Service Plays Sunday 7/27/08

[rocky2]

Brian Gabrielle

Take Kasey Kahne (+700), 1/6th unit. This week we head to the Brickyard, Indianapolis Motor Speedway, where the Car of Tomorrow has never raced. The closest track we can get to Indy to look at some historical numbers for the COT is Pocono, where the Cuppers raced last month. And in that event, Kahne was tops: he won the race, and he also came all the way through the field after a bad pit stop put him at the back of the pack. Kahne has a couple top-fives in his Brickyard history, and I think he's got a win in him on Sunday.

Take Jimmie Johnson (+700), 1/6th unit. J.J. broke my heart last Saturday losing late to Busch, but he proved that he's back to having the best cars when it matters most. Johnson won the Brickyard in '06 but then crashed out in '07, and in interviews this past week, he's come across quite a bit hungrier than usual. Expect the No. 48 to hang around for the race's first half, then adjust and come on like gangbusters late.

Take Brian Vickers (+1800), 1/6th unit. Second week in a row I'm going with the feisty Vickers. Last week at Michigan, he rewarded me with a fourth-place finish and a head-to-head win, and I think he's got as good an effort in him on Sunday. Vickers finished second at Pocono last month, illustrating that Team Red Bull understands what it takes to get around very fast flat tracks, and the Brickyard is one of those. There's still a shot Vickers wins a race this year; I don't think Vegas has quite caught up to how well he's running.

In this week's head-to-head match-up, take Vickers over Greg Biffle (+100), 1 unit. Vickers is an underdog in this one, and well he should be: Biffle sits seventh in points (compared to Vickers' 14th), and is favored to finish in the top 10 almost every single week. Still, his efforts at Pocono and Indy haven't been up to snuff the past couple years: he was 15th in the COT at Pocono in June and finished 24th, 30th and 23rd the three Pocono races before that, and his last three Indy finishes have been 15th, 33rd and 21st. It's always scary picking a "mid-major" against a superpower team like Roush Racing, but that's how impressed I've been with the No. 83 of late.

 

[rocky2]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

LA Angels -139 over BALTIMORE

The Angels are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter and 8-1 in Santanas last 9 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, while the Orioles are 13-39 in their last 52 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150, 1-15 in their last 16 games on Sunday and 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League West. The Angels have the best road record in baseball, at 33-18, including a 15-7 mark in their last 22 away from home. They also come in rather hot as they have won 9 of their last 10 overall, while hitting over .310 and scoring 6.4 rpg in the process. Ervin Santana has been a big surprise for the Angeles this year, particularly on the road, where he is 8-1 with a 3.44 ERA. Overall Ervin is 11-4 with a 3.37 ERA and he is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in 5 career starts vs the O's. Garrett Olsen has been really struggling of late, going 0-2 with a 10.52 ERA in his last 4 starts. Overall Garrett is 6-5, but with a high 6.11 ERA, including a 3-1 mark at home, with a 5.48 ERA at home. The Oriole offense has been good of late, but this team really struggles in day game, as they hit just .237 and score 3.8 rpg in them. Bottom line here is that the Angels are the much hotter team, with the much hotter offense and the much better starter on the mound. Angels get the sweep here.


2 UNIT PLAYS

TORONTO/ Seattle Under 9

The Under is 12-2-2 in Mariners last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 8-1 in Washburns last 9 starts overall, while the Under is 8-1 in Blue Jays last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 14-5 in Blue Jays last 19 vs. American League West. Last night these teams put up 11 runs, but in the prior 7 meetings this year just an average of 6 rpg were scored. In the last 17 games in the series, only 5 of them score 10 or more runs, with those games averaging just 6.8 rpg, including an average of 6.5 rpg being scored in the last 11 played at Toronto. Both teams have rough scoring situations in this one, as Toronto averages just 3.5 rpg vs lefty starters and just 4.5 rpg at home, While Seattle comes in averaging just 3.8 rpg vs righty starters, 3.6 rpg in day games and just 2.3 rpg in their last 6 games overall. Although it doesn't like it by his record, but Jarrod Washburn has pitched really well of late. Jarrod comes in with a 2.64 ERA in his last 8 starts, with those games averaging just 6.9 rpg. He does have a 4.57 ERA on the road overall, but just a 2.51 ERA in his last 5 starts away from home, plus he has a 2.77 ERA in 2 day starts on the year and a 2.25 ERA in 2 starts vs the Jay's this year. Shaun Marcum is off 2 rough starts, but he does have a nice 3.05 ERA overall, a 2.43 ERA at home and a 3.43 ERA in day games. HIs home starts this year have averaged just 6.7 rpg, while his overall starts have averaged just 7.7 rpg and his day starts have averaged just 7.3 rpg. A traditionally low scoring series will continue today. There won't be double digits scored in this one.

