Service Plays Thursday 5/20/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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Thank you, wilheim.......

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Thursday Day Tips
By Kevin Rogers

Prior to the start of interleague this weekend, the Thursday baseball card features a handful of solid afternoon matchups. Three contests inside the National League showcase NL East versus NL Central showdowns, including red-hot Cincinnati battling Atlanta.

Reds at Braves - 1:05 PM EST

Cincinnati is turning the corner inside the NL Central by winning nine of ten to take the lead inside the division. The Reds send out prized rookie Mike Leake to the mound, while the Braves counter with fireballer Tommy Hanson.

Leake (4-0, 3.09) has been fantastic through his first seven starts of the season, compiling quality outings on seven occasions. The Reds are 6-1 when Leake takes the mound, including victories over the Cardinals and Cubs his last two outings. The ex-Arizona State righty has made just two starts on the road, but Leake went seven innings in each game at Houston and Pittsburgh.

The run support for Hanson (3-3, 2.88 ERA) is hit-or-miss with the Braves scoring one run or less in three of his starts, but tallying at least six runs in three other outings. Hanson's numbers are better on the road than at home, as the righty has compiled just one quality outings in four starts at Turner Field. Hanson managed to strike out 10 in seven innings of an 11-1 loss to Arizona, while allowing a season-high five earned runs. In his only career start against the Reds, Hanson scattered three hits in six scoreless innings of a 7-0 shutout at the Great American Ballpark last June.

The Reds are 6-0 the last six games against right-handed starting pitchers, while going 6-2 to the 'under' the previous eight road contests. The Braves have won five of their last six Game 2's, dating back to the start of May.

Cubs at Phillies - 1:05 PM EST

Philadelphia continues a seven-game homestand as the Phillies wrap up their series with the Cubs. Charlie Manuel's team is 8-3 the last 11 games at Citizens Bank Park, while Chicago is 1-5 in their previous six on the highway.

Joe Blanton (1-2, 5.49 ERA) makes his fourth start of the season, but the righty has allowed 12 earned runs and 21 hits so far. Blanton is coming off a victory over the Brewers in his last outing, giving up six hits and five earned runs in seven innings of work. The former Oakland A's hurler shut down the Cubs last season at home, 4-1, by delivering seven innings of five-hit ball, while striking out five.

Ryan Dempster (2-4, 3.49 ERA) continues to go deep into his starts, but the Cubs are 1-5 in his last six trips to the mound. Four of those losses came as a favorite of at least $1.50 against the Pirates twice, Nationals, Astros. However, the Cubs lost each of those games by one run apiece as Dempster delivered a quality start in all four defeats. Dempster's career numbers against the Phillies are not very solid, allowing ten earned runs in his last two outings versus Philadelphia dating back to 2008.

The Cubs are 2-8 in Dempster's last ten starts as a road underdog, while five of his six starts this season have finished 'under' the total. Each team is riding nice 'under' runs with the Phillies going on an 8-2 'under' run at home and the Cubs cashing the 'under' in six of the last eight overall.

Marlins at Cardinals - 1:40 PM EST

The Fish are trying to put the Hanley Ramirez situation behind them as the reigning NL batting champion played in Wednesday's game at St. Louis. The Cardinals send out their second ace to the mound with Adam Wainwright listed as a substantial favorite over Nate Robertson.

Wainwright (5-2, 2.48 ERA) is making his first home start since April 29, as the Cards have dropped two of his last three outings. The righty failed to turn in a quality start for the first time in eight outings this season in a 4-3 setback at Cincinnati his last time out. Wainwright allowed seven hits and four earned runs in six innings, while extending his streak to 38 consecutive starts in which he has struck out more batters than walked. The Cardinals are 3-1 in his four career starts against the Marlins, with the lone loss coming as a $2.15 home favorite last September in a 2-1 defeat.

Robertson (4-3, 4.35 ERA) has become a viable addition to the back end of the Marlins' rotation after getting acquired right before the season. The southpaw is coming off consecutive wins over the Cubs and Mets, while allowing two earned runs in each of his last three outings. The Marlins have won two of Robertson's three road starts despite Florida scoring just seven runs. Robertson has made only one start at Busch Stadium, but that came in the 2006 World Series as a member of the Tigers. The lefty was on the wrong side of a 5-0 defeat, lasting only five innings and allowing two earned runs, giving the Cards a 2-1 series advantage on their way to the title.

