Service Plays Sunday 9/21/14

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EZWINNERS

3 STAR SELECTION – (451) San Diego Chargers +2.5
(Risking $330 to win $300)

San Diego is coming off of a huge upset against the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks and as they we’re playing that game I was already thinking ahead to this week’s game at Buffalo. Everyone is thinking letdown spot, long travel and an early kickoff will spell a loss for the Chargers, but I don’t believe so. San Diego needs this win to keep pace with Denver since the Chargers blew their season opener at Arizona. Buffalo is off to a great start, but the Bills offense has struggled in the red zone settling for too many field goals and they have also had special teams issues. Chargers quarterback Phillip Rivers is playing well and Antonio Gates looks to be rejuvenated. I think the Chargers will find plenty of holes in the Buffalo secondary like Chicago did, but I don’t expect Rivers to make the mistakes with the ball that Cutler did in their opening loss to Buffalo. Take the points.

3 STAR SELECTION – (455) Washington Redskins +6
(Risking $330 to win $300)

I like this spot for Redskins catching a full touchdown against Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-0 straight up and against the spread as they rallied from two touchdown defecates in the first two weeks of the season against the Jags and Colts. Washington lost their starting quarterback RGIII to an ankle injury last week, but I think Kirk Cousins is the much better fit for this team as does many Redskin insiders. I expect Cousins to have a lot of success this week and going forward as he has better weapons around him this season than what he had in his limited playing time last year. Not to be overlooked here is the Washington defense. I think the Redskins have an underrated defensive unit that is much better than the defense that Philly puts on the field. The Skins held the Jags to 148 total yards last week. The same Jacksonville offense that rolled up 306 total yards at Philly in week one. Take the points.

3 STAR SELECTION – (458) New York Giants PICK
(Risking $330 to win $300)

The Giants beat themselves once again last week against the Cardinals, but I’m giving them another shot this week against the Texans. Houston is off to a 2-0 start, but I’m still not a believer. The Texans did just enough in week one at home against the Redskins and struggling RGIII at quarterback to get the win and the cover. Last week they flew to the west coast and covered as a small favorite against a Raiders team that looks to be pretty bad. Now this week they fly to the east coast to be a road favorite. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has played well thanks to the running game of the Texans being effective. I think the Giants can control the run and force Fitzpatrick to beat them throwing. Giants quarterback Eli Manning also has his issues, but I think New York makes enough plays to win this game. Play on the Giants.
 
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ALL SPORTS INSIDER

Dallas +3
Panthers -3
49ers -3
Indy -7
Bengals -7
Saints -10

Teasing them all +7

Teasing (+13.5)
Indy
Bengals
Saints
Dallas
 
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SOCCER BETTING MASTERS

England » Premier League » Everton - Crystal Palace
Opinion; Everton -1(Asian Handicap)

Finland » Veikkausliiga » SJK - TPS
Opinion: SJK -1(Asian Handicap)


 
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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY'S SOCCER CLUB season record (-6.69)

(SPAIN - LA LIGA) - RAYO VALLECANO @ CF VILLARREAL - OVER 2.5 -120 (11AM)

(ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE) - CRYSTAL PALACE @ EVERTON FC - OVER 2.5 -140 (11AM)

(GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA) - BAYER 04 LEVERKUSEN @ VFL WOLFSBURG - OVER 3 -117 (930AM)


 
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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS / Geoff Weigel

NFL 1:00 pm – Dallas Cowboys -1 for 4 units
The Cowboys have too much talent to not take them in what amounts to a pickem game. The Dallas Cowboys are 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in Game 3 over the last 10 years. are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 1. The St. Louis Rams are 8-18-1 ATS vs. the NFC East.

NFL 4:25 pm - Seattle Seahawks -5 for 5 units
Betting against “The Legion of Boom” at home, is not a good investment, especially when coming off of a loss. The Broncos have looked vulnerable, almost losing twice to Indianapolis and Kansas City (both 0-2) and Peyton and company put up THREE points against Kansas City in the 2nd half. Seattle is a much better defense than Kansas City, and they will be playing mad. Seahawks by double digits.

NFL 4:25 pm - Kansas City Chiefs 4.5 for 5 units
FADE Ryan Tannehill.

