Service Plays Thursday 10/30/14

[pascal5757]

Winning Angle Football



THURSDAY

Play Louisville +3.5 over Florida State (NCAA) ---GO BIG HERE
7:30 PM EST

Louisville has won 10 of the last 11 games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 points and they have won 16 of the last 18 home games. Louisville has won 3 consecutive games when playing on a Thursday and they have won 6 of the last 7 games coming off a bye week.


Play Georgia Southern -25.5 over Troy (NCAA)
7:30 PM EST

Troy has lost 15 of the last 18 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 11 of the last 13 games when the total posted is greater than 63 points. Troy has lost 4 consecutive games when playing on a Thursday and they are allowing an average of 40 points on defense in road games this season.


Play Carolina +2.5 over New Orleans (NFL)
8:30 PM EST

Carolina has covered the spread in three of the last four games and they have won 14 of the last 18 games when playing in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season. Carolina has won and covered the spread in 9 of the last 13 games vs. division opponents and they have won and covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games when the total posted is greater than 45.5 points.

 

[pascal5757]

Winning Angle

THURSDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

Play Minnesota -4 over Detroit (NBA TOP PLAY)

Detroit has lost 17 of the last 20 games vs. Northwest Division Opponents and they have lost 30 of the last 43 games when the total posted is between 200 and 209.5 points. Detroit has lost 59 of the last 82 road games and they have lost 47 of the last 60 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.


Play Washington -4 over Orlando (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Dallas -10 over Utah (NBA BONUS PLAY)



=======================================================


NHL HOCKEY

Play Arizona +120 over Florida (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Anaheim +120 over St. Louis (NHL TOP PLAY)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

River City Sharps

The New Orleans Saints appeared to get right last week as they thrashed the visiting Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. The road has not been nearly as kind for these Saints and they find themselves packing their suitcases tonight as they travel to Charlotte for a game with the Carolina Panthers. While we will readily admit that Carolina has been disappointing this season, this would seem to be a pretty good spot for Cam Newton and his Panthers. The Saints are 0-4 on the road this season, lost seven straight regular-season road games and frankly, haven’t looked good in those games. The trends are really against the Saints here as they are 0-7 ATS as a road favorite over the last two seasons and Carolina has feasted on weak defensive teams. The Panthers are 13-4 ATS against bad defensive teams (teams that allow 6 yards per play or more) in their last 17 tries. The Carolina defense, which has been the foundation of their success, has been terrible this season, although they did see some significant improvement last week in their heartbreaking loss to Seattle. Their offense seems to be getting healthy again as DeAngelo Williams comes back tonight and Newton seems to be building a better rapport with rookie WR Kelvin Benjamin. Newton has enjoyed some pretty good success against these Saints and actually has six rushing touchdowns against the Saints in six career games. The Saints have allowed almost 32 ppg on the road this season and we would take a look at the Over (although we aren’t playing it), but we think the Panthers play well under the lights. We are giving this one out at Panthers +3, but we HIGHLY SUGGEST you buy the hook if you have the ability. This feels like a close game, kind of a shootout, and possibly a game where the last team with the ball wins. We like the points with the home team, backs to the wall, against a team that has clear issues on the road. The Sharps say…

2 UNITS – CAROLINA PANTHERS (+3)

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY FOOTBALL
5000* Play Georgia Southern -25.5 over Troy (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Georgia Southern has covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games and they have covered the spread in 6 consecutive games when playing with six days or less of rest. Georgia Southern has covered the spread in 4 consecutive games after scoring 37 points or more in their last game and they are averaging 54 points on offense in home games this season.

===========================================


50* Play Carolina +2.5 over New Orleans (BONUS NFL PLAY)
50* Play Louisville +4 over Florida State (BONUS NCAA PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

10* Play Carolina +2.5 over New Orleans (Top NFL Play)

New Orleans is 2-8 ATS when playing as a road favorite
New Orleans is 1-7 ATS when playing on a Thursday


10* Play Georgia Southern -25.5 over Troy (Top NCAA Play)

Georgia Southern is 6-0 ATS when playing with six or less days of rest
Georgia Southern is 4-0 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in their last game


10* Play Louisville +4 over Florida State (Top NCAA Play)

Louisville is 16-2 SU in home games the last three seasons
Louisville is 3-0 SU when playing on a Thursday Night

 

[pascal5757]

One play for tonight, and unfortunately it isn't in the game that everyone will be watching (Florida State vs Louisville) but hopefully we can get a winner in the other game on tonight. I wouldn't be surprised to see Louisville upset or at least cover vs FSU tonight - should be a great game.
2 UNIT = Troy @ Georgia Southern - [303] OVER 63 POINTS (-103)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.94 units)
Cheers,
Kevin

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP FOOTBALL PLAY

• Play Carolina +2.5 New Orleans----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL

8:30 PM EST

New Orleans has lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread when playing as a road favorite and they have lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread when playing on a Thursday. New Orleans has lost 9 of the last 11 games against the spread after gaining an average of 6.5 or more yards a play and they are allowing an average of 31 points on defense in road games this season.

