Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (903) NYM Mets and (904) FLA Marlins. Take "Under". Florida is an excellent pitcher's park. Notice the Marlins average over 5 runs per game on the road, but 4 runs per game at home. A pair of decent pitchers go here. Pedro Martinez still has workable stuff, and in his last three starts he's fanned 18 in 19 innings with only 4 walks. Florida is on a 6-2-2 run under the total with an up and down offense. Florida starter Scott Olsen certainly loves this park: He has an ERA of 5.7 on the road, but 2.98 at home, where opponents hit just .238 off him. The last loss dropped the Marlins six games behind the Mets, so this is a key game. "We've got to play and win our games," said Marlins manager Fredi Gonzalez. "There's no other way to put it. Whether the word is urgency, a must, or a need. Whatever you call it, we've got to win some games." Oddsmakers have made this total too high. Play the Mets/Marlins under the total.