XpertPicks
Sunday Baseball
Play St. Louis -215 over Atlanta—Top Play
St. Louis has won 50 of the last 67 games when playing as a favorite of
-110 or higher and they have won 37 of the last 49 home games. St.
Louis has won 51 of the last 72 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers
and they have won 55 of the last 78 games when the total posted is
between 7 and 8.5 runs.
Play Chicago Cubs -210 over Philadelphia—Top Play
Philadelphia has lost 46 of the last 77 games coming off two or more
wins and they have lost 57 of the last 92 games vs. NL Central Division
Opponents. Philadelphia has lost 65 of the last 90 games when playing
as a road underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 78 of the last
132 day games.
Sunday Baseball
Play St. Louis -215 over Atlanta—Top Play
St. Louis has won 50 of the last 67 games when playing as a favorite of
-110 or higher and they have won 37 of the last 49 home games. St.
Louis has won 51 of the last 72 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers
and they have won 55 of the last 78 games when the total posted is
between 7 and 8.5 runs.
Play Chicago Cubs -210 over Philadelphia—Top Play
Philadelphia has lost 46 of the last 77 games coming off two or more
wins and they have lost 57 of the last 92 games vs. NL Central Division
Opponents. Philadelphia has lost 65 of the last 90 games when playing
as a road underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 78 of the last
132 day games.
The Champ Picks
Here are my personal pick(s) for today:
[MLB] 2* Star Pick: Boston Red Sox
[MLB] 2* Star Pick: New York Yankees
Always bet on the Money Line on all my baseball picks. This means that you are betting for the team to win straight up. Always bet on the point spread on all my basketball and American football picks. This means you are betting on them to cover the spread.
Note: The higher the star number, the more certain I am about the pick. I do not have a maximum star number limit. However, it is incredibly rare for me to have a play higher than 7 stars, but just keep in mind that there is no limit to the amount of stars I can attach to a pick. My star rating is based on the amount of inside info I have on the games being played. Over the years, the highest amount of stars I can remember having attached to a play is still much less than 10.
Here are my personal pick(s) for today:
[MLB] 2* Star Pick: Boston Red Sox
[MLB] 2* Star Pick: New York Yankees
Always bet on the Money Line on all my baseball picks. This means that you are betting for the team to win straight up. Always bet on the point spread on all my basketball and American football picks. This means you are betting on them to cover the spread.
Note: The higher the star number, the more certain I am about the pick. I do not have a maximum star number limit. However, it is incredibly rare for me to have a play higher than 7 stars, but just keep in mind that there is no limit to the amount of stars I can attach to a pick. My star rating is based on the amount of inside info I have on the games being played. Over the years, the highest amount of stars I can remember having attached to a play is still much less than 10.
PORT PORT SPORTS
TODAY’S ACTION — (MLB)
UNDER 7 ATLANTA BRAVES @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (-110)
These two teams have been staying below the total as of late and come into today’s game having score 7 total runs through the first two games of this series. For starters the Braves have played to the Under in 4 straight overall and have stayed below the total at an 8-2-1 clip in their 11 games. St. Louis has stayed to the Under in 3 straight and at a 5-2 cash rate in their L7 overall. The Braves have been held to 3 total runs over their L3 overall and they have been held to 3 runs or less 9 times out of their L11 games. That has helped them to drop 7 straight overall on the road, while also posting a pathetic 3-13 record over their L16 games away from home. They have an extremely tough task today again versus this St. Louis Cardinals that has an MLB team best ERA of 2.64 combined. They have been even better since the ASB, posting a 7-1 record through the first 8 games back and holding a 2.00 ERA in those games. Add to that, they send Wacha to the mound today, and although he has never started against the Braves in his career, he has recorded 2.2 IP of scoreless ball in relief against them. He has also been dominant at home as usual, with an 11-2 mark there through his L19 starts to go along with a 2.24 ERA, including a 2-0 stretch and 1.86 ERA in his L3 there. The Cardinals have put together a 7-1 mark in their L8 at home and we expect that again here today in this day game. Wacha has excelled in matinee games this season, holding a 4-1 record to go along with a 2.08 ERA in his 7 day starts in 2015. The Cardinals usually stay below the total when the number is set at 7 while at home, as they have covered the Under in 4 straight in that situation and at a 10-2-1 in their L13 such situations. They are 13-5-2 for the Under in that same situation on the year overall. Roll with the UNDER in today’s final match of the series……
