Fantasy Sports Gametime
100* Play Toronto (-130) over Tampa Bay (TOP MLB PLAY)
Tampa Bay has lost 25 of the last 36 games when the line posted is between +150
to -150 and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games coming off a game where
their bullpen blew a save. Tampa Bay has lost 9 of the last 13 games coming off
a combined score of 15 runs or more and David Price is 1-2 over the last 3
starts with an ERA of 9.01. Roy Halladay has won 16 of the last 24 day games
and he is 4-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.52.
100* Play LA Dodgers (-150) over NY Mets (TOP MLB PLAY)
Los Angeles has won 28 of the last 41 games when the total posted is between 8.5
and 10 runs and they have also won 21 of the last 30 games coming off a loss.
Los Angeles has won 8 of the last 10 games after batting .240 or worse over the
last 10 games and Randy Wolf is 11-5 vs. New York over his career with an ERA of
3.30. New York has lost 9 of the last 12 games and Livan Hernandez is 0-3 over
the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.35.
50* Play Seattle (-175) over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Seattle has won 15 of the last 20 home games coming off a loss and they have
also won 2 consecutive games as a home favorite of -175 to -200. Felix
Hernandez has won 12 of the last 16 games when the total posted is between 7 and
8.5 runs and he is also 8-3 this season with an ERA of 2.62.
50* Play Boston (-190) over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Kansas City has lost 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +175 to +200 and
they have also lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a Thursday. Kansas
City has lost 110 of the last 173 games when the total posted is between 9 and
9.5 runs and Luke Hochevar is 0-2 vs. Boston over his career with an ERA of
6.94. Boston has won 3 of the last 4 games and they have also won 18 of the
last 19 games coming off four or more consecutive home games.
WNBA Hoops
100* Play Seattle (-9) over Sacramento (WNBA TOP PLAY)
Seattle has covered the spread in 6 consecutive home games when playing in the
month of July and they have also covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 home
games when playing their 2nd game in 5 days. Seattle has covered the spread in
11 of the last 13 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and they have also
covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 games when the total posted is between
140 and 149.5.
CFL Football
100* Take Montreal (-7) over Edmonton (TOP CFL FOOTBALL PLAY)
Edmonton has lost 10 of the last 14 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
and they have also lost 14 of the last 20 road games. Edmonton has lost 6 of
the last 9 games coming off a win by 8 points or less and they have also lost 10
of the last 14 games vs. Montreal on the road.
100* Play Toronto (-130) over Tampa Bay (TOP MLB PLAY)
Tampa Bay has lost 25 of the last 36 games when the line posted is between +150
to -150 and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games coming off a game where
their bullpen blew a save. Tampa Bay has lost 9 of the last 13 games coming off
a combined score of 15 runs or more and David Price is 1-2 over the last 3
starts with an ERA of 9.01. Roy Halladay has won 16 of the last 24 day games
and he is 4-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 2.52.
100* Play LA Dodgers (-150) over NY Mets (TOP MLB PLAY)
Los Angeles has won 28 of the last 41 games when the total posted is between 8.5
and 10 runs and they have also won 21 of the last 30 games coming off a loss.
Los Angeles has won 8 of the last 10 games after batting .240 or worse over the
last 10 games and Randy Wolf is 11-5 vs. New York over his career with an ERA of
3.30. New York has lost 9 of the last 12 games and Livan Hernandez is 0-3 over
the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.35.
50* Play Seattle (-175) over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Seattle has won 15 of the last 20 home games coming off a loss and they have
also won 2 consecutive games as a home favorite of -175 to -200. Felix
Hernandez has won 12 of the last 16 games when the total posted is between 7 and
8.5 runs and he is also 8-3 this season with an ERA of 2.62.
50* Play Boston (-190) over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Kansas City has lost 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +175 to +200 and
they have also lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a Thursday. Kansas
City has lost 110 of the last 173 games when the total posted is between 9 and
9.5 runs and Luke Hochevar is 0-2 vs. Boston over his career with an ERA of
6.94. Boston has won 3 of the last 4 games and they have also won 18 of the
last 19 games coming off four or more consecutive home games.
WNBA Hoops
100* Play Seattle (-9) over Sacramento (WNBA TOP PLAY)
Seattle has covered the spread in 6 consecutive home games when playing in the
month of July and they have also covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 home
games when playing their 2nd game in 5 days. Seattle has covered the spread in
11 of the last 13 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and they have also
covered the spread in 11 of the last 13 games when the total posted is between
140 and 149.5.
