123.029
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 5; 48
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-2 1/2); Over
Game 111-112: Kansas City at Green Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 1120.586; Green Bay 120.458
Dunkel Line: Even; 36
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3); Under
Game 113-114: New England at NY Giants (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 121.281; NY Giants 126.654
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 5 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-3 1/2); Under
Game 115-116: Washington at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 126.972; Tampa Bay 121.924
Dunkel Line: Washington by 5; 35
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 39
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Under
Game 117-118: Carolina at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 115.199; Pittsburgh 123.116
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 34
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Under
Game 119-120:Minnesota at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 124.531; Tennessee 123.442
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 38
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+2); Under
Game 121-122: San Francisco at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 121.486; Houston 122.352
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 43
Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2); Over
Game 123-124: Chicago at Cleveland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.434; Cleveland 123.300
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 7; 39
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 5; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5); Under
Game 125-126: Baltimore at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 123.717; New Orleans 129.012
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over
Game 127-128: Denver at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.958; Dallas 122.920
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 2; 37
Vegas Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+2 1/2); Under
Game 129-130: Seattle at Oakland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.320; Oakland 124.286
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3; 33
Vegas Line: Seattle by 5 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+5 1/2); Under
Game 131-132: Arizona at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 118.631; San Diego 123.715
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 5; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 39
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-3); Over
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
THURSDAY, AUGUST 28th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Thursday, 8/28/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #22
•Machado's Surgery Deemed Successful: Baltimore Orioles infielder Manny Machado had surgery Wednesday in Los Angeles to repair a torn ligament in his right knee. Orioles manager Buck Showalter said the procedure was a success. "The doctor said everything went well as expected," Showalter said. "That was good to hear. What they thought was going to happen and what they thought they were going to find." Machado injured the knee on Aug. 11 when he fell at the plate after a swing. That injury came a year after he damaged the medial patellar ligament in his left knee. Before the latest injury, Machado was on a hot streak with five home runs and 15 RBIs in 20 games in July and August. For the season, he played in 82 games and had 12 homers and 32 RBIs with a .278 batting average. The 22-year-old Machado is hoping to recover in time for the start of spring training in February.

•Rangers Rough Up Mariners: Even after his decision to move ace Felix Hernandez back two days resulted in one of his Seattle Mariners' worst losses of the season, manager Lloyd McClendon wasn't looking back Wednesday afternoon. "It just gives (the media) something to write about," McClendon said after replacement starter Erasmo Ramirez was tagged for 10 runs in a 12-4 loss to the Texas Rangers on Wednesday. McClendon's decision to give Hernandez some extra rest might pay off by the time he takes the mound for Friday night's game against the red-hot Washington Nationals, but it sure came back to bite the Mariners. The Rangers tagged Ramirez for 11 hits and 10 runs in three innings. Texas second baseman Rougned Odor hit the first grand slam of his career, and catcher Tomas Telis and center fielder Leonys Martin each added three RBIs in the Rangers' most productive offensive performance since they beat the Chicago White Sox 16-0 on Aug. 4.

•At Great Cost, Blue Jays Have Made Little Progress: For teams with long playoff droughts, front-office executives often say that one benchmark is to play meaningful games in September. The Toronto Blue Jays, whose most recent postseason game ended on a Joe Carter home run, seemed poised to check off the “September contention” box this year. They led the American League East by six games on June 6. They were in first place at the beginning of July. But since then, the Jays have faded back into the mediocrity that has plagued the franchise for the past two decades. Toronto has a 6-16 record since the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline passed without Jays general manager Alex Anthopoulos making a significant move. That is the worst mark in the majors over that period.

•Angels Pursuing Pitching: With Garrett Richards out of the season, the Los Angeles Angels are kicking the tires on multiple veteran pitchers ahead of the waiver trade deadline Sunday. Options include A.J. Burnett of the Philadelphia Phillies and Bartolo Colon of the New York Mets. Richards was having the best season of any starting pitcher in the Angels' rotation. Jered Weaver, C.J. Wilson and Matt Shoemaker are in line to lead the team's playoff rotation, but the team is thin behind that threesome.