St. Louis owns a 25-6 record since 2007 when Wainwright starts following a loss in his last outing. Florida has sailed 'over' the total in eight of 12 games when facing a right-handed starter after a left-hander, as the Marlins battle rookie lefty Jamie Garcia in the series opener.

 

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HOT LINES

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds (-165, 7.5)

The first-place Cincinnati Reds don't need much relief after taking a Leake ... in the first round of the 2009 draft, that is.

Rookie righty Mike Leake is off to an impressive 4-0 start (perhaps more importantly, 6-1 against the money line) with a team-best 3.09 ERA and has not thrown fewer than six innings in each of his seven starts. He came straight to the majors after starring for four seasons at Arizona State.
"I'm passed being surprised," manager Dusty Baker said of the rookie sensation. "Just do your thing."

Beyond his effectiveness, Leake's ability to stay on the mound has avoided the need for relying too heavily on a shaky bullpen, which is overrated considering the team has won 10 games in their last at-bat this season.
It's rare for a rookie not have have a breakdown against big-league hitting. It's a good thing the Braves aren't big-league hitters. After their 11-run explosion against Arizona on Saturday they scored just six runs in their next three games and rank in the bottom third in batting average, home runs and RBIs.

Look for Leake to make it rain against the light-hitting Braves.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds


Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (+105, 9)

The Brewers and Pirates play today for the seventh time this season and only one of those meetings has gone under the posted total of 9.

In fact, two of those meetings resulted in a total of 20 runs. Apparently average hitting wins out when it runs into sub-par pitching.

Expect no different today when Milwaukee's Christopher Narveson (3-1, 5.29 ERA) battles Pittsburgh's Paul Maholm (3-3, 4.40) on the mound.
Narveson was just added as a starter last month and the Brewers lost Doug Davis due to a heart condition over the weekend, further throwing their rotation out of whack.

Malholm has been hammered by the Brewers on a consistent basis. He is just 3-9 in his last 12 starts vs. Milwaukee, not including a no-decision in last month's 6-5 victory by the Brew Crew.

The Brewers, which rank in the top five in virtually every offensive category, have lost eight straight while the Pirates are 3-6 in their last nine. Both team's recent poor play makes it tough to pick a winner, but not necessarily a number.

Pick: Over

 

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NHL NEWS AND NOTES
WHAT BETTORS NEED TO KNOW
Flyers at Canadiens

Who is that masked man?

In a playoff filled with amazing stories, Philadelphia goaltender Michael Leighton might be the best one.

Leighton, a journeyman goalie who has bounced between six different teams in five years, is making the most of his opportunity. With an injury to starter Brian Boucher in the second round of the Eastern Conference playoffs, Leighton was thrust into action and has answered the call.

He’s won all four of his postseason starts, including two against the Canadiens in this conference final. Most recently, Leighton turned away all 30 of Montreal’s shots in a 3-0 victory in Game 2 at the Wachovia Center Tuesday – his second straight shutout of the series.

Leighton, who has a 0.87 goals against average in the playoffs, tied Flyers legend Bernie Parent for the team record for consecutive postseason shutouts. He also has the second-longest scoreless streak in Philadelphia history at 165 minutes and 50 seconds. Boucher has the team record of 184:45 set back in the 2000 NHL playoffs.

"A shutout to me, it means a little bit," Leighton told the Philadelphia Inquirer, "but the win means a lot more to me. You know, we could have won, 3-1, and I would have been just as happy."

Leighton heads to Montreal for just his second road start of the postseason Thursday. He was solid in support during Game 4 of the conference semifinals in Boston, stopping 14 shots to preserve a 4-0 shutout after Boucher was injured. His worst appearance of the playoffs was a 4-3 win over the Bruins in Beantown in Game 7, allowing three goals on 25 shots.

This season, Leighton was 0-3 in his three away starts and posted a 4.74 GAA over five road appearances.