CFL Football
100* Take Montreal (-7) over Edmonton (TOP CFL FOOTBALL PLAY)
Edmonton has lost 10 of the last 14 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
and they have also lost 14 of the last 20 road games. Edmonton has lost 6 of
the last 9 games coming off a win by 8 points or less and they have also lost 10
of the last 14 games vs. Montreal on the road.
Craig Davis
Thursday's Lineup
75 Dime ---- GIANTS (With Lincecum) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over PADRES (With Geer)
10 Dime ---- MARINERS (With Hernandez) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over RANGERS (With Hunter)
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (with Lincecum) -1 1/2 runs over SAN DIEGO (with Geer) --- I'm back with another fairly strong run line winner tonight, just two days after the biggest play (and win) of my career... a 100-dime winner on the Detroit Tigers. Tonight's play is not quite as strong, but I'm very confident the Giants will beat the Padres by at least two runs, giving us another big play winner.
It's not often I bounce back from one big play only to release another one, but that's how confident I am in Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants tonight, especially at home. Before I even get into the pitching matchup, let's just look at the two teams in question. First off, the San Diego Padres are dreadful, owning the cellar in the NL West with a 35-49 record... a full 18 games behind the Dodgers for first place. The Padres have very little starting pitching, shaky defense and an offense that's batting just .236 for the season. They are a dismal 12-28 on the road and are 19-43 in their last 62 games on the road, dating back to last year. San Diego was just swept in a three-game series in Arizona by the Diamondbacks, scoring just 10 runs in those three games.
San Francisco, on the other hand, is 46-38 on the season, including an impressive 28-13 home record. They just finished off a nice series win over Florida, although they did flounder a bit in the final game of the series, getting shut out 7-0 because they couldn't figure out Chris Volstad. The last time the Giants were shut out (ironically it was to Florida back in June), they bounced back the following night to score 9 runs in a 9-4 win. Before that (in May), an 8-0 loss to the Dodgers turned into a 7-5 Giants the following night. Granted, it's a small sample size, but the Giants have twice proven how well they bounce back from being shut out the previous game.
Now, to the pitchers. There's really no need to give Tim Lincecum an intro... you all know what he's capable of, especially recently. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner is 9-2 on the season with a 2.36 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP, and that includes a 4-1 record at home. So, what's he done recently? Oh, only a 0.36 ERA and a 0.64 ERA in his last three starts, including two straight shut outs over Houston and St. Louis. Lincecum owns a 3-2 record in his career vs. San Diego, which also includes a 1.43 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP and an opponents' batting average against of .201. Though his results have been mixed vs. San Diego (all on the road) this year, he completely dominated them last year, shutting them out, 7-0, in September which was preceeded by a 5-0 shutout win in August. Bottom line: San Diego doesn't score much against Lincecum, especially on the road, and will be lucky to scratch across a single run tonight.
Josh Geer counters for the Padres tonight, and just doesn't seem to get the best out of himself when he pitches on the road. Geer has 6 starts on the road in 2009, and has yet to win one of them, not to mention is 6.55 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. And I forgot to mention that opponents are hitting .305 vs. Geer when he pitches away from San Diego. He's allowed 10 ERs in his last two road outings and 15 in his last three, telling me all I need to know... he just can't get the job done as the visitor.
The Padres have actually taken 6 of 8 meetings with San Franciso so far this year, but all six of those wins were at home... the two losses, as expected, were on the road. The Giants are 10-4 in Lincecum's last 14 home starts and 40-18 in their last 58 as a favorite. I don't see Lincecum letting up right before the All Star break... I expect him to only get better. He may be only 5-foot, 10-inches tall and 170 pounds, but this guy is no lightweight. If he continues at this pace he could find himself with back-to-back Cy Young awards. Tonight I expect nothing short of another dominating performance, and that's why I'm making it my top play of the day.
