yourwinningpicks nfl:
***BEST BET****SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 9-7) VS. San Francisco 49ers: The Seahawks were whipped by the Bills last week but that was not such a surprise when you factor in that QB Matt Hasselbeck had no WR’s to throw to and the fact that they had to travel across the country for their opener. Qwest Field is much more comfortable for them and should be a nightmare for the young 49ers who look to be one of the worst teams this year. JT O’Sullivan wasn’t horrible last week but he doesn’t have the ability to stretch the field which will limit the opportunities for RB Frank Gore. Seattle should be able to commit an extra man in the box to stop Gore as star CB Marcus Trufant can be left alone deep. The Seahawks have always been very tough at home and they will be veru focused after hearing coach Holmgren ride them all week. THE PICK: Seattle Seahawks (-7)
***BEST BET****WASHINGTON REDSKINS (pick) VS. New Orleans Saints: The Saints lost top WR Marques Colston for possibly eight weeks so certainly some of the pop has been taken out of what had the look of the NFL’s best offense. Despite the loss however, the Saints still have a ton of weapons as TE Jeremy Shockey gives them the underneath safe option they didn’t have last season and they still put up ridiculous numbers. David Patten has shown he has the skills to step up and he will hold the fort as the top pass catcher until Colston gets back. New Orleans opened with a very impressive win against a good Buccaneers team last week and moved the ball at will against one of the best d efense’s in the NFL. The Redskins are not in Tampa’s class when it comes to that category so Brees should be looking at another big day here. In fact Washington looked absolutely dreadful last week as new coach Jim Zorn seemed lost. The offense has no rhythm and the defense was gashed for huge chunks of yards on the ground. That’s bad news against a quality opponent like the Saints. THE PICK: New Orleans Saints (pick)
*****STRONG OPINION***Green Bay Packers (-3) VS. DETROIT LIONS: The Packers began the Aaron Rogers era with a nice win at home against the Vikings as Brett Favre’s replacement played a great game. Rogers was totally in control throughout the game and was dead on with his accuracy. That should bode well for Green Bay this week against a Lions defense that was carved up by the rookie-led Falcons last week. Detroit is a mess and they continually trot out poorly constructed teams year in and year out. Despite all that however the Lions are in a good spo t this week as they qualify in a very good 33-10-1 ATS home underdog angle that plays on teams facing a division foe off a loss. The Packers could look past this game and they always seem to struggle in Detroit. Trends all point toward the Lions’ direction so swallow hard and go with the home underdog angle. THE PICK: Detroit Lions (+3)
***BEST BET*****CAROLI NA PANTHERS (-3) VS. Chicago Bears: The Panthers are a different team with Jake Delhomme at QB and they proved that last week with a huge last-second win over the Chargers on the road last week. Carolina is a much better bet as20an underdog but they match up well with a Bears offense that doesn’t have nearly the weaponry that San Diego has. Chicago was impressive nonetheless last week in beating a good Colts team on the road and the offense seems much more in sync with Kyle Orton at QB. The defense has a load of big names and they had the look of being the top unit they were in 2006 now that everyone is healthy. This will certainly be a low-scoring game with points at a premium.&nbs p; Like having the Panthers at home and they always seem to do what it takes to win with Delhomme at QB. THE PICK: Carolina Panthers (-3)
***BEST BET****TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-7) VS. Atlanta Falcons: The Buccaneers were seething mad after getting steamrolled by the New Orleans offense last week and they will be out for blood against rookie Matt Ryan and the still a work-in-progress Falcons offense. Ryan played well in his debut last week against the Lions and new RB Michael Turner was a beast with over 200 yards rushing. The Lions however could be the worst defense in the NFL while the Buc’s are one of the best. Turner will20find the going much tougher this week and Ryan will have to deal with a fierce pass rush that will result in turnovers. The Falcons are not even close to as good as they showed last week and Tampa is a great bet under Jon Gruden off a loss as they are 15-7-2 ATS after a loss under his leadership. THE PICK: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7)
****BEST BET****DALLAS COWBOYS (-7) VS. Philadelphia Eagles: This is an early battle for supremacy in the ultra-competitive NFC East as the Cowboys and Eagles both come off demolitions in Week 1. Dallas QB Tony Romo doesn't have good history against the Eagles at home as he has thrown only 1 TD and 5 INT's in his last two such outings against the Birds. The Eagles are also a great bet as an underdog under Andy Reid as they are 41-21-2 ATS in that role. This will be a close game and should go right down to the wire. THE PICK: Philadelphia Eagles (+7
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***BEST BET****SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 9-7) VS. San Francisco 49ers: The Seahawks were whipped by the Bills last week but that was not such a surprise when you factor in that QB Matt Hasselbeck had no WR’s to throw to and the fact that they had to travel across the country for their opener. Qwest Field is much more comfortable for them and should be a nightmare for the young 49ers who look to be one of the worst teams this year. JT O’Sullivan wasn’t horrible last week but he doesn’t have the ability to stretch the field which will limit the opportunities for RB Frank Gore. Seattle should be able to commit an extra man in the box to stop Gore as star CB Marcus Trufant can be left alone deep. The Seahawks have always been very tough at home and they will be veru focused after hearing coach Holmgren ride them all week. THE PICK: Seattle Seahawks (-7)
***BEST BET****WASHINGTON REDSKINS (pick) VS. New Orleans Saints: The Saints lost top WR Marques Colston for possibly eight weeks so certainly some of the pop has been taken out of what had the look of the NFL’s best offense. Despite the loss however, the Saints still have a ton of weapons as TE Jeremy Shockey gives them the underneath safe option they didn’t have last season and they still put up ridiculous numbers. David Patten has shown he has the skills to step up and he will hold the fort as the top pass catcher until Colston gets back. New Orleans opened with a very impressive win against a good Buccaneers team last week and moved the ball at will against one of the best d efense’s in the NFL. The Redskins are not in Tampa’s class when it comes to that category so Brees should be looking at another big day here. In fact Washington looked absolutely dreadful last week as new coach Jim Zorn seemed lost. The offense has no rhythm and the defense was gashed for huge chunks of yards on the ground. That’s bad news against a quality opponent like the Saints. THE PICK: New Orleans Saints (pick)
*****STRONG OPINION***Green Bay Packers (-3) VS. DETROIT LIONS: The Packers began the Aaron Rogers era with a nice win at home against the Vikings as Brett Favre’s replacement played a great game. Rogers was totally in control throughout the game and was dead on with his accuracy. That should bode well for Green Bay this week against a Lions defense that was carved up by the rookie-led Falcons last week. Detroit is a mess and they continually trot out poorly constructed teams year in and year out. Despite all that however the Lions are in a good spo t this week as they qualify in a very good 33-10-1 ATS home underdog angle that plays on teams facing a division foe off a loss. The Packers could look past this game and they always seem to struggle in Detroit. Trends all point toward the Lions’ direction so swallow hard and go with the home underdog angle. THE PICK: Detroit Lions (+3)
***BEST BET*****CAROLI NA PANTHERS (-3) VS. Chicago Bears: The Panthers are a different team with Jake Delhomme at QB and they proved that last week with a huge last-second win over the Chargers on the road last week. Carolina is a much better bet as20an underdog but they match up well with a Bears offense that doesn’t have nearly the weaponry that San Diego has. Chicago was impressive nonetheless last week in beating a good Colts team on the road and the offense seems much more in sync with Kyle Orton at QB. The defense has a load of big names and they had the look of being the top unit they were in 2006 now that everyone is healthy. This will certainly be a low-scoring game with points at a premium.