Service Plays Sunday 7/20/08

[patriots12]

GINA

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins

The hot Twins have won seven straight at home and eight of the last 10 against Texas in Minnesota. Look for Minnesota to stifle the highest scoring team in the league and take a three-game sweep of the Rangers this afternoon at the Metrodome. Twins' Scott Baker is 4-0 with a 3.09 ERA in his last five starts.

Minnesota Twins -140

 

[patriots12]

Mr A

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers have won six of its last 8 on the road, but have lost eight of their last 11 games against Arizona and four of its last 5 at Chase Field.

Take the Diamondbacks at home with their ace Brandon Webb (13-4, 3.23 ERA), on the hill. The right-hander is 9-3 with a 2.78 ERA in 14 career starts against the Dodgers and has won the last five at home against Los Angeles. The Diamondbacks have won Webb’s last 7 starts versus the Dodgers. Los Angeles' right-hander Derek Lowe (7-8, 3.85), is 2-1 with a 2.75 ERA in his last three starts, but has not been successful in Arizona, 0-3 with a 4.71 ERA in six career starts at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks -145

 

[patriots12]

JB's Computer Picks

Cincinnati Reds -130

Minnesota Twins -140

St. Louis Cardinals -145

Cleveland Indians -140

Arizona Diamondbacks -150

 

[patriots12]

Matty O'Shea

MLB RunLine Single-Dime Bet
901 PHI -1.5 (+110) BetUS vs 902 FLA
Analysis: All of Philadelphia ace Cole Hamels' nine wins this season have been decided by two runs or more, and he will be squaring off against Florida's Josh Johnson, who has not earned a home win since 2006. The Marlins are also hitting just .190 against lefties at home, so take the Phillies on the runline as my Single Dime NL Value Play O' the Day.


MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
904 CIN / 903 NYM Under 9 BetUS
Analysis: I expect a great pitching duel to close out this series with Cincinnati's Edinson Volquez facing New York's Mike Pelfey. The Mets have not seen Volquez other than some of them playing with him in Tuesday's MLB All-Star Game. He is a perfect 6-0 in nine home starts with a 2.43 ERA. Meanwhile, nobody has pitched better than Pelfrey in July. The big right-hander is 3-0 in three starts this month with a miniscule 0.41 ERA. Look for a low-scoring affair and take the UNDER as my Single Dime NL Total Play O' the Day.


MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
918 NYY / 917 OAK Under 8 BetUS
Analysis: Four of the first five meetings between the Yankees and A's this season have gone UNDER the total, and now we have the best pitching matchup between Oakland's Justin Duchscherer and New York's Andy Pettitte. Duchscherer has seen the UNDER cash in his last four starts overall compared to seven straight for Pettitte. The UNDER is also 8-0-1 in the last nine games following a Yankees win, so bet the UNDER again here as my Single Dime AL Total Play O' the Day.


MLB RunLine Single-Dime Bet
927 CLE -1.5 (+120) BetUS vs 928 SEA
Analysis: The Indians are 11-1 against the runline in the last 12 wins with Cliff Lee on the mound. That includes a 6-1 mark on the road, where he is 7-2 with a 2.77 ERA this season. Lee also owns a 6-1 career mark against the Mariners, who send Carlos Silva to the mound. Silva has been dismal at home this year with a 2-5 mark and 5.83 ERA. Of the last 11 losses for Seattle with him on the mound, 10 have been decided by two runs or more. Take the Tribe on the runline as my Single Dime AL Value Play O' the Day.
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[rza]

For The Faders

SUNDAY
10 Dime Indians
10 Dime Cardinals
10 Dime Twins
5 Dime Nationals
5 Dime Cubs

FREE - Brewers (See daily video for your analysis)

 

[patriots12]

Greg Shaker

MLB RunLine Double-Dime Bet
912 COL -1.5 (+105) BetUS vs 911 PIT
Analysis: MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies - Rockies -1.5 (Duke/Cook) 105 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 7/20/2008
Note: It should be no surprise to you that I am playing the Rockies for the 4th consecutive time today. It is all for the same reasons so I will be brief and just inform you again how good Colorado is in the second half at this park, how well they hit lefties. Certainly they have their ace on the mound today and the Pirates will throw a Southpaw who has not has great success recently. Duke will be backed by the very worst bullpen in the world as well. I think you have see me say that a few times. Pittsburgh has suffered greatly on the road because of their throwers. There are plenty of reasons to lay the 1.5 runs again today and so I will without further delay.


MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
919 DET (-133) BetUS vs 920 BAL
Analysis: MLB: Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles - Tigers (Verlander/Burres) -133 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 7/20/2008
Note: It is not typical of me to lay this much juice and especially on the road. But this is a clear mismatch as Detroit has their ace on the mound. Verlander is 5-0 with a 2.54 ERA in his last seven outings and has won his last three starts. He held an opponent to two runs for the fifth straight appearance Sunday, giving up four hits with two walks and eight strikeouts in a 4-2 win over Minnesota. He has also thrown well at the Orioles. The Other side of this equation is how Detroit hits lefties. They do that very well and the one they will face today is very hittable. Burres has not enjoyed success at his homepark this year, at least statwise. He has an ERA of over 6 runs and he has very poor Innings/Hits, K/BB Ratios. He is actually 4-2 here but that is because of very good run support. He is likely not to get very much today. Whether or not the Tigers will make a run for the pennant this year, as everyone thinks they will, they do win with this guy Verlander on the Hill. As a side note, Baltimore is 0-13 this year on Sunday. I just threw that in for fun, but I do like this game very much and I will play it for 3 Units.


MLB RunLine Double-Dime Bet
922 TAM -1.5 (+140) BetUS vs 921 TOR
Analysis: MLB: Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Devil Rays - DevilRays -1.5 (Parrish/Jackson) +140 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 7/20/2008
Note: The Rays proved last night that they can beat anyone here at Tropicana and they did so somewhat convincingly over Toronto's Haladay. That is the best guy the Jays got and today they will send John Parish to the mound. Parish has been very good, replacing Shaun Marcum and Dustin McGowan in the rotation, but he not a true starter and he has not ventured his talents on the road. Throwing verses a Team that is 38-14 at this venue is not going to be easy. It has not been easy for the Jays to win away from home anyway at 20-30 this year, and they have been even worse at this park. With last night's setback, Toronto is now 0-7 last 7 at Tropicana. Oops! The Ray starter is very streaky and he is on a good one right now. He has allowed just 7 runs total over his last 4, and his Innings/Hits Ratio is one of the best this year in the AL here at home. I am going to lay the 1.5 runs here and I think we have a great shot at covering it.
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[Randy55]

Thru Post # 68

Ml
Phi 7
Fla 1

Nym 3
Cin 5

Was 2
Atl 2

Cub 4
Hou 3

Sdg 2
Stl 5

Pit 1
Col 4

Mil 3
Sfo 7

Los 1
Ari 9

Oak 2
Nyy 3

Det 8
Bal 1

Tor
Tam 6

Kan 1
Cws 6

Tex 2
Min 10

Cle 13
Sea

Bos 6
Laa 5

 

[Randy55]

Sunday Comps.

Winner Line-San Francisco
Jim Sullivan-OVER Red Sox
OTM-OVER Twins
Computer Boys-Cleveland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

American Sports Consultants

Oakland ( (R) DUCHSCHERER, J) - New York-A ( (L) PETTITTE, A)
Under 8 (-120)

Philadelphia ( (L) HAMELS, C) - Florida ( (R) JOHNSON,
Philadelphia (-150)

Kansas City ( (R) BANNISTER, B) - Chicago-A ( (L) DANKS, J)
Chicago-A (-170)

San Diego ( (R) BAEK, C.S.) - St Louis ( (L) GARCIA, Jaime)
St Louis (-145)

Pittsburgh ( (L) DUKE, Z) - Colorado ( (R) COOK, A)
Colorado (-185)

Oakland ( (R) DUCHSCHERER, J) - New York-A ( (L) PETTITTE, A)
Oakland (+125)

Toronto ( (L) PARRISH, J) - Tampa Bay ( (R) JACKSON, E)
Tampa Bay (-150)

Chicago-N ( (R) DEMPSTER, R) - Houston ( (R) BACKE, B)
Chicago-N (-130)

Texas ( (R) PADILLA, V) - Minnesota ( (R) BAKER, S)
Minnesota (-140)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

cobra1500

Kansas City ( (R) BANNISTER, B) - Chicago-A ( (L) DANKS, J)
Chicago-A (-170)