SEATTLE (With Hernandez) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over TEXAS (With Hunter) The Seattle Mariners will get at least a two-run win over the Texas Rangers behind the arm of Felix Hernandez tonight at home. The Rangers are fresh off a thrashing of the L.A. Angels in which Andruw Jones smacked three home runs. The Rangers now own first place in the AL West Division and are a full 4 1/2 games in front of the Mariners, but they're going to have their hands full with Felix Hernandez tonight. Though Hernandez has lost his last five decisions to Texas (not to mention his 4-9 record and 4.35 ERA in 18 starts against them), you have to give him credit for his last outing in Texas... seven scoreless innings, allowing just four hits and one walk in an eventual 3-2 loss. Hernandez is 4-0 in his last 8 starts, including an ERA of just 1.20 and was named AL Pitcher of the month for June.
Seattle blew a 3-0 lead in the top of the 9th last night, falling to Baltimore 5-3 because of two costly errors by Jose Lopez. That can't sit well with Ichiro and the rest of the Mariners, and after failing to score in the final six innings of last night's loss, I imagine they are going to jump all over young Tommy Hunter tonight. I know he's been very solid since being called up, but this is a big spot on the road agaisnt an angry offense and a pitcher throwing his best right now. Seattle is 9-3 in their last 12 when listed as the favorite, 5-0 in Hernandez's last five starts and 6-1 in his last seven starts when listed as the favorite. It's not easy going from Anaheim to Seattle with no days' rest, but that's what Texas is going to attempt to do. Too much of a mismatch tonight in the favor of the home team.
BOUGHT,PAYED AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
Thursday's Lineup
75 Dime ---- GIANTS (With Lincecum) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over PADRES (With Geer)
10 Dime ---- MARINERS (With Hernandez) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over RANGERS (With Hunter)
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (with Lincecum) -1 1/2 runs over SAN DIEGO (with Geer) --- I'm back with another fairly strong run line winner tonight, just two days after the biggest play (and win) of my career... a 100-dime winner on the Detroit Tigers. Tonight's play is not quite as strong, but I'm very confident the Giants will beat the Padres by at least two runs, giving us another big play winner.
It's not often I bounce back from one big play only to release another one, but that's how confident I am in Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants tonight, especially at home. Before I even get into the pitching matchup, let's just look at the two teams in question. First off, the San Diego Padres are dreadful, owning the cellar in the NL West with a 35-49 record... a full 18 games behind the Dodgers for first place. The Padres have very little starting pitching, shaky defense and an offense that's batting just .236 for the season. They are a dismal 12-28 on the road and are 19-43 in their last 62 games on the road, dating back to last year. San Diego was just swept in a three-game series in Arizona by the Diamondbacks, scoring just 10 runs in those three games.
San Francisco, on the other hand, is 46-38 on the season, including an impressive 28-13 home record. They just finished off a nice series win over Florida, although they did flounder a bit in the final game of the series, getting shut out 7-0 because they couldn't figure out Chris Volstad. The last time the Giants were shut out (ironically it was to Florida back in June), they bounced back the following night to score 9 runs in a 9-4 win. Before that (in May), an 8-0 loss to the Dodgers turned into a 7-5 Giants the following night. Granted, it's a small sample size, but the Giants have twice proven how well they bounce back from being shut out the previous game.
Now, to the pitchers. There's really no need to give Tim Lincecum an intro... you all know what he's capable of, especially recently. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner is 9-2 on the season with a 2.36 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP, and that includes a 4-1 record at home. So, what's he done recently? Oh, only a 0.36 ERA and a 0.64 ERA in his last three starts, including two straight shut outs over Houston and St. Louis. Lincecum owns a 3-2 record in his career vs. San Diego, which also includes a 1.43 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP and an opponents' batting average against of .201. Though his results have been mixed vs. San Diego (all on the road) this year, he completely dominated them last year, shutting them out, 7-0, in September which was preceeded by a 5-0 shutout win in August. Bottom line: San Diego doesn't score much against Lincecum, especially on the road, and will be lucky to scratch across a single run tonight.
Josh Geer counters for the Padres tonight, and just doesn't seem to get the best out of himself when he pitches on the road. Geer has 6 starts on the road in 2009, and has yet to win one of them, not to mention is 6.55 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. And I forgot to mention that opponents are hitting .305 vs. Geer when he pitches away from San Diego. He's allowed 10 ERs in his last two road outings and 15 in his last three, telling me all I need to know... he just can't get the job done as the visitor.