UNDER 7 – WASHINGTON NATIONALS @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES (-105)
This one comes on on a personal trend that is currently hitting for nearly 70% on the season and we expect nothing less for this one either. Cole is on the mound for the Pirates and he has been money lately as usual. The Pirates ace goes for his 2nd crack at 14 wins this season, as 2015 has been all the Pirates were expecting of him and then some so far. Their phenom is 13-4 with a 2.31 ERA on the season overall and comes into today’s matchup having posted an 8-2 mark and 2.25 ERA in his L11 outings. He dominated the Nationals in his 2 meetings against them, winning both, and carrying a 2.08 ERA lifetime versus the franchise. But how about what Cole does against the NL East, compiling a perfect 5-0 mark and 1.23 ERA against the division. The Pirates have owned NL EAST foes themselves, going 13-2 ML in their L15 against the Eastern division and have posted a 10-2 mark in their L12 overall at home. Not much to add here with Ross going for the Nationals, although he did pitch extremely well in his lone career meeting against the Pirates. Ross gave up 1 run and struck out 11 in 7.1 IP, in a 4-1 Nats win back in early June. The home team has now gone 11-2 ML in the L13 meetings between the two teams, with a 9-4 mark for the Under in those games. In fact, 9-out-of-10 meetings had stayed under, prior to the 3 straight Overs hit through the first 3 games of the series. Go with the UNDER in this pitcher’s duel……
SEATTLE MARINERS (+110)
Seattle took a tough loss in last nights game, but with Walker on the mound today, there is good reason to believe they are poised for a nice bounce back win. Last time Seattle faced Buerhle, they picked up 3 runs on 5 hits in 7.1 IP in securing the win. Buerhle has been money since then, posting a 6-1 record in that span, and allowing 2 ER or less in each of his L9 outings. Hell, he hasn’t even allowed a single BB over his 4 games. No doubt Walker is struggling lately on his side, losing 3 straight starts while allowing 16 ER over his last 15.1 innings of work. He is 0-2 with a 3.29 ERA against the Jays in his career, also losing to them in his lone start this season, giving up 4 ER and 6 H in his 5.2 IP in that game back in May. That loss propelled Walker somewhat, as he followed that game with a 6-1 stretch with a 1.68 ERA. However, that stretch officially ended 3 starts ago and he is 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA since. Seattle is 4-2 ML in the L6 meetings between the two squads, including yesterday’s loss, but Toronto has only won back-to-back games on the road three times this season, with the last time that happening, coming back in the beginning of June. Go with the SEATTLE MARINERS at home today……
NEW YORK YANKEES (-115)
The Twins looked poised to pick up their 2nd straight win against the Yankees to kick off this series, but New York put 4 runs on the board in the top of the 9th, erasing Minnesota’s one-time 5-0 lead, behind 3 HR by Rodriguez. The Yankees are suddenly red hot as of late, picking up 5 straight series wins and carrying an impressive 7-2 ML record in their L9 and 10-3 mark in their L13 overall. Eovaldi is on the hill for the Yankees and that should be a good thing as the Yankees have been providing him with an MLB-best 7.03 RPG of support in his outings. He has pitched especially well in day games this season, sporting a perfect 4-0 record with a 2.61 ERA in 5 matinee outings in 2015. The righty has been equally as impressive over his L6 starts, going 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA in that span. He has been helping himself lately, not allowing more than 3 ER in any of his L6 starts. New York has picked up 6 straight wins when listed as the favorite between -105 and -120 andi the Yanks are 8-1 ML in the L9 times in that same situation. Gibson takes the mound for the Twins and he too has been dominating recently. He allowed 6 runs in his last outing, but prior to that, he was 4-0 with a 1.34 ERA in his 4 starts prior. He has struggled mightily against the Yankess in his career going 1-2 with a balky 10.95 ERA, his highest total against any career opponent. However, it won’t be that easy for the Yankees most likely, as he has never allowed more than 1 hit against any of this current Yankee squad. New York is 4-1 ML in their L5 as the favorite on the road and 6-2 ML in their L8 as the road favorite. Take the NEW YORK YANKEES in today’s rubber match…….
