Service Plays Sunday 7/13/14

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MLB Baseball

1000* Play Cleveland -150 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago has lost 72 of the last 112 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have lost 99 of the last 178 games when playing in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season.Chicago has lost 75 of the last 143 day games and they have lost 29 of the last 49 road games.

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50* Play San Francisco -180 over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oakland -140 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 

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XpertPicks.com

SUNDAY BASEBALL



  • Play Minnesota +120 over Colorado----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
4:00 PM EST

Phil Hughes has won 8 of the last 10 day games and he has won 7 of the last 9 road games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher. Phil Hughes has won 8 of the last 9 games coming off a game where he did not walk a batter and he has won 4 consecutive games when pitching on a Sunday.




  • Play Miami +140 over New York Mets----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    1:00 PM EST

New York has lost 44 of the last 61 games after having won five or six of the last seven games and they have lost 99 of the last 177 games when playing in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season. New York has lost 74 of the last 129 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have lost 43 of the last 77 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
 

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BeatYourBookie.com

SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Minnesota +120 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado is 13-35 when playing an inter-league game the last three seasons
Colorado is 56-80 in day games the last three seasons
Colorado is 21-39 when playing in the month of July


10* Play Houston +110 over Boston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Boston is 26-35 vs. right-handed starting pitchers
Boston is 23-32 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
Boston is 26-31 when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher

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5* Play St. Louis +120 over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Miami +140 over New York Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | CHICAGO at ATLANTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 revenging a same season loss versus opponent against opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )

WNBA | CHICAGO at ATLANTA
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (ATLANTA) after playing a road game, playing on back-to-back days
174-61 since 1997. ( 74.0% | 0.0 units )
2-4 this year. ( 33.3% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after having won 3 of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
 
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SPORTSWAGERS

FIFA World Cup Final

Argentina +150 over Germany

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.00)

Sunday, July 13, 3:00 PM EST. Germany will not have their way with Argentina like they did with Brazil. Given the general nature of Germany’s possession-style attack and Argentina’s defensive posture, this contest has the potential of being settled beyond full time. Given the styles of play of both teams, a notion emerges that potentially one moment or goal can separate these two teams. Furthermore, this fleeting strike may come at the most unpredictable time.

Argentina has a roster that is fully capable of capturing its first title in nearly thirty years. Captain Lionel Messi, is regarded by many as the greatest footballer in the world. Argentina has fared well against European opposition and defeated three European sides en route to their Final appearance. Among those Argentina defeated were a resurgent Netherlands that seem poised to score goals at will, led by arguably the best trio of forwards in the tournament; a Switzerland side with a current world ranking of six and a Belgium team that was once a held a top eight position in the FIFA rankings. Argentina’s defensive play limited a potent Belgium attack that was seemingly hitting its stride after the Red Devils created 17 scoring opportunities against America. Against Argentina, Belgium had only one shot on goal in nearly a full half of competition. This is a testament to the impressive defensive prowess of Argentina.

It’s certainly not going to be easy for the Argentines, as Germany is methodical and patient in their strategy and tactics and is perhaps the finest oiled machine in the entire tournament. What they did to the host Brazil will go down as one of the greatest performances in World Cup history. However, Brazil was playing without their captain and star player Neymar, which abruptly shifted the dynamic of the contest. It appears as though Brazil was a mentally defeated team before the match even begun. That blowout over the host Brazil has resonated loudly throughout the world and the result is an overreaction in the betting line. Indeed this is likely going to be close throughout and any result would be of no surprise. However, we find some pretty sweet value on the Argentines to win in regulation and if it ends in a tie, we get a push.
 
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EZWINNERS

5 STAR SELECTION

Game: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

(924) Texas Rangers +1.5 (-$108)

(Risking $540 to win $500) (Action)



5 STAR SELECTION

Game: Argentina vs. Germant

Argentina +$135

(Risking $500 to win $675) (OVERTIME AND SHOOTOUT INCLUDED)
 
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Tigers' ace historically weak against Royals

Justin Verlander is far from his usual elite self this season and signs don't point to that changing. In Verlander's last four starts against the Kansas City Royals, the over/under record is 3-0-1.

Verlander gives up an average of eight hits per game, including a dreadful 15-hits in his last start. The teams have averaged 12 runs per game in Verlander's last four.


 
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White Sox pitcher paying out for total bettors

The Chicago White Sox will send John Danks to the mound Sunday with a 5-1-1 over/under record against the Cleveland Indians.

Danks has given up four or more runs in four of those starts, including eight in his last start against the Tribe.
 
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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY'S SELECTIONS
FIFA - WORLD CUP
3:00PM ARGENTINA vs GERMANY - OVER 2 -110
 
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Bob Balfe

Milwaukee Brewers -120

This is a pretty even matchup, but there is no doubt that this is a much more important game to the Brewers. Milwaukee has lost 7 straight and a win today at home would do wonders for this team heading into the all-star break. This is a good team that has hit a tough little patch. Look for the Brewers to bounce back after the break. Take Milwaukee.
 
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MLB

'Under-Whelming'

When Brave's Julio Teheran trades pitches with Cubbies lefty Travis Wood in the finale of this three game set against Chicago the arrow clearly points towards taking the 'Under'. Braves have shown the 'Under' is a solid choice with Teheran facing a team with a losing record posting a 21-6-1 'Under'. Cubbies have shown a penchant towards the 'Under' at Wrigley Field with Woods going 15-7-3 'Under'. Braves 12-4-1 'Under' the past 17 on the road facing a southpaw starter, Cubbies 15-7-1 'Under' with Woods facing a team with a winning record the 'Under' cashes-in for the 15th time in 21 meetings on the North Side of Chicago.
 
