Service Plays Thursday 08/27/09

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Bob Valentino

Bob Valentino
THURSDAY'S 25 DIME NFL PRESEASON WINNER ... 25 DIME -- Dolphins-Bucs OVER the total


paid by me.
 
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Mike Neri

****DOUBLE PLAY*****
St Louis w/Carpenter -1.5 -120 2:15 EST
Risk 2 Units to make 1.66 Units

*****SINGLE PLAY*****
Seattle w/Fister -155 10:10 EST
Risk 1 Unit to make .64 Units

*****SINGLE PLAY*****
LA Angels w/Santana -192 10:25 EST
Risk 1 Unit to make .52 Units
 
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Randall the Handle

Los Angeles +1.28 over COLORADO (3:00 PM) PINNACLE

Huge value on the Dodgers here, as they’ve absolutely owned both Jorge De La Rosa and the Rockies. The Dodgers have beaten the Rocks 11 of 14 games and De La Rosa is 0-4 with a 7.99 ERA in five career starts against L.A., including 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA in two this season, both Rockies losses. Dodgers hitters are batting a career .379 against De La Rosa after getting a combined 42 hits against him in 117 AB’s. Kemp is 6 out of 13, Man-Ram is 3-8, Loney is 7-11 and Hudson is 3-7 with two walks. De La Rosa is hot with a 10-1 record over his last 11 starts to go along with a 3.55 ERA. However, the Dodgers will come in knowing they can hit him and he’ll come in knowing that too. Besides, this guy is a career stiff that’s having an incredible year. Guys like De La Rosa do not win 11 of 12 starts, guys like Steve Carlton and Bob Gibson do. De La Rosa has been hit hard in two of his four August starts and has also been tagged for six jacks in those four August starts. Vincente Padilla makes his Dodger debut and any pitcher going from the AL to the NL has a chance. Padilla has good stuff, he’s just a bit of a head case and therefore the Rangers let him go. He’ll want to prove himself in a big way here and one would think the Dodgers will be a little extra jacked up in support of their new pitcher. Play: Los Angeles +1.28 (Risking 2 units).

Washington +1.97 over CHICAGO (1st 5 innings) (2:20 PM)PINNACLE

The Cubbies simply cannot be trusted at this price. This is a team that has trouble scoring and has proven over and over and over again that they can lose to any team under any circumstance. The Cubbies have three wins in its last nine games and this series is tied 2-2 with Washington winning 15-6 in the opener and losing 9-4 last night. However, last night’s game was tied 2-2 late, as the Cubbies made Livan Hernandez look like Roy Halliday. The Nats battered Randy Wells the only time they saw him this season and they can certainly repeat that. Anyway, the Nats offense is dangerous and while the Cubbies might have an edge on the mound, they take away that advantage because of an offense that can rarely be counted on to produce. The price here definitely makes the Nats worthy of some consideration and when Harden isn’t pitching and the Cubbies are a 2-1 favorite, you can pencil me on the dog every time. Play: Washington +1.97 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).

Arizona +1.23 over SAN FRANCISCO (1st 5 innings) PINNACLE

Joe Martinez makes just his fifth start and seventh appearance of the year. He has a BAA of .340 to go along with an alarming 1.77 WHIP. At home, in a pitcher’s park, Martinez has an ERA of 6.43 and a BAA of .355. This guy is a 27-yr-old, career minor-leaguer that is filling on for now and he’s not doing the job, nor should he ever be favored by this much over anyone. Despite allowing just one run in six innings Friday against the Astros, Petit was tagged with his eighth loss of the season. Petit bounced back nicely from a very poor outing his last time out. He has losses in five of his last seven starts, but has sprinkled in several nice outings in between his implosions. This guy has very decent stuff and again, he’s thrown several gems this year, including back-to-back shutouts against Pittsburgh and Philly. The chances of the D-Backs getting to Martinez first and taking a lead into the sixth is stronger than the Giants chances of getting to Petit first, thus, the five inning wager. Play Arizona +1.23 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).