The Padres have actually taken 6 of 8 meetings with San Franciso so far this year, but all six of those wins were at home... the two losses, as expected, were on the road. The Giants are 10-4 in Lincecum's last 14 home starts and 40-18 in their last 58 as a favorite. I don't see Lincecum letting up right before the All Star break... I expect him to only get better. He may be only 5-foot, 10-inches tall and 170 pounds, but this guy is no lightweight. If he continues at this pace he could find himself with back-to-back Cy Young awards. Tonight I expect nothing short of another dominating performance, and that's why I'm making it my top play of the day.
SEATTLE (With Hernandez) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over TEXAS (With Hunter) The Seattle Mariners will get at least a two-run win over the Texas Rangers behind the arm of Felix Hernandez tonight at home. The Rangers are fresh off a thrashing of the L.A. Angels in which Andruw Jones smacked three home runs. The Rangers now own first place in the AL West Division and are a full 4 1/2 games in front of the Mariners, but they're going to have their hands full with Felix Hernandez tonight. Though Hernandez has lost his last five decisions to Texas (not to mention his 4-9 record and 4.35 ERA in 18 starts against them), you have to give him credit for his last outing in Texas... seven scoreless innings, allowing just four hits and one walk in an eventual 3-2 loss. Hernandez is 4-0 in his last 8 starts, including an ERA of just 1.20 and was named AL Pitcher of the month for June.
Seattle blew a 3-0 lead in the top of the 9th last night, falling to Baltimore 5-3 because of two costly errors by Jose Lopez. That can't sit well with Ichiro and the rest of the Mariners, and after failing to score in the final six innings of last night's loss, I imagine they are going to jump all over young Tommy Hunter tonight. I know he's been very solid since being called up, but this is a big spot on the road agaisnt an angry offense and a pitcher throwing his best right now. Seattle is 9-3 in their last 12 when listed as the favorite, 5-0 in Hernandez's last five starts and 6-1 in his last seven starts when listed as the favorite. It's not easy going from Anaheim to Seattle with no days' rest, but that's what Texas is going to attempt to do. Too much of a mismatch tonight in the favor of the home team.
BOUGHT,PAYED AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies - Thursday July 9, 2009 8:40 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) MONEYLINE: Atlanta Braves +110
4 Unit Play. Take the Atlanta Braves +110 over the Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 8:40pm est). Let's ride the Braves and Tommy Hanson. Soon, I will write an article about how the Braves are moving up through the arms of two unexpected heroes in Hanson and Jurrjens. Tack on Derek Lowe and Tim Hudson coming back at some point, the Braves have a strong chance for a great stretch run as they are just a few games back of the NL East Division leaderboard. Heck, they moved into third place this week. Hanson is 4-0 with a 2.25 era as the kid thrives on challenges. He comes off a no-decision in Washington where his team fell short 3-5 as he gave up just 1 run in 7 innings and I expect him to pitch just as well today. Yes, it is Coors Field, but in that same token, the Rockies have yet to face Hanson which is an advantage to the pitcher the first go around. After all, such was the advantage when Cook faced the Braves in Atlanta and pitched a complete game 4 hit shutout. I expect the Braves to have success against Cook today as they have seen him for a full nine innings and consequently, will likely jump on his pitches earlier as when two teams face again, the advantage goes to the hitters as compared to the pitchers in the first go around. The Braves are 5-1 as a road underdog of this margin and the Rockies are 3-7 when Cook starts as a favorite.
IndianCowboy
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Los Angeles Sparks @ New York Liberty - Thursday July 9, 2009 7:30 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 140.5 (-105)
4 Unit Play. Take Under 140.5 between LA Sparks @ New York Liberty (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). I think we are getting near a groove back in the WNBA. The other play that I was leaning towards is Sacramento today as they are +8.5 dogs at Seattle. Bear in mind that the Monarchs have lost twice to Seattle and are playing better basketball right now including defeating Chicago at home and Minnesota on the road. Heck, with the revenge and the fact they are playing better - and Seattle looking a little shaky lately, they very well could cover and potentially compete for the outright here. But, I just can't go against the Storm at home where they have historically been money. So, we will take the Under in NY today. For starters, NY is the #1 team in the league in holding opponents field goal % to a minimum. Opponents are shooting 38.9% from the field overall and they shoot even less than that in New York. Given that there are only 13 teams in the WNBA and New York is 12th in the league in offense it shows that they play more of a half court game and rely on possession of ball far more. LA is 11th in the league in scoring and dead last in the league in 3 point shooting. So, what you have is the 11th and 12th worst offensive teams in the league - and there only 13 teams in the league in its entirety. Combine that with the fact, NY is the best in the league in field goal percentage, and you should have a drag out defensive tilt here. The Under is 5-1 for the Liberty following a straight up win and the Under is 6-0 for the Sparks against the Eastern Conference.
