Service Plays Thursday 06/11/09

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Jimmy Boyd

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MLB | Jun 11 '09 (7:10p)
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets New York Mets
-105 at bookm
4* Major NL East Game of the Month on NY Mets -105
After taking Game 1 of this series, the Mets lost a close 1 run game in extra innings Wednesday. New York really should have came out on top as it stranded 16 base runners. I'll back the Mets in this Game 3 rubber match tonight as they have had Moyer's number. Moyer is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in two starts versus the Mets this season. Redding has struggled this season for the Mets, but he is 5-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 11 starts against the Phillies. He looked good his last time out and I expect him to build on that here. The Phillies are 0-5 in Moyer's last 5 starts as a road underdog. The Mets are 12-4 in their last 16 home games, 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite, 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite, and 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Phillies are only 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Smart money goes on the Mets.


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-= TOP PLAY =-
NBA | Jun 11 '09 (9:05p)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers
+2½-110 at bookm
5* NBA Finals Gm 4 *MONSTER BEST BET* (ABC) on Lakers +2.5
The Magic shot an NBA Finals record 63% from the floor in Game 3 and still did not cover the spread. If Kobe was his normal self, not shooting 5 of 10 from the free throw line and living up to his title as the games best closer, the Lakers would have won Game 3 despite Orlando's shooting performance. Here are two things I know: the Magic won't shoot as well in Game 4 and Kobe will be better. The Lakers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. The Lakers are 10-2 ATS as an underdog this season and the underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. I like LA outright in Game 4 so I'll gladly take the insurance points.
 

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Lance's Lock


Overall record: 798-684-31

Current streak: 1 loss

Todays play: The Magic -2'
 

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John Morrison's pick(s) for June 11th, 2009.

(MLB baseball) -> Florida -120 {Money Line] Their game is against St. Louis at 12:05 PM E.T.
(MLB baseball) -> Detroit -130 {Money Line} Their game is against Chicago White Sox at 2:05 PM E.T.
(MLB baseball) -> Minnesota +105 {Money Line} Their game is against Okland at 3:35 PM E.T.
(MLB baseball) -> Cleveland +115 {Money Line} Their game is against Kansas City at 7:05 PM E.T.
 

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ANDY ISKOE

LA Lakers at Orlando Magic
Pick: LAKERS +2.5

This is the situation I hoped for when we played Orlando the other night in Game 3 as the Magic drew to within 2-1 in the Finals. They are a slightly smaller favorite in Game 4 as I expected and we should get an outstanding effort from Los Angeles tonight, especially Kobe Bryant, who will look to answer critics of his Game 3 performance in the second half and down the stretch. Orlando set a Finals record shooting 62.5 percent from the field yet could only manage a 4 point win in a game that was close throughout and was a 1 point game in the final minute. It's hard to see Orlando playing any better than they did the other night -- or being as hot from the field as they were. Part of the play can also be made on the Money Line (perhaps up to 40 percent of your play) as the Lakers can be found in the vicinity of plus 120 to win the game straight up
 

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Antony Dinero

LA Lakers at Orlando
Play: Under 201

L.A. needs to put together the type of effort worthy of a championship-caliber team to capitalize on this year's Finals opportunity. Getting back to even isn't part of the plan. Look for Kobe Bryant to make plays down the stretch that he failed to in Game 3 as the Lakers win a close one in a game heavy on fouls, game stoppages and little flow. Take the Lakers plus points and the under.
 

