Service Plays Thursday 5/13/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (-1, 196)

In the course of a week, LeBron James has gone from Most Valuable Player to Most Villified Person in the city of Cleveland.

Following his sub-par performance in Tuesday's Game 5, which Boston won 120-88 to take a 3-2 series lead, James is feeling the scorn of a city that previously worshipped the ground he dribbled on.

James' 3-for-14 shooting effort was one thing; his perceived lack of effort is what angered Cavs' fans. His cavalier attitude after the embarrassing loss didn't help matters.

"The fact that I spoil a lot of people with my play, when you have a bad game here or there - you have three bad games in a seven-year career - it's easy to point that out," James said.

"I put a lot of pressure on myself to try to be great, to try to be the best player on the court. And when I'm not, I feel bad for myself because I'm not going out there and doing the things that I know I can do. I'm not going to hang my head low or make excuses about anything that may be going on. That's just not the type of player and the type of person that I am."

The team is falling apart at the seams as James tried to deflect the blame. There was plenty to go around in the loss, but the Cavs live or die by James' play and his lack of effort showed throughout the lineup Tuesday night.

Barring a bounceback of epic proportions, tonight's Game 6 in Boston not only will be James and the Cavs last game of the season; it also may be LeBron's final game in a Cleveland jersey.

Pick: Celtics

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the day: Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (-1, 196)

Numbers game

Boston is a 1-point favorite with the total set at 196. Boston was favored in its first home game in Game 3 but rolled into the underdog in Game 4. Thursday’s total is the highest seen so far in this series.

Celtics edge

With the upset win in Cleveland, Boston put itself in the driver’s seat. Of the Game 5 winners in the history of the playoffs that took a 3-2 advantage, 83 percent of those teams have gone on to win the series.

The Celtics have done their part in keeping up with this. Boston is 31-1 in playoff series when leading three games to two and on the other side, since the franchise's inception, the Cavaliers have been on the short end of a 3-2 lead in a playoff series four times and all four series ended with the Cavaliers being ousted.

The problem for Boston is that the one series loss took place last season. The Celtics were in a similar situation as they were up 3-2 against Orlando and they had the luxury of knowing a potential Game 7 would be at home. They lost Game 6 in Orlando and then were walloped in Game 7 by 19 points.

Last game at the Q?

In one of the biggest games of the season, LeBron James put up arguably one of his smallest efforts. If the Cavaliers cannot win on the road and extend the series one more game, did LeBron play his last ever home game in Cleveland?

Champions step up when needed and James did not do that when his team needed him the most. He did not score a field goal until midway through the third quarter and looked very disinterested at times. James did nothing on defense and he has forced his team to win again on the road to avoid their season ending sooner than expected.

“I spoil a lot of people with my play,” James said after the game. “When you have a bad game here or there, you've had three bad games in a seven-year career, then it's easy to point that out.”

James was referring to the countless boos he was hit with when the game ended and that could surely sway his decision of whether to stay or go come July 1.

We should expect to see a bounceback effort in Game 6 but we thought the same in Game 5 and that obviously did not happen.

Boston peaking

The Celtics ended the regular season on a 3-7 slide and momentum was clearly not in their corner. However, they have picked it up at the right time as they easily took care of Miami and they have had the upper hand against the Cavaliers.

It comes down to teamwork. Boston has been sharing the ball and making the extra pass when needed. If one player has a bad game, someone else steps up for the Celtics. That is not the case for Cleveland. James has had two bad games in a row but there is no one who is capable of making up for it.

“That’s the beauty of our team,’’ said Paul Pierce. “It makes us so dangerous. When you look at Cleveland, you know you’ve got to stop LeBron. With us, we’ve got four or five guys who can lead us in scoring. You never know where it’s going to come from and that’s what makes us so dangerous — different guys stepping up different nights.”

The Celtics are starting to once again look like the 2008 Championship team and that is bad news for the remaining teams still alive in the playoffs.

Cleveland head coach Mike Brown is unsure how to motivate his team and that is a pretty big problem at this stage of the season.

Home-court, shmome-court

The Cavaliers are coming off their worst ever home playoff loss and it came at the worst time. Cleveland suffered its first home Game 5 loss in franchise history when a series is tied 2-2. Prior to that, the team had been 3-0 in that situation.

That 32-point loss followed an 18-point home loss and putting that into perspective, those losses by a combined 50 points were more than double the total that they were outscored by in the six regular season losses combined (23). Obviously, the Celtics have figured it out.

The Cavaliers went into Boston following that 18-point setback and won by 29 points. The road team has now lost three of the last four games in this series and all three by double-digits so the home floor, usually coveted by most teams this time of year, has not proven to be a factor.

If the Cavaliers continue the road-team dominance, don’t be surprised.

Trends

- Boston is 3-11 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season.

- Cleveland is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following a loss.

- Cleveland is 14-4 to the ‘OVER’ in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last three seasons.

- Boston is 17-4 to the ‘UNDER’ after a win by 30 or more since 1996.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies (-210, 9.5)

Much like the 1951 New York Giants, the Phillies have been accused of cheating.

Stealing signs is not against the rules of baseball, but it’s definitely not considered kosher.

Colorado contends that Phillies’ bullpen coach Mick Billmeyer was using binoculars from his outfield position to peak at the signs of the Rockies catcher.

"As far I am concerned, it is out of line," Colorado manager Jim Tracy said. "It's one thing to play a club as hard as you can possibly play it. But, if you are cheating and you get caught, then you better do something do about it.”

"Absolutely not. Absolutely (expletive) not," Phillies manager Charlie Manuel said in response to the accusation.

Now that the Rocks don’t have a team knowing what pitch they will throw next, Colorado should be able to get a win. Plus, they will send rookie Jhoulys Chacin to the mound and he's been lights out since being called up from the minors.

Pick: Rockies


New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers (+105, 8)

The second game of this series was postponed because of rain so the Yankees and Tigers played a doubleheader Wednesday. Both of those games played under the posted total.

These two teams will turn around and play a matinee game Thursday, less than 15 hours after the conclusion of Game 2 last night.

With bullpens taxed, the starters will be asked to go deep in this one and C.C. Sabathia and Justin Verlander are aces capable of doing so. This total has already been hit by sharps bettors that grabbed it at 8.5.

On a getaway day the umpires, and tired players, will be ready to get this one over with. Look for a quick, low-scoring affair in the series finale.

Pick: Under

 

[PokherPlayher]

Marc Lawrence 5* Playoff Game of the Year

Cleveland Cavs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Morrison 5/13 system

SF GIANTS (Game C)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

papayagang

MLB:

25* for S.F. Giants ML


20*s
St. Louis Cardinals ML
Seattle Mariners ML

NBA:

20* Cleveland Cavaliers + 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

papayagang

MLB:

25* for S.F. Giants ML


20*s
St. Louis Cardinals ML
Seattle Mariners ML

NBA:

20* Cleveland Cavaliers + 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker's Bet of the Day:

Back Grasshopper Zurich at 2.1 to beat Aarau

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Penguins last night.

Today it's the Cavaliers. The deficit is 830 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo failed to get by with a little help from his friends yesterday, losing with the Bruins and Brew ers to dwarf his Blue Jay win and raise the debt to 280 cuellars.

Today, Mr. Aitch hopes to wake up and fly right with the Birds in Baltimore -- 10 units on Millwood.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 858-371 (.698)
ATS: 657-609 (.519)
ATS Vary Units: 1562-1463 (.516)
Over/Under: 630-644 (.495)
Over/Under Vary Units: 819-844 (.492)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 6, best-of-7 series
BOSTON 99, Cleveland 95

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, MAY 13

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Cleveland (6-4, 4-6 ATS) at Boston (7-3 SU and ATS)