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies - Thursday July 9, 2009 8:40 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) MONEYLINE: Atlanta Braves +110
4 Unit Play. Take the Atlanta Braves +110 over the Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 8:40pm est). Let's ride the Braves and Tommy Hanson. Soon, I will write an article about how the Braves are moving up through the arms of two unexpected heroes in Hanson and Jurrjens. Tack on Derek Lowe and Tim Hudson coming back at some point, the Braves have a strong chance for a great stretch run as they are just a few games back of the NL East Division leaderboard. Heck, they moved into third place this week. Hanson is 4-0 with a 2.25 era as the kid thrives on challenges. He comes off a no-decision in Washington where his team fell short 3-5 as he gave up just 1 run in 7 innings and I expect him to pitch just as well today. Yes, it is Coors Field, but in that same token, the Rockies have yet to face Hanson which is an advantage to the pitcher the first go around. After all, such was the advantage when Cook faced the Braves in Atlanta and pitched a complete game 4 hit shutout. I expect the Braves to have success against Cook today as they have seen him for a full nine innings and consequently, will likely jump on his pitches earlier as when two teams face again, the advantage goes to the hitters as compared to the pitchers in the first go around. The Braves are 5-1 as a road underdog of this margin and the Rockies are 3-7 when Cook starts as a favorite.
IndianCowboy
Sport: WNBA Basketball
Game: Los Angeles Sparks @ New York Liberty - Thursday July 9, 2009 7:30 pm
Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 140.5 (-105)
4 Unit Play. Take Under 140.5 between LA Sparks @ New York Liberty (Thursday @ 7:30pm est). I think we are getting near a groove back in the WNBA. The other play that I was leaning towards is Sacramento today as they are +8.5 dogs at Seattle. Bear in mind that the Monarchs have lost twice to Seattle and are playing better basketball right now including defeating Chicago at home and Minnesota on the road. Heck, with the revenge and the fact they are playing better - and Seattle looking a little shaky lately, they very well could cover and potentially compete for the outright here. But, I just can't go against the Storm at home where they have historically been money. So, we will take the Under in NY today. For starters, NY is the #1 team in the league in holding opponents field goal % to a minimum. Opponents are shooting 38.9% from the field overall and they shoot even less than that in New York. Given that there are only 13 teams in the WNBA and New York is 12th in the league in offense it shows that they play more of a half court game and rely on possession of ball far more. LA is 11th in the league in scoring and dead last in the league in 3 point shooting. So, what you have is the 11th and 12th worst offensive teams in the league - and there only 13 teams in the league in its entirety. Combine that with the fact, NY is the best in the league in field goal percentage, and you should have a drag out defensive tilt here. The Under is 5-1 for the Liberty following a straight up win and the Under is 6-0 for the Sparks against the Eastern Conference.
JOHN MORRISON
61-62 Since 5/27
Yesterday 1-2
Thursday July 9:
MLB baseball) -> St. Louis -110 {Money Line} Their game is against Milwaukee at 2:05 PM E.T.
(MLB baseball) -> Cincinnati +130 {Money Line} Their game is against Philadelphia at 7:05 E.T.
(MLB baseball) -> Los Angeles -150 {Money Line} Their game is against New York Mets at 7:10 E.T.
61-62 Since 5/27
Yesterday 1-2
Thursday July 9:
MLB baseball) -> St. Louis -110 {Money Line} Their game is against Milwaukee at 2:05 PM E.T.
(MLB baseball) -> Cincinnati +130 {Money Line} Their game is against Philadelphia at 7:05 E.T.
(MLB baseball) -> Los Angeles -150 {Money Line} Their game is against New York Mets at 7:10 E.T.
JACK JONES
15* St. Louis Cardinals -108
Take St. Louis over Milwaukee this afternoon as Joel Pineiro continues to pitch well for the Cardinals. Pineiro is just 1-1 in his last 3 starts, but he has a 1.99 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in those games. Meanwhile, Manny Parra, Milwaukee's starter on Thursday comes into the game with a 7.52 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in 13 starts this season, which includes an 0-2 record, 16.67 ERA and 2.82 WHIP in his last 3 starts. St. Louis won the first game of the series while the Brewers took game 2.