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Al DeMarco
Thursday's Play

5 Dime - Los Angeles Lakers
Note: I'm instructing you to buy up the 1/2 point - see below

Resiliency defined: The Lakers have lost six games straight-up in the playoffs. They are 6-0 SU and ATS in the following game winning by 14 at Utah, by margins of 13, 30 and 19 at home versus Houston, by 6 at Denver and 9 at home against the Nuggets. Orlando, playing in a must-win situation on Tuesday, shot a blistering 63% from the field and still barely held on for a 108-104 win.The Magic barely won Game Three despite Kobe Bryant, who had 17 points in the final 5:41 of the first quarter and 21 at halftime, fading down the stretch, missing 10 of his final 13 shots.The Magic barely won Game Three despite outrebounding LA for the first time in the series, holding Pau Gasol to just three boards.Was Orlando's Game Three triumph surprising? Not really considering the law of averages was bound to go in the Magic's favor after they shot a miserable 29.9% in Game One and a slightly better - but still pathetic - 41.8% in Game Two. That same law of averages dictates they will not shoot 75% from the field in the first half tonight, as they did in Game Three, or finish at 63% overall for the contest. Nor will LA miss 10 critical free throws, as the Lakers converted just 62% from the charity stripe on Tuesday. Same goes with Kobe shooting 2-for-6 in the fourth quarter, missing all three of his shots from beyond the arc.Depending on when and where you placed your bet for Game Three, the final result was either a push or an LA victory. Even counting it as a push, the Lakers are on a 22-8-3 roll as a road dog; 16-7-1 when getting five points or less as they are for the second straight time in this series. Plus, the underdog is on a 7-1-1 ATS run in this series.If I was getting a greater potential return, I'd consider playing LA on the moneyline tonight, but at +115, it's not a wise financial strategy. Instead, I'll grab the 2 to 2 1/2 points. In fact, I encourage you to BUY UP the extra 1/2 point in either situation, making the Lakers either +2 1/2 or +3; thus we're protected should this one go down to the wire like Game Three. By purchasing the extra hook, should Orlando win by a bucket, we get the win at +2 1/2 or +3. A three-point Magic victory leaves us with a push at +3 if your original line was +2 1/2.
 

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Jim Feist
NBA Finals 5-Star Inner Circle "Total" Crusher!


NBA (707) LAKERS VS (708) MAGIC.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Reason: Inner Circle: Under the total.

Play Game 4 Lakers/Magic Under the total.
Line Now at Pinnacle Sportsbook ( 201 )
 
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The Degenerate Gambler
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Winning Way Sports

MLB - 2 units on Cleveland Indians (+125)
- Greinke & Sowers

MLB - 2 units on Tampa Bay Rays (-140)
- Santana & Price

MLB - 2 units on Baltimore Orioles (-150)
- Olson & Uehara
 

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indiancowboy



Perfect in June Baseball Still: (7-0-1, +28 Units in June)
6-1 This Week.
2-0 Yesterday:

5* WNBA: Lynx/Sparks Over 160 Over: Winner
4* MLB: Mariners/Orioles Under 8.5: Winner

WNBA: 4-1 start to the Season (Including 5* Winner Yesterday Lynx/Sparks Over, now 39-10 Lifetime on 5*s).

MLB 2009: +52 Net Units

Back to Back Winning MLB Months (still yet to have losing month)
June 10th: Seattle/Baltimore Under 8.5: Winner
June 9th: Over 8.5 Twins @ A's: Winner
June 8th: Under 10 Rangers/Jays: Winner
June 7th: Under 7.5 Giants/Marlins: Winner.
June 6th: Saturday: Pass
June 5th: Friday: Rangers/Redsox Under 10: Winner
June 4th: Thursday: A's/Whitesox: Winner
June 3rd: Wednesday: Rays/Royals Under: Push
June 2nd: Tuesday: 1-0: Rays/Royals Under: Winner
June 1st: Pass


4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 New York Yankees @ Boston Redsox (Thursday @ 7:10pm est).



