Service Plays Thursday 5/26/11

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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Heat at Bulls: What Bettors Need To Know

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls (-3, 180)

THE STORY: The Heat's Big Three united in Miami with the goal of winning multiple NBA titles. The trio of LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh can take another major step toward that goal Thursday as the face the host Chicago Bulls in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference final. Miami dominated overtime to earn a 101-93 win in Game 4 and take a 3-1 lead in the series.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE BULLS: Poor execution cost Chicago a chance to even the series heading back to the Windy City for Game 5. The Bulls turned the ball over 19 times in the game, highlighted by back-to-back turnovers in the extra session that allowed the Heat to pull away. Derrick Rose managed to put up 23 points but shot just 8 for 27 from the field and had seven turnovers. Chicago will need to be more efficient on the offensive end after shooting just over 40 percent from the field and 6 of 24 from 3-point range. The defense performed well in regulation but couldn't rein in Miami's big guns in overtime.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Chicago did a good job of limiting Miami's effectiveness from the field, but James and Bosh aggressively attacked the rim and were rewarded for their efforts. James was 14 for 14 from the free throw line while Bosh finished 10 for 11 from the stripe. The glaring free-throw discrepancy - Miami took 16 more foul shots than Chicago - helped keep the Heat in the hunt before taking control in overtime. The win puts the Heat a victory away from their first trip to the NBA Finals since winning it all in 2006. Should Miami wrap things up and the Dallas Mavericks beat Oklahoma City in Game 5, the Finals could begin as early as Sunday.

WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: Luol Deng and Carlos Boozer both had 20 points while shooting 50 percent from the field Tuesday. The Bulls will need similar efforts from both players if they hope to extend the series. Wade was far from his best in Game 4, making just five of 16 shot attempts for 14 points.

KEY STATISTIC: +71 - The plus-minus rating accumulated by Miami's bench in Game 4. Mike Miller was a +36, Udonis Haslem finished +25 and Mario Chalmers was +10.

LAST WORD: The Heat improved to 40-5 this season in games where James, Wade and Bosh combine to score 70 or more points.

TRENDS: The under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Chicago between the two teams.Miami is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 road games.
This is the first time Chicago has lost three straight games all season.
 
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PICK 'N' ROLL

Thursday’s Best NBA Bets

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls (-3, 180)

Forget about LeBron James, Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade. When aging veteran Mike Bibby and third-year guard Mario Chalmers can manage nothing more than a decent at the point, the Heat are nearly impossible to beat.

“Our point guards are very key to our team,” James said. “When they play big and make shots and also defend like they are doing, we’re a pretty good team."

Better than just good. Ask the NBA MVP what it’s been like going up against the suddenly dynamic duo. The Heat’s strategy for defending Rose is simple: play him one-on-one and only help if he gets down low in the paint. Otherwise, play him physical and allow him to shoot as many jump shots as he wants.

That’s the dirty secret about Derrick Rose, who carries an inordinate burden of his team’s offense. If his shot isn’t falling, he fails to create for teammates.

"A percentage? It's a large part," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. "There’s no question about it that he generates a lot of their offense. But I think I mentioned this yesterday: he's like trying to contain a tornado. It's unpredictable. The explosiveness, all of that can break down your defense. And then it comes down to your instincts in making multiple efforts."

In the Chicago's only win of the series, Rose was 10-for-22 from the floor with six assists and 28 points. In the three losses, he is averaging just 7.1 field goals on a staggering 23.6 attempts. But more disheartening, he is averaging just over six assists per game for the series – nearly two below his season average.

The Bulls are also having a huge philosophical issue on offense. The team is atrocious from beyond the arc, yet forced up 24 attempts in Game 4. Even worse, Rose was 1-for-9 from distance and continually ditched attacking the rim for jumpers that wouldn’t fall.

Until Rose starts to bloom as a more complete guard, the Bulls will have no way to continually score against the Heat.

PICK: Heat
 
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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
MLB Betting Preview: Red Sox at Detroit Tigers
By: Adam Markowitz

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers (-115, 8.5)

The Red Sox won a pair of 1-run games against the Tigers last week in Boston.

Both the Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers are on the road to redemption after terrible starts to their season. At just a combined six games over .500 between them, neither one has to be considered thrilled with where they are sitting.

The two cross paths in MLB betting action on Thursday afternoon at Comerica Park, with the first pitch scheduled to be thrown at 10:05 a.m. (PT)

NESN and Fox Sports Detroit are both going to have local pickups of this game, while the MLB Network will also have the live broadcast for those not in the Massachusetts and Michigan markets.

Alfredo Aceves is the man that is going to be starting off this series for manager Terry Francona on the bump. The 29-year-old righty has been a relief pitcher for virtually his entire career, but due to the injuries to John Lackey and Daisuke Matsuzaka, Francona really doesn't have all that many options left available to him.

Aceves got the nod against the Chicago Cubs on May 21 and he pitched relatively well, lasting five innings and surrendering three hits, two walks and one run. He got a no-decision on the day, though the Red Sox were beaten 9-3.