==================================================

BONUS FOOTBALL PLAYS

• Play Georgia Southern -25.5 over Troy----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
• Play Louisville +3.5 over Florida State---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Primetime Insiders

NHL

3 Pucks

Chicago and Ottawa Under 5

Anaheim +105

Montreal and Vancouver Over 5

2 Pucks

Ottawa +125

Minnesota -140

1 Puck

LA and Pittsburgh Over 5

New Jersey -150

San Jose and Minnesota Over 5

NFL

3* Play

Carolina +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin:

NHL
10 Senators +125
13 Ducks +100
19 Canadiens +120

NFL
Carolina +4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Hurley PAY After You Win
301 Saints

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EXECUTIVE

250% Florida State

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Money Makers

7u Florida St.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

James Jones

NFL-Carolina Panthers(+3)+100...(3*)
NCAAF-Over 50.5 Florida State University/Louisville University-108...(2*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Treys Picks

NFL New Orleans Saints ML -145

NHL Colorado -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Real Swoop

FSU/Louisville Under 51 (2*)
Utah Jazz +11 (2*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lt. Lock

Louisville

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Worlds Worst Picker

Magic
Jazz

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Goodfella

Thursday Night CFB (2*) Play

306 Louisville4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 305 Florida St.

Analysis:
2* on LOUISVILLE +4.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dwayne Bryant - BullsEye

#306 LOUISVILLE +4.5
2 Units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VegasButcher - Panthers +3

One big home win for the Saints and the bettors are once again backing this team. Currently, they’re getting close to 70% of bettors’ support. The problem is that the Saints are over-valued. Prior to the season starting, Carolina was listed as a -2.5 home favorite in this game. In addition, they opened at PK and no rose a full 3 points. Let’s not forget, this is a Thursday Night Football game, short week, and the Saints are on the road. This team is 1-3 ATS and 0-4 SU on the road this year, while the Panthers are 3-1 ATS at home. Saints have losses @ ATL, @ CLE, @ DAL, and @ DET this year. Three of the four were decided by a combined 6 points, but that’s the point here. With such a bad defense, teams tend to hang with New Orleans, especially at home. Typically on a Thursday Night Football I look to back the home team, who I feel has a strong advantage with not having to travel and a little more time to prepare. With this being a big divisional matchup, both teams knowing each other, and most importantly Carolina catching a full 3-points, this play is automatic from my perspective.

NBA

#1: Washington Wizards -4.5

The big factor here is the return of both Nene and DeJuan Blair. Without Frye and Oladipo, Orlando is very dependent on their inside game with Vucevic and Harris as their only dependent long-range weapon is Fournier. This plays into Washington’s hands, who are missing a number of key long-ranger shooters of their own. With Nene and Blair in the middle, along with Gortat, Gooden, and Humphries, Wizards have the bodies to bang in the post and cause issues for this horrible Orlando offense. Magic is coming off a game where they allowed 62 rebounds, 26 offensive boards, and 64 PIP (Points In the Paint). Washington should be able to dominate in a similar fashion today. I know Wiz are on a b2b on the road, but their game last night was at Miami so it’s not like they have to travel far here. Plus this early in the season, b2b’s aren’t as significant.

#2: Los Angeles Clippers -13

You have to tip your cap to Russell Westbrook, who was dynamite last night. He scored 38 points, dished out 6 assists, and went to the FT-line 16 times. Of course without much of a supporting cast, him and the rest of the Thunder ran out of gas in the 4th quarter, got outscored 31 to 12 and lost the game by 17 points. Now they’ll be playing on a b2b, both on the road, and facing a Clippers team that is a real title contender this season. Neither Reggie Jackson nor Jeremy Lamb will suit up for this one, and of course KD will be out as well. Remember the playoff series between these teams last year? The average margin of victory was +0.8 PPG in OKC’s favor. That’s how close all of those games were. Now the Thunder will be without key players in KD and Jackson, as well as Lamb who is expected to take a step forward this year. Clippers have added depth this offseason by bringing in Hawes and Farmar, to go with Crawford and Glen Davis off the bench, and they should have lineup advantages throughout today’s game. In addition, hard to see Westbrook having as good of a game as he had last night. He was facing Lillard, one of the worst defending PG’s in the league. Today he’ll be going up against Chris Paul, one of the better defenders. Tougher matchup, b2b on the road, and a depleted roster for the Thunder. Another DD win for their opponent tonight?