Service Plays Sunday 6/29/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

The matchup between Toronto and Chicago White Sox Sunday afternoon features a pair of southpaws on respective mounds. For the Blue Jays, it's Mark Buehrle bringing a 10-4 record, 2.52 ERA to the mound and hoping history repeats itself as the southpaw earned his very first victory with Toronto in his only game vs Pale Hose last season. Buehrle trades pitches with Jose Quintana. The Chicago lefty carrying a 4-7 record, 3.69 ERA was 2-0 in three starts vs Toronto last season (2-1 TSR). Although Buehrle is mired in a four game winless stretch there is a silver lining for those choosing to bet on Toronto. The Jays have thrived as home chalk with Buehrle posting a 14-5 mark including 8-3 as a home favorites off a loss the previous day. Another positive for Toronto backers. White Sox have lost the past five facing a left-handed starter. This being a day game sets the table as White Sox have lost six of seven as road underdog in day games with Quintana.

 

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Cappers Access

Brewers (RL)-1.5 (+122)
Yankees -113

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

Mexico +257 over Netherlands

The Netherlands have emerged as an outside favorite to win the 2014 FIFA World Cup after they displayed superior capability in their group format. The Dutch Lions would win all nine points in Group B and win the group stage handily. Their march began with a 5-1 rout of the now eliminated defending champion Spain. The Dutch would continue forward and edge Australia 3-2 and then defeat Chile 2-0 for the group win. The Dutch have proliferated 10 goals in three games but have surrendered three goals as well. Remarkably their goal difference was +7, the best overall among group winners so far. That offensive onslaught has the Dutch overpriced and provides us with a strong “sell-high” opportunity.

Squaring off with the Netherlands is a Mexico club that has since found its stride. In fact, Mexico is the ideal opponent and matchup for any football enthusiast seeking a quality fixture. Mexico is led by a ferocious defense and one of the best goalkeepers in the world in Memo Ochoa. Assuredly as La Verde was able to quell the onslaught of Neymar, Fred and Oscar, they can do the same against Van Persie, Robben and Schnijder. Netherlands versus Mexico is a classic offense against defense collision. Mexico was able to score four goals in the group stage, surrendering a late insignificant goal to an already defeated Croatia. Arguably, Mexico should have had two goals added to their tally when two strikes were wrongly discounted in their opening match against Cameroon. Mexico has all the momentum and they can easily surprise the Dutch, as the Dutch have surprised so many. Mexico tied Brazil and routed a top-11 team in Croatia. There is no need to question whether the Mexicans are talented or whether they can win the match. The answer to both questions is yes. With a big tag hanging in the balance, this one is too juicy to pass up on.


Costa Rica +164 over Greece

It is surprising that Costa Rica are not overwhelming favorites in this fixture. With that being mentioned, the tag on Costa Rica would implore takers to strike while the iron is hot. Costa Rica has emerged as the surprise team of the 2014 World Cup and they have done so in impeccable fashion. Costa Rica won the highly touted “Group of Champions” consisting of the Ticos, England, Italy and Uruguay. Among the four teams discussed to emerge as the victor and runner-up, Costa Rica was the last team considered for either position. Remarkably, Costa Rica was able to win the group outright with seven points. Among the results Costa Rica marveled in was its opening victory against Uruguay 3-1, followed by a 1-0 victory against Italy. Costa Rica would conclude their group stage efforts with a draw against an England team eliminated for the first time in the group stage in decades.

Across from Costa Rica, a Greece team that snuck in the knockout round. Ivory Coast was a minute away from a 1-1 draw that would catapult them forward to their first round of 16 appearance. This all changed when a penalty was drawn in the box, resulting in a subsequent penalty kick. Samaras would finish the attempt and Greece would continue on to steal a win and the second seed of Group C. Greece was demolished by Colombia, three to nil in their opening fixture, followed by a 0-0 draw with Japan. Their group stage efforts were not impressive and they were within a minute of elimination. Costa Rica is an excellent team and has already been seasoned against top flight competitors. Costa Rica will likely win this one and they offer up great value should they do so.

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Oakland Athletics -133 over Miami Marlins
(System Record: 50-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 50-39

Rest of the Plays
Houston Astros +117 over Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels -108 over KC Royals
Cincinnati Reds +113 over SF Giants

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Netherlands -.5 over Mexico
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 599-21, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 599-496-85

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | PHOENIX at TULSA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 75 points or more
109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )

WNBA | SAN ANTONIO at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team, on Sunday games
41-13 since 1997. ( 75.9% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Behind The Bets

Mexico +255 Draw (2*)
Costa Rica +105 (3*)

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

SUNDAY BASEBALL

• Play Los Angeles Angels +100 over Kansas City----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

CJ Wilson has won 17 of the last 23 day games and he has won 11 of the last 16 games when pitching in the month of June. CJ Wilson has won 27 of the last 46 games coming off a team win and he is 4-0 vs. Kansas City over his career with an ERA of 2.59.