I ALSO LIKE

PHILADELPHIA -139 over Atlanta


1 UNIT PLAY

Tampa Bay -129 over KANSAS CITY
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[nordique]

Lvsa Full Sunday Card 7/27/08

Las Vegas Sports Advisors
Sunday's Plays

3*)Arizona -134
FREE PICK

4*)LA Angels -138

4*)Toronto -164



AGAIN NO PLAY OF THE DAY??? 9-2 L 11 GMS :think2:

Saturdats Results...
Las Vegas Sports Advisors

4-0

5*)Tampa Bay -145 WIN

5*)Los Angeles-D -1.5 (-105) Runline) List LOWE WIN

5*)Philadelphia -190 WIN

5*)Arizona -105 WIN
:aktion033

 

[nordique]

Feist & Cokin Sunday's play

My free pick of the day is the game between (957) ATL Braves and (958) PHI Phillies. Take "(957) ATL Braves

My free pick of the day is the game between (959) HOU Astros and (960) MIL Brewers. Take "Over". New team, new city for Randy Wolf, who moves over from the Padres to the Astros. Wolf has pitched more like a sheep this season, going 6-10 with a 4.74 era. On the road the Padres lost nine of his 10 stars and Wolf had a 6.63 era. Jeff Suppan goes for the Brewers today and while he's 5-6 on the season with a 4.65 era, he historically has had his troubles with the Astros. Suppan is 2-6 in his career against the Astros with a 4.83 era and a 3.08 opponent batting average. We don't expect to see either of these pitchers last long in today's contest. Take the OVER

I THINK THEY WERE 2-0 ON SATURDAY :toast:

 

[nordique]

ANYBODY HAVE ' PLAYBYPLAY INC' PLAYS FOR SUNDAY???

He Won On Saturday With A Big Dog On Florida +220 I Think...

 

[RPReno]

Little Buddah

I missed 5 days from 7/1-All Star Gm.
But other than those, 70% was 12/3 making it 32/13 to date.
That is 71%!!!

I do not follow their selections religiously but copnsider them with my own capping.
I suggest others to do the same.

 

[ron310]

burns and ness??

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HONDO

Duchscherer went from stable stalwart to stable stumblebum yesterday as he was tattooed by Texas to slash Hondo's earnings to 780 macks.

Today, 10 units on Lohse and the Cards to trump Santana out at the Lame Duck Dump. And then let the finger-pointing begin.

 

[werwex]

L.Ness 5-11L4day -4224

 

[ytowngambler]

Larry Ness

AL Game of the Month 20* Oak A's

 

[ytowngambler]

I will pick up the rest of Ness once released after 10:30 ET

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Insider Sports Report

Chicago White Sox/Detroit (MLB) UNDER 10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WINNERS EDGE -7/27/08


Florida Marlins + 155 , 2 unit

SF Giants + 125 , 2 units

Padres /Pirates under 7.5 , -120 , 1 unit

Yankees/Redsox over 10 -105 , 1 unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gina

Sunday, July 27, 2008 1:35 p.m. est.
Los Angeles Angels (64-39) at Baltimore Orioles (48-55)
(R) Ervin Santana (11-4) vs. (L) Garrett Olson (6-5)
The hot Angels are 9-1 in their last ten games and have won six of the last seven games versus the Orioles, five of the last six in Baltimore. The Orioles have lost 14 of their last 18 games.

Los Angeles will send Ervin Santana (11-4, 3.37 ERA) to the hill. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA in his last three starts, 8-1 with a 3.44 ERA in his last 12 on the road. Santana is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in five career starts against the Orioles.
Baltimore counters with Garrett Olson (6-5, 6.11). The rookie lefthander is 0-2 with a 11.30 ERA in his last three starts, just 1-4 with a 8.62 ERA in his last eight.

Go with Angels to hand the struggling Orioles their sixth straight defeat.


Los Angeles Angels -150

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JB's Computer Plays

Sunday, July 27, 2008
Time Game Selections

1:35 p.m. Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles
(R) Ervin Santana (11-4) vs. (L) Garrett Olson (6-5) Los Angeles Angels -150

2:10 p.m. Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
(R) Andy Sonnanstine (10-5) vs. (R) Kyle Davies (3-2) Tampa Bay Rays -140

805 p.m. New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox
(R) Sidney Ponson (6-1) vs. (L) Jon Lester (8-3) New York Yankees +145

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Sun (MLB) Tigers
Sun (MLB) Yankees

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROCCO SPACAMURO
100* Blue Jays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Sunday: Take SAN DIEGO/PITTSBURGH OVER the total of 7 runs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ARTHUR RALPH