Soccer
August 27, 2009, 1:15pm EST

UEFA - Europa League Qualifiers 2nd Leg

AUSTRIA WIEN +1.43 over Metalurh Donetsk PINNACLE

Austria Wien or Vienna in English went into the Ukraine a week ago and scored 2 goals, which helped them earn a 2-2 draw and score the all important away goals. Metalurh Donetsk has a lot of work to do if they are to progress in this the “NIT” if you will of European soccer as they travel to Vienna in what will be a very daunting task. They must score goals and prevent them from going in which I don’t see either happening. Domestically they are heading in opposite directions as Austria Wien is red-hot and in first place after beating Sturm Graz on the road this past weekend while Metalurh is in the middle of the Ukrainian league. Because the score in the first leg was 2-2, Austria will still have to be careful and thus will be tremendously focused and ready to beat up on Metalurh. I really can’t see Austria Wien losing here and the price is awfully good. Play: AUSTRIA WIEN +1.43 (Risking 2 units)
 
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Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd

NFL Football Premium Picks
NFL | Aug 27 '09 (7:00p)
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles Jacksonville Jaguars
+7½-109 at 5dimes
4* Major Thursday Night NFLX *BEST BET* on Jags +7.5
Both of these teams are 0-2 in the preseason, but a win tonight will mean much more for a Jaguars team that is coming off a very disappointing year. That's why these 7.5 points are looking mighty tasty. Rarely do you see spreads this large in the preseason and it appears the odds makers are trying to trap the public here, playing on Michael Vick's debut. But I just can't see Vick putting together a game-changing performance yet. Tonight, will basically be about getting his feet wet. The Eagles have some key guys banged up so I don't expect them to push it as they know they have a whole lot more to play for this season. The Jags are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the preseason in their last 4 games following two or more consecutive defeats. The Jags are also a terrific 12-2 ATS in road games in the last two weeks of the preseason since 1993, with an average margin of victory of 6.8. Take the Jags.


MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | Aug 27 '09 (10:10p)
Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
-143 at 5dimes
3* Thursday Night MLB Crunch Time Bailout on Mariners -143
I'll back the Mariners at home against the ice cold Royals tonight. The Royals are just 5-16 in their last 21 meetings in Seattle and they face a Seattle club that is 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 23-9 in their last 32 games as a favorite period. The Royals are just 3-14 in their last 17 vs. the American League West, 3-9 in Davies' last 12 starts, and 3-11 in his last 14 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Royals have dropped their last 4 series openers and it's going to be tough for them to steal game 1 here after making the long trip out west against a good Mariners home club. Take the M's.
 
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB

50* Play Florida (-220) over NY Mets (MLB PLAY)

New York has lost 7 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +200 or higher. Tim Redding has lost 6 of the last 7 road games as an underdog of +150 to +250 and he is 0-1 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.11.




50* Play NY Yankees (-220) over Texas (MLB PLAY)



New York has won 5 of the last 7 games and they have also won 28 of the last 37 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. AJ Burnett has won 6 consecutive games as a home favorite of -175 and -250 and he is 3-1 vs. Texas over his career with an ERA of 3.69.
 
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Stardust Sports Picks

Your TOP NFL Winner for Thursday is:



Play on Jacksonville (+7.5) over Philadelphia

7:00 P.M. EST (10* Top NFL Play)



Philadelphia has lost 7 of the last 8 pre-season games against the spread vs. AFC Conference Opponents and they have also lost 9 of the last 11 pre-season games against the spread coming off two or more consecutive OVER the totals. Philadelphia has lost 4 of the last 5 pre-season games against the spread when playing on a Thursday and they have also lost 5 of the last 7 pre-season games against the spread when playing as a favorite.
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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Nflx tout tally

jax-12
phi-2

over-2
under

stl-3
cin-4
over
under-3

mia-3
tb-2
over-2
under-4
 
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Unlocked Sports

MLB

1) Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers

Pick: Milwaukee -1.5 (3 units)

The Brew Crew have lost the first 2 of this 3 game series versus the Reds, meaning that if they lose today they will be swept at home for only the second time this season. We don’t see this happening because the Reds are not strong enough to complete the sweep. Additionally, for what it’s worth, these teams opened a series in Milwaukee at the beginning of April. The Reds won the first two and then the Brewers came back to win the third game 9-3. Most books are listing +125 odds for Milwaukee on the runline. At this price, this play is definitely worth a shot.