&nbs p; Like having the Panthers at home and they always seem to do what it takes to win with Delhomme at QB. THE PICK: Carolina Panthers (-3)
***BEST BET****TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-7) VS. Atlanta Falcons: The Buccaneers were seething mad after getting steamrolled by the New Orleans offense last week and they will be out for blood against rookie Matt Ryan and the still a work-in-progress Falcons offense. Ryan played well in his debut last week against the Lions and new RB Michael Turner was a beast with over 200 yards rushing. The Lions however could be the worst defense in the NFL while the Buc’s are one of the best. Turner will20find the going much tougher this week and Ryan will have to deal with a fierce pass rush that will result in turnovers. The Falcons are not even close to as good as they showed last week and Tampa is a great bet under Jon Gruden off a loss as they are 15-7-2 ATS after a loss under his leadership. THE PICK: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7)
****BEST BET****DALLAS COWBOYS (-7) VS. Philadelphia Eagles: This is an early battle for supremacy in the ultra-competitive NFC East as the Cowboys and Eagles both come off demolitions in Week 1. Dallas QB Tony Romo doesn't have good history against the Eagles at home as he has thrown only 1 TD and 5 INT's in his last two such outings against the Birds. The Eagles are also a great bet as an underdog under Andy Reid as they are 41-21-2 ATS in that role. This will be a close game and should go right down to the wire. THE PICK: Philadelphia Eagles (+7
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Ethan Law
CINCINNATI BENGALS -1
Opposite Action Plays
Steelers / Browns OVER 43.5
B Sports
OAKLAND RAIDERS +3.5
Sunday Selections
Bills / Jaguars UNDER 37
LT Profits
PITTSBURGH STEELERS -6
Mike Lineback
Colts / Vikings OVER 43
Mike Rose
TAMPA BAY BUCS -7
Pacific Star
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Rocketman Sports
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3
Alex Smart
WASHINGTON REDSKINS +1
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CINCINNATI BENGALS -1
Opposite Action Plays
Steelers / Browns OVER 43.5
B Sports
OAKLAND RAIDERS +3.5
Sunday Selections
Bills / Jaguars UNDER 37
LT Profits
PITTSBURGH STEELERS -6
Mike Lineback
Colts / Vikings OVER 43
Mike Rose
TAMPA BAY BUCS -7
Pacific Star
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Rocketman Sports
CAROLINA PANTHERS -3
Alex Smart
WASHINGTON REDSKINS +1
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SPORTS ADVISORS
San Francisco (0-1 SU and ATS) at Seattle (0-1 SU and ATS)
Two NFC West rivals get together when the 49ers head up the Pacific Coast to Qwest Field to take on the Seahawks.
Seattle, which reached the playoffs each of the last four years, got belted in its season opener at Buffalo, falling 34-10 as a one-point pup. QB Matt Hasselbeck had a subpar day (17 of 41, 190 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), and the Seahawks finished with just 252 total yards while allowing 338. Seattle also lost the turnover battle 2-0 and gave up a punt-return TD.
San Francisco continued its low-scoring ways of last season in a 23-13 loss to Arizona as a one-point home ‘dog. The 49ers actually outgained the Cards 291-285, but they coughed up the ball five times (4 lost fumbles, 1 INT).
The Seahawks won and covered both of last year’s meetings in blowout fashion, 23-3 on the road and 24-0 at home, and Seattle has cashed in six of the last nine clashes with the 49ers.
The Seahawks are on a 7-2 ATS run at home in division play and carry additional ATS trends of 19-8-1 overall at home (6-0 ATS in their last six), 5-0 overall in the NFC West, 7-3 against the NFC and 13-6 in September. Conversely, the 49ers are stuck in ATS ruts of 3-9 overall, 1-6 on the highway, 2-9 in conference play and 2-7 after a SU loss.
In this rivalry, the under is on runs of 4-0 overall and 4-1 at Qwest Field, and the under is on additional stretches of 6-1 for the 49ers in division play, 4-1 overall for the 49ers, 4-1 for the Seahawks versus division foes and 11-5-1 in Seattle’s last 17 September contests.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SEATTLE and UNDER
Miami (0-1 SU and ATS) at Arizona (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Dolphins cross the country to the desert Southwest for a non-conference meeting with the Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium.
Miami opened the Tony Sparano era with a 20-14 home loss to the Jets as a three-point underdog, managing just a touchdown in each half. New QB Chad Pennington, a former Jet, went 26-for-43 for 251 yards and two TDs (1 INT), but he got no help from the ground game, which netted just 49 yards.