L A Dodgers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (58-48) at N.Y. Mets (56-48)
The Cardinals snapped a five-game losing streak Saturday and now try to make it two in a row when they send Kyle Lohse (12-2, 3.35 ERA) to the mound to face Mets? left-hander Johan Santana (8-7, 3.05) at Shea Stadium in New York.
Since opening the second half of the season with four straight wins, St. Louis had lost five in a row before Saturday?s 10-8, 14-inning victory when Albert Pujols delivered a two-run homer in the 14th to get the win.
New York has won three of its last four games and 15 of its last 19 overall to pull itself into sole possession of first place in the N.L. East. The Mets have won 10 of their last 12 home games and they have gone 8-5 in the last 13 series matchups with the Cardinals.
Lohse is 2-0 with a 2.05 ERA in his last three starts and he?s 6-1 on the road this season. St. Louis had won four straight Lohse outings but lost his last one when he gave up three runs in eight innings of a 4-3 loss at home to the Brewers on Tuesday. Back on June 30 he held the Mets to one unearned run in seven innings of a 7-1 win in St. Louis.
Santana is just 4-3 at Shea Stadium this season but his ERA is a stellar 2.59. On Tuesday he gave up just two runs in eight innings but New York?s bullpen imploded and the Mets fell to the Phillies 8-6. New York has lost seven of Santana?s last nine starts despite the southpaw allowing three earned runs or less in seven of the nine.
St. Louis is 11-2 in Lohse?s last 13 starts and 4-0 when he faces teams from the N.L. East. But overall the Cardinals are on a 1-7 slide against teams with a winning record. The Mets are 1-4 at home when Santana is favored and on an 0-5 slide when he faces teams with a winning record.
With Lohse on the hill, the under is on runs of 7-2-3 overall and 4-1-3 when he?s an underdog. The Cardinals have topped the total in 13 of their last 17 road games against southpaws. When Santana has faced N.L. Central teams the over is on a 4-0 run. As a team, the Mets are on under runs of 11-4-2 in their last 17 games as a favorite and 9-3-1 at Shea Stadium.
The under is 9-5-1 in the last 15 games between these two and 6-1 in the last seven meetings in New York.
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. METS



Florida (55-49) at Chicago Cubs (60-44)
The Marlins will try to make it three in a row at Wrigley Field in Chicago when they send young Rick VandenHurk (1-1, 6.10 ERA) to the mound against the Cubs? Jason Marquis (6-6, 4.44).
Florida has scored identical 3-2 wins in Chicago the last two days, including Saturday?s 12-inning affair. The Marlins have owned the Cubs lately, winning 12 of the last 13 matchups dating back to the 2006 season, and six of the last seven played in Chicago.
The Cubs are just 3-6 since the All-Star break but they have been tough to beat as a favorite, going 49-23 in their last 72 and at Wrigley they are 42-15 dating back to last season.
VandenHurk has made just three starts this season for the Marlins, but on Tuesday he no-hit the Braves for five innings and Florida went on to score a 4-0 win. He?s never faced the Cubs, but on the road last season the Marlins lost four of his last five starts.
The Cubs have lost three of Marquis? last four starts, but last time he pitched at Wrigley he blanked the Giants on three hits for seven innings of a 3-1 win. On Tuesday he gave up three runs in six innings of a 9-2 loss in Arizona. For his career, he?s 4-5 against Florida with a 6.88 ERA.
The over is 5-1-1 in VandenHurk?s last seven road starts and 7-3 in the last 10 home starts for Marquis. Overall, the Marlins are on ?over? runs of 38-18-6 on the road, 35-18-6 overall and 39-15-3 in their last 57 Sunday games. For the Cubs, the under is 9-2 in their last 11 against teams from the N.L. East.
For this series, the over is 16-8 in the last 24 overall and 15-8 in the last 23 in Chicago.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (58-45) at Boston (60-45)
The Yankees try to make it a sweep at Fenway Park when they send Sidney Ponson (6-1, 4.02) to the mound against Red Sox southpaw Jon Lester (8-3, 3.20).
New York has won eight straight since the All-Star break and beat Boston 10-3 on Saturday behind the pitching of veteran Andy Pettitte. The victory pulled the Yankees to within one game of Boston in the A.L. East standings and they trail the Rays by three games.
The Yankees are now 22-8 in their last 30 against teams with a winning record and they are 22-7 in their last 29 Sunday contests. Against the Red Sox, New York is 6-5 in 11 matchups this season and has won four straight, including three in a row at Fenway.
Despite two straight home losses, the Red Sox are still 41-12 in front of the home fans dating back to last season and 56-23 in their last 79 games as a favorite.
New York has won all four of Ponson?s starts in pinstripes, including Monday when he held the Twins to three runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 12-4 victory. In his lone road start for the Yankees he limited the Mets to just five hits through six innings of a 9-0 win at Shea Stadium. He?s not had much success against Boston, going 3-11 with a 6.61 ERA in 20 career starts, but he hasn?t faced the Red Sox in more than a year.
Lester has been brilliant lately, going 2-0 with a 1.90 ERA in his last three starts and Boston has won eight of his last nine trips to the mound. Last time out he threw 7 1/3 innings of shutout baseball at the Mariners as the Red Sox got a 4-0 road win. At Fenway he?s 4-1 with a 2.93 ERA and against the Yankees he?s 1-0 in two career starts with a 4.97 ERA. Back on July 3 he threw a complete-game shutout in New York, leading the Red Sox to a 7-0 win.
Boston is 25-9 in Lester?s last 34 outings and 13-3 when he faces teams from the A.L. East.
The under is 17-8-2 in Lester?s last 27 starts and 10-4 in his last 14 at home. For the Red Sox, the over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 at home against teams with a winning road record. For the Yankees, the under is on streaks of 20-8-2 overall, 7-0 against southpaws and 27-12-1 against A.L. East rivals.
In this rivalry, the over is 23-7 in the last 30 meetings at Fenway Park.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER