Service Plays Thursday 7/3/14

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play St. Louis +135 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY)

St. Louis is 90-62 in day games over the last three seasons
St. Louis is 29-20 after having lost five or six of the last seven games
St. Louis is 49-26 games after batting .240 or worse over the last ten games


10* Play Philadelphia +110 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Miami is 13-27 when playing on a Thursday the last three seasons
Miami is 23-30 when playing in the month of July the last three seasons
Miami is 60-83 after having lost five or six of the last seven games

=============================================

5* Play Arizona +130 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Houston +160 over LA Angels (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

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Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers -139 over Colorado Rockies
(System Record: 53-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 53-40

Rest of the Plays
Oakland Athletics -160 over Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels -160 over Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks +127 over Pittsburgh Pirates
 
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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | TULSA at CONNECTICUT
Play On – Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%)
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 23.6 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

WNBA | TULSA at CONNECTICUT
Play Against – Any team vs the money line (TULSA) good shooting team (43.5-46%) against an average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) after 15+ games, after 4 straight games – allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or higher
28-13 since 1997. ( 68.3% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at SEATTLE
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a losing record
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | LA DODGERS at COLORADO
Play Against – Any team (COLORADO) very good NL hitting team (AVG >=.280) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities
205-140 since 1997. ( 59.4% | 72.2 units )
27-16 this year. ( 62.8% | 7.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | LA DODGERS at COLORADO
LA DODGERS are 21-8 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in Road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: LA DODGERS (5.9) , OPPONENT (3.8)
 
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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Pirates(-142)

If Vegas is gonna give us this kind of value with a hot home team(Pirates have won 9/11) vs a cold road team(Dbacks have the worst record in baseball and have lost 6/10), then we are gonna take it every time.
Worley (2-0, 1.74 ERA) should help Pittsburgh keep rolling against McCarthy (2-10, 5.11) whose only 2 wins come against the Padres.
 
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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY’S SELECTIONS (July -3.20)
UEFA – EUROPA LEAGUE
10:30AM LITEKS LOVECH -215 @ FC VERIS
1:45PM FK HAUGESUND @ AIRBUS UK BROUGHTON – OVER 2.5 -135
 
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BOB BALFE

SELECTION
TEXAS RANGERS -120

(Darvish/Chen)
I feel like the Orioles got away with one last night. Baltimore couldn’t hit a below average pitcher and now have to face Darvish. Good luck with that. Texas does hit left handed pitching well and I expect them not to get swept today with their ace on the hill. Take the Rangers.
 
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GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Dodgers
Team B: Rockies
Pick: Under 10.5
Risk:$100 to win $105
Time: 5:00 PM PT
 
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RIVER CITY SHARPS

The Rangers will send their ace to the hill this evening in hopes of salvaging a game in their four-game set with the Baltimore Orioles. Yu Darvish (8-4, 2.42) gets the call for the Rangers against W.Y. Chen (7-3, 4.19) and the Orioles. While this season has been a struggle for the Rangers, Darvish has been terrific and produced six starts already where he has not surrendered a run. The Rangers are 14-3 in Darvish’s last 17 starts as a favorite and 9-1 in his last 10 starts when he has four days rest. The Orioles haven’t handled the role of a home underdog lately, where they are 3-9 in their last 12 games in that situation. This is a bit of a value play as well as you will not be able to get Darvish at -115 very often and Chen is coming off a performance last time out which was less than stellar, surrendering five runs in just over three innings in a loss to Tampa Bay. We think Darvish helps the Rangers salvage a game in this series and as a side note, we would also recommend sprinkling in a little bit on the Under here as well. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – TEXAS RANGERS (-115)
 
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Vegas SI
THURSDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Tigers -1.5 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
20* MLB Angels -180 and 10* MLB OVER 8.5
20* MLB Rockies +125 and 10* MLB OVER 10.5
20* MLB Giants -155 and 10* MLB UNDER 7
20* MLB Tigers -1.5 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
 
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GC: MLB Play

Thursday card has a 5* Road Warrior system and a 24-2 Blowout system. Top plays cash 2 of 3 on Wednesday. MLB System Play below.​


On Thursday the MLB System play is on the LA. Dodgers. Game 907 at 8:10 eastern. The Dodgers fit a nice 88% system tonight that applies to opening game road favorites with a total of 10 or more that are off a home favored loss and scored 4 or less runs, and are taking on a teams, like the Rockies, that are off a road dog loss. The Dodgers have won 6 straight as a road favorites off a home loss and 8 of 9 on the road vs leftys, which is what they will see tonight in F. Morales. Greinke goes for the Dodgers and he has a solid 2.87 road era. Morales for Colorado has a mediocre 5.55 home era and a 7/87 era over his last 3 starts. Look for the Dodgers to win the opener tonight. On Thursday its another Powerful MLB Card led by the 5* 100% Road warrior system side and a 24-2 Blowout system. MLB Top plays cashed 32 of 3 on Hump day. Jump on now and see the most powerful data out there. For the free MLB Play take the LA. Dodgers. GC
 
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Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Rays at Tigers

Probable Pitchers:
TB: Bedard (4-5, 4.21 ERA)
DET: Scherzer (9-3, 3.64 ERA)

Previous series recap: Both these teams are coming off impressive sweeps, as the Rays took three games from the Yankees on the road, while the Tigers took care of the AL West-leading A’s at home in three games. Tampa Bay no longer owns the worst record in baseball as the Rays are currently 6-1 on their road trip, as each of the last four wins have come in the favorite role.

What to watch for: Since dropping three straight to the Royals at home in mid-June, the Tigers are rolling through an 11-2 stretch the last 13 contests. Detroit has won six of Scherzer’s seven starts at Comerica Park this season, while the Rays have dropped three of Bedard’s past four outings on the highway.

Yankees at Twins

Probable Pitchers:
NYY: Tanaka (11-3, 2.10 ERA)
MIN: Hughes (8-4, 3.58 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Yankees hit the road after suffering their fifth straight defeat on Wednesday, a 6-3 setback to the Rays at home. In four losses during this funk, New York has scored three runs or less, while going on a 5-1-1 run to the ‘under’ in the last seven games overall. The Twins were blanked in the series finale by the Royals on Wednesday, 4-0 to drop two of three games to Kansas City, as Minnesota has stumbled to a 2-7 mark in the past nine contests.

What to watch for: Following a 12-2 record in his first 14 starts, the Yankees have lost the last two outings made by Tanaka, as the offense has plated just one run in those defeats. The Twins have won 10 of Hughes’ previous 13 outings, including a 7-2 victory against his former squad in the Bronx last month as a +120 underdog.

Dodgers at Rockies

Probable Pitchers:
LAD: Greinke (10-4, 2.78 ERA)
COL: Morales (4-4, 5.75 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Dodgers fell in the final two games to the Indians, capped off by a 5-4 setback on Thursday as -140 favorites. The Rockies stumble home after a dreadful 1-6 road trip at Milwaukee and Washington, as Colorado squandered a 3-0 lead in a 4-3 defeat to the Nationals last night as +165 underdogs.

What to watch for: Los Angeles has lost each of the last four road starts made by Greinke, including a 5-4 loss at Coors Field last month in extra innings. The Dodgers have won six straight games against left-handed starting pitchers dating back to June 9, while capturing five of their last seven road series openers. Since sweeping the Giants on the highway two weeks ago, the Rockies have limped to a 2-14 mark in the past 16 contests, including a 1-5 mark at home.

Blue Jays at Athletics

Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Dickey (6-7, 4.24 ERA)
OAK: Gray (7-3, 3.20 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Blue Jays walked-off past the Brewers on Wednesday, 7-4 to complete a mini two-game sweep of the Brewers, while finishing off their homestand at 5-4. The A’s return to the Bay Area after an up-and-down road trip, which concluded by getting swept at Detroit in three games, as the offense managed to score just seven runs in the series.

What to watch for: Toronto swept Oakland at home the last time these teams squared off in late May, as all three games finished ‘under’ the total. Dickey has lost each of his last three trips to the mound for Toronto, as the Jays own a dreadful 1-6 record in his seven road outings. Gray’s numbers have dipped following a fast start, as the righty allowed five earned runs in five innings in his past outing at Miami, but the A’s picked up the victory in extra innings as a -155 favorite.

Astros at Angels

Probable Pitchers:
HOU: Oberholtzer (2-6, 4.40 ERA)
LAA: Shoemaker (5-2, 4.50 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Angels failed to pull off the sweep of the White Sox last night, falling 3-2 as a –155 favorite, while finishing off their road trip at 3-3. The Astros stubbed their toe in a three-game sweep at the hands of the streaking Mariners, as Houston wrapped up its homestand at 3-6, while allowing 28 runs in the three losses to Seattle.

What to watch for: Houston has won just two of Oberholtzer’s 10 starts this season, but the southpaw did pick up a victory as a +170 ‘dog at Los Angeles last August. The Angels are riding a six-game winning streak at home after sweeping the Twins and Rangers on their previous homestand, but tonight’s number (-170) is the highest price Shoemaker has been listed at in nine career starts.
 

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