I expect the Cardinals to finish up this series with a win over a struggling Parra and the Brewers.
15* St. Louis Cardinals -108
Take St. Louis over Milwaukee this afternoon as Joel Pineiro continues to pitch well for the Cardinals. Pineiro is just 1-1 in his last 3 starts, but he has a 1.99 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP in those games. Meanwhile, Manny Parra, Milwaukee's starter on Thursday comes into the game with a 7.52 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in 13 starts this season, which includes an 0-2 record, 16.67 ERA and 2.82 WHIP in his last 3 starts. St. Louis won the first game of the series while the Brewers took game 2.
I expect the Cardinals to finish up this series with a win over a struggling Parra and the Brewers.
Halfbets
Colorado and Atlanta Under 9 runs +110 for 4 units
I thought the opening line was right in this spot at 8.5 but it has been getting some pretty big steam to the Over since last night. The Public is jumping all over the chance in trying to get a 9 total at Coors field. But looking into the pitching matchup with Hanson (4-0 2.25 ERA) vs. Cook (8-3 3.76 ERA). Hanson last 4 games have been very impressive to me giving up 1 run in 24.1 innings pitched. Cook has just been as impressive with 6 quality starts in a row giving up 10 ER in 41 innings pitched. Cook shutout the Braves in Atlanta earlier this season going 9 innings giving up 0 runs and only 4 hits. Both of these teams have been struggling for runs as of late as well with both teams being 8-2 to the Under their last 10 games. Atlanta has struggled against right handed pitching this season only averaging 3.5 runs a game in those games. Colorado numbers are always going to be higher at home due to them playing at Coors field. But without them seeing Hanson before who is mowing down the competition I believe we are getting a good value on two good pitchers today in a good spot for and Under in this game.
Colorado and Atlanta Under 9 runs +110 for 4 units
I thought the opening line was right in this spot at 8.5 but it has been getting some pretty big steam to the Over since last night. The Public is jumping all over the chance in trying to get a 9 total at Coors field. But looking into the pitching matchup with Hanson (4-0 2.25 ERA) vs. Cook (8-3 3.76 ERA). Hanson last 4 games have been very impressive to me giving up 1 run in 24.1 innings pitched. Cook has just been as impressive with 6 quality starts in a row giving up 10 ER in 41 innings pitched. Cook shutout the Braves in Atlanta earlier this season going 9 innings giving up 0 runs and only 4 hits. Both of these teams have been struggling for runs as of late as well with both teams being 8-2 to the Under their last 10 games. Atlanta has struggled against right handed pitching this season only averaging 3.5 runs a game in those games. Colorado numbers are always going to be higher at home due to them playing at Coors field. But without them seeing Hanson before who is mowing down the competition I believe we are getting a good value on two good pitchers today in a good spot for and Under in this game.
Jack Jones
15* on Braves/Rockies UNDER 9
This game shapes up to be a great pitcher's duel with Tommy Hanson vs Aaron Cook. Hanson has just 6 starts on the season, but in those games he is 4-0 with a 2.25 ERA, including at 0.49 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over his last three starts. Aaron Cook has also enjoyed success as of late, earning a 1.80 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in his last three starts, improving his season ERA to 3.76. The Braves have been terrible on offense against right-handed starters this season, scoring only 3.5 runs per game, and while the Rockies have typically hit well at home this season, I think Hanson helps negate a lot of that production.
15* on Indians/White Sox OVER 10
This one could get ugly with two lefties on the mound facing two teams that hit left-handers very well. The Indians are scoring 5.7 runs per game against lefties this year, with 13 out of 18 match ups going over the total. Chicago also hits lefties well, scoring 5.0 runs per game, and they've been red hot on offense anyway, hitting .295 as a team and scoring 5.3 runs per game over their last 7. The starting pitching in this game is far from great. David Huff goes for the Indians entering the game with a 6.06 season ERA, including a 7.30 ERA on the road. The White Sox throw Clayton Richard, who has a 5.31 ERA at home this season and a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. To add to the mix, the Indians have one of the worst bullpens in baseball. As a unit, Cleveland's pen has a 5.88 ERA on the road. Chicago's pen is better than Cleveland's, though no by much. Collectively, the White Sox relief staff is sporting a 4.45 ERA in 42 home games this season. This one should be a slug-fest.
