Golden Contender
On Sunday afternoon the comp play is on the laangels game 917 at 1:10 eastern. The laangels have some nice team angles that apply here,and this game just missed as a late phone play.The angels are 20-7 in day games, 35-18 vs 500 or better oppsition, 16-3 on the road when the posted total is 9 to 9.5, 9-3 as a road fav -120-150, and are one of the few teams with a winning record over the past few years at yankee stadium.They pitch their ace J Lackey,and he has pitched fantastic in N.y. 16 innings allowing just 3 runs.He is 6-1 in road team starts with a solid 2.36 era.opposing batterS hitting just .213 against him.The angels are 4-0 this year when he pitches and there off a loss.The yanks are just 1-6 as home dogs +100-125 over the last 3 years,and frankly D.Rasner doesnt scare me.The yankees have an outstanding win rate when they score first this year cashing over 90% of the time,however they may not score at all here.For the faders the record stands at 91-64 on all plays since march 2nd.Be sure to check out sundays big 90% national league super angle play.Those who tailed are 3-0 the last three days and todays no different.Be well GC
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On Sunday afternoon the comp play is on the laangels game 917 at 1:10 eastern. The laangels have some nice team angles that apply here,and this game just missed as a late phone play.The angels are 20-7 in day games, 35-18 vs 500 or better oppsition, 16-3 on the road when the posted total is 9 to 9.5, 9-3 as a road fav -120-150, and are one of the few teams with a winning record over the past few years at yankee stadium.They pitch their ace J Lackey,and he has pitched fantastic in N.y. 16 innings allowing just 3 runs.He is 6-1 in road team starts with a solid 2.36 era.opposing batterS hitting just .213 against him.The angels are 4-0 this year when he pitches and there off a loss.The yanks are just 1-6 as home dogs +100-125 over the last 3 years,and frankly D.Rasner doesnt scare me.The yankees have an outstanding win rate when they score first this year cashing over 90% of the time,however they may not score at all here.For the faders the record stands at 91-64 on all plays since march 2nd.Be sure to check out sundays big 90% national league super angle play.Those who tailed are 3-0 the last three days and todays no different.Be well GC
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ross benjamin
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Detroit Tampa Bay
Event Date: 08/03/2008
Event Time: 01:40 PM EST
Play: Under 8.5 (-120) (Free Selection)
Comments: Detroit (Galarraga) @ Tampa Bay (Shields)
The Rays have gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 games. The Tampa starter Shields has an excellent 2.16 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio in 12 home starts. The Detroit starter Galarraga has posted a stellar 2.60 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 11 road starts. In 5 day game starts Galarraga has an excellent 1.20 ERA. Gallaraga has gone under the total in his last 7 starts when pitching on 4 days of rest. This one has all the makings of a good old fashioned pitcher’s duel. Play on under the total as my free selection of the day.
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Colorado Florida
Event Date: 08/03/2008
Event Time: 01:10 PM EST
Play: Colorado +115 (10*)
Comments: Colorado (Rusch) @ Florida (Olsen)
The Florida starter Scott Olsen is 0-3 in his team starts versus Colorado since the start of the 2007 season while posting a monumental 15.08 ERA in the process. Olsen also enters the game in bad form off of his last 3 starts posting a 5.94 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. The Colorado southpaw starter Glendon Rusch enters the game in good form off of his last 3 starts posting a 3.82 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Marlins are hitting an ice cold .198 as a team at home versus left-handed pitching in 2008. Contrarily the Rockies are hitting .291 as a team on the season and .394 in the last 10 games versus southpaws. Colorado is 7-3 in the last 10 at Florida. Play on the Colorado Rockies as my MLB 10* Underdog Game of the Day.
