Service Plays Thursday 11/05/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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NCAAF DUNKEL INDEX

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5

Game 303-304: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 63.626 Northern Illinois 83.274
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois 19 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 21; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+21); Under

Game 305-306: Miami (OH) at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 65.207; Temple 89.474
Dunkel Line: Temple by 24 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Temple by 17 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-17 1/2); Over

Game 307-308: Virginia Tech at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 96.174; East Carolina 87.603
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 13; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+13); Over
 
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NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 10

Thursday, November 5

E MICHIGAN (0 - 8) at N ILLINOIS (5 - 3) - 11/5/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (1 - 8) at TEMPLE (6 - 2) - 11/5/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 3) at E CAROLINA (5 - 3) - 11/5/2009, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAF SHORT SHEET

Week 10

Thursday, 11/5/2009

E MICHIGAN at N ILLINOIS, 7:30 PM ET ESPNU
E MICHIGAN: 2-9 ATS on turf
N ILLINOIS: 10-2 Under in home games

MIAMI OHIO at TEMPLE, 7:30 PM ET
MIAMI OHIO: 1-5 ATS in November
TEMPLE: 6-1 ATS this season

VIRGINIA TECH at E CAROLINA, 7:45 PM ET ESPN
VIRGINIA TECH: 7-0 Under on Thursday
E CAROLINA: 2-8 ATS off BB SU wins
 
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NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 10

Trend Report

Thursday, November 5

7:30 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. EAST CAROLINA
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
Virginia Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
East Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
East Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. TEMPLE
Miami (Ohio) is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
Miami (Ohio) is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Temple is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Eastern Michigan is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Northern Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Northern Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
 
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What bettors need to know

Thursday, November 5

Virginia Tech Hokies at East Carolina Pirates (+13, 51.5)

Line movement

The line has moved anywhere from a half point to two full points depending on the book. Early shoppers could have gotten Virginia Tech as -11.5 at a few shops but that number lasted only a few hours.

Weather

It will be a cool night with the temperatures lingering in the high 40s but no chance of rain with light winds from the northwest.

Letdown or revenge?

Three weeks ago, Virginia Tech was No. 4 in the nation and was a contender BCS Championship Game. But two straight losses have quelled that talk and now the Hokies are just trying to stop the bleeding.

Going out of conference in the middle of the season after suffering back-to-back conference losses is a recipe for disaster, but Virginia Tech might not be a bad play here. The Hokies want to get some payback after suffering a loss to the Pirates in Charlotte last season.

Under head coach Frank Beamer, Virginia Tech is 14-2 ATS when coming off a loss and playing against an opponent it lost to in the previous matchup.

BCS vs. the other guys

This is the first time the Hokies have played a true road game against a non-BCS opponent since 2002 when they, then in the Big East, played at Western Michigan. That’s a span of 33 straight road games against BCS opponents.

East Carolina stands seventh nationally among all non-BCS programs with six victories against automatic-qualifying BCS members since 2003. The Pirates have already lost the two games against BCS opponents this season, West Virginia and North Carolina, but both of those games came on the road.

The Pirates have won three of their last four games against ranked opponents. Three of their last four home games against ACC members, so playing and winning against BCS teams is certainly no problem for East Carolina.

Third time’s a charm

East Carolina has limited its last three opponents to a combined 13-for-39 conversion success rate on third down. In third-down conversion attempts of more than two yards, the Pirates have held all eight of their opponents to a combined success rate of 28.1 percent (25-89).

This could be an issue for the Hokies who are 65th in the nation in third down conversions, going 41-105 on the season (39.1 percent). During the last two losses, Virginia Tech is just 8-23 on third down conversions (34.8 percent).

Bottom line

The Pirates have been good in these spots holing a 4-0 ATS mark in their last four home games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points. They are also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog overall.

Virginia Tech is 7-0 to the under when playing on a Thursday over the last three years, averaging just 32.8 points per game in those contests. The under is also 6-0 under the Beamer-led Hokies when coming off a loss by three points or fewer.
 