NFL 8:30 pm - Carolina Panthers -3 for 5 units
The Panthers defense is one of the best units in the NFL, and the return of a healthy Cam makes Carolina a very dangerous team. Carolina easily dispatched of a very talented Lions team, holding them to just 7 point s. The Steelers defense is a shadow of themselves, and Carolina will find points easy to come by. Panthers win big.

NFL 1:00 pm - Buffalo Bills -135 for 3 units
Buffalo is my pick to surprise the NFL World this season, and sneak into the playoffs. Philip Rivers and company struggle away from home,and the Bills have impressed me with their overall play this season. Bills win again and move to 3-0.
 
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ANDRE GOMES (Soccer EPL)

Soccer Pick #1: Leicester City vs. Manchester United
Rating: 3 units – Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 2.75 Goals @ -102

Detailed Write Up:
Ihad a small lean w/ Man Utd today but this -1 AH line seems just right and I’ve decided to make a play w/ OVER.
Man Utd is coming from their first win of the season against QPR in a game where they changed their formation for a more traditional 4-3-1-2 diamond formation and more importantly, they have added some new players: Rojo, Blind, Herrera returned after an injury and obviously Di Maria.
Their offensive flow was great and all players looked more comfortably on the field. It also helped the fact that Young, Fletcher and Valencia were all dropped off the team as I’m not a fan of those 3 players. Herrera is a key player for them because his build up action through the middle is unique for the team (Cleverly and Fletcher aren’t capable of doing that build up stuff).
However, it helped the fact that they were playing against QPR who looked terrible (once again)! Leicester City is way a better team right now than QPR! They are well organized, they attack from the wings and they have a serviceable striker who is really making some damage in the Premier League. They already have faced 3 top teams this season (Everton, Arsenal & Chelsea) and in all those 3 games, they had a positive mindset trying to score goals. They managed to score vs. Everton & Chelsea at home and they had a HUGE chance to score vs. Chelsea in the first half. I expect them to keep having this mindset today vs. Man Utd, so this contest will be fun to watch.
I’m not sold in Man Utd’s defensive consistency… QPR had some good chances last week against them but missed it all. Man Utd could win today, but I think that Leicester City will give a great fight w/ both teams scoring goals. Therefore, I’m taking the OVER in here.

Soccer Pick #2: Tottenham vs. W.B.A
Rating: 3 units – Single Dime Play
Pick: Tottenham (-1) @ -113

Detailed Write Up:
I expect Tottenham to easily dismantle WBA today…
After being humiliated by Liverpool at home, the Spurs went to Sunderland and got one point after drawing 2-2. They deserved to win that game as they created several chances to score and outplayed Sunderland for the majority of the time. They played midweek one Europa League game but Mauricio Pochettino rested some key players in that game, so the Spurs will be “fresh” for today’s game.
I’ve faded WBA in the last 2 rounds against Everton and Swansea City with nice success and I see no reason to stop fading them against teams w/ good firepower on the front.

Soccer Pick #3: Everton vs. Crystal Palace
Rating: 3 units – Single Dime Play
Pick: Crystal Palace (+1.25) @ -121

Detailed Write Up:
Unlike Totenham for example, Everton’s boss Roberto Martinez decided to field their best possible lineup in Europa’s League match against Wolfsburg this past Thursday, and I think that this might turn against him today vs. Crystal Palace. Everton has several players injured and therefore, it’s hard for him to rotate his players but I suspect of Everton’s energy level for today (Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines picked up some minor injuries vs. Wolfsburg).
Everton’s defensive problems have been well noticed early on the season: teams are averaging 12.3 total shots per game & 4.3 shots on target/game against them!
After losing the first 2 games of the season, Palace got 2 draws in L2 rounds vs. Newcastle & Burnley while Head Coach Neil Warnock is developing his team. They have some great pace on the front w/ Campbell, Gayle and/or Zaha and I think that they take advantage of the Everton’s poor defensive display so far in the season.
I think that we should be dealing w/ a pure -1 goals line, so I’m taking this +1.25 goals line for Crystal Palace.

