Service Plays Sunday 6/29/08

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

Game: St. Louis at Kansas City (2:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Kansas City -115 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.6)

St. Louis broke a couple of streaks with their win yesterday. The win put an end to their three game slide and also ended KC's six-game winning streak. But let's not let one game cloud the situation here. The fact remains that the Cards have lost seven of their last 11 while the Royals have won 11 of their last 13. Both of these starters have been hot of late, posting sub 3.00 ERAs over their last three starts. But, Looper has a worse overall ERA and a 3.91 road ERA compared to Bannister's 2.48 home ERA. KC's bats have struggled this season but during this winning run, that's not been the case. The Royals just seem to like interleague play as they are 13-4 so far this season against cross-league opponents. The last two seasons, Bannister is 9-2 in June games and 11-3 in day games. We like the Royals here.

Game: San Francisco at Oakland (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)

The Battle of the Bay concludes this afternoon. While the Athletics have dominated this series, are the tables turning? The Giants won yesterday and we think they get another today as the A's send struggling Joe Blanton to the mound. Blanton has a 4.58 ERA and 4-10 record. Over his last three starts he's 1-2 with a sky-high 7.02 ERA. The A's get just 3.7 runs per game vs. LHP like Sanchez. Oakland owns a losing record the past couple of seasons at home vs. losing opponents. Sanchez is 11-4 this season as an underdog including 5-0 as a dog of +125 to +175! We like the dog here.

Game: Seattle at San Diego (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +132 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4)

The Pads have now lost eleven of twelve games including seven straight and we think it goes to eight this afternoon. Yes, Jake Peavy goes for San Diego and he's been big-time again this year. But thanks to lack of run support he's barely over .500. Erik Bedard can hang with him, given this Padres offense. Bedard has been pitching very well (1.93 ERA over his last three starts). San Diego gets just 3.6 runs per game at home and 3.4 per game vs. LHP. Over their past seven games, this team is averaged a ridiculous 2.7 runs per game (compared to 4.9 for Seattle)! Seattle has fared well this season vs. low-octane offenses as they are 9-4 vs. teams that hit under one home run per game. San Diego is just 11-16 this season as a home favorite and 3-14 in inter-league games. We'll take the M's here.

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels -117 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.6)

Well, we have taken it in the shorts backing the Angels the past two games. They came in as the best road team in baseball but haven't been able to win one against the Dodgers. We are either persistent or just bull-headed because we are backing the Angels yet again here. Last night they held the Dodgers hitless but still somehow lost. The problem is their very bad offense in the series. The fact remains that their offense is more productive than that of the Dodgers who average 3.9 runs per game at home and 3.8 vs. RHP. Derek Lowe has been decent 4.05 ERA) but is still 5-7. Meanwhile John Lackey has been outstanding. Lackey owns a ridiculous 1.65 ERA and 5-1 record. Over his last three starts he's even been improving (1.57 ERA and 0.913 WHIP)! This season the Angels are 12-3 on the road after allowing under three runs. They are 9-1 after a one-run loss! We love Lackey and expect the Angels to avoid the sweep.

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 runs +140 (runline) (risk 3 to win 4.2)

We are going to back the Angels on the -1.5 run line as well as we don't see the Dodgers managing much offense at all here today against Lackey and a very motivated Angels club who don't want to be swept. The past two seasons the Angels are 19-10 to the run line after a one-run loss. THis season they are 29-17 to the run line when the price is between -130 and +160. The Dodgers are 9-120 to the run line the past two seasons in inter-league play.

Game: Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Chicago Cubs +124 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.7)

Can the White Sox sweep the Cubs? Don't count on it. The Cubbies have now lost five in a row on the road but we like their chances to break out of their slump tonight and avoid the sweep at the hands of their cross-town rivals. The Cubs have been premier this year because they have avoiding long losing streaks. They will be focused here as they are 10-2 this season off consecutive losses. The White Sox certainly have the pitching advantage on paper, but the fact remains that Buehrle has a losing record and the Cubs own a 16-8 record vs. LHP, scoring 6.5 runs per game against them on average. Meanwhile the Sox average just 4.0 runs per game vs. southpaws. It's not often you're going to get the Cubs as a dog like this. We'll take that value.

 

[thekeyman]

Handicapper: John Ryan
Atlanta Dream vs. Detroit Shock (WNBA) - 6:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 15/100 Atlanta Dream Play Title: The Dream
Click Here to View Pick Analysis

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andre Gomes

WNBA - 653 Atlanta Dream @ 654 Detroit Shock

Detroit comes to this game in a terrible mood, at least they will face Atlanta and a victory for them looks easy to guarantee. They were slaughtered by Chicago last night on the road by 59-76 in a game where they were favored by six points, but everything went wrong and I expect a bounce back today.