Take the Over.
15* on Braves/Rockies UNDER 9
This game shapes up to be a great pitcher's duel with Tommy Hanson vs Aaron Cook. Hanson has just 6 starts on the season, but in those games he is 4-0 with a 2.25 ERA, including at 0.49 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over his last three starts. Aaron Cook has also enjoyed success as of late, earning a 1.80 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in his last three starts, improving his season ERA to 3.76. The Braves have been terrible on offense against right-handed starters this season, scoring only 3.5 runs per game, and while the Rockies have typically hit well at home this season, I think Hanson helps negate a lot of that production.
15* on Indians/White Sox OVER 10
This one could get ugly with two lefties on the mound facing two teams that hit left-handers very well. The Indians are scoring 5.7 runs per game against lefties this year, with 13 out of 18 match ups going over the total. Chicago also hits lefties well, scoring 5.0 runs per game, and they've been red hot on offense anyway, hitting .295 as a team and scoring 5.3 runs per game over their last 7. The starting pitching in this game is far from great. David Huff goes for the Indians entering the game with a 6.06 season ERA, including a 7.30 ERA on the road. The White Sox throw Clayton Richard, who has a 5.31 ERA at home this season and a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. To add to the mix, the Indians have one of the worst bullpens in baseball. As a unit, Cleveland's pen has a 5.88 ERA on the road. Chicago's pen is better than Cleveland's, though no by much. Collectively, the White Sox relief staff is sporting a 4.45 ERA in 42 home games this season. This one should be a slug-fest.
Take the Over.
Posted By: Freddy Wills
Game Date / Time: July 9th, 2009 - 9:40 PM
This is a Guaranteed Pick on the Money Line for the Full Game.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks (9:40pm et)
vs.
27-10 on my last 37 3DIME releases!!
These are cheaper plays than my PODS!
83% THIS YEAR ON MLB ODDSLINE ERRORS!
The Bottom Line
Take Diamondbacks -107 Risk 3DIMES
I know what? I am backing Yusmeiro Petit here, well not really backing him so much as I'm backing Andrew Miller to fail yet again on the road here where the Diamondbacks are winners of three straight and 5 straight overall.
Diamondbacks have faced Miller already 3 times in his career and now they will finally face him at home. On the road Miller has a 6.33ERA compared to his 3.25ERA home. I expect him to struggle a bit here against the Diamondbacks who are finally playing well at home.
Petit will pitch for the Diamondbacks and he has been awful, but he has success against the Marlins and he will likely not have to face Hanley Ramirez here today. Petit went 6 innings and gave up 2H and 1ER against the Marlins in an August start last year. I really like him to throw his best game mainly because if he doesn't he could be out of the rotation. I like backing pitchers who are desperate against another pitcher that does not have great stuff on the road. Expect Petit to have enough to get by and for the Diamondbacks to beat up on Miller early.
Game Date / Time: July 9th, 2009 - 9:40 PM
This is a Guaranteed Pick on the Money Line for the Full Game.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks (9:40pm et)
27-10 on my last 37 3DIME releases!!
These are cheaper plays than my PODS!
83% THIS YEAR ON MLB ODDSLINE ERRORS!
The Bottom Line
Take Diamondbacks -107 Risk 3DIMES
I know what? I am backing Yusmeiro Petit here, well not really backing him so much as I'm backing Andrew Miller to fail yet again on the road here where the Diamondbacks are winners of three straight and 5 straight overall.
Diamondbacks have faced Miller already 3 times in his career and now they will finally face him at home. On the road Miller has a 6.33ERA compared to his 3.25ERA home. I expect him to struggle a bit here against the Diamondbacks who are finally playing well at home.
Petit will pitch for the Diamondbacks and he has been awful, but he has success against the Marlins and he will likely not have to face Hanley Ramirez here today. Petit went 6 innings and gave up 2H and 1ER against the Marlins in an August start last year. I really like him to throw his best game mainly because if he doesn't he could be out of the rotation. I like backing pitchers who are desperate against another pitcher that does not have great stuff on the road. Expect Petit to have enough to get by and for the Diamondbacks to beat up on Miller early.