Colon, 12-10 with a 3.82 ERA, owns an $11 million salary for 2015 as part of a two-year, $20 million contract he signed with the Mets before the season, and Burnett can make $12 million in '15, but has discussed retirement. However, after a 12-strikeout, one-hit performance against Washington earlier in the week, Burnett sounded like he would reconsider. "I guess you could say I've still got it when I do have it," Burnett said. "My decision will come down to how I feel and what my family and I decide. It's just one start, but to be able to go out and do that tonight makes you wonder." Burnett was 0-6 with a 6.41 ERA in his previous seven starts.

Around The League
--American League West powers meet Thursday night as the Los Angeles Angels open a four-game series with the Oakland Athletics. Oakland has an 8-4 straight up advantage in the head-to-head series so far in 2014, with the teams combining to go 7-4-1 Over/Under in that span.

--New York Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda is on an under roll as he prepares to face the host Detroit Tigers on Thursday night. Kuroda is 0-5 Over/Under in his last five assignments, though the Yankees are just 2-3 over that span - including two losses as favorites.

--Baltimore Orioles outfielder Adam Jones will look to exploit a favorable matchup (7:05 PM EST) Thursday night as the Orioles face the Tampa Bay Rays. Jones is batting .333 with four homers in 42 career at-bats against Rays starter Jeremy Hellickson.

--Mike Trout's bat is a major reason the Los Angeles Angels have the best record in baseball and appear destined to end a four-year postseason drought. Trout tied a career high with his 30th home run, Gordon Beckham homered for the first time with his new club, and the Angels improved to 79-53 with a 6-1 victory over the Miami Marlins on Wednesday night. Trout, who leads the majors with 71 extra-base hits and 283 total bases, chased Miami starter Henderson Alvarez in the seventh inning with a one-out drive into the trees beyond the center field fence to make it 5-1.

--Buster Posey hits game-ending 2-run homer for Giants. On a night of milestones for Bruce Bochy and Tim Hudson, Posey delivered the timely hit once more. Posey had a game-ending two-run shot for his third homer in two nights, sending the San Francisco Giants past the Colorado Rockies 4-2 on Wednesday for Bochy's 1,600th managerial victory. Posey sent an 0-1 pitch from Juan Nicasio (5-6) just inside the left-field foul pole for his 18th homer of the year and second career walkoff homer. He also had one on May 3, 2013, against the Dodgers.

--Diamondbacks shut down by Kershaw. The last time Clayton Kershaw pitched in Arizona, three months ago, the Diamondbacks clobbered him in an 18-7 rout. Hardly anyone has touched him since, and on Wednesday night the Diamondbacks were no exception. Kershaw allowed only an unearned run in eight innings to become the first major leaguer to reach 16 wins this season in the Los Angeles Dodgers' 3-1 victory.

--New York Yankees chased David Price with nine straight hits in the third inning, beating the Detroit Tigers 8-4 Wednesday night. The Yankees scored all eight of their runs in the third off Price who had pitched a one-hitter in his previous start. Jacoby Ellsbury started the barrage, and New York went all the way through the batting order until the 2012 AL Cy Young Award winner was pulled after the ninth hit of the inning.

--The Kansas City Royals extended their lead over Detroit to 2 1/2 games in the American League Central with their 11th win in their past 13 games at Kauffman Stadium. They've won four straight over the Twins. Minnesota has lost four straight and eight of 11 overall. In the series opener, the Royals were getting shut out until the ninth inning, when Alex Gordon delivered a two-run homer for a 2-1 win. This time, it was a series of bloopers and infield singles that allowed Kansas City to finally crack the Twins in the waning innings.

--Pinch-hitter Grady Sizemore hit a go-ahead two-run homer in the sixth inning, helping the Philadelphia Phillies beat the NL East-leading Washington Nationals 8-4 Wednesday night to complete a three-game sweep. Marlon Byrd hit a two-run homer and Jimmy Rollins hit a solo shot to back Kyle Kendrick (7-11). The right-hander allowed four runs and seven hits in six innings. The last-place Phillies went 7-2 on their best homestand this season.