Lay 3 units on the Brewers runline.


2) Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox

Pick: Chicago (5 units)


WNBA

1) Atlanta Dream vs Detroit Shock

Pick: Atlanta ML (2 units)
 

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axiumsports.com

August 27th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,722.48

Pick #10- UEFA-Europa League Qualifiers Soccer
10)Bet 35.12 to win 33.13 on Sigma/Olomouc OVER 2.5 -106

Pick #11-MLB-
11a)Bet 35.55 to win 32.02 on Houston/St Louis UNDER 7.5 -111

11b)Bet 73.75 to win 66.44 on Houston/St Louis UNDER 7.5 -111

Pick #12-MLB-
12aa)Bet 35.96 to win 35.26 on Philadelphia/Pittsburgh UNDER 8.5 -102
12ab)Bet 74.66 to win 73.20 on Philadelphia/Pittsburgh UNDER 8.5 -102

12ba)Bet 35.52 to win 34.83 on Philadelphia/Pittsburgh UNDER 8.5 -102
12bb)Bet 154.88 to win 151.84 on Philadelphia/Pittsburgh UNDER 8.5 -102
 

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igz1 sports

Thursday Card

NFL
4* Jacksonville +7.5 (-110)
3* Cinncinnati -2.5 (-110)
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Chicago White Sox at Boston (7 p.m., Thursday, Aug. 27)
I think this one stays under by several runs.

Allen Eastman
 
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The Degenerate Gambler
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Indian Cowboy


4 Unit Play. #604. Take the Detroit Shock -3.5 over the Atlanta Dream (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). I love my Atlanta Dream. I enjoy watching them play but this is a tough spot for them. The Dream come off a big 20 point win over the Sacramento Monarchs. We were on the over in that game and it worked out for us - in fact, it was just earlier this week. They have defeated the Shock trice this season already by 5, 3 and 10 points. On top of that, with such a big win at home, I suspect the Dream might not have the edge today that they might otherwise have. Besides the Sparks, Detroit is on my list of teams that are streaking. They have really brought it together over the past week or so. This team is 12-14 and might actually make the playoffs despite a dismal start. Over the past four games, they have accomplished wonders. They have done this thorugh solid rebounding (4th in the league in defensive and 2nd in the league in offensive rebounding) and have improved their defense to 6th in the league in opponents points and 2nd in the league in opponents field goal percentage. This team went on the road to defeat Chicago 76-67 in a big win for this squad against a foe that is also competing for a playoff spot. Then, this team does not have a let down and wins back to back games against San Antonio and on the road at Connecticut. In fact, they have done something they have not done in quite some time - score back to back games worth of 90 points. With the Shock's momentum, I see it as very difficult for them to lose 4 times this season to the Dream. If this Detroit team can defeat a foe in Connecticut by 20 on the road, certainly, they can get up at home to defeat a team they have lost to three times to already this season. They have defeated a couple of contenders for a playoff birth already and Atlanta is likely next on the list at home.
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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WNBA PLAYS

3 Unit Play. #608 Take Los Angeles -3 ½ over Phoenix (Thursday 8/27 10:35 PM NBATV)

Phoenix has won both meetings with Los Angeles this season by an average of 12.0 points, but the Sparks haven’t been at full strength for either of the games. So tonight “Revenge” will be on the minds of the LA Sparks. The Sparks are 9-3 in August after winning their sixth straight and tonight they go for number 7. The LA Sparks are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games.









Good Luck to All – Vegas Informer
 

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