Arizona opened with a 23-13 victory against San Francisco as a one-point road chalk. The Cards got serviceable efforts from QB Kurt Warner (19 of 30, 197 yards, 1 TD) and RB Edgerrin James (26 carries, 100 yards), but the key was a defense that fueled a 5-0 turnover edge (4 fumbles, 1 INT), leading to a 14-minute advantage in time of possession.
These two teams haven’t met since 2004, when Arizona took a 24-23 decision as a three-point road ‘dog.
The Dolphins, coming off a 1-15 campaign in 2007, are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 roadies against the NFC, but they are 0-6-2 ATS in their last eight September starts. The Cardinals are on ATS slides of 1-8 in home openers and 1-4 after a spread cover, though they are on a 5-0 ATS run in September.
The over for Arizona is on tears of 11-2 after a spread cover, 4-1 overall, 4-1 at home, 23-7 against losing teams and 21-8 coming off a SU win. Also, the over is 4-0 in Miami’s last four games following a SU loss.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
New England (1-0, 0-1 ATS) at N.Y. Jets (1-0 SU and ATS)
The defending AFC champion Patriots, now without reigning league MVP Tom Brady, head to East Rutherford, N.J., for a division showdown against Brett Favre and the Jets.
New England hung on for a 17-10 victory over Kansas City last week, falling far short of covering as a heavy 16-point home favorite. The Pats lost Brady for the year to a pair of torn knee ligaments suffered on a first-quarter hit, but backup Matt Cassel was serviceable enough (13 of 18, 152 yards, 1 TD), and Randy Moss had six catches for 116 yards and a TD. Cassel, a career backup at USC, will be making his first start since high school, not counting preseason.
New York rang in the Favre era with a 20-14 victory at Miami as a three-point chalk. Favre, who retired, unretired and was then traded from the Packers to the Jets over the summer, had an efficient debut in going 15 of 22 for 194 yards and two TDs, with no INTs. RB Thomas Jones helped out with 101 rushing yards and one TD on 22 carries.
New England has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this AFC East rivalry (7-2-1 ATS), including sweeping last year’s series but splitting the cash. The Patriots are also on a 9-0 ATS tear at New York, and the road team is 17-2-1 ATS in the last 20 clashes.
The Patriots, who are underdogs this week for the first time since the 2006 playoffs, are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 on the road and 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 division contests. But they have dropped seven straight pointspread decisions dating to last season (playoffs included), going 0-5 ATS against AFC foes during this slump. Likewise, the Jets carry negative ATS streaks of 1-5 after a SU win and 2-5-1 at home.
The over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these rivals int New York, but the under is on several runs for both teams, including 6-1-1 overall for New England, 5-0-1 for the Patriots against the AFC, 5-0 overall for the Jets, 5-0 for New York against AFC opponents and 5-1 in the Jets’ last six home games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ENGLAND and UNDER
San Diego (0-1 SU and ATS) at Denver (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Chargers quickly find themselves needing a win when they head to Invesco Field at Mile High for an AFC West battle with the Broncos.
San Diego was dealt perhaps the most stunning Week 1 loss, falling to Carolina 26-24 as a 9½-point home chalk, giving up the winning touchdown pass on the game’s final play. The Chargers, who had rallied from a nine-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 24-19 lead with 2½ minutes to play, got outgained 388-316, despite solid efforts from QB Philip Rivers (17 of 27, 217 yards, 3 TDs) and RB LaDainian Tomlinson (21 carries, 97 yards).
Denver coasted to a 41-17 victory over Oakland laying three points on the road Monday night. QB Jay Cutler was an efficient and effective 16 of 24 for 300 yards with two TDs and no INTs, with rookie WR Eddie Royal racking up 146 yards and a TD on nine catches. The Broncos finished with a 441-307 yardage edge.
San Diego is on a 4-0 SU and ATS run in this rivalry, blowing out the Broncos in both games last year, 41-3 on the road and 23-3 at home.
The Chargers are on a 14-5-1 ATS roll as a division favorite and sport additional positive pointspread streaks of 5-0 on the highway (playoffs included), 19-7-2 after a SU loss, 19-7-3 inside the division and 35-16-3 in conference contests. The Broncos, one of the NFL’s worst teams against the number since the 2006 season opener (11-22 ATS), are on a 3-8 ATS plunge as an underdog and are mired in further pointspread funks of 2-11 after a SU win, 2-8 after a spread-cover and 3-10 in division play.