Helpless Habs

After two grueling seven-game series with two of the NHL’s top clubs, it appears the Montreal Canadiens are running on empty in the Eastern Conference final.

The Habs haven’t scored in the series, getting stumped on 58 shots on goal. Montreal has come out strong in the first two games, out-shooting the Flyers 29-12 in the first period. But, like a heavy-handed boxer throwing heymakers, the Canadiens appear to punch themselves out by the final frame.

Montreal has mustered just nine shots in the third period including just four scoring chances in the final period of Tuesday’s Game 2 defeat. Scoring threats Mike Cammalleri and Brian Gionta, who have combined for 19 goals this postseason, had a total of shots between them in Game 1 and were denied on 12 combined shots in Game 2.

"Tonight I thought we did a lot better job," Cammalleri told the National Post, obviously frustrated. "I thought we were pretty good. I don't know what else to say about that."

The reality is that Montreal is not a good offensive team. The Canadiens managed to find goals in the first two rounds of the playoffs, but have sunk back into the role of a squad that finished 25th in the NHL in scoring this season. The Flyers have also done a good job limiting their penalties and nullifying the Habs’ biggest weapon, their power play.

Pros and Conns

If the balloting for the Conn Smythe Trophy, the NHL playoff MVP, went out today, Philadelphia forward Daniel Briere would be at the top of many voters’ lists.

Briere has exploded in the past two series, scoring a goal in four straight games and totaling 18 points in the playoffs so far.

Another MVP candidate would be gritty forward Simon Gagne, who has sparked the team since returning from injury. He has six goals in the last six games including scores in both conference final contests.

Adding to both players’ red-hot play is a chance to do it in front of family and friends for the next two games. Briere hails from Gatineau, Quebec while Gagne is a native of Ste. Foy. Both grew up dreaming of playing for the Canadiens – not crushing them.

"It's a lot, you know, it's a lot of emotion for me -- and I think Danny (Briere) and Claude (Giroux) -- to be able to face that team," Gagne told the National Post. "Now you've got everybody back home watching you. You've got your friends, you've got your family, and it's a lot of people watching you on TV because it's going to be televised back home. It's really special."

 

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ICE PICKS

Thursday's Best NHL Bet

Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens (-125, 5)

After a superhero-like performance in the first two rounds of the Eastern Conference playoffs, Montreal Canadiens goaltender Jaroslav Halak has looked simply ordinary in two losses to the Philadelphia Flyers.

Halak, who stumped the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins, has given up seven goals on 37 shots this series and was even given the hook after allowing four goals on 14 shots in Game 1. He watched three pucks go by in a 3-0 loss in Game 2, leaving many hockey bettors thinking the tank has run dry for the Habs postseason savior.

"Every series is a different series, so right now we are facing a different team than we faced in the first round and second round," Halak told the CBC following Game 1. "So every team plays different hockey, and we just need to make a little bit adjustment in our penalty killing and our system. I think if we do that we should be OK."

Halak has played better at home in the playoffs. He’s 3-2 in five starts inside the Bell Centre with a 2.24 goals against average and a save percentage of .939. He won his last two home contests, blanking the Penguins for just five goals on 72 total shots.

Bettors should expect a return to form Thursday night and a potential goaltending duel with Philadelphia netminder Michael Leighton.

Pick: Under

 

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WNBA NEWS AND NOTES
GM SURVEY: 2010 PREDICTIONS
By WNBA.COM

Who is the best player in the game? Who is the best coach? Which team has the best chance of taking the title from the Phoenix Mercury? Which player would GMs sign first if they were starting a team today?

Once again, WNBA.com posed questions to the league's general managers to learn what the people who make the decisions really think about these topics and more.

Which team will win the 2010 WNBA Finals?
1. Phoenix Mercury 36.4%
2. Indiana Fever 18.2%
3. Atlanta Dream 9.1%
Connecticut Sun 9.1%
Los Angeles Sparks 9.1%
Minnesota Lynx 9.1%
Washington Mystics 9.1%

Which team will win the Eastern Conference?
1. Connecticut Sun 36.4%
2. Indiana Fever 27.3%
3. Atlanta Dream 18.3%
4. New York Liberty 9.1%
5. Washington Mystics 9.1%

Which team will win the Western Conference?
1. Phoenix Mercury 63.6%
2. Seattle Storm 18.2%
3. Los Angeles Sparks 9.1%
4. Minnesota Lynx 9.1%

Which teams will qualify for the Eastern Conference playoffs?
1. Atlanta Dream 81.8%
Indiana Fever
Connecticut Sun 81.8%
Indiana Fever 81.8%
4. New York Liberty 55%
Washington Mystics 55%
6. Chicago Sky 27.3%

Which teams will qualify for the Western Conference playoffs?
1. Phoenix Mercury 90.9%
Seattle Storm
Seattle Storm 90.9%
3. Los Angeles Sparks 72.7%
Minnesota Lynx 72.7%
5. San Antonio Silver Stars 45.5%
6. Tulsa Shock 9.1%

More Survey Results
2010 Predictions Best players Offseason moves Rookies, International
Defense Top coaches Miscellaneous

 

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LADY LUCK

Thursday's Best WNBA Bet

San Antonio Silver Stars at Tulsa Shock (-1.5, 159)

After leaving Detroit and moving to Tulsa this season, the Shock were desperate to make a name in their new market. That could be the reason they brought on shamed steroid-using sprinter Marion Jones.

Jones, who played college basketball at North Carolina, made her WNBA debut last weekend. She failed to register any points, assists or rebounds in just under four minutes of time in a 80-74 loss to the Minnesota Lynx as 5.5-point home favorites.

"It's difficult, I'm a competitor. I want to see the team win and I want to see myself contribute to a win but I understand it is a process," Jones told reporters.

"I know people kind of expect great things, they think I will be out there 40 minutes but you've got to understand it's a process."

Jones presence grabbed a ton of media attention for the usually-ignored women’s league and even packed in a sell-out crowd of 7,806 fans at Bank of Oklahoma Center. All the hype is also inflating Tulsa’s spread a tad, leaving the door open to fade the franchise in the early part of the schedule.

The Shock shot just 37 percent from the field in Saturday’s loss including going 5-for-14 beyond the arc and a dreadful 19-for-30 at the foul line. Tulsa also committed 22 turnovers. That sloppy play won’t fly against one of the WNBA’s seasoned teams Thursday.

Pick: San Antonio Silver Stars

 

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BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

Chicago White Sox -129 over the LA Angels

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JR ODonnell | NHL Money Line Thu, 05/20/10 - 7:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 59 PHI (+105) Sportbet vs 60 MON
Analysis:
UNDER THE RADAR ICE MELTER= PHILA FLYERS BABY AS THEY HAVE THE TALENT AND MOXY TO ROLL THE CANS TONIGHT.





NHL SIDE WINNER = FLYERS + 105 VERSUS TV WINNER 7 PM START
Let's break down the game 3 here tonight in Montreal as we feel that the must win attitude of the Cans is still not as strong as the D Briere lead Bruisers from Philly. The Flyers have outscored the Cans 9-0 and have just blistered the Cans in every catego~ry. Philadelphia is a nice 2-0 100% prop play here as a road dog and the Cans are only 3-3 as a home favorite in the Belle Center. Goal tender Leighton from Philly has been super so far as he is 1-0 at the Belle Center and hosts a nice 2.06 GAA
LET'S GRAB THE DOG HERE + 105 TO WIN GAME 3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Goran's Winners (1-0) (yesterday not listed)

Pick 01 (Euro 2012 qualification)

Portugal to win their Euro 2012 Group (group H)
6 units
Price 1.75

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Numero Uno Soccer Capper (4-15) (1-2)

Laguna - Toluka X halftime (draw in halftime) (2,1)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

papayagang 5-20 pick of the day

50* Yankees ML

Washington ML
ST Louis Ml
Pitt ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Brewers Wednesday night.

Thursday it's the Flyers. The deficit is 910 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

The Reds, who win whenever Hondo doesn't pick them, lost last night in Atlanta to increase the debt to 455 kluszewskis.