• Play New York Mets +110 over Pittsburgh----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
  1:30 PM EST

Bartolo Colon has won 21 of the last 33 road games and he has won 35 of the last 56 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Bartolo Colon has won 22 of the last 36 games coming off a team win and he is 3-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.54.

 

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Houston +125 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)

Drew Smyly is 2-9 when pitching as a favorite of -125 to -175
Drew Smyly is 2-7 vs. AL West Division Opponents the last three seasons
Drew Smyly is 7-13 coming off a team win the last three seasons


10* Play LA Angels +100 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)

Los Angeles is 27-9 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Los Angeles is 57-40 vs. AL Central Division Opponents the last three seasons
Los Angeles is 46-31 when playing in the month of June the last three seasons

=============================================

5* Play New York Mets +110 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Chicago White Sox +140 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime



MLB Baseball

1000* Play Milwaukee -170 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado has lost 78 of the last 131 day games and they have lost 42 of the last 65 games when playing on a Sunday.Colorado has lost 51 of the last 80 games when playing in the month of June and they have lost 62 of the last 90 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher.

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50* Play Oakland -110 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play San Francisco -120 over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY'S SELECTIONS
FIFA WORLD CUP
12:00 Pm [126109] MEXICO @ [126110] NETHERLANDS PK -200
4:00 PM [26113] GREECE @ [26114] COSTA RICA - UNDER 2 -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CINCINNATI at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (CINCINNATI) good baserunning team - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game on the season, after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more
58-37 since 1997. ( 61.1% | 33.2 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -0.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | CINCINNATI at SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-13 (+17.2 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games this season.
The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO (4.4) , OPPONENT (3.2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTSWAGERS

FIFA World Cup

Mexico +257 over Netherlands

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.14)

June 29 – 12:00 PM EST

The Netherlands have emerged as an outside favorite to win the 2014 FIFA World Cup after they displayed superior capability in their group format. The Dutch Lions would win all nine points in Group B and win the group stage handily. Their march began with a 5-1 rout of the now eliminated defending champion Spain. The Dutch would continue forward and edge Australia 3-2 and then defeat Chile 2-0 for the group win. The Dutch have proliferated 10 goals in three games but have surrendered three goals as well. Remarkably their goal difference was +7, the best overall among group winners so far. That offensive onslaught has the Dutch overpriced and provides us with a strong “sell-high” opportunity.

Squaring off with the Netherlands is a Mexico club that has since found its stride. In fact, Mexico is the ideal opponent and matchup for any football enthusiast seeking a quality fixture. Mexico is led by a ferocious defense and one of the best goalkeepers in the world in Memo Ochoa. Assuredly as La Verde was able to quell the onslaught of Neymar, Fred and Oscar, they can do the same against Van Persie, Robben and Schnijder. Netherlands versus Mexico is a classic offense against defense collision. Mexico was able to score four goals in the group stage, surrendering a late insignificant goal to an already defeated Croatia. Arguably, Mexico should have had two goals added to their tally when two strikes were wrongly discounted in their opening match against Cameroon. Mexico has all the momentum and they can easily surprise the Dutch, as the Dutch have surprised so many. Mexico tied Brazil and routed a top-11 team in Croatia. There is no need to question whether the Mexicans are talented or whether they can win the match. The answer to both questions is yes. With a big tag hanging in the balance, this one is too juicy to pass up on.


FIFA World Cup

Costa Rica +164 over Greece

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.28)

June 29 – 4:00 PM EST.

It is surprising that Costa Rica are not overwhelming favorites in this fixture. With that being mentioned, the tag on Costa Rica would implore takers to strike while the iron is hot. Costa Rica has emerged as the surprise team of the 2014 World Cup and they have done so in impeccable fashion. Costa Rica won the highly touted “Group of Champions” consisting of the Ticos, England, Italy and Uruguay. Among the four teams discussed to emerge as the victor and runner-up, Costa Rica was the last team considered for either position. Remarkably, Costa Rica was able to win the group outright with seven points. Among the results Costa Rica marveled in was its opening victory against Uruguay 3-1, followed by a 1-0 victory against Italy. Costa Rica would conclude their group stage efforts with a draw against an England team eliminated for the first time in the group stage in decades.

Across from Costa Rica, a Greece team that snuck in the knockout round. Ivory Coast was a minute away from a 1-1 draw that would catapult them forward to their first round of 16 appearance. This all changed when a penalty was drawn in the box, resulting in a subsequent penalty kick. Samaras would finish the attempt and Greece would continue on to steal a win and the second seed of Group C. Greece was demolished by Colombia, three to nil in their opening fixture, followed by a 0-0 draw with Japan. Their group stage efforts were not impressive and they were within a minute of elimination. Costa Rica is an excellent team and has already been seasoned against top flight competitors. Costa Rica will likely win this one and they offer up great value should they do so.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DAVE ESSLER

Sunday MLB Thoughts/Notes

The early semi-sharp money (semi because there aren’t that many bets yet) is on the Braves. With the total dropping, I would clearly want the better bullpen which is obviously Atlanta’s, but we don’t take road favorites unless we have to.