For the season, Aceves is 1-0 with three holds, a 2.42 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. He has only thrown one inning in his career against the Tigers, and he allowed a solo home run in that inning.

If you plan to bet on baseball with the Tigers though, the man that you want to bet on this year is clearly Max Scherzer 2011 ho is scheduled to be on the hill Thursday. Scherzer is 6-1 on the season, but more importantly, he has led MLB betting fans to a 7-3 mark that's good for 3.6 units in profit.

Scherzer's 6-1 record brings him back up to a .500 pitcher for his career at 27-27. His ERA this year of 2.98 and WHIP of 1.37 are rock solid numbers to say the least. He has also only walked one batter in his last two starts, though Detroit did lose both of those games to the Toronto Blue Jays and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Boston has knocked Scherzer around quite a bit in his two career outings against it. The righty is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in 11 1/3 career innings of work against Red Sox Nation.

It was only last week that these two teams met up for a two-game miniseries at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won both games, though the Tigers covered both run lines.

Boston is 43-19 in the last 62 meetings overall against the men from Motown, but the Tigers are going to be happy to be playing at Comerica Park, where they are 7-1 in their last eight games entering play on Wednesday.

Mother Nature could have alternative plans for this MLB wagering war considering the fact that severe thunderstorms are ravaging the entire Upper Midwest. The forecast calls for an 80 percent chance of rain with the possibility of severe weather hitting the area in the afternoon.
 
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HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers (-115, 8.5)

Sooner or later, you knew two of Boston’s most lethal hitters would come around. We might end up looking back to Wednesday’s blowout win over the upstart Indians as the date the tide really turned for the Red Sox.

Boston sent 12 batters to the plate in putting up seven runs on the board in the first inning, on the way to a 14-2 win over Cleveland.

Carl Crawford went four-for-four with a home run, two doubles, three runs and a pair of RBIs to raise his average from .212 all the way to .229. Second baseman Dustin Pedroia also got a monkey off his back with his first homer in 136 trips to the plate. In all, the Red Sox ended up with 20 hits.

So while they’re up against a tough customer in Max Scherzer, we’ll jump all over Boston as an underdog. Alfredo Aceves makes his second start of the season for the Red Sox.

PICK: Red Sox


Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (-130, 8)

The Toronto Blue Jays head home after dropping two of three games against the Yankees and have their work cut out for them again on Thursday against the White Sox.

Wednesday’s loss to the Yanks went down in the record books after Jo-Jo Reyes failed to pick up the win in his 28th consecutive start – tying a dubious record set by Oakland’s Matt Keough back in 1978-79.

The Jays look to get back on track with Brandon Morrow on the hill and he has had a tough time recently, allowing 12 runs over his last three starts. However, the good news is that Morrow is usually money at the Rogers Centre.

He has won 12 of his last 15 home starts and really needs to deliver in this spot after giving up a season-high nine hits to the miserable Astros last time out.

We’ll see if he’s up to the challenge.

PICK: Blue Jays
 
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Thursday’s Betting Notes: Strong Wind Blowing At Wrigley

Weather To Watch

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs – Meteorologists expect strong winds at Wrigley Field Thursday afternoon. As of Wednesday evening, winds were expected to be ripping in from center field at a 20 mph clip. Oddsmakers have Chicago set as a -145 favorite but no total has been posted.

Who’s Hot

NBA: Miami has covered the spread in seven of its last nine games.

MLB: San Francisco has won nine of its last 10 home games.

MLB: Boston is 10-2 over its last 12.

Who’s Not

NBA: Just two of the last nine meetings between the Bulls and Miami in Chicago have played over.

MLB: The Mets are 2-7 in their last nine dates at Wrigley Field.

MLB: The White Sox have won three of their last 17 games in Toronto.

Key Stat

24 – NBA games are won and lost at the free throw line so it shouldn’t be any surprise the Miami Heat came away with a crucial victory in Game 4 to take a 3-1 series lead over the Chicago Bulls. The Heat hit their last 24 shots from the charity stripe and hit 84 percent from the line on the night to earn a 101-93 overtime win as 5-point favorites. Miami is hitting about 82 percent of its free throws over the last three games.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Omer Asik, Chicago Bulls: Word has it that Chicago’s reserve center could be out for the rest of the season with a possible fractured left fibula. Asik was questionable for Game 2’s loss and left the game in the first quarter after LeBron James fell on his leg. The 7-footer was playing about 15 minutes per night so Kurt Thomas will have to step up for the Bulls.

Game Of The Day

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls (-3, 180)

Notable Quotable

"To go through what I went through and get back, it's definitely much more appreciated. I always realized how great it was to be a big league baseball player. But once you're gone and you're away from it, to be back in the big league life, it's definitely much more appreciated." – Ryan Vogelsong, who was out of the big leagues for five years before catching on with the Giants this season. He is 3-0 on the year and hasn’t allowed an earned run over his last three starts ahead of Thursday’s date with the Marlins as a -125 favorite.