KANSAS CITY ROYALS (+110)
Two hot teams squaring off today, and we are going against the one with the hotter pitcher on the mound. Kansas City has just been awesome lately, posting a 12-4 ML record in their L16 overall and they have been doing so with incredibly strong pitching performances, especially as of late. The Royals pitching staff has held their opponent to 1 run or less in 3-of-their-L4 games and in 4-of-their-L6 overall. Yesterday’s 10-inning win for the Royals snapped both the Astros 7-game winning streak in the series and 5 consecutive wins overall. But Kansas City will need to get the offense going here today, something they have been unable to do against the Astros recently, scoring 2 runs or less in 6-of-their-L8 against each other. They get Keuchel today, and he was more than they could handle June 30, as he tossed 8 scoreless innings, striking out 7, in leading Houston to the 4-0 win. He has been just as impressive in his 3 career starts against the Royals with a 2-0 record and 2.61 ERA versus the franchise. The big guy hasn’t been as impressive on the road lately, losing 4-of-his-L5 starts away from home and holding a 4.65 ERA in his L6 in some other stadium. But this one will come down to more than the pitching and that is a good thing. Ventura has been awful lately, going 1-4 with an ERA above 6.50 over his L6 outings. Still, expecting the Royals offense to put enough together to get the home win. Run with the KANSAS CITY ROYALS here……
UNDER 8.5 – MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (-110)
Again, there has been absolutely no offense from these two teams in the L2 games, as they have combined to score a total of 5 runs in those games. Garza is 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA in 7 appearances (6 GS) against the Diamondbacks in his career, and has also thrown 5 scoreless innings against them out of the bullpen this season, when they played to 17-innings back in May. Milwaukee is hitting .196 combined as a team, while scoring 5 total runs through the first 3 games of the series. Hellickson has been pitching well lately also, going 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA through his first 3 starts in July. He has also posted a 2.76 n his L5 starts at home, winning 4 of those outings. He has lasted at least 6 innings or more in 8-of-his-L11 starts. And lastly, he has allowed 2 ER or less in 5-of-his-L6 outings. Offense should be at a premium again here today, with the Diamondbacks offense has been held to 3 runs or less in 9-of-their-L12 overall. Stick with the Under in this meeting……
CLEVELAND INDIANS RUN LINE -1.5 (+130)
No doubt about it, Cleveland has looked horrible as of late, dropping the first 3 games in this series and being out scored 24-4 so far. And we have had a tough run on RL plays lately, with I believe each of our L5 RL plays winning the game by a run, thus losing our RL play. But today gives us reason to suspect we will change those trends as this Indians team seems poised to bounce back today. Rodon is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA over his L4 starts and 1-3 with a 6.98 ERA over his L6 games pitched. He gave up 7 ER in 4 IP in the loss to St. Louis, while also allowing 19 BB in his L26 IP. The White Sox pitching staff has been mighty tough lately though on the road, with a 7-1 mark and 1.23 ERA in their L8 outings away from home. The White Sox have failed to record a sweep in a 4-game set since all the way back in 2005. We aren’t expecting that to change today either. Not with Salazar on the mound. He has won 2 straight meetings against the Sox, with 5 innings of scoreless ball in his first meeting against them this season. Take the CLEVELAND INDIANS on the RUN LINE here today…..