Milwaukee ( (L) PARRA, M) - San Francisco ( (R) LINCECUM, T)
Milwaukee (+1.5) (-200)

Oakland ( (R) DUCHSCHERER, J) - New York-A ( (L) PETTITTE, A)
Oakland (+1.5) (-160)

Washington ( (L) PEREZ, O) - Atlanta ( (L) REYES, J)
Atlanta (-200)

Pittsburgh ( (L) DUKE, Z) - Colorado ( (R) COOK, A)
Colorado (-185)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Kingz

Mlb:

Oakland +125

Cleveland -135

St. Louis -135

Colorado -200

Arizona -135

 

[mtomto]

SUNDAY
10 Dime Indians
10 Dime Cardinals
10 Dime Twins
5 Dime Nationals
5 Dime Cubs

FREE - Brewers (See daily video for your analysis)

LANG I assume ??? :think2:

 

[patriots12]

Yankee Capper

3 Units - Philadelphia Phillies -155

2 Units - Indians/Mariners Over 8

 

[BETYOURASS]

King Creole

DETROIT TIGERS @ BALTIMORE Orioles
2** BEST BET on: DETROIT TIGERS

To start things off, here's that 21-1 angle that we mentioned in our promo. For some reason, this particular day of the week is VERY favorable for the "Kitty Kats".... while the "Orange Birds" do very poorly. BALTIMORE is already 1-14 on SUNDAYS this season. Meanwhile, the TIGERS are a PERFECT 7-0 in their last 7 SUNDAY games (21-1).

After starting the season in poor form with some hard-luck losses, right-hander JUSTIN VERLANDER of Detroit is in top-notch 'Play ON' form these days. He's gone a PERFECT 5-0 in his last 5 starts dating back to late June. His current K/BB ratio of 18-6 in his last three starts is a complete mismatch over his opponent (Burres only 7-7) this afternoon. In his last 10 starts, Verlander has allowed 3 or less earned runs NINE times.... and 2 or less earned runs in EACH of his last 7 starts (2.54 ERA). He also NEVER lost to Baltimore in his career, going 2-0 since 1996 with an ERA of 2.02. And BOTH Of those starts were on the road in Baltimore.... so his numbers "In the Park" are impeccable. His counterpart is BRIAN BURRES, who has struggled with his control lately (see above K/BB ratio). In his last 8 starts, he's made it to the 6th inning only one time... with a pretty high ERA of 7.65. He actually a WORSE pitcher this year in HOME (6.02 ERA) vs road starts.... and in DAY (5.40 ERA) vs night starts.

Detroit is a very good ROAD FAVORITE. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games as road chalk. They also have top-notch numbers against Southpaws.... going 18-7 vs lefties on the year and 6-1 in their last 7 on the road vs lefties. Verlander has beat up on poor competition in his career, going 28-11 vs losing teams. He's also 9-3 on Sundays... and a PERFECT 6-0 in his last 6 roles as a favorite. Meanwhile, the Orioles (as mentioned above) have had their problems on Sundays (1-14 this year). Also 3-9 in Game Four of a series... 2-7 off a win... 2-6 in their last 8 vs righties... 1-5 in their last 6 HOME DOG roles... and a PERFECT 0-4 in their last 4 vs losing teams.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

This is the Patriots12 I remember! Thanks for all your help buddy!:toast:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PlayByPlayInc. MLB

7/20/2008 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -154

7/20/2008 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (C.Hamels) at
FLORIDA MARLINS (J.Johnson) Over 8.5

7/20/2008 NEW YORK YANKEES -139

 

[Randy55]

vegas runner...

1* WNBA TEASER PLAY of the DAY :

CONNECTICUT -3.5 & WASHINGTON +8 (1*) Teaser...

 

[mtomto]

vegas-runner | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
904 CIN / 903 NYM Over 9 SportBet
Analysis: * 1* TOTAL * (OVER 9 -105)

Thats the dumbest play Ive seen all year. How the F does he come out on the Over. He's aon another losing streak, and if it werent for the WNBA he'd be busted.

 

[Randy55]

Thats the dumbest play Ive seen all year. How the F does he come out on the Over. He's aon another losing streak, and if it werent for the WNBA he'd be busted.

I bought a 30 day package almost a month ago and he hasn't done well. I am only playing his Triple Dime Plays. Those are hitting about 60%...He will get hot again.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Fairway Jay

MLB 4* Indians/Mariners over 8