The fourth-seeded Celtics will look to finish off the upset of LeBron James and the top-seeded Cavaliers in Game 6 of this best-of-7 conference semifinal series at TD Garden. Boston manhandled Cleveland on Tuesday night in Game 5, steamrolling to a 120-88 victory as a 7½-point road underdog to move within one game of advancing to the conference finals for the second time in three years. Ray Allen had a game-high 25 points, hitting 6 of 9 from three-point range, Paul Pierce (21 points, 11 rebounds, seven assists) had his best game of the series, and Kevin Garnett chipped in 18 points. The Celts shot a stout 55 percent (44 of 80), making 8 of 15 from beyond the arc (53.3 percent) after going 1-for-14 in a Game 5 win at home. Cleveland looked nothing like the team that earned the overall No. 1 seed for the playoffs, with James alarmingly ineffective in scoring just 15 points on 3-for-14 shooting and a 9-for-12 effort at the free-throw line. Aging Shaquille O’Neal had 21 points to lead the Cavs, who put just three players in double figures, compared with six for Boston. Cleveland shot 41.8 percent (28 of 68), going 5 of 15 from long distance (33.3 percent), and the Cavs got beat on the boards 41-31. They’ve been outrebounded by a combined 131-96 in their three losses in this series. The Cavs and Celts split Games 3 and 4 in Boston, with Cleveland rolling 124-95 as a one-point pup last Friday and Boston responding with a 97-87 win Sunday as a 1½-point ‘dog.
Boston now holds a 5-4 SU and ATS edge against Cleveland this season, and the SU winner has covered in all nine games. In fact, the SU winner has cashed in 12 straight overall in this rivalry. The underdog is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four in this series and 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six clashes overall. Also, despite dropping the last two games SU and ATS, Cleveland remains on ATS runs against the C’s of 20-10-2 overall, 8-4 in postseason play and 8-4 at the Garden. Boston is 28-18 SU but just 16-29-1 ATS in Beantown, where it averages 99.8 ppg (48.6 percent shooting) and gives up 96.2 (45.8 percent). In the playoffs, the Celtics are 4-1 SU and ATS at home. Cleveland is 28-17 SU (24-20-1 ATS) on the road this year (2-2 SU and ATS in the playoffs), averaging 101.7 ppg on 47.6 percent shooting while allowing 97.0 ppg (44.5 percent). Along with their 7-3 ATS mark in the postseason, the Celtics are on pointspread upswings of 4-0 after a day off, 4-1 at home, 5-2 as a playoff chalk and 17-8 when laying less than five points. Still, Doc Rivers’ troops shoulder negative ATS streaks of 7-15 in second-round play, 3-9 after a SU win, 3-8 after a spread-cover and 11-25 as a home favorite. The Cavaliers are on a handful of spread-covering slides, including 6-14 overall, 0-6 after a day off, 2-9 against winning teams and 4-10 after a SU defeat. On the flip side, they also carry positive pointspread streaks of 24-7 after a SU setback of more than 10 points, 4-1 after a double-digit home loss, 10-3-1 in second-round play and 8-3-1 as a road pup. Boston is on “over” sprees of 13-6 overall (6-2 last eight), 7-3 inside the Garden, 9-3 against the Central Division and 6-0 after either a SU or an ATS win. Likewise, Cleveland is on “over” surges of 5-0 after a non-cover, 6-2 in roadies, 13-3 against the Atlantic Division and 4-1 as a playoff pup, though the Cavs also sport “under” stretches of 9-2 as a pup, 7-1 when getting less than five points on the road and 19-8 in second-round games. Finally, Tuesday’s tilt soared over the 193½-point total, giving the over a 7-2 mark in this season’s nine meetings (3-2 in the playoffs). Furthermore, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston, with only Sunday’s Game 4 contest falling short of the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

San Diego (21-12) at San Francisco (18-14)