Tips And Notes

Top-seeded Caroline Wozniacki advanced to the third round of the French Open, but it didn’t come without some controversy. The Roland Garros faithful let Wozniacki hear it as she argued with an umpire about a shot that was ruled out, but she held on for win over Aleksandra Wozniak. Wozniacki is set at +600 to win her first French Open. Oddsmakers have yet to set a line for her upcoming matchup against No. 28 seed Daniela Hantuchova.

Jason Day is pegged at +1600 to repeat as the HP Byron Nelson Champion this weekend in Irving, Texas and he’s definitely playing well enough to be in the running. The 23-year-old Australian has finished among the top 10 in five of his 11 tournaments this season.” the win last year, for me, it spurred me on because I knew I could win on the PGA Tour,” Day told reporters. “Now I want to get out there and build on it. I had a good end to the season last year, and it has moved over into this year. None of that happens if I don't win the Byron Nelson."

Even though the Miami Heat still have some work to do before sending the Bulls packing and advancing to the NBA Finals, oddsmakers have them listed as a heavy -190 favorite to end up lifting the Larry O’Brien trophy. The Heat still have to beat Chicago once more and the books have Miami set as a 3-point road underdog on Thursday.
 
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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 852-372 (.696)
ATS: 640-636 (.502)
ATS Vary Units: 1512-1495 (.503)
Over/Under: 661-633 (.511)
Over/Under Vary Units: 794-770 (.508)

Eastern Conference Finals
Game 5, best-of-7
CHICAGO 91, Miami 88
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Chicago

The Heat look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 road games. Miami is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3). Here are all of today's picks
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">THURSDAY, MAY 26
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 519-520: Miami at Chicago (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.169; Chicago 126.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 5px;" width="566">
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 5px;" width="566">
</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
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Today's MLB Picks

Boston at Detroit

The Tigers look to build on their 5-1 record in Max Scherzer's last 6 home starts. Detroit is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">THURSDAY, MAY 26
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.623; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.721
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 903-904: NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 16.215; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.403
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+130); N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 905-906: Florida at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Sanchez) 14.035; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.465
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 907-908: Arizona at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Owings) 15.755; Colorado (Mortensen) 14.904
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 909-910: Kansas City at Baltimore (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Francis) 14.325; Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.665
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-140); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 911-912: Boston at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Aceves) 15.533; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.821
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 913-914: Oakland at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 14.708; LA Angels (Pineiro) 15.274
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-110); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Humber) 14.882; Toronto (Morrow) 16.242
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-135); Over</td></tr></tbody></table>
 
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Hondo

Congratulations to the Reverse Hondo Brigade, which is on pace for a record-setting year. Mr. Aitch provided two more successful investments for their winning formula yesterday as he went draino with the Indians and Nats to raise the deficit to 1,380 tor gesons.

Tonight, Hondo is desperate for Humber to fill the bill against the Blue Jays -- 10 units on the Pale Hose.
 
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Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

FHHafnarfjordur + FylkirReykjavik OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Iceland
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Mavericks (-6-1/2) Wednesday night.

Thursday it's the Bulls. The deficit is 2137 sirignanos.
 
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MLB
Write-Up


Thursday, May 26

Hot pitchers
-- Bailey is 3-1, 2.42 in four starts this season. Lee has a 2.62 RA in his last five starts.
-- Sanchez is 2-0, 1.23 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 2-0, 0.49 in his last three starts.

-- Scherzer is 2-1, 2.10 in his last four starts. Aceves allowed one run in five IP in his first '11 start, just sixth of his career Aceves is 15-1 in his big league career.
-- Pineiro is 2-0, 2.73 in five starts this season.
-- Humber is 2-1, 2.38 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Zambrano is 0-1, 6.50 in his last three starts. Dickey is 1-3, 5.84 in four daytime starts.
-- Mortensen is 1-1, 4.34 in three starts this season. Owings allowed four runs in 5.1 IP in his first '11 start.

-- Royals are 0-4 in Francis road starts (0-3, 7.36). Guthrie is 1-3, 5.33 in his last four starts.
-- Anderson is 0-3, 5.04 in his last five starts.
-- Morrow is 1-1, 7.53 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- 13 of Phillies' last 20 games stayed under the total. Five of Reds'last six games went over.
-- Last five games at Wrigley Field that went 9+ innings went over.
-- Over is 8-3 in Florida's last eleven road games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Arizona's last nine road games.

-- Seven of last nine Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Detroit home games.
-- Five of last six Oakland road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Texas games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won 12 of their last 18 home games.
-- Arizona won eight of its last nine games.
-- San Francisco won nine of its last eleven home games. Marlins won eight of their last eleven road games.

-- Baltimore won its last four games, allowing ten runs.
-- Detroit won its last three games, scoring 15 runs. Red Sox won 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Angels won three of their last four games.
-- White Sox won 12 of their last 18 games overall.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last thirteen home games. Mets lost three of their last four games, allowing 31 runs.
-- Colorado lost six of its last eight games.

-- Royals lost eight of their last ten road games.
-- Oakland lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Toronto lost its last three games, scoring nine runs.
 

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