You know I love pitchers and their bounce-backs. It is one of my favorite betting principles and we have two good ones today. CC goes on the mound for the Yankees and he has come on strong for them after a shaky start early on. He gave up 4 runs in 8 innings in his last start (earned runs that is) and the Yankees lost 7-9 in Tampa Bay. Prior to that CC had pitched in 5 straight quality starts and he has brought his era down to 3.56. I can't begin to tell you how many times I have taken Penny on the bounce-back for the Under (suer I can, 4 to be exact I think). Amazingly, despite a 5.85era, he is 5-2 for the Sox this year and part of the reason is his sound ability to "bounce-back". He gave up 5 runs to Tejas at home in Fenway when the Rangers won 1-5 and I expect a much better start out of him today. Heck, he hadn't lost a start since March 3rd prior to that (5 straight starts without a "L"). Look for both pitchers to be on the bounce-back today as this baby likely dips under. The Under is 4-0 when the Yankees are favored by this margin on the road and the Under is 4-0 of late for the Redsox when they are Underdogs.

4 Unit Play. Take Over 201 between the LA Lakers @ Orlando Magic (Thursday @ 9pm est). If you are looking for a side in this contest, I like the Magic. But, I can't bring myself to take Orlando as they barely won a must win Game 3 at home. Heck, if Kobe makes his free throws for the most part in this game and fails to lose the handle in their last possession, this game could have easily gone to LA. Now, LA is on a bounce-back as well. If anything I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go either way. If LA wins game 4, sure, I lean on the Magic in an elimination in game 5 as LA is likely to win as they go back home in Game 6. But, why not take "both teams" for this game. The Magic love an up-tempo style of game at home where they are more comfortable shooting the ball. This explains why Game 3 soared over. Plus, why not take the Lakers to be an "active dog" as well. Hence, lets take both teams as this total is set at 201 where one can easily see both teams pushing an envelope in what should be an extremely tight game. The Over is 5-1 for the Lakers as a road dog which is something that I have usually taken on the highway when they are dogs and the Over is 6-0 between these two teams in Orlando.
Good luck,

IC
 

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indiancowboy


4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 New York Yankees @ Boston Redsox (Thursday @ 7:10pm est).


You know I love pitchers and their bounce-backs. It is one of my favorite betting principles and we have two good ones today. CC goes on the mound for the Yankees and he has come on strong for them after a shaky start early on. He gave up 4 runs in 8 innings in his last start (earned runs that is) and the Yankees lost 7-9 in Tampa Bay. Prior to that CC had pitched in 5 straight quality starts and he has brought his era down to 3.56. I can't begin to tell you how many times I have taken Penny on the bounce-back for the Under (suer I can, 4 to be exact I think). Amazingly, despite a 5.85era, he is 5-2 for the Sox this year and part of the reason is his sound ability to "bounce-back". He gave up 5 runs to Tejas at home in Fenway when the Rangers won 1-5 and I expect a much better start out of him today. Heck, he hadn't lost a start since March 3rd prior to that (5 straight starts without a "L"). Look for both pitchers to be on the bounce-back today as this baby likely dips under. The Under is 4-0 when the Yankees are favored by this margin on the road and the Under is 4-0 of late for the Redsox when they are Underdogs.

4 Unit Play. Take Over 201 between the LA Lakers @ Orlando Magic (Thursday @ 9pm est). If you are looking for a side in this contest, I like the Magic. But, I can't bring myself to take Orlando as they barely won a must win Game 3 at home. Heck, if Kobe makes his free throws for the most part in this game and fails to lose the handle in their last possession, this game could have easily gone to LA. Now, LA is on a bounce-back as well. If anything I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go either way. If LA wins game 4, sure, I lean on the Magic in an elimination in game 5 as LA is likely to win as they go back home in Game 6. But, why not take "both teams" for this game. The Magic love an up-tempo style of game at home where they are more comfortable shooting the ball. This explains why Game 3 soared over. Plus, why not take the Lakers to be an "active dog" as well. Hence, lets take both teams as this total is set at 201 where one can easily see both teams pushing an envelope in what should be an extremely tight game. The Over is 5-1 for the Lakers as a road dog which is something that I have usually taken on the highway when they are dogs and the Over is 6-0 between these two teams in Orlando.
Good luck,
 

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