That Pirates game in interesting. The total is down a full run in places, and there is just no chance I can back Volquez, so by default it’s the Mets, Mets RL (in a parlay) or something.

Sooner or later the Rockies will win one, and I thought it might be yesterday. They really didn’t play badly and a few untimely mistakes made it look worse than it was, but I’m afraid I can’t go there. Early money on them is quite likely nothing but scalping.

Just tons of money on the Reds this morning, moving that line to where they may go off the listed favorite, and early bets on the over yet the total dropping tells me that PERHAPS the Reds are not the right side. I don’t really agree with the under since it’s only going to take one pitcher to fold, given that both pens were used a lot last night.

No line on the Dodgers yet and I suspect the usual and customary “fade the guy with the no-hitter” will rear up, but I don’t agree with that. Cardinals simply can’t hit LHP this season and Miller has been regressing.

Some very early RLM on both the total and the side in San Diego. I’m afraid I can’t go there other than to say if that total IS right (down) then I COULD make a case for the Padres w/the far better bullpen.

Quintana has been throwing well, and I’ve always felt Buerhle was over rated. The total dropping in a park where if the roof is open tells me that I might hop on the White Sox RL somewhere along the line. I simply cannot trust their bullpen, and the total coming off of 9 is pretty telling, IMO.

I want nothing to do with the Rays or the Orioles. Both too unpredictable these days. Not long ago the Rays pen was simply awful, so I can’t go there. By default, the home team.

How many more times can we go to the Houston RL well? That is simply all I could, and might, do with this game. I like Houston better against lefties, actually. Feldman keeps (usually) the ball down, so that’s all there is to that one.

Perhaps the Royals are regressing to what they really are. It seems as if people want to take them as a home dog this morning. I lean to the Angels again, actually.

Can’t back either pitcher with any comfort in the Rangers game, but it would be easier to back Gibson and the Twins RL, IMO. Not sure how that doesn’t go over. I do see the wind, but in Texas it’s often “opposite” of what you see on daily baseball data.

We’ll wait on the ESPN game. Might do something with a parlay like we often do so we can hedge it later. I do lean under a little at this point, and slightly to Boston.

Not unlike the Houston game, it’s the Fish, Fish RL, or nothing, and quite possibly might add the Fish and the Astros both at plus-money, figuring one of them will win SU

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

River City Sharps

The Tigers and Astros have split the first two games of this seris in Houston and Detroit will send lefty Drew Smyly (4-6, 3.19) to the mound this afternoon to try and win the series. The Astros will counter with Scott Feldman (3-5, 4.00), who has only won one decision in his last nine starts. There are several facors at play for this call, but we really question the Astros ability to consistently hit left handed pitching. Consider that over their last 52 home games, the Astros are 16-36 vs. left handers. They also haven;t done a very good job supporting Feldman over his last five starts, going 1-4 in those games. The Tigers are playing their best baseball of the season right now, hitting the ball much better and giving heir starters more run support. Smyly has also turned the corner for the Tigers and we expect a solid start from him this afternoon. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - DETROIT TIGERS -131

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Primetime Sports Picks

4 Unit N.Y. Mets (Colon)/Pittsburgh (Volquez) UNDER 8

3 Unit Texas (Lewis) -125 over Minnesota (Gibson)

3 Unit Boston (Lackey) +100 over N.Y. Yankees (Whitley)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

3* (917) Tigers -$140
3* (921) Twins +$105
(ACTION)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PAUL LEINER

100* Over 8 – Rockies/Brewers
50* Yankees -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee had the splits in World Cup Soccer on Saturday winning with Colombia -$110/Uruguay for $100 and losing his play on the Draw +$240 for $50.

"Mr Chalk" lost in Mlb in the American League with the Mariners -$130/Indians.

For Sunday in World Cup Soccer E&B like Costa Rica +$140/Greece and a play on the Draw +$200.

For Sunday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$185/Cardinals.

Ben lee is 7-4 +$210 for week thirty five 160-188-5 -$3246

"Mr Chalk" is 40-34 -$596 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vince Akins
Vegas Insider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Athletics are 12-0 since July 04, 2004 as a road favorite after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1200.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Yovani Gallardo starts the Brewers are 10-0 since August 31, 2007 as a home favorite after facing 25 or fewer hitters and they lost in his previous start for a net profit of $1000.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Astros are 0-19 (+$1,900) since 2010 following a loss where they scored 2-5 runs and led after eight innings.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Angels are 0-10 since April 08, 2014 on the road after scoring 6+ runs win for a net profit of $1014 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Tommy Milone starts the Athletics are 19-2 since April 19, 2012 after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $1932.