--Drew Smyly allowed two hits over seven innings in his second straight overpowering performance, and the Tampa Bay Rays jumped to an early lead against rookie Kevin Gausman in a 3-1 victory over the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday night. Evan Longoria had three hits for the Rays, who won for only the fourth time in 11 games. Tampa Bay scored all its runs in the first two innings and Smyly (9-10) made the margin stand. Smyly gave up a solo homer to Chris Davis in the second inning and a single to Steve Pearce in the seventh. The left-hander struck out six and walked one in his fifth start for the Rays since coming from Detroit in a trade involving David Price.

--Cincinnati Reds right-handed pitchers Mat Latos (5-3, 3.15 ERA) and Mike Leake (10-11, 3.51 ERA) were both placed on revocable waivers on Wednesday morning, according to a report via Twitter from FOXSports.com's Ken Rosenthal. A trade of either pitcher - for now - is unlikely, according to Rosenthal, but this offseason may be a different story.
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Betting Notes - Thursday

National League
•Cubs-Reds - 12:35 PM
--Arrieta is 1-1, 1.27 in his last three starts.
--Axelrod allowed two runs in six IP in his first '14 start.

--Cubs won seven of their last ten games.
--Cincinnati lost 11 of its last 15 games.

--Seven of last ten Chicago games stayed under; over is 9-4-1 in Cincinnati's last fourteen games.

•Rockies-Giants - 3:45 PM
--Lyles is 0-0, 5.63 in his last three starts.
--Petit is 0-2, 8.17 in his last five starts, last of which was July 22. He's retired 37 batters in a row pitching in relief (six appearances) since then.

--Colorado won six of its last nine games.
--Giants won last two games, but are 12-24 in last 36 home games.

--Four of last five Colorado games stayed under total.

•Braves-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Minor is 1-0, 1.84 in his last two starts.
--Niese is 2-5, 5.64 in his last seven starts.

--Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
--Mets lost six of their last nine games.

--Five of last seven New York games went over total.
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American League
•Yankees-Tigers - 1:05 PM
--Kuroda is 2-0, 2.84 in his last two starts.
--Lobstein is making first MLB start; he was 9-11, 4.07 in 25 AAA starts, and allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his first MLB relief stint.

--Yankees won six of its last seven games.
--Detroit won seven of its last ten home games.

--Eight of last twelve New York games stayed under total.

•Rays-Orioles - 7:05 PM
--Hellickson is 1-1, 2.22 in his last four starts.
--Norris is 3-1, 3.76 in his last five starts.

--Tampa Bay lost seven of its last eleven games.
--Orioles won four of their last five home games.

--Nine of last twelve Baltimore games stayed under.

•Twins-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Milone is 0-1, 10.80 in three starts for Minnesota.
--Guthrie is 5-1, 4.02 in his last six starts.

--Minnesota lost eight of its last eleven games.
--Royals won 21 of their last 27 games.

--Seven of last eleven Minnesota games went over total.

•Indians-White Sox - 8:10 PM
--Carrasco is 2-0, 0.50 in his last three starts
--Danks is 0-2, 7.67 in his last five starts.

--Cleveland won ten of its last fifteen games.
--White Sox lost seven of their last eight games.

--12 of last 15 Cleveland games stayed under total.

•Rangers-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Tepesch is 0-1, 4.43 in his last three starts.
--McHugh is 3-0, 1.76 in his last five starts.

--Texas won three of its last four games.
--Astros lost five of their last seven games.

--Six of last nine Houston games stayed under total.

•Athletics-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Gray is 1-3, 6.12 in his last four starts.
--Wilson is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.

--Oakland won four of last six games, but lost eight of last eleven on road.
--Angels won 11 of their last 15 games.

--Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Angel games.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Minnesota Twins Tom Milone is 18-4 in his team starts against the money line (81.8%) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. The left-hander has also recorded an outstanding 13-2 record during his MLB career versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season since 1997.