Today, at the risk of alienating Reds fans, he'll put the kiss of death on them again -- 10 units on Leake to hose Los Bravos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
448 - 326 run 58 %

Bonus Play THURS Texas -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 445-301 (.597)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Finals
Game 3, best-of-7 series
Philadelphia vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, MAY 20

NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Diego (24-16) at L.A. Dodgers (22-18)

Dodgers southpaw Clayton Kershaw (3-2, 3.55 ERA) looks to dominate the Padres for the second time in five days when he takes mound for against Kevin Correia (4-3, 4.35) in the finale of a brief two-game series between N.L. West rivals at Dodger Stadium. The Padres put a halt to L.A.’s nine-game winning streak – which included three wins in San Diego last weekend – by rolling to a 10-5 victory on Wednesday, as first baseman Adrian Gonzalez snapped out of his slump by going 3-for-5 with a homer and six RBIs. Although the Padres are just 2-4 in their last six overall, they’ve won eight of nine on the highway. Additionally, Bud Black’s squad is on positive runs of 21-8 against winning teams, 21-6 in the second game of a series, 7-2 versus left-handed starters and 5-1 as an underdog. Despite last night’s setback the Dodgers, are still 14-4 in their last 18 games, but they’re once again two games behind San Diego in the N.L. West race. Los Angeles is 12-7 at Dodger Stadium, including 5-2 in the last seven. Joe Torre’s troops are on additional surges of 56-27 versus the N.L. West, 11-2 against right-handed starters, 61-31 at home against righty starters, 20-9 in the second game of a series and 10-3 on Thursday. The visitor has now taken all four meetings in this rivalry in 2010, as Los Angeles went to San Diego last weekend and scored victories of 4-3, 4-1 and 1-0, winning the latter contest on Sunday despite managing just two hits. The Dodgers are 11-7 in the last 18 head-to-head matchups with the Padres and 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Hollywood. Correia gave up four runs on five hits and two walks in 5 1/3 innings in Saturday’s 4-1 loss to Kershaw and the Dodgers. It was the fifth time in the right-hander’s last six starts that he failed to get out of the sixth inning, and he’s lost back-to-back games following a four-game winning streak. San Diego is 8-1 in Correia’s last nine starts on the road, where he’s 2-1 despite a 5.40 ERA this season. Also, behind the right-hander, the Padres are on upticks 9-4 as an underdog, 7-1 as a road ‘dog and 11-5 against winning teams, but they’ve dropped four of his last five starts against the N.L. West. With Saturday’s loss to L.A., Correia is now 4-2 with a 4.52 ERA in 22 career appearances (eight starts) against the Dodgers (3-1, 4.88 ERA in 11 games – four starts – at Dodger Stadium). Kershaw dominated the Padres in Saturday’s 4-1 road win, yielding just one run on three hits and two walks with seven strikeouts in seven innings. In two games since getting blasted by Milwaukee on May 4 (seven runs allowed in 1 1/3 innings), the 22-year-old left-hander has allowed one run on five hits and five walks while striking out 16 in 15 innings. Take out the start against the Brewers, and Kershaw has surrendered two runs or fewer in five straight starts, posting a 1.57 ERA. The Dodgers are 5-2 in Kershaw’s last seven starts overall and 5-0 in his last five against the N.L. West, but they’ve lost four of his last five on Thursday. The lefty is 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA in five home starts and 3-2 with a stout 2.76 ERA against the Padres. Despite clearing the posted total the last two nights, San Diego remains on “under” runs of 39-20-4 overall (9-2-1 last 12), 20-8-2 on the road, 34-17-2 against N.L. West foes, 20-8-1 versus winning teams and 4-1 versus southpaw starters. Also, the under is 7-2 in Correia’s last nine starts against the N.L. West.
L.A. carries “under” trends of 7-4 overall, 4-1 within the division, 6-3 against right-handed starters, 5-1 with Kershaw starting overall, 7-3 with Kershaw pitching at home and 8-1 when he faces N.L. West foes. However, the over is 10-3 in the Dodgers’ last 13 home games and 5-1 in their last six on Thursday. Finally, the under had cashed in six straight Padres-Dodgers meetings prior to Wednesday’s slugfest, and Kershaw’s last four starts against the Padres have stayed low. However, the over is now 10-4 in the last 14 series clashes in L.A.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Tampa Bay (29-11) at N.Y. Yankees (25-15)