The Padres go for their second three-game sweep of the Giants this season when they send young right-hander Mat Latos (2-3, 4.19 ERA) to the AT&T Park mound, while the hosts counter with southpaw Jonathan Sanchez (2-2, 3.00 ERA) San Diego followed up Tuesday’s 3-2 victory with a 5-2 triumph on Wednesday. The Padres have climbed to the top of the division standings thanks to an 18-6 overall run, going 8-3 on the highway during this stretch (6-1 last seven on the road). On top of that, Bud Black’s team is on positive runs of 9-3 against N.L. West foes, 22-8 against winning teams and 6-0 against left-handed starters. On the downside, San Diego has dropped nine of 13 on Thursday and four straight when playing the third game of a series. San Francisco has lost four of five overall, but despite losing the last two nights, the Giants are 14-7 in their last 21 at AT&T Park (10-7 this year). However, Bruce Bochy’s bunch have now dropped seven of nine divisional contests, going 0-5 against the Padres this season. San Diego has held the Giants to a total of six runs in five meetings this season. Also, the Padres have won eight of the last 10 matchups dating to last September, going 5-1 in San Francisco. Still, the home team remains on a 16-7 roll in this rivalry. Latos is coming off his best performance of his brief career, allowing just two hits over eight innings in Friday’s 7-0 victory at Houston. The 22-year-old Virginia native didn’t walk a batter and had a career-best nine strikeouts. Since getting destroyed in a 10-1 loss at Florida (seven runs allowed in 2 2/3 innings), Latos has surrendered just two runs and eight hits in 14 innings against the Brewers (2-1 home loss) and Astros. In addition to his outstanding performance at Houston and a horrible outing at Florida, Latos’ only other road start this season came in Colorado in his season debut, and he gave up four runs in six innings, getting a no-decision in San Diego’s 5-4 win. Also, in his only career start at San Francisco, Latos outpitched Sanchez in a 1-0 home win on April 20, scattering four hits and a walk in seven shutout innings. Sanchez gave up a season-high four runs on seven hits in seven innings at the Mets on Friday, failing to get a decision in the Giants’ 6-4 home loss. It was the first time in eight starts dating to last year that Sanchez surrendered more than three runs in a game. In his first five outings in 2010, the lefty surrendered just eight runs in 29 innings (2.48 ERA), going 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA four home starts. San Francisco is 4-1 in his last five at home. Sanchez suffered the tough-luck 1-0 loss in San Diego on April 20 despite surrendering just the one run on one hit with three walks and 10 strikeouts in seven innings. On July 10 last year, Sanchez threw a no-hitter against the Padres in an 8-0 home victory. He’s 2-3 with a 2.56 ERA in 14 career games (seven starts) against San Diego, including 1-2 with a 1.65 ERA in his last four starts versus the Padres. The Padres are on “under” streaks of 5-0 overall, 20-7-1 on the road, 19-7-1 versus the N.L. West, 13-4 against winning teams, 25-11-2 as an underdog, 17-5-1 as a road pup and 3-1 in Latos’ last four starts. However, 17 of San Diego’s last 22 Thursday contests have hurdled the total. San Francisco topped the total in four of its last six games overall, but otherwise the Giants carry “under” trends of 11-1 at home, 9-0 in divisional games, 9-3 as a favorite, 5-0 as a home chalk, 30-13-2 in the third game of a series, 4-1 in Sanchez’s last five starts overall and 3-0 in his last three home efforts. Finally, in this rivalry, the under has cashed in seven straight clashes overall and 11 of 15 in San Francisco.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jr. O'Donnell (RedZone Sports) free internet play:

Baltimore O's + 115 get our call as a nice early J Bomb winner.
King Felix does not have it lately boys as he has been shelled the last 2 outings and there is trouble brewing with him right now, this is a huge gut play for us as we feel that the O's are in a nice spot early Thursday. The O's will run out Kevin Millwood a retread from almost every ball club. He has been getting no run support from the O's and today we have some real Value in the O's. Baltimore O's will get our call early as the snake bitten Millwood takes out the Seattle M's real early today!
KABOOOOOOOOOOM GO THE O'S BOYS !

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux Sports

Today's Free Pick is Cleveland +1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trace Adams 05-13

1000* NYM
500* Cavs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Numero uno soccer capper

Zurich - Sion 1 @2,35
Aarau - Grasshoppers 2 @2,1
Hammarby - Osters X2 @2,4
Medjimurje - Sibenik 2 @2,35

10 units flat stake

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel

Today's NBA Picks

Cleveland at Boston

The Celtics look to close out the series and take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Boston is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 13
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 741-742: Cleveland at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 118.311; Boston 129.512
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 11; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 1; 196
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-1); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Texas

The A's look to bounce back from yesterday's 10-1 drubbing and build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Oakland is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+155). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MAY 13
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Houston at St. Louis (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 13.808; St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.105
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-270); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-270); Over

Game 903-904: San Diego at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 15.961; San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.997
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Under

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 15.167; Florida (Johnson) 15.947
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-130); Under

Game 907-908: Washington at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 16.530; Colorado (Chacin) 15.513
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+180); Over

Game 909-910: Seattle at Baltimore (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.191; Baltimore (Millwood) 14.531
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Under

Game 911-912: NY Yankee at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.843; Detroit (Verlander) 16.203
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under

Game 913-914: Oakland at Texas (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Sheets) 16.597; Texas (Wilson) 16.229
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+155); Over

Game 915-916: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 15.556; Kansas City (Greinke) 14.814
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+170); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

AH
Hol: Excelior -0,5@ 2,14 188Bet ok down 1,97

AND

Hol: Excelior-Sparta: Over 2,75@ 1,88 Pinnacle ok down 1,73