Although, Milone is winless in three starts since being acquired from Oakland and has an unsightly 8.49 ERA in 11 2/3 innings. He received a no-decision in Friday’s 20-6 victory when he gave up five runs (three earned) and 10 hits in 4 1/3 innings. Milone was rocked for seven runs (six earned) in 1 1/3 innings by Kansas City on Aug. 17 and is 3-2 with a 3.52 ERA in five career starts against the Royals.
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'College Football Is Back'

Things kicks off Thursday with South Carolina Gamecocks in a season lidlifter against Johnny Football-less Texas A&M. Gamecocks knocking off Badgers in the Capital One Bowl ended the 2013 campaign 11-2 (7-6 ATS) overall behind 34.1 PPG on 452.3 YPG with the defense surrendering 20.3 PPG on 350.0 YPG. Aggies off a 9-4 (5-8 ATS) season including a win vs Duke in the Chick-fil-A Bowl racked up 44.2 PPG on 538.3 YPG. At the defensive end, Aggies gave up 32.2 PPG on 475.8 YPG and surrendered an SEC-worst 222.3 rushing yards/game. Gamecocks are the clear favorite in this game (-10.5) but, the number shouldn’t dissuade anyone from taking Spurrier's troops. Sports handicappers familiar with early-season efforts by Gamecocks over the past few years know the squad has won fourteen consecutive season opener's (7-7 ATS) along with seven straight in front of the home crowd posting a 5-2 ATS mark against the betting line. What should also set off a trigger in the minds of those with a penchant for sports gaming, Gamecocks' running the table at home in 2013 going 7-0 (4-3 ATS) are now 18-0 (12-6 ATS) at Williams-Brice Stadium. Best of luck this season but above all enjoy the games.
 
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Hondo

Hondo makes a Met bet

It wasn’t quite a laugher but Smyly did the job for the Rays and Hondo Wednesday night, shutting down the Orioles to reduce the accounts payable to 1,600 swans.

Thursday night: If everything is relative, then Mr. Aitch feels he should back Niese — 10 units on the Metamucils to post a major victory over Minor.
 
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Boise State vs. Ole Miss Point Spread and Pick
By: Larry Hartstein

Coming off its worst season in 15 years, Boise State travels across the country to face No. 18 Ole Miss in the Chick-fil-A Kickoff Game on Thursday in Atlanta. (8 p.m. ET, ESPN). The Broncos lost five games – and their mystique – last year and are rebuilding under new coach Bryan Harsin.

Boise State has not been this big of an underdog since visiting Oregon on Sept. 20, 2008. The Broncos also were getting 10 points in that game; they won outright 37-32.

The Line: Ole Miss -10.5, Total: 53.5

Line movement: The spread has been back and forth between 10 and 10.5 for the most part, although some books have flashed 9.5. The total has fallen a full 4 points from CG Technology's initial release of 57.5. You can find 53s and 54s around Vegas, too.

Trends that matter: The Rebels are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site games. They’re playing this one in SEC country at the Georgia Dome, a long trek for Boise State.

It’s a fast track in Atlanta. The OVER is 9-3 in Ole Miss’ last 12 games on Fieldturf.

Quarterback differential: The Rebels own the edge at quarterback, where Bo Wallace enters his third season as the starter. Boise State’s Grant Hedrick took over at midseason last year and struggled against the toughest opponents.

Wallace accounted for three touchdowns in the Music City Bowl win over Georgia Tech and says his arm finally feels normal following his January 2013 shoulder surgery.

"I have a lot more confidence this year," Wallace told the Associated Press . "I had a great camp. Last year I didn't have a good camp at all. It took me two or three weeks just to get back in the groove. But from day one (this year), I've felt good and I still feel good."

Same records, but…. Both teams went 8-5 SU last year, but the Rebels played a much tougher schedule. Ole Miss lost by three to Texas A&M, by eight at Auburn and in overtime at Mississippi State.

The Broncos lost both their games against BCS conference opponents, falling by a combined 76-29 to Washington and Oregon State.

Injuries that matter: Ole Miss starting NT Isaac Gross, who’s been dealing with a neck strain, practiced Sunday and reported no soreness Monday, per USA Today. He’s expected to play. Gross has 19 tackles for loss in 26 career games.

The Linemakers’ lean: The line here is inflated because we have an SEC team playing one from the Mountain West, plus the latter comes in with a new coach. According to our power ratings, Ole Miss should be about a 6-point favorite on a neutral field, which is where this game will be contested. Boise State is traditionally very comfortable traveling, and while Bryan Harsin may be new to the sidelines, he still gets to play with Chris Petersen’s talent. We’re on the dog here.
 
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Carlo Campanella

NFLX Seattle Seahawks vs. Oakland Raiders

7* Seattle Seahawks

Seattle knows they have a target on their backs after winning the Super Bowl and they've lived up to the challenge by rolling through their competition during Preseason play. We wagered on them during Week #2 and Week #3 this exhibition season and cashed both times, as they easily beat the Chargers, 41-14, and followed that victory up with a 28 point victory over Chicago, 34-6, last Friday. Seattle heads to Oakland for their final Preseason game this Thursday knowing that they're 8-0 ATS in their final exhibition game of the season, including 4-0 ATS in their final game behind Head Coach Pete Carroll. Seahawks roll into the Regular season with a third straight exhibition victory.

7* Play On Seattle
 
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Sam Martin

Tulane at Tulsa 8:00PM

5* Play on Tulsa

Since joining Vegas Experts five years ago, we've backed Tulsa against the spread against Tulane every season in this annual rivalry and we suffered our first loss last season. That 14-7 outright loss was not only the first time Tulsa lost outright in the previous nine years, but also the first time they failed to cover the spread in this rivalry game.

Tulsa hadn't just been beating Tulane, they were blowing them out. The previous eight games saw Tulsa win by margins of 35, 28, 28, 24, 49, 24, 35, and 24 points. It's no wonder they are against listed as the favorite here despite coming off a three-win season a year ago and breaking that streak, however, given the series history there is still value backing the side and ALMOST always wins big! 5* Play on Tulsa.
 
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Steve Fezzik

(3*) UL Monroe +3

(2*)Under Mississippi vs. Boise 56

(2*) UCF pick em

3* 8/29 Colorado vs Colorado state under 63
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX
Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CHI WHITE SOX) with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), in August games
89-80 over the last 5 seasons. ( 52.7% | 47.8 units )
9-15 this year. ( 37.5% | -2.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TAMPA BAY at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 43-25 (+19.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.2) , OPPONENT (3.3)
 
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MATT FARGO

CFB THURSDAY TRIFECTA

It was a huge disappointing season for Tulsa last year. The Golden Hurricane finished 3-9 overall including 2-6 in C-USA and now they take the jump to the much more competitive AAC. The good news is that Tulsa should be much more competitive as well. Last season, they had just nine starters coming back from an 11-3 season in 2012 which was its third straight winning season. Additionally, the Golden Hurricane suffered a ton of injuries along the way but now they are healthy and have 15 starters back including 10 on the defensive side of the ball. Losing their last five home games last season should have them pretty amped up come Thursday night on national television. Tulane was a pleasant surprise last season as it went 7-5 and went to its first bowl game since 2002 but ended up losing to Louisiana in the New Orleans Bowl. Overall, the Green Wave dropped four of their last five games so they come in with very little momentum and they will also have to make up for the loss of eight starters. They still struggled away from home last season despite the overall success as they were 2-4 in true road games and have not won more than two road games in a season in over a decade. Tulsa will be playing with revenge in mind as it lost at Tulane 14-7 which was the first loss to the Green Wave after eight straight wins. All of those wins were covers as well and the last four home victories for Tulsa over the Green Wave were by 35, 28, 49 and 35 points and with these teams going in different directions from last season, I expect an easy win for the home team here.

10* (138) Tulsa Golden Hurricane

While it may seem like a big shocker but the team with the second best record over the last 20 games behind Alabama isn’t one of the powerhouse programs but it is Vanderbilt. The Commodores have gone 16-4 over their last 20 games following a 9-4 record last year which came after closing out 2012 with seven straight wins. Don’t expect this run to continue however. Vanderbilt lost arguably the most talent in the conference based on volume as they have to replace 12 starters on both sides of the ball. Taking nothing away from last year but they had three wins by four points or fewer and benefitted from a positive turnover margin. Additionally, they lost head coach James Franklin to Penn St. so we should see some growing pains early in the season and listing the Commodores as such a big favorite is way too aggressive. Temple struggled to a 2-10 season last year which was its second straight losing season after three consecutive winning campaigns. While that record seems awful, four losses came by a combined nine points and its 8-4 record against the number shows that it was pretty competitive despite the lack of wins. The Owls return 13 starters from last season including eight on defense which was its downfall last season, allowing 29.8 ppg. We can expect a much better season from the stop unit this year. Quarterback play should continue to be a strength for the Owls this season, as sophomore P.J. Walker returns under center after a strong debut. Walker ranked third in the league in pass efficiency behind Teddy Bridgewater and Blake Bortles. Temple was a perfect 5-0 ATS as a road underdog last season while going 7-1 ATS getting points overall. Grab the generous points Thursday night.

9* (141) Temple Owls

Rutgers begins its first season in the Big Ten and many are picking the Scarlet Knights to finish last in the conference in addition to last in the East Division. While they probably won’t be going bowling after making the postseason the last three years, this is still a very talented team that returns 16 starters from last season and they should be a competitive bunch. The schedule is not only brutal but they are facing 12 teams they did not face last season so there will be no familiarity in gameplanning. Rutgers has a good opportunity to open the season 4-1 however as this is a very winnable game in my opinion. Washington St. is nothing special and this game isn’t even taking place on its home field as it is being played in Seattle. The Cougars will clearly have the fan base but it is just not the same. They finished 6-6 last season and went to a bowl game for the first time since 2003 but lost to Colorado St. There is little optimism for improvement this year and while the offense should again be potent, the loss of three starters on the offensive line is a concern. Washington St. has been favored against a BCS opponent just three times in the Mike Leach era. It was a 1.5-point favorite against California and Utah last year and while it won both games, there is little reason to believe that the Cougars should be more than a touchdown favorite here. Rutgers falls into a great contrarian as we play on any team in the first two weeks of the year, bowl team from last season who lost four or more of their last 5 games and finished with a losing record. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992.

10* (143) Rutgers Scarlet Knights.
 
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Prediction Machine Sides

Thu. Aug. 28th ATS

Rot Pick Opp Line Pick%

139 MISS BOISE -10 59
141 TEMPLE @ VANDY 14 58.6
137 TULANE @ TULSA 6.5 56.6

Fri Aug. 29th ATS
Rot Pick Opp Line Pick%
150 COLO (Lock of the Week) COLOST -2.5 61.7
148 @ WESTKY BGSU 7.5 56.9

Sat Aug. 30th ATS
Rot3 Pick Opp Line Pick%
197 FLAST OKST -17.5 61.5
156 UCF PSU -1.5 59.2
163 TROY @ UAB 2.5 58.6
169 FLAATL @ NEB 23 58.1
204 WISC LSU 5 58.1 166 @ NW CAL -10.5 57.6
195 WASH @ HAWAII -17 57.2
161 APP @ MICH 34.5 56.7
181 CLEM @ UGA 7.5 56.3
189 IDAHO @ FLA 36.5 56
179 ARK @ AUBURN 21 55.9
158 @ NAVY OHIOST 14 55.4
 
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Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee won on Wednesday in MLB in Interleague play with the Angels -$145/Marlins.

For Thursday in College Football E&B like Texas A&M + 10.5/South Carolina.

"Mr Chalk" has Np for Thursday in MLB.

Ben lee is 2-0 +$100 for week forty four 197-224-5 -$2797

"Mr Chalk" is 69-50 -$330 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted
 

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