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Major League Baseball Betting: Why Samardzija Acquisition Should Make the Athletics World Series Favorites


The Oakland Athletics pushed their chips to the middle of the table. They made a blockbuster trade by acquiring Chicago Cubs starters Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel in the hopes of bolstering their rotation. With that move, many people who Bet on baseball have tabbed the Athletics as the World Series favorite. Here’s a look at why that trade came about and if in fact it makes the Athletics the team to beat.

Injury-Inspired Move

The Athletics probably wouldn’t have made this move if it weren’t for injuries. It’s easy to forget that they lost two of their starting pitchers to Tommy John surgery in spring training. Both AJ Griffin and Jarrod Parker – the two starters that led the team in innings pitched last season – are gone for the season, which means the Athletics were hunting for some quality. It’s easy to forget about those losses because the Athletics are still second in the Majors in team ERA (3.16) and opponents’ batting average (.232).

The Athletics Finally Make a Run

This is clearly a departure from the norm for the Oakland Athletics and general manager Billy Beane. Normally, this team stockpiles prospects. By trading away some highly-coveted pieces, Beane has made his objective clear: it’s go time. They have the best record in baseball, have been the most profitable team to those betting on baseball (+1353 units) and have just bolstered a team that was already World Series caliber. It’s unusual for this to happen in Oakland, but it’s time for the players to step up and deliver. The only question is whether or not MLB baseball betting experts believe this acquisition was the final missing piece of the puzzle.

So Are They the World Series Favorite Now?

It’s clear that the A’s had the playoffs in mind with this trade. They watched Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer of the Detroit Tigers pitch circles around their staff last postseason. They knew they needed an upgrade to compete.

This rotation still has some question marks that won’t be answered until the fall. MLB betting experts should note that Sonny Gray and Jesse Chavez have never pitched a full season in the Majors and Scott Kazmir hasn’t topped 158 innings since 2008. The rotation started great in April, but those who bet on MLB have seen it get progressively worse each month. While Samardzija will help eat innings and provide quality starts, he’s never started a playoff game. The A’s gave up a lot, and it’s not as if they received a staff ace like David Price in return. The A’s boosted the depth of their rotation but didn’t necessarily get themselves a stud. If you’re betting baseball futures and evaluating the aces, the Tigers, St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers probably still have the A’s beat.

So are they the team to beat? It’s pretty clear that they have one of the best offenses in the big leagues, but they’re only 14th in batting average (.252). Baseball betting cappers know that teams like the Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels and the Kansas City Royals are superior in that category.

Can Oakland win it all? Sure. Has this trade boosted their chances on the baseball betting odds? Of course. Are they now head and shoulders above the other contenders? Not really.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | TORONTO at TAMPA BAY
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
369-150 since 1997. ( 71.1% | 110.0 units )
27-16 this year. ( 62.8% | -0.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | DETROIT at KANSAS CITY
DETROIT is 20-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: DETROIT (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.4)
 
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Ecks and Bacon




E&B had Np for Saturday.


"Mr Chalk" won on Saturday in MLB in the American League with the Rays' -$160/Blue Jays.


For Sunday in the FIFA World Cup Soccer Finals E&B like a play on the Draw +$220 and a $25 wager on Argentina at 12 -1 to win in Extra time.


"Mr Chalk" has Np in MLB on Sunday.


Ben lee is 4-4 +$74 for week thirty seven 173-199-5 -$2815


"Mr Chalk" is 50-36 -$242 for the 2014 MLB season.


All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted
 
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SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Chicago @ CLEVELAND

CLEVELAND INDIANS-1½ +129 over Chicago

Risking 2 units

Trevor Bauer has a few big things going in his favor. For one, he’s long been in possession of what they call an electric arm. He’s been able to run his fastball up there in the mid-90s and while an electric arm doesn’t automatically bring one success, it does guarantee one several opportunities. Bauer is also intellectual and curious about his work, to an extreme extent. His willingness to try new things has gotten him into some trouble on occasion but it reflects a strong inner desire to be the best pitcher he can become. He also has no fear of giving up a run or two or being taken yard. Bauer has an excellent strikeout rate and his groundball percentage is trending strongly in the right way. He'll now face a Chicago team that will be without two key players. Adam Eaton and Alexei Ramirez were both injured yesterday, which not only hurts them offensively, it hurts the South Side defensively in a big way. Adam Eaton is among the best CF's in the game and Ramirez is their every day SS.

Then there's John Danks. With shoulder surgery now 22 months in the rear-view mirror, we'll give Danks' a mulligan for his mediocre 2013, as a sharp strikeout rate drop suggested he hadn't built back his arm strength. Has he been revived in 2014? Frankly, no he has not. Danks posted 7.6 K's/9 in May, but his strikeout totals have otherwise been subpar, leaving him more at the mercy of hit and strand %. He improved his control a bit in '13 to compensate for the lack of Ks, but that hasn't been the case this season, resulting in a putrid control rate (44 BB in 113 IP). The elevated hr/f% from '13 has corrected, but he's allowing more fly-balls, putting him at risk of another HR's allowed spike given his bandbox home park and other AL parks such as the one he'll pitch in here. Danks was perhaps a bounce back candidate entering the season, but his surgically repaired shoulder seems to have sapped his upside. His fastball usage and velocity continue to slip, as he's had to rely more on a changeup to induce swings and misses, which obviously isn't the answer. He piqued some interest with a four-win June, but none of them were impressive and none of them were pure quality outings. Danks' skills have been terrible and in his last start before the break he may look like a guy that is dead last in a marathon race but will do anything to cross the finish line. Big edge to the Indians in a very good situation.
 

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