The under has cashed in 14 of San Diego’s last 20 division clashes, but beyond that, the over has been the play for both teams. For the Chargers, the over is on runs of 11-3-2 on the highway, 9-2 after a pointspread defeat, 5-1 after a SU loss and 4-0 in September. The over for Denver is on streaks of 20-6-1 overall, 11-1-1 at home, 4-0 in September and 7-1 inside the division. Finally, the total has gone high in three of the last four meetings between these rivals.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO and OVER
Pittsburgh (1-0 SU and ATS) at Cleveland (0-1 SU and ATS)
An AFC North battle takes the prime-time slot Sunday night when the Steelers make the short trek to Ohio to take on the Browns.
Pittsburgh posted an easy 38-17 victory over Houston, easily covering as a 6½-point home favorite. QB Ben Roethlisberger threw the ball just 14 times, but he completed 13 for 137 yards and two TDs, and RB Willie Parker went off for 138 yards and three TDs on 25 carries, while the Steelers defense allowed just 234 total yards and forced three turnovers.
Cleveland looked terrible in last Sunday’s 28-10 home loss to Dallas as a six-point pup. The Browns got outgained 487-205, with QB Derek Anderson (11 of 24, 114 yards, 1 TD) failing to get on track as the offense had the ball for just 22½ minutes.
Pittsburgh owns a nine-game winning streak against the Browns (7-1-1 ATS), winning both of last year’s meetings but splitting the cash. The Steelers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Cleveland, the favorite is on a 6-1-1 ATS run and the visitor is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 clashes.
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five September contests and 5-2 ATS in their last seven in AFC North play, but they are in pointspread slumps of 1-5 after a spread-cover and 2-5 on the highway. Cleveland, meanwhile, sports positive ATS streaks of 12-4 overall, 7-1 at home, 10-1 against winning teams, 6-1 after a SU loss and 4-1 in division games.
The over has cashed in five of the last six games in this rivalry (one push), and the over for Pittsburgh is on streaks of 5-0 overall, 4-0 in AFC play and 10-4-1 against division foes. Conversely, the under is on a 7-0 overall run for Cleveland dating to 2007, including 4-0 at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND
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San Francisco (0-1 SU and ATS) at Seattle (0-1 SU and ATS)
Two NFC West rivals get together when the 49ers head up the Pacific Coast to Qwest Field to take on the Seahawks.
Seattle, which reached the playoffs each of the last four years, got belted in its season opener at Buffalo, falling 34-10 as a one-point pup. QB Matt Hasselbeck had a subpar day (17 of 41, 190 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT), and the Seahawks finished with just 252 total yards while allowing 338. Seattle also lost the turnover battle 2-0 and gave up a punt-return TD.
San Francisco continued its low-scoring ways of last season in a 23-13 loss to Arizona as a one-point home ‘dog. The 49ers actually outgained the Cards 291-285, but they coughed up the ball five times (4 lost fumbles, 1 INT).
The Seahawks won and covered both of last year’s meetings in blowout fashion, 23-3 on the road and 24-0 at home, and Seattle has cashed in six of the last nine clashes with the 49ers.
The Seahawks are on a 7-2 ATS run at home in division play and carry additional ATS trends of 19-8-1 overall at home (6-0 ATS in their last six), 5-0 overall in the NFC West, 7-3 against the NFC and 13-6 in September. Conversely, the 49ers are stuck in ATS ruts of 3-9 overall, 1-6 on the highway, 2-9 in conference play and 2-7 after a SU loss.
In this rivalry, the under is on runs of 4-0 overall and 4-1 at Qwest Field, and the under is on additional stretches of 6-1 for the 49ers in division play, 4-1 overall for the 49ers, 4-1 for the Seahawks versus division foes and 11-5-1 in Seattle’s last 17 September contests.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SEATTLE and UNDER
Miami (0-1 SU and ATS) at Arizona (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Dolphins cross the country to the desert Southwest for a non-conference meeting with the Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium.
Miami opened the Tony Sparano era with a 20-14 home loss to the Jets as a three-point underdog, managing just a touchdown in each half. New QB Chad Pennington, a former Jet, went 26-for-43 for 251 yards and two TDs (1 INT), but he got no help from the ground game, which netted just 49 yards.
Arizona opened with a 23-13 victory against San Francisco as a one-point road chalk. The Cards got serviceable efforts from QB Kurt Warner (19 of 30, 197 yards, 1 TD) and RB Edgerrin James (26 carries, 100 yards), but the key was a defense that fueled a 5-0 turnover edge (4 fumbles, 1 INT), leading to a 14-minute advantage in time of possession.
These two teams haven’t met since 2004, when Arizona took a 24-23 decision as a three-point road ‘dog.
The Dolphins, coming off a 1-15 campaign in 2007, are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 roadies against the NFC, but they are 0-6-2 ATS in their last eight September starts. The Cardinals are on ATS slides of 1-8 in home openers and 1-4 after a spread cover, though they are on a 5-0 ATS run in September.
The over for Arizona is on tears of 11-2 after a spread cover, 4-1 overall, 4-1 at home, 23-7 against losing teams and 21-8 coming off a SU win. Also, the over is 4-0 in Miami’s last four games following a SU loss.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
New England (1-0, 0-1 ATS) at N.Y. Jets (1-0 SU and ATS)
The defending AFC champion Patriots, now without reigning league MVP Tom Brady, head to East Rutherford, N.J., for a division showdown against Brett Favre and the Jets.
New England hung on for a 17-10 victory over Kansas City last week, falling far short of covering as a heavy 16-point home favorite. The Pats lost Brady for the year to a pair of torn knee ligaments suffered on a first-quarter hit, but backup Matt Cassel was serviceable enough (13 of 18, 152 yards, 1 TD), and Randy Moss had six catches for 116 yards and a TD. Cassel, a career backup at USC, will be making his first start since high school, not counting preseason.
New York rang in the Favre era with a 20-14 victory at Miami as a three-point chalk. Favre, who retired, unretired and was then traded from the Packers to the Jets over the summer, had an efficient debut in going 15 of 22 for 194 yards and two TDs, with no INTs. RB Thomas Jones helped out with 101 rushing yards and one TD on 22 carries.
New England has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this AFC East rivalry (7-2-1 ATS), including sweeping last year’s series but splitting the cash. The Patriots are also on a 9-0 ATS tear at New York, and the road team is 17-2-1 ATS in the last 20 clashes.
The Patriots, who are underdogs this week for the first time since the 2006 playoffs, are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 on the road and 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 division contests. But they have dropped seven straight pointspread decisions dating to last season (playoffs included), going 0-5 ATS against AFC foes during this slump. Likewise, the Jets carry negative ATS streaks of 1-5 after a SU win and 2-5-1 at home.
The over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these rivals int New York, but the under is on several runs for both teams, including 6-1-1 overall for New England, 5-0-1 for the Patriots against the AFC, 5-0 overall for the Jets, 5-0 for New York against AFC opponents and 5-1 in the Jets’ last six home games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ENGLAND and UNDER
San Diego (0-1 SU and ATS) at Denver (1-0 SU and ATS)
The Chargers quickly find themselves needing a win when they head to Invesco Field at Mile High for an AFC West battle with the Broncos.
San Diego was dealt perhaps the most stunning Week 1 loss, falling to Carolina 26-24 as a 9½-point home chalk, giving up the winning touchdown pass on the game’s final play. The Chargers, who had rallied from a nine-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 24-19 lead with 2½ minutes to play, got outgained 388-316, despite solid efforts from QB Philip Rivers (17 of 27, 217 yards, 3 TDs) and RB LaDainian Tomlinson (21 carries, 97 yards).
Denver coasted to a 41-17 victory over Oakland laying three points on the road Monday night. QB Jay Cutler was an efficient and effective 16 of 24 for 300 yards with two TDs and no INTs, with rookie WR Eddie Royal racking up 146 yards and a TD on nine catches. The Broncos finished with a 441-307 yardage edge.
San Diego is on a 4-0 SU and ATS run in this rivalry, blowing out the Broncos in both games last year, 41-3 on the road and 23-3 at home.
The Chargers are on a 14-5-1 ATS roll as a division favorite and sport additional positive pointspread streaks of 5-0 on the highway (playoffs included), 19-7-2 after a SU loss, 19-7-3 inside the division and 35-16-3 in conference contests. The Broncos, one of the NFL’s worst teams against the number since the 2006 season opener (11-22 ATS), are on a 3-8 ATS plunge as an underdog and are mired in further pointspread funks of 2-11 after a SU win, 2-8 after a spread-cover and 3-10 in division play.
The under has cashed in 14 of San Diego’s last 20 division clashes, but beyond that, the over has been the play for both teams. For the Chargers, the over is on runs of 11-3-2 on the highway, 9-2 after a pointspread defeat, 5-1 after a SU loss and 4-0 in September. The over for Denver is on streaks of 20-6-1 overall, 11-1-1 at home, 4-0 in September and 7-1 inside the division. Finally, the total has gone high in three of the last four meetings between these rivals.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO and OVER
Pittsburgh (1-0 SU and ATS) at Cleveland (0-1 SU and ATS)
An AFC North battle takes the prime-time slot Sunday night when the Steelers make the short trek to Ohio to take on the Browns.
Pittsburgh posted an easy 38-17 victory over Houston, easily covering as a 6½-point home favorite. QB Ben Roethlisberger threw the ball just 14 times, but he completed 13 for 137 yards and two TDs, and RB Willie Parker went off for 138 yards and three TDs on 25 carries, while the Steelers defense allowed just 234 total yards and forced three turnovers.
Cleveland looked terrible in last Sunday’s 28-10 home loss to Dallas as a six-point pup. The Browns got outgained 487-205, with QB Derek Anderson (11 of 24, 114 yards, 1 TD) failing to get on track as the offense had the ball for just 22½ minutes.
Pittsburgh owns a nine-game winning streak against the Browns (7-1-1 ATS), winning both of last year’s meetings but splitting the cash. The Steelers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Cleveland, the favorite is on a 6-1-1 ATS run and the visitor is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 clashes.
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five September contests and 5-2 ATS in their last seven in AFC North play, but they are in pointspread slumps of 1-5 after a spread-cover and 2-5 on the highway. Cleveland, meanwhile, sports positive ATS streaks of 12-4 overall, 7-1 at home, 10-1 against winning teams, 6-1 after a SU loss and 4-1 in division games.
The over has cashed in five of the last six games in this rivalry (one push), and the over for Pittsburgh is on streaks of 5-0 overall, 4-0 in AFC play and 10-4-1 against division foes. Conversely, the under is on a 7-0 overall run for Cleveland dating to 2007, including 4-0 at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND
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For those that need more to read:
Value-Champ Sports NFL
9/14/2008
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9/14/2008 TAMPA BAY -7.5
Tokay Sports Picks NFL
9/14/2008 SAN FRANCISCO 6.5
Before You Bet NFL
9/14/2008 ARIZONA -6.5
Shamrock Picks - Professional Sports Handicappers NFL
9/14/2008 NEW ENGLAND 1
Who2beton - Jim Kruger NFL
9/14/2008 NEW ENGLAND at
NY JETS Over 37
All Free Picks NFL
9/14/2008
Best Bet! SAN DIEGO at
DENVER Under 46
Fast Eddie Sports NFL
9/14/2008 CLEVELAND 6
Tokay Sports Picks NFL
9/14/2008 CLEVELAND 6
Tokay Sports Picks MLB
9/14/2008 ST LOUIS CARDINALS (B.Thompson) at
PITTSBURGH PIRATES (J.Davis) Under 9.5
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -130
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 HOUSTON ASTROS -110
ARMVIN SPORTS MLB
9/14/2008 COLORADO ROCKIES -112
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 LOS ANGELES DODGERS 102
Tokay Sports Picks MLB
9/14/2008
Best Bet! SAN DIEGO PADRES -125
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 115
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS 128
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 BOSTON RED SOX -118
Value-Champ Sports NFL
9/14/2008
Best Bet! OAKLAND 3
Prestige Sports NFL
9/14/2008 TENNESSEE 0
Chris Rizzo NFL
9/14/2008 INDIANAPOLIS -2
ARMVIN SPORTS NFL
9/14/2008 INDIANAPOLIS -2
ProViewPicks NFL
9/14/2008 INDIANAPOLIS -1
Tokay Sports Picks NFL
9/14/2008 MINNESOTA 1
DaMan Sports NFL
9/14/2008 MINNESOTA 1
USA Sports Consulting - Brian Smith NFL
9/14/2008 NEW ORLEANS 0
Tokay Sports Picks NFL
9/14/2008 WASHINGTON 0
DaMan Sports NFL
9/14/2008 WASHINGTON 0
TonyDiamond NFL
9/14/2008 GREEN BAY -3
DaMan Sports NFL
9/14/2008 DETROIT 3
Chris Rizzo NFL
9/14/2008 CAROLINA -3
Mike Anthony NFL
9/14/2008 CHICAGO at
CAROLINA Under 37
Preferred Pro Plays NFL
9/14/2008 ST LOUIS 8
ProViewPicks NFL
9/14/2008 NY GIANTS at
ST LOUIS Under 42
Tokay Sports Picks NFL
9/14/2008 ST LOUIS 8.5
Chris Rizzo NFL
9/14/2008 JACKSONVILLE -5.5
All Free Picks NFL
9/14/2008 TAMPA BAY -7.5
Tokay Sports Picks NFL
9/14/2008 SAN FRANCISCO 6.5
Before You Bet NFL
9/14/2008 ARIZONA -6.5
Shamrock Picks - Professional Sports Handicappers NFL
9/14/2008 NEW ENGLAND 1
Who2beton - Jim Kruger NFL
9/14/2008 NEW ENGLAND at
NY JETS Over 37
All Free Picks NFL
9/14/2008
Best Bet! SAN DIEGO at
DENVER Under 46
Fast Eddie Sports NFL
9/14/2008 CLEVELAND 6
Tokay Sports Picks NFL
9/14/2008 CLEVELAND 6
Tokay Sports Picks MLB
9/14/2008 ST LOUIS CARDINALS (B.Thompson) at
PITTSBURGH PIRATES (J.Davis) Under 9.5
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -130
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 HOUSTON ASTROS -110
ARMVIN SPORTS MLB
9/14/2008 COLORADO ROCKIES -112
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 LOS ANGELES DODGERS 102
Tokay Sports Picks MLB
9/14/2008
Best Bet! SAN DIEGO PADRES -125
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 115
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS 128
MJP sports MLB
9/14/2008 BOSTON RED SOX -118
WILD BILL MLB
Sunday, Sept 14
Kansas City Royals +155 (5 units)
Rays +125 (5 units)
Orioles +145 (5 units)
Mets -165 (5 units)
Nationals +140 (5 units)
G1 Milwaukee Brewers +115 (5 units)
Red Sox -115 (5 units)
Dodgers +105 (5 units)
Giants +105 (5 units)
Rangers +100 (5 units)
Reds +140 (5 units)
G2 Philadelphia Phillies -175 (5 units)
Mariners +160 (5 units)
G1 Tigers +170 w/Rogers (5 units)
G2 Tigers +120 w/Verlander (5 units)
Sunday, Sept 14
Kansas City Royals +155 (5 units)
Rays +125 (5 units)
Orioles +145 (5 units)
Mets -165 (5 units)
Nationals +140 (5 units)
G1 Milwaukee Brewers +115 (5 units)
Red Sox -115 (5 units)
Dodgers +105 (5 units)
Giants +105 (5 units)
Rangers +100 (5 units)
Reds +140 (5 units)
G2 Philadelphia Phillies -175 (5 units)
Mariners +160 (5 units)
G1 Tigers +170 w/Rogers (5 units)
G2 Tigers +120 w/Verlander (5 units)