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Baltimore Seattle
Event Date: 08/03/2008
Event Time: 04:10 PM EST
Play: Over 9.0 (-130) (10*)
Comments: Baltimore (Cabrera) @ Seattle (Silva)
Both of these starting pitchers enter the game in horrible form off of their last 3 starts. The Baltimore starter Cabrera posted an 8.47 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in those outings. His adversary Carlos Silva posted a 9.53 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in that same time frame. In 8 starts during the day Silva has posted a lofty 7.06 ERA, a 1.62 WHIP, and allowed 9 home runs in just 43.1 innings. The Orioles have seen just 15 of their last 55 games go under the total including just 7 of their last 28 on the road. The scheduled home plate umpire Bill Miller is widely recognized as a hitter friendly umpire. Miller has seen just 3 of his last 13 games when he is behind home plate go under the total. Play on over the total as my MLB 10* Total of the Day.
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<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Detroit Tampa Bay
Event Date: 08/03/2008
Event Time: 01:40 PM EST
Play: Under 8.5 (-120) (Free Selection)
Comments: Detroit (Galarraga) @ Tampa Bay (Shields)
The Rays have gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 games. The Tampa starter Shields has an excellent 2.16 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP, and a better than 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio in 12 home starts. The Detroit starter Galarraga has posted a stellar 2.60 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 11 road starts. In 5 day game starts Galarraga has an excellent 1.20 ERA. Gallaraga has gone under the total in his last 7 starts when pitching on 4 days of rest. This one has all the makings of a good old fashioned pitcher’s duel. Play on under the total as my free selection of the day.
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Colorado Florida
Event Date: 08/03/2008
Event Time: 01:10 PM EST
Play: Colorado +115 (10*)
Comments: Colorado (Rusch) @ Florida (Olsen)
The Florida starter Scott Olsen is 0-3 in his team starts versus Colorado since the start of the 2007 season while posting a monumental 15.08 ERA in the process. Olsen also enters the game in bad form off of his last 3 starts posting a 5.94 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. The Colorado southpaw starter Glendon Rusch enters the game in good form off of his last 3 starts posting a 3.82 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Marlins are hitting an ice cold .198 as a team at home versus left-handed pitching in 2008. Contrarily the Rockies are hitting .291 as a team on the season and .394 in the last 10 games versus southpaws. Colorado is 7-3 in the last 10 at Florida. Play on the Colorado Rockies as my MLB 10* Underdog Game of the Day.
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Baltimore Seattle
Event Date: 08/03/2008
Event Time: 04:10 PM EST
Play: Over 9.0 (-130) (10*)
Comments: Baltimore (Cabrera) @ Seattle (Silva)
Both of these starting pitchers enter the game in horrible form off of their last 3 starts. The Baltimore starter Cabrera posted an 8.47 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in those outings. His adversary Carlos Silva posted a 9.53 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in that same time frame. In 8 starts during the day Silva has posted a lofty 7.06 ERA, a 1.62 WHIP, and allowed 9 home runs in just 43.1 innings. The Orioles have seen just 15 of their last 55 games go under the total including just 7 of their last 28 on the road. The scheduled home plate umpire Bill Miller is widely recognized as a hitter friendly umpire. Miller has seen just 3 of his last 13 games when he is behind home plate go under the total. Play on over the total as my MLB 10* Total of the Day.
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Frank Rosenthal
SUNDAY, AUGUST 03, 2008
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MLB
901 ROCKIES+125 SB
905 REDS-120 SB
907 NYM-120 SB+
909 PHILLY-105 SB
912 CUBS OVER 8.5 SB+
914 PADRES-145 SB
917 ANGELS-115 SB
921 TIGERS+140 SB
927 COOKIES UNDER 9.5 SB+
930 RANGERS-105 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
SUNDAY, AUGUST 03, 2008
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MLB
901 ROCKIES+125 SB
905 REDS-120 SB
907 NYM-120 SB+
909 PHILLY-105 SB
912 CUBS OVER 8.5 SB+
914 PADRES-145 SB
917 ANGELS-115 SB
921 TIGERS+140 SB
927 COOKIES UNDER 9.5 SB+
930 RANGERS-105 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO.
DAVID Malinsky
Colorado Rockies @ Florida Marlins
PICK: Under 4*
After the Marlins exploded against the inconsistent Jorge de la Rosa early Thursday's game, this series has settled down to the tune of a 7 and an 8 the last two nights. Now the oddsmakers are calling this one a “50-50” affair to reach double figures, and that price point is wrong for the matchup.
It is understandable that Glendon Rusch is not getting a lot of market respect, but the veteran left-hander is on a 3-0/3.74 run since joining the Colorado rotation, and while he lacks the stuff to keep that up for a long stretch, he brings the kind of savvy that can keep it going short-term. The Mariners have struggled against exactly his type of lefty offerings this season, being a most impatient team at the plate (they lead the N.L. in strikeouts, and are dead last in strikeout to walk ratio). Rusch has only walked two batters through those four starts, and can induce a lot of easy contact outs vs. a lineup that will swing at a lot of pitches on the borders of the strike zone. The absence of Hanley Ramirez from that lineup only makes the task easier.
Scott Olsen continues to show a home/away bias that is not being priced properly, with a 5.37 from visiting mounds vs. a 3.12 here, and we also get value with his name in the pitching forms because of the 1-2/5.94 showing for his last three starts. But that post-All Star break period has had him go up against the Phillies, Cubs and Mets, and now he gets a chance to finally step down in class here, while also bringing a chip on his shoulder - he was the starter at Coors Field on the 4th of July when the wind turned that particular Rocky/Marlin affair into a bizarre 18-17 Colorado win. With Ricky Nolasco working such a strong outing on Saturday it also means that all key arms are rested and ready in the bullpen, which makes it even harder for this high Total to be reached.
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Colorado Rockies @ Florida Marlins
PICK: Under 4*
After the Marlins exploded against the inconsistent Jorge de la Rosa early Thursday's game, this series has settled down to the tune of a 7 and an 8 the last two nights. Now the oddsmakers are calling this one a “50-50” affair to reach double figures, and that price point is wrong for the matchup.
It is understandable that Glendon Rusch is not getting a lot of market respect, but the veteran left-hander is on a 3-0/3.74 run since joining the Colorado rotation, and while he lacks the stuff to keep that up for a long stretch, he brings the kind of savvy that can keep it going short-term. The Mariners have struggled against exactly his type of lefty offerings this season, being a most impatient team at the plate (they lead the N.L. in strikeouts, and are dead last in strikeout to walk ratio). Rusch has only walked two batters through those four starts, and can induce a lot of easy contact outs vs. a lineup that will swing at a lot of pitches on the borders of the strike zone. The absence of Hanley Ramirez from that lineup only makes the task easier.
Scott Olsen continues to show a home/away bias that is not being priced properly, with a 5.37 from visiting mounds vs. a 3.12 here, and we also get value with his name in the pitching forms because of the 1-2/5.94 showing for his last three starts. But that post-All Star break period has had him go up against the Phillies, Cubs and Mets, and now he gets a chance to finally step down in class here, while also bringing a chip on his shoulder - he was the starter at Coors Field on the 4th of July when the wind turned that particular Rocky/Marlin affair into a bizarre 18-17 Colorado win. With Ricky Nolasco working such a strong outing on Saturday it also means that all key arms are rested and ready in the bullpen, which makes it even harder for this high Total to be reached.
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SARATOGA 7
Anxiety can set up a nice little score here.
#1 Survived figures to be a short-price favorite, but two things go against her. She was off the board as a 8-5 choice last time and the inner turf course at SAR favors closers or mid-pack runners, not on the lead or near the lead types like Survived.
#4 Anxiety closes, has won 3 of her last 5 starts, and because of her dull try most recently, she is 10- on the morning line.
The play:
#4 Anxiety $10 win
$2 Tri key: 4/1,6,7,10 ($24)
$4 Tri Key 4/6,7 ($8)
I'll see if I can find any more.