Andy Pettitte (5-0, 1.79) tries to keep his perfect 2010 record intact when he pitches opposite the Rays’ James Shields (4-1, 3.00) as the top two teams in baseball conclude a two-game series at Yankee Stadium. Tampa Bay jumped out to a 10-2 lead on Wednesday, then held off a ninth-inning Yankees rally to prevail 10-6 and move four games clear of New York in the A.L. East standings. Since suffering their first three-game losing streak of the season, the Rays have won five in a row and seven of eight, and they continue to own baseball’s best road record (16-4). Joe Maddon’s club is on additional surges of 40-16 overall, 22-6 against the A.L. East, 7-0 as an underdog (all on the road), 13-3 versus left-handed starters and 43-15 in the second game of a series. New York has now lost seven of 11 overall, but it remains an MLB-best 13-5 at home. The defending champs are also on positive runs of 101-46 overall, 51-14 at Yankee Stadium, 45-17 against the A.L. East, 65-27 against right-handed starters and 45-13 at home versus righties.
These teams have now split four clashes this season, with the road team going 3-1. New York is still 11-5 in the last 16 meetings, including 6-1 at home. Going back several years, the Rays are just 25-59 in their last 84 trips to the Bronx (including old Yankee Stadium). All four Yankees-Rays contests this season have been blowouts (9-3, 10-0, 7-3 and 10-6), and 16 of the last 18 meetings – including the last eight in a row – have been decided by multiple runs. Shields has held five straight opponents to two earned runs or fewer, yielding a combined nine earned runs in 36 innings (2.25 ERA). In his most recent start on Saturday, he held the Mariners to two runs on six hits with no walks and 10 strikeouts in eight innings, but got a no-decision with the Rays pulling out a walk-off 3-2 victory. Over his last four trips to the mound, the right-hander has 38 strikeouts against just two walks. Tampa Bay has won five of Shields’ last six starts overall and four of his last five against the A.L. East, and he’s 3-1 with a 3.25 ERA in four road contests this year. However, the Rays are 14-29 in his last 43 starts as an underdog and 7-21 in his last 28 as a road pup. Also, Tampa Bay has lost nine of Shields’ 10 career starts against the Yankees, with the California native going 1-7 with a 5.76 ERA. In New York, he’s 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA in five starts (all at old Yankee Stadium). Pettitte missed 10 days with elbow discomfort, but returned Saturday against Minnesota and tossed a gem, scattering two hits and three walks over 6 1/3 scoreless innings en route to a 7-1 home victory. The 37-year-old southpaw has now held five of his first seven opponents to two runs or fewer. Also, going back to last year’s postseason, New York has won 10 straight games started by Pettitte, including seven in a row at home, where he’s 4-0 with a 2.01 ERA in five games this season. Not only are the Yankees unbeaten in Pettitte’s last 10 starts, but behind him they’re on further runs of 20-6 overall, 85-38 at home, 48-22 against the A.L. East and 27-8 as a favorite. Additionally, New York is 16-7 in Pettitte’s last 23 games versus Tampa Bay. For his career, he’s 16-5 with a 3.81 ERA in 28 starts against the Rays. Tampa Bay is on “under” streaks of 13-3-2 overall, 4-2-2 on the road, 7-2 against right-handed starters and 14-4 when Shields goes off as an underdog, but the Rays have also topped the total in 10 of 14 against A.L. East foes and 12 of Shields’ last 16 Thursday outings. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees’ last four Thursday games and 59-29-3 in Pettitte’s last 91 starts overall, but otherwise they’re on “over” runs of 3-0 overall, 8-4 at home and 7-0 against the A.L. East. The over has cashed in five straight in this rivalry, but the under is still 5-2 in the past seven series clashes at Yankee Stadium. Also, the under is 8-1 in Pettitte’s last nine starts against Tampa Bay (4-1 last five at home).

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES

 

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