TODAY’S ACTION — (MLB)
UNDER 7 ATLANTA BRAVES @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (-110)
These two teams have been staying below the total as of late and come into today’s game having score 7 total runs through the first two games of this series. For starters the Braves have played to the Under in 4 straight overall and have stayed below the total at an 8-2-1 clip in their 11 games. St. Louis has stayed to the Under in 3 straight and at a 5-2 cash rate in their L7 overall. The Braves have been held to 3 total runs over their L3 overall and they have been held to 3 runs or less 9 times out of their L11 games. That has helped them to drop 7 straight overall on the road, while also posting a pathetic 3-13 record over their L16 games away from home. They have an extremely tough task today again versus this St. Louis Cardinals that has an MLB team best ERA of 2.64 combined. They have been even better since the ASB, posting a 7-1 record through the first 8 games back and holding a 2.00 ERA in those games. Add to that, they send Wacha to the mound today, and although he has never started against the Braves in his career, he has recorded 2.2 IP of scoreless ball in relief against them. He has also been dominant at home as usual, with an 11-2 mark there through his L19 starts to go along with a 2.24 ERA, including a 2-0 stretch and 1.86 ERA in his L3 there. The Cardinals have put together a 7-1 mark in their L8 at home and we expect that again here today in this day game. Wacha has excelled in matinee games this season, holding a 4-1 record to go along with a 2.08 ERA in his 7 day starts in 2015. The Cardinals usually stay below the total when the number is set at 7 while at home, as they have covered the Under in 4 straight in that situation and at a 10-2-1 in their L13 such situations. They are 13-5-2 for the Under in that same situation on the year overall. Roll with the UNDER in today’s final match of the series……
UNDER 7 – WASHINGTON NATIONALS @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES (-105)
This one comes on on a personal trend that is currently hitting for nearly 70% on the season and we expect nothing less for this one either. Cole is on the mound for the Pirates and he has been money lately as usual. The Pirates ace goes for his 2nd crack at 14 wins this season, as 2015 has been all the Pirates were expecting of him and then some so far. Their phenom is 13-4 with a 2.31 ERA on the season overall and comes into today’s matchup having posted an 8-2 mark and 2.25 ERA in his L11 outings. He dominated the Nationals in his 2 meetings against them, winning both, and carrying a 2.08 ERA lifetime versus the franchise. But how about what Cole does against the NL East, compiling a perfect 5-0 mark and 1.23 ERA against the division. The Pirates have owned NL EAST foes themselves, going 13-2 ML in their L15 against the Eastern division and have posted a 10-2 mark in their L12 overall at home. Not much to add here with Ross going for the Nationals, although he did pitch extremely well in his lone career meeting against the Pirates. Ross gave up 1 run and struck out 11 in 7.1 IP, in a 4-1 Nats win back in early June. The home team has now gone 11-2 ML in the L13 meetings between the two teams, with a 9-4 mark for the Under in those games. In fact, 9-out-of-10 meetings had stayed under, prior to the 3 straight Overs hit through the first 3 games of the series. Go with the UNDER in this pitcher’s duel……
SEATTLE MARINERS (+110)
Seattle took a tough loss in last nights game, but with Walker on the mound today, there is good reason to believe they are poised for a nice bounce back win. Last time Seattle faced Buerhle, they picked up 3 runs on 5 hits in 7.1 IP in securing the win. Buerhle has been money since then, posting a 6-1 record in that span, and allowing 2 ER or less in each of his L9 outings. Hell, he hasn’t even allowed a single BB over his 4 games. No doubt Walker is struggling lately on his side, losing 3 straight starts while allowing 16 ER over his last 15.1 innings of work. He is 0-2 with a 3.29 ERA against the Jays in his career, also losing to them in his lone start this season, giving up 4 ER and 6 H in his 5.2 IP in that game back in May. That loss propelled Walker somewhat, as he followed that game with a 6-1 stretch with a 1.68 ERA. However, that stretch officially ended 3 starts ago and he is 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA since. Seattle is 4-2 ML in the L6 meetings between the two squads, including yesterday’s loss, but Toronto has only won back-to-back games on the road three times this season, with the last time that happening, coming back in the beginning of June. Go with the SEATTLE MARINERS at home today……
NEW YORK YANKEES (-115)
The Twins looked poised to pick up their 2nd straight win against the Yankees to kick off this series, but New York put 4 runs on the board in the top of the 9th, erasing Minnesota’s one-time 5-0 lead, behind 3 HR by Rodriguez. The Yankees are suddenly red hot as of late, picking up 5 straight series wins and carrying an impressive 7-2 ML record in their L9 and 10-3 mark in their L13 overall. Eovaldi is on the hill for the Yankees and that should be a good thing as the Yankees have been providing him with an MLB-best 7.03 RPG of support in his outings. He has pitched especially well in day games this season, sporting a perfect 4-0 record with a 2.61 ERA in 5 matinee outings in 2015. The righty has been equally as impressive over his L6 starts, going 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA in that span. He has been helping himself lately, not allowing more than 3 ER in any of his L6 starts. New York has picked up 6 straight wins when listed as the favorite between -105 and -120 andi the Yanks are 8-1 ML in the L9 times in that same situation. Gibson takes the mound for the Twins and he too has been dominating recently. He allowed 6 runs in his last outing, but prior to that, he was 4-0 with a 1.34 ERA in his 4 starts prior. He has struggled mightily against the Yankess in his career going 1-2 with a balky 10.95 ERA, his highest total against any career opponent. However, it won’t be that easy for the Yankees most likely, as he has never allowed more than 1 hit against any of this current Yankee squad. New York is 4-1 ML in their L5 as the favorite on the road and 6-2 ML in their L8 as the road favorite. Take the NEW YORK YANKEES in today’s rubber match…….
KANSAS CITY ROYALS (+110)
Two hot teams squaring off today, and we are going against the one with the hotter pitcher on the mound. Kansas City has just been awesome lately, posting a 12-4 ML record in their L16 overall and they have been doing so with incredibly strong pitching performances, especially as of late. The Royals pitching staff has held their opponent to 1 run or less in 3-of-their-L4 games and in 4-of-their-L6 overall. Yesterday’s 10-inning win for the Royals snapped both the Astros 7-game winning streak in the series and 5 consecutive wins overall. But Kansas City will need to get the offense going here today, something they have been unable to do against the Astros recently, scoring 2 runs or less in 6-of-their-L8 against each other. They get Keuchel today, and he was more than they could handle June 30, as he tossed 8 scoreless innings, striking out 7, in leading Houston to the 4-0 win. He has been just as impressive in his 3 career starts against the Royals with a 2-0 record and 2.61 ERA versus the franchise. The big guy hasn’t been as impressive on the road lately, losing 4-of-his-L5 starts away from home and holding a 4.65 ERA in his L6 in some other stadium. But this one will come down to more than the pitching and that is a good thing. Ventura has been awful lately, going 1-4 with an ERA above 6.50 over his L6 outings. Still, expecting the Royals offense to put enough together to get the home win. Run with the KANSAS CITY ROYALS here……
UNDER 8.5 – MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (-110)
Again, there has been absolutely no offense from these two teams in the L2 games, as they have combined to score a total of 5 runs in those games. Garza is 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA in 7 appearances (6 GS) against the Diamondbacks in his career, and has also thrown 5 scoreless innings against them out of the bullpen this season, when they played to 17-innings back in May. Milwaukee is hitting .196 combined as a team, while scoring 5 total runs through the first 3 games of the series. Hellickson has been pitching well lately also, going 1-1 with a 2.50 ERA through his first 3 starts in July. He has also posted a 2.76 n his L5 starts at home, winning 4 of those outings. He has lasted at least 6 innings or more in 8-of-his-L11 starts. And lastly, he has allowed 2 ER or less in 5-of-his-L6 outings. Offense should be at a premium again here today, with the Diamondbacks offense has been held to 3 runs or less in 9-of-their-L12 overall. Stick with the Under in this meeting……
CLEVELAND INDIANS RUN LINE -1.5 (+130)
No doubt about it, Cleveland has looked horrible as of late, dropping the first 3 games in this series and being out scored 24-4 so far. And we have had a tough run on RL plays lately, with I believe each of our L5 RL plays winning the game by a run, thus losing our RL play. But today gives us reason to suspect we will change those trends as this Indians team seems poised to bounce back today. Rodon is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA over his L4 starts and 1-3 with a 6.98 ERA over his L6 games pitched. He gave up 7 ER in 4 IP in the loss to St. Louis, while also allowing 19 BB in his L26 IP. The White Sox pitching staff has been mighty tough lately though on the road, with a 7-1 mark and 1.23 ERA in their L8 outings away from home. The White Sox have failed to record a sweep in a 4-game set since all the way back in 2005. We aren’t expecting that to change today either. Not with Salazar on the mound. He has won 2 straight meetings against the Sox, with 5 innings of scoreless ball in his first meeting against them this season. Take the CLEVELAND INDIANS on the RUN LINE here today…..
