Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side M
triple-dime bet 308 Oregon St. 3.0 (-110) SportsInterAction vs 307 Utah
Analysis:
PLAY: OREGON STATE
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
I'm taking the points with Oregon State. Utah is off to a 4-1 start, are off a bye week, and look on their way to their first bowl invitation since 2011. But the wins now, don't look as impressive as they did when they happened. Beating Fresno State means nothing. Beating Michigan means much less than it did before the season began. Losing at home to Washington State still looks ugly and the 30-28 win over UCLA doesn't even hold as much merit as it did a couple of weeks ago. Now they travel to Corvallis, a tough place to play. Oregon State is also off a bye week and they too are 4-1. The Beavers' wins have come against lessor opposition, also, but the Utes should not be laying points at this venue. They will likely start Kendal Thompson at QB on Thursday night for the struggling Travis Wilson, but I don't care which QB gets the nod. The Utes will face the Pac-12's second stingiest defense and second best pass efficiency defense and I expect the advantage to be on the side of the home team. I also expect one of the better efforts of the season from the OSU offense with the extra time off to get everyone on the same page. After all, October football is what OSU and Mike Riley have been all about. HC Riley (1997-98 & 2003-present) has done a terrific job improving this program through the course of individual seasons and it has shown ATS. The Beavers are on a 43-16-1 ATS run in October action with most of those numbers coming under Riley. They're also on a 16-5 ATS run off a bye week and 27-14 ATS under Riley when the line is in the +3/-3 range. Meanwhile, the Utes have covered just 4 of their last 14 conference games. Utah is over-valued in my opinion and I'm grabbing the available points with Oregon State, my Thursday night Tapout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
triple-dime bet 308 Oregon St. 3.0 (-110) SportsInterAction vs 307 Utah
Analysis:
PLAY: OREGON STATE
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
I'm taking the points with Oregon State. Utah is off to a 4-1 start, are off a bye week, and look on their way to their first bowl invitation since 2011. But the wins now, don't look as impressive as they did when they happened. Beating Fresno State means nothing. Beating Michigan means much less than it did before the season began. Losing at home to Washington State still looks ugly and the 30-28 win over UCLA doesn't even hold as much merit as it did a couple of weeks ago. Now they travel to Corvallis, a tough place to play. Oregon State is also off a bye week and they too are 4-1. The Beavers' wins have come against lessor opposition, also, but the Utes should not be laying points at this venue. They will likely start Kendal Thompson at QB on Thursday night for the struggling Travis Wilson, but I don't care which QB gets the nod. The Utes will face the Pac-12's second stingiest defense and second best pass efficiency defense and I expect the advantage to be on the side of the home team. I also expect one of the better efforts of the season from the OSU offense with the extra time off to get everyone on the same page. After all, October football is what OSU and Mike Riley have been all about. HC Riley (1997-98 & 2003-present) has done a terrific job improving this program through the course of individual seasons and it has shown ATS. The Beavers are on a 43-16-1 ATS run in October action with most of those numbers coming under Riley. They're also on a 16-5 ATS run off a bye week and 27-14 ATS under Riley when the line is in the +3/-3 range. Meanwhile, the Utes have covered just 4 of their last 14 conference games. Utah is over-valued in my opinion and I'm grabbing the available points with Oregon State, my Thursday night Tapout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
