Gavazzi NBA
NBA PLAYOFFS
Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards (-4-) 8:00 ET ESPN
4% Indiana (+4-)
Now that Indiana knows that Washington is not an empty golf bag, it is time for the Pacers to return to playoff intensity. In Game 5, Indiana, playing on the league’s strongest home court in the regular season (where they defeated Washington 93-66 and 93-73), were a total “no-show.” Maybe it was the complacency of 3 consecutive victories against the Wiz. That apathy was translated into a -39 net rebound margin (you read that right, Washington won the battle of the boards 62-23), while outshooting Indiana 50-39%. Gortot (31/16) vastly outplayed Hibbert (4/2) while Ariza had a double, double, Wall went for 24/5/5 and Beal went for 18/8/4. All, while George, who had a line of 39/12 in the previous game, joined Hibbert on the “did not show list” with only 15 points and one rebound. The result was a 102-79 Washington victory in a game that wasn’t’ even as close as the final score. Now, the venue is switched, making Indiana the odds-on choice against the inverted home/road dichotomy of the Wiz. This Wiz team, that is 31-12 ATS to +9 away, is just 10-21 ATS as home chalk, including losing both games on this floor in this series by scores of 85-63 and 95-92. In a “topsy-turvy” series, that has seen the road team go 5-0 ATS, consider that greater than .668 road teams following a loss vs. sub .600 home teams following a win, are a mind blowing 70+% winning selection. Now that Miami has closed out Brooklyn, look for Indiana to play with far more intensity in closing out this series to prevent a Game 7.
OKC Thunder at LA Clippers (-4-) 10:30 ET ESPN
4% LAC (-4-)
5% UNDER 213
In a playoff season of wild finishes, maybe none was more dramatic than the OKC 4th quarter comeback in Game 5 Tuesday night, for a controversial 105-104 victory. That swung the series advantage to the Thunder, putting LAC in a 2-3 hole, off a loss, on their home court, playing on the verge of elimination. No doubt, there will be a passionate effort by the deeper, more balanced Clippers in this game. Tuesday night, no fewer than 5 Clippers, tallied 16 or more points. They were led by their stars Griffin, who went for 24/17, and Paul who had 17 points and 14 dimes. OKC countered with superstars Westbrook 38/5/6 and Durant 27/10/5. But, their lack of scoring depth and a log of only 14 assists makes clear that this team is lacking offensive ball movement and continuity. Be assured, it will show in this game as greater than .600 Game 6 NBA Playoff home chalk, off a loss as road dog, but priced as the better team, is a remarkable 80% winner in NBA playoff action. With the resilient Clippers 20-9 ATS/loss this season, look for the bounce back on the strong home court by the deeper team.