Prediction machine
2 Normal plays today
Phx+1
Phx over 202
9-11 playoffs
Key
65%+ 3X Normal Play
62% - 65% 2X Normal Play
57% - 62% Normal Play
53% - 57% Weak Play (but playable)
< 53% No Pick
Against the Spread Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
West Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers 1.5 6.9 60.6% Calc -->
West Dallas Mavericks San Antonio Spurs 3.5 (2.3) 50.7% Calc -->
Straight-Up Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Favorite Underdog Points For Points Against Win% SU
West Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers 105.2 98.3 59.9%
West San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks 98.3 96.1 54.6%
Over/Under Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Better Seed Worse Seed Line Total Points Pick Pick%
West Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers 194.5 203.6 OVER 59.4% Calc -->
West Dallas Mavericks San Antonio Spurs 191.0 194.4 OVER 56.1% Calc -->
2 Normal plays today
Phx+1
Phx over 202
9-11 playoffs
Key
65%+ 3X Normal Play
62% - 65% 2X Normal Play
57% - 62% Normal Play
53% - 57% Weak Play (but playable)
< 53% No Pick
Against the Spread Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
West Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers 1.5 6.9 60.6% Calc -->
West Dallas Mavericks San Antonio Spurs 3.5 (2.3) 50.7% Calc -->
Straight-Up Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Favorite Underdog Points For Points Against Win% SU
West Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers 105.2 98.3 59.9%
West San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks 98.3 96.1 54.6%
Over/Under Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Better Seed Worse Seed Line Total Points Pick Pick%
West Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers 194.5 203.6 OVER 59.4% Calc -->
West Dallas Mavericks San Antonio Spurs 191.0 194.4 OVER 56.1% Calc -->
547 DAL / 548 SAN Over 190.5 Bodog
Analysis: �
*** NBA PLAYOFFS 3* BOOKIE BET *** (Confirmed "BIG SLICK BET" by Bookie Bill)
OVER 190.5 DAL/SAS....(3*)
It's a good thing that I agree with this pick completely...because I would not want to be going against the Slick that's been nailing all these NBA Playoff Games through Bookie Bill...Tonight's 3* Bookie Bet comes from the same Slick that gave us another winner just last night...And with this bet, we aim for our 5th straight "BIG SLICK BET" winner...
Bottom Line...I have to say that according to my own "True Line"...this would be a position that I would have tried to "confirm"...Because after seeing this series produce 4 straight Unders...we are now looking at a Total that's about 4 pts lower than what it was for Games 1, 2, 3, & 4...And it wasn't until last game that the oddsmakers decided to adjust...
And after that one went Under...I now think it's time we look to cash in on the Value, as I expect to see this game get Over the Total for Game 6...
Let's go ahead and see if we can cash our 5th straight 3* Bookie Bet...and another NBA Playoff BOMB...VR
Analysis: �
*** NBA PLAYOFFS 3* BOOKIE BET *** (Confirmed "BIG SLICK BET" by Bookie Bill)
OVER 190.5 DAL/SAS....(3*)
It's a good thing that I agree with this pick completely...because I would not want to be going against the Slick that's been nailing all these NBA Playoff Games through Bookie Bill...Tonight's 3* Bookie Bet comes from the same Slick that gave us another winner just last night...And with this bet, we aim for our 5th straight "BIG SLICK BET" winner...
Bottom Line...I have to say that according to my own "True Line"...this would be a position that I would have tried to "confirm"...Because after seeing this series produce 4 straight Unders...we are now looking at a Total that's about 4 pts lower than what it was for Games 1, 2, 3, & 4...And it wasn't until last game that the oddsmakers decided to adjust...
And after that one went Under...I now think it's time we look to cash in on the Value, as I expect to see this game get Over the Total for Game 6...
Let's go ahead and see if we can cash our 5th straight 3* Bookie Bet...and another NBA Playoff BOMB...VR
WARNING. BEWARE OF POSTER NAMED: Nails
He has admitted affiliation with Pregame and has in FACT released bogus plays in the past. He never has the exact number or side. Just the play, sometimes correct sometimes not. He is brand-new there, yet has received no infractions for posting incorrect plays or for extoring points. I pointed this out to the moderator Willie Bee and was swiftly banned.
PLEASE USE CAUTION AND GOOD LUCK WHATEVER YOU CHOOSE.
Tony George
Phoenix +1
Time to start betting the best team, especially in a pick em ballgame. Even though Roy had a great game his first game back to inspire his team, that has worn off. I like the frontcourt of the Suns to take over and the backcourt with Richardason to have a big night. No replacing the experience of Steve Nash as court general on the point in a situation like this and that will be a key factor tonight, as I expect him to step up and lead his team in this game. Play 1 Unit on the Suns.
Phoenix +1
Time to start betting the best team, especially in a pick em ballgame. Even though Roy had a great game his first game back to inspire his team, that has worn off. I like the frontcourt of the Suns to take over and the backcourt with Richardason to have a big night. No replacing the experience of Steve Nash as court general on the point in a situation like this and that will be a key factor tonight, as I expect him to step up and lead his team in this game. Play 1 Unit on the Suns.
Mike Lineback
Dallas / San Antonio Under 191
Dallas finally stepped up their urgency, and more importantly, their defensive play in G#5, to move the series back to San Antonio. Doubt very much, Popovich & Spurs, will allow Dallas to control tempo in this game. In fact, this should be the most physical, high intensity defense game played to date. Teams' are Under this total in all but G#1, and only 181 and 184 total points scored in AT&T Center. Wouldn't be surprised if both teams' fail to score 90 tonight. Take the Under.
Dallas / San Antonio Under 191
Dallas finally stepped up their urgency, and more importantly, their defensive play in G#5, to move the series back to San Antonio. Doubt very much, Popovich & Spurs, will allow Dallas to control tempo in this game. In fact, this should be the most physical, high intensity defense game played to date. Teams' are Under this total in all but G#1, and only 181 and 184 total points scored in AT&T Center. Wouldn't be surprised if both teams' fail to score 90 tonight. Take the Under.
Evan Altemus
4 Units Dallas / San Antonio Under 191.5
This total is simply too high for this series. Five of the last six games between these two teams have gone under the total, with the only game that didn’t being a push. This game sets up even better for the under because of Dallas’ offensive performance in their last game. The Spurs have done a good job and limiting the Mavericks offense in this series but didn’t bring a good defensive effort last game. As a result, Dallas was able to score over 100 points for the first time in this series. Because of that, I expect the Spurs to really focus on shutting down the Mavericks offense again. They know that they cannot get in an offensive shootout with Dallas and expect to win. In addition, Tim Duncan has been struggling on the offensive end. The Mavericks will also play tough defense because it’s an elimination game. Look for scoring to be at a premium in this game, as both teams will finish with right around 90 points
4 Units Dallas / San Antonio Under 191.5
This total is simply too high for this series. Five of the last six games between these two teams have gone under the total, with the only game that didn’t being a push. This game sets up even better for the under because of Dallas’ offensive performance in their last game. The Spurs have done a good job and limiting the Mavericks offense in this series but didn’t bring a good defensive effort last game. As a result, Dallas was able to score over 100 points for the first time in this series. Because of that, I expect the Spurs to really focus on shutting down the Mavericks offense again. They know that they cannot get in an offensive shootout with Dallas and expect to win. In addition, Tim Duncan has been struggling on the offensive end. The Mavericks will also play tough defense because it’s an elimination game. Look for scoring to be at a premium in this game, as both teams will finish with right around 90 points