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NBA LONG SHEET

Thursday, November 5

CHICAGO (2 - 2) at CLEVELAND (3 - 2) - 11/5/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 75-106 ATS (-41.6 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (2 - 1) at UTAH (1 - 3) - 11/5/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NHL LONG SHEET

Thursday, November 5

MONTREAL (7-8-0-0, 14 pts.) at BOSTON (6-7-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 48-53 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 12-23 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 34-17 ATS (+16.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-7 ATS (+14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-5 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-13 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 13-12-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
14 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.1 Units)

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COLUMBUS (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) at ATLANTA (6-4-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 14-6 ATS (+20.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 27-26 ATS (+62.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 2-0-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (5-4-0-4, 14 pts.) at OTTAWA (6-4-0-2, 14 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 29-64 ATS (+108.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 58-125 ATS (+227.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 21-60 ATS (+94.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 15-32 ATS (+48.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 85-95 ATS (+184.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 19-28 ATS (-27.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 38-38 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
OTTAWA is 20-26 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 10-18 ATS (-18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-4 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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SAN JOSE (10-4-0-1, 21 pts.) at DETROIT (6-4-0-3, 15 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 33-7 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 132-108 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.4 Units)

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CALGARY (7-4-0-1, 15 pts.) at ST LOUIS (5-6-0-1, 11 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 0-5 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 0-5 ATS (-5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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VANCOUVER (9-7-0-0, 18 pts.) at MINNESOTA (5-9-0-0, 10 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 100-107 ATS (-46.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 17-4 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 76-58 ATS (+142.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 103-76 ATS (+183.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 9-5 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 9-6-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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CHICAGO (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) at PHOENIX (9-5-0-0, 18 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 237-208 ATS (+449.6 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 104-101 ATS (+249.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-1 (+6.7 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-1-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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NY RANGERS (9-6-0-1, 19 pts.) at EDMONTON (7-7-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 8-18 ATS (-14.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 4-15 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 122-109 ATS (+241.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-0 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-0-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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NASHVILLE (6-6-0-1, 13 pts.) at ANAHEIM (4-8-0-1, 9 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 126-107 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 12-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 10-13 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 5-3 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 5-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (12-3-0-0, 24 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (9-4-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/5/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 133-89 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 50-70 ATS (-53.6 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)
 

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Kyle Bales

15* Cleveland Cavaliers -11
10* East Carolina +12.5

Free: 1* Utah +2
 

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I know this is not for thursday, but al demarco has a 25 dimer, i wanted to know if anyone wanted to split it. It will cost us 20 dollars a piece. Its on the ohio st/ penn st game on saturday.
(He went 3-0 in his 25 dime plays last year)
 

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LuckyDaySports.com

Thursday's Comp Play

NCAA

Take Miami-Ohio (+17.5) in the Miami (Ohio) at Temple game
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Yankees (Game 6 and series) Wednesday night.

No play today. The surplus is 690 sirignanos.
 
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DCI
Mid-American Conference
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 37, Eastern Michigan 14
TEMPLE 34, Miami (Ohio) 9
FBS Non-Conference
Virginia Tech 25, EAST CAROLINA 19
 
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DCI
Season: 75-53 (.586)

BOSTON 3, Montreal 2
ATLANTA 4, Columbus 3
OTTAWA 4, Tampa Bay 2
San Jose vs. DETROIT: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Calgary vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. MINNESOTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Chicago vs. PHOENIX: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. Rangers vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Nashville vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Pittsburgh vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 
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DUNKEL NHL

Calgary at St. Louis

The Flames look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is coming off a 4-0 loss to Florida and is 3-7 in its last 10 games after scoring 2 or fewer goals in the previous game. Calgary is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Flames favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Montreal at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.842; Boston 11.132
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+150); Under

Game 53-54: Columbus at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.140; Atlanta 11.655
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+120); Under

Game 55-56: Tampa Bay at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.096; Ottawa 10.411
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+150); Under

Game 57-58: San Jose at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.846; Detroit 12.273
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+125); Under

Game 59-60: Calgary at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.537; St. Louis 11.131
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+115); Over

Game 61-62: Vancouver at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.223; Minnesota 12.393
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Over

Game 63-64: Chicago at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.182; Phoenix 12.150
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+115); Over

Game 65-66: NY Rangers at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.634; Edmonton 11.849
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+120); Over

Game 67-68: Nashville at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.510; Anaheim 10.626
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-155); Over

Game 69-70: Pittsburgh at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.666; Los Angeles 12.270
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over
 
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DUNKEL NBA

San Antonio at Utah

The Jazz look to take advantage of a San Antonio team that is coming off a 113-94 win over Sacramento, but is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. Utah is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Chicago at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.834; Cleveland 125.154
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 189 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+11); Over

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 118.504; Utah 118.237
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 198 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2); Under
 

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