Soccer Pick #3: Manchester City vs. Chelsea
Rating: 3 units – Single Dime Play
Pick: Under 2.75 Goals @ -116

Detailed Write Up:
Tactical battle in here! Both teams played midweek in the Champions League – few time to recover fitness levels @100%! With Chelsea having a nice 5-pts advantage in the standings over Man City, I expect them to be patient in this contest like they had last season – that’s why they were the only team to win @Man City ground in the last season! We should be dealing w/ a classic 2.5 goals line!
 

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POD
SDG -115

MGs
ARZ -105

BILLS -1.5
REDSKINS +6

PODS on a 50-25 run last 75 plays (0-5 last 5)
 

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FantasySportsGametime
SUNDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Denver +5 over Seattle (TOP NFL PLAY)

Denver has won 8 of the last 10 games when playing in the month of September and they have won 22 of the last 29 games coming off a win against the spread. Denver has won 12 of the last 16 road games and they are averaging 27 points a game on offense this season.


5000* Play Pittsburgh +3 over Carolina (TOP NFL PLAY)

Pittsburgh has won 97 of the last 157 games when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season and they have won 78 of the last 127 games coming off a loss in their last game.Pittsburgh has won 97 of the last 152 games coming off a division game and they have won 23 of the last 36 games coming off a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse.

================================================


50* Play Miami -3.5 over Kansas City (TOP NFL PLAY)
50* Play Houston +1 over New York Giants (TOP NFL PLAY)
50* Play Philadelphia -6 over Washington (TOP NFL PLAY)
 

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MLB Baseball

1000* Play Oakland -200 over Philadelphia (TOP MLB PLAY)

AJ Burnett has lost 6 of the last 7 games vs. AL West Division Opponents and he has lost 42 of the last 54 road games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. AJ Burnett has lost 82 of the last 141 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has lost 9 of the last 14 games when pitching in the month of September.

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50* Play Los Angeles Angels -180 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play St. Louis -180 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 
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Just Cover Baby

5 471 San Francisco -3
4 452 Buffalo -2.5
4 464 Cleveland +3 ( if +2.5 buy hook to +3 )
3 462 Cincinnati -6.5
3 477 Pittsburgh +3
 

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SUNDAY

10* Play San Diego +1.5 over Buffalo (Top NFL Play)

San Diego is 8-1 ATS when playing in the month of September
San Diego is 9-3 ATS when playing as a road underdog


10* Play Green Bay +2 over Detroit (Top NFL Play)

Detroit is 4-17 ATS when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points
Detroit is 6-12 ATS coming off a loss in their last game


10* Play Denver +5 over Seattle (Top NFL Play)

Denver is 8-2 SU when playing in the month of September
Denver is 22-7 SU coming off a win in their last game


10* Play Pittsburgh +3 over Carolina (Top NFL Play)

Pittsburgh is 97-60 SU when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season
Pittsburgh is 78-49 SU coming off a loss in their last game
 

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SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Tampa Bay -150 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)

John Danks is 0-6 when pitching in the month of September
John Danks is 8-22 when pitching with five or six days of rest
John Danks is 3-10 vs. AL East Division Opponents


10* Play Seattle -120 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Hisashi Iwakuma is 21-13 vs. division opponents
Hisashi Iwakuma is 23-13 when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher
Hisashi iwakuma is 28-19 when pitching in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season


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5* Play Washington -155 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play St. Louis -180 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 
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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday NFL

4* Best Bet - INDIANAPOLIS
3* = SEATTLE
3* = SAN FRANCISCO
2* = New Orleans
2* = N.Y. Jets(Monday night)
 

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SUNDAY BASEBALL



  • Play Tampa Bay -150 over Chicago White Sox---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
1:40 PM EST

John Danks has lost 6 consecutive games when playing in the month of September and he has lost 22 of the last 30 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. John Danks has lost 10 of the last 13 games vs. AL East Division Opponents and he has lost 23 of the last 34 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.




  • Play Seattle -120 over Houston---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
    2:10 PM EST

Hisashi Iwakuma has won 21 of the last 34 games vs. division opponents and he has won 23 of the last 36 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher. Hisashi Iwakuma has won 28 of the last 47 games when pitching in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season and he has won 18 of the last 29 games when pitching with five or six days of rest.

 

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