Service Plays Thursday 5/15/14

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StatFox Super Situations

OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a close home win by 3 points or less 42-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.4% | 24.4 units ) 7-7 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.7 units )

OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LA CLIPPERS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog 292-122 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.5% | 89.1 units ) 53-27 this year. ( 66.3% | 0.1 units )

INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games 198-124 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 61.6 units ) 11-10 this year. ( 52.4% | 0.0 units )
 

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Inside the Paint- Thursday


NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
The Heat and Spurs both advanced to the conference finals with victories last night, as two more teams have opportunities to move forward tonight. Miami and San Antonio both took care of business on its home court, but Indiana and Oklahoma City need a road win to advance tonight.

On the against the spread front, the underdogs keep cashing with the Nets taking home the money as seven-point underdogs in the two-point defeat to the Heat, while the Trail Blazers were blown out by the Spurs. Currently, underdogs own a 12-8 ATS record (60.0%) in the conference semifinals, improving to 43-26-1 ATS in the 2014 playoffs, 62.3 percent.

Betting Notes - Thursday
•Very seldom any basketball team gets outrebounded 62-23, but Pacers did in Game #5 and at home- they won both series games at Verizon Center, by 22-3 points. Wizards scored 102 points in both their series wins, 82-63-92 in three losses. Wall was 11-20 from floor last game, after being in scoring funk before that. Washington lost three of its four home playoff games. Pacers won four of five road playoff games. Three of last four series games stayed under.

•Clippers blew 7-point lead in last minute Tuesday, took bitter loss with officiating and ball security both under par. Los Angeles is 4-2 at home so far in playoffs. Oklahoma City is 3-2 on road in playoffs; they covered five of last seven games overall. Three of last four series meetings stayed under; underdogs covered four of five in series, with last two decided by total of three points. Clipper bench was 11-31 last game; need more than that. Five of Clippers' six playoff home games went over total.

--Over is 42-28 in playoffs this season, 11-9 in this round.
--Favorites are 24-46 in playoffs this season, 8-12 in this round.

Hoop Trends - Thursday
•INDIANA is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was INDIANA 88.9, OPPONENT 94.1.

•LA CLIPPERS are 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) this season.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 109.1, OPPONENT 109.0.

•INDIANA is 7-28 (-23.8 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was INDIANA 44.6, OPPONENT 48.0.

•WASHINGTON is 19-3 OVER (+15.7 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 52.8, OPPONENT 50.8.

•RANDY WITTMAN is 31-10 UNDER (+20.0 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON.
The average score was WITTMAN 96.1, OPPONENT 96.2.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) - revenging a road loss versus opponent against opponent off a close home win by 3 points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team after 42+ games.
(36-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 209.6
The average score in these games was: Team 104, Opponent 101.4 (Total points scored = 205.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 28 (54.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-7).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (61-46).
___________________________________________
 
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Guaranteed picks <br><br>    Wizards<br>    Thunder<br>    Red sox<br>    Padres<br>    Marlins<br>    Blue jays<br>    Pirates <br><br>
 

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Paul Leiner:2000* NBA Over 180.5 Pacers/Wizards
500* MLB Redsox -125
100* NBA Thunder +5
100* MLB Royals -130
50* MLB Over 8 Pirates/Brewers

 

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Tanaka mastered the Metamucils Wednesday night and in doing so stopped two losing streaks, the Yankees’ and Hondo’s, which caused the deficit to tumble to 840 splittorffs.

Thursday night: Mr. Aitch ventures to say Yordano has enough stuff to nip the Oriolas — 10 units on the Royals.
 
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THE REAL DEAL
Sports Picks

HUGE NBA WINNING ROUND ROBIN TODAY !!

NBA* INDIANA +4.5
NBA* INDIANA – OVER 180.5
NBA* OKC +5
NBA* OKC – OVER 211

MLB* MINNESOTA +110
MLB* BALTIMORE RL+1.5

 
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J.R Stevens SMOOTH44

Today’s Top Pick
(MLB) San Diego +115

*Listed Pitchers
*Overnight line, actual line may be different
 

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY


  • Play Oklahoma City +4.5 over Los Angeles (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
    10:30 PM EST

Oklahoma City has won 47 of the last 63 games vs. Pacific Division Opponents and they have won 34 of the last 44 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.Oklahoma City has won 81 of the last 135 road games and they are averaging 197 points over the last five games



  • Play Indiana +4.5 over Washington (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

 
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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

2* #960: Twins: +110
Listed Pitchers: Buchholtz / Hughes


2.5* #953/954: Under Brewers: 8.0 -110
Listed Pitchers: Rodriguez / Gallardo
 

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  • BeatYourBookie

    THURSDAY

    MLB BASEBALL


    10* Play Minnesota +110 over Boston (MLB TOP PLAY)

    Boston is 9-16 vs. right-handed starting pitchers this season
    Boston is 9-16 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
    Boston is 5-8 in day games this season


    10* Play Baltimore +120 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)

    Baltimore is 77-66 when playing as a road underdog of +100 or higher
    Baltimore is 67-53 when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season
    Baltimore is 18-7 when playing on a Thursday the last two seasons

    =============================================

    5* Play Cleveland +110 over Toronto (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
    5* Play Miami +135 over San Francisco (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
 

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BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play Indiana +4.5 over Washington (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Oklahoma City +4.5 over LA Clippers (NBA TOP PLAY)
 

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THURSDAY BASEBALL



  • Play Minnesota +110 over Boston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    1:10 PM EST

Phil Hughes has won 12 of the last 18 games when pitching on a Thursday and he has won 22 of the last 29 games after walking one batter or less over the last two starts. Phil Hughes has won 46 of the last 72 home games and he is 3-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.33.



  • Play Baltimore +120 over Kansas City----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    8:10 PM EST

Wei-Yin Chen has won 20 of the last 31 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has won 31 of the last 46 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Wei-Yin Chen has won 18 of the last 30 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season and he has won 9 of the last 14 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents.
 

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