"Our effort was obnoxious," Shock coach Bill Laimbeer said. "It was embarrassing. It won't happen again."

But I can't forget that the spot for Detroit isn't great for them today. Ok, you don't need much to beat Atlanta at home, but Detroit will play today their 5th match in 8 days and this will be a back to back game for them. A bounce back will happen in here, but due to the spot, I expect the Shock to control the pace of the game, not wanting to push up the tempo, which will only favor the Dream.

Atlanta in their largest point spread differential (15 points dog) of the season almost won at Connecticut, ending up losing at overtime by 101-109. But keep in mind Atlanta had a really good spot for that game, as they had 5 days off to rest and they are 5-0 Over in that kind of situation, but for today's game they only had one day to rest, in a spot where they are 4-2 Under. This is a close out series game and in their previous matches, Detroit easily defeated Atlanta on the road by 88-76 and 97-76 in high scoring games. I don't expect the same to happen today, as Detroit will be more focused defensively than in the previous games and they won't allow the tempo of the game to be pushed up, as it happened in the previous games against the Dream this season. Take the under as a best bet in here.

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 653/654 Under 160,5 @1.952 on Pinnacle



WNBA - 655 Washington Mystics @ 656 Seattle Storm

Washington was great in their last game by committing the upset of the season, winning at LA by 77-74 when they were a 12 points underdog. In fact they are in a nice run of 3 consecutive road wins and they will be looking today for the fourth one in a row.

"It gives us a lot of confidence to start this West Coast trip," said Currie, who is second on the Mystics with 13.6 points per game, but has averaged 20.0 in her last three. "We haven't been playing as well as we have liked, so this really changes the momentum and gives us a lot of energy."

Today they will face Seattle, who is slumping a little bit, as they are coming from four losses in their last five games, so they won't be in a good mood. The fact that they had four days to rest allowed the coach together with the players to reflect what the team has done wrong and one of the conclusions is that lately they have been terrible in the attack, which is a fact as they are 6-1 when they score 70 points or more, but when they score less than that, they are just 2-6. I expect a good game today with Washington being an active dog, playing with a lot of confidence and obligating Seattle to step it up offensively in order to win the game. The bookies have set a low line of 140,5 points, something in these conditions is a reachable value, with the teams scoring a lot of points down the stretch.

Washington is 6-0 Over in road games having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. They are also 11-3 Over in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. I expect a good game, with a score good enough to reach mid 140's. Take the over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on 655/656 Over 140,5 @1.935 on Pinnacle
--
Andre Gomes
<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

@nton Wins

3 unit MLB play is Colorado/Greg Reynolds +155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nick " Bookie Killer" Parsons

Laa/ Lad Under
<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greg Shaker

2 Units- Tb/ Pitt Over
<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GamblersWorld

TIP OF THE DAY Sport: MLB Game: 8:05PM, Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Chicago White Sox

Current Line: -155 Over/Under: 9 Reason: The fans at U.S. Cellular Field will be treated to a interleague game between the Chicago Cubs and the Chicago White Sox when they take their seats on Sunday. The Cubs will give the ball to starter Sean Marshall in this one. Lefthander Marshall is 0-1 this season with a 7.71 ERA. The White Sox will counter Marshall with ace Mark Buehrle. Lefthander Buehrle has a 4.04 ERA to go along with a 5-6 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the White Sox listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game's total is sitting at 9. Jermaine Dye drove in two runs in helping the White Sox defeat the Cubs 6-5 on Saturday, as -140 favorites. The combined 11 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (8.5). Dye homered and finished 2-for-3 at the plate for the White Sox. Matt Thornton tossed 1 2-3 innings of relief for the win, and Bobby Jenks threw a scoreless ninth for his 18th save. Derrek Lee was a perfect 5-for-5 at the plate with three RBIs for the Cubs, who were +110 underdogs. Carlos Marmol gave up the winning run and was tagged with the loss. Current streak: Chicago has lost 3 straight games. Chicago has won 3 straight games. Team records: Chicago: 49-32 SU Chicago: 45-35 SU Chicago most recently: When playing on Sunday are 5-5 Before playing San Francisco are 6-4 After playing Chi White Sox are 6-4 After a loss are 5-5 Chicago most recently: When playing on Sunday are 4-6 Before playing Cleveland are 5-5 After playing Chi Cubs are 5-5 After a win are 6-4 A few trends to consider: Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road Chi White Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs Chi White Sox are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs

 

[mathew35]

vegas snitch soccer pick anyone have it? thank

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

wunderdog (wnba)


Game: Phoenix at Connecticut (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 178 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Phoenix games average 178 ppg which is exactly where this total is set. But, that's too low considering who they are facing. Connecticut averages 85.1 per game at home while allowing 77. And over their past five games, both of these teams are really seeing the scoreboard shine. Connecticut has allowed nearly 80 ppg over that span while Phoenix games have averaged 187 ppg over the last five! Phoenix is 22-12 OVER the past two seasons vs. bad defensive teams (those allowing 73+ ppg). We like this one to sail OVER.


Game: Washington at Seattle (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 140.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Seattle has gone UNDER in seven of eight home games this season. So why do we like things to be different here? Washington is coming to town. We get some extra value on the OVER here given Seattle's O-U record here as well. Washington is averaging 74 ppg over their last five games and they give up 73.8 per game on the season. Seattle will defintely score here and we think Washington will get enough to push the game OVER. Washington is 9-2 OVER the past two seasons on the road in non-conference games. They are also 13-4 OVER during that span after having allowed 70+ points in three straight games
<!-- / message -->

 

[baseballgod]

Ness 20* GOY

SD

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Scott Sports: Sunday Bases!!!

I have mixed emotions about last night as I won my Interleague GOY on the Phils, but lost my other top playon the Tigers -1.5. That was a rough loss, but I got to shake it off and come back strong today. Right now I have 3 plays and I will have more by 11am,



2 UNIT PLAYS

CLEVELAND/ Cincinati Under 9: The Under is 10-3 in Arroyos last 13 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and 7-1-1 in Reds last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5, while the Under is 40-12 in Indians last 52 during game 3 of a series and 41-10-3 in their last 54 Sunday games, plus the Under is 7-1 in Welkes last 8 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland and 20-8-1 in his last 29 interleague games behind home plate. Aaron Laffey has been a very good pitcher for the Tribe this year, as he comes in with a 2.83 ERA overall, including a 1.39 ERA at home and an 0.87 ERA in his day starts. Aarons home games have averaged just 8 rpg, while his day starts have averaged just 6.7 rpg. Aaron will be taking on a struggling Cincinnati offense as they come in averageing just 2.5 rpg in their last 12 games, while scoring 1 run or less in 7 of those games, plus those 12 games have averaged just 7.8 rpg. The Reds also score just 4.1 rpg on the road and 3.1 rpg in interleague play, with those interleague games averaging just 7.9 rpg. The Tribe has also been struggling to score lately as they come in averaging just 3.2 rpg in their last 11 games, plus they score 3.2 rpg in day games and 4 rpg in interleague play. Cleveland's home games have averaged just 8.3 rpg, while their day games have averaged just 7 rpg and their interleague games have put up just 8 rpg. Bronson Arroyo has really struggled for the Reds this year, but he is facing an offense that can't hit right now, so look for him to have one of his beeter outings of the year. 11 total runs have been scored in the first 2 games of this series and I look for more of the same today as both pitchers will have success vs these two struggling offenses. About 7 runs in this one.

I ALSO LIKE

Detroit -159 over Colorado: I like the fact that the Tigers are 25-4 in their last 29 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record, plus they clearly have the pitching edge in this one. Detroit wins a bit easier than last night.



1 UNIT PLAY

Arizona/ FLORIDA Under 8: The 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a road favorite and 8-3 in Harens last 11 starts overall, while the Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a home underdog and 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings in Florida. Both teams are playing putrid offense right now as the D-Backs come in having scored just 2.3 rpg in the ir last 9 games, while the Marlins have averaged the same 2.3 rpg in thier last 6 games.For the year the D-Backs score just 3.7 rpg on the road, while hitting .214 in the process, plus they score just 4.5 rpg in day games, while hitting just .237 in those day games. Arizona's road games have averaged 7.8 rpg, while their last 9 overall have averaged just 6.2 rpg. The Marlins score just 4.3 rpg at home, while hitting .239 and just 4.4 rpg in day games, while hitting just .243. Danny Haren will take the mound for Arizona and he has been rolling lately posting a 1.58 ERA in his last 5 starts, iincluding a 1.35 ERA in his last 3 starts, allowing a .203 OBP and a sizzling 0.65 WHIP. Danny has a 3.89 ERA on the road, with his road starts averaging just 7 rpg, while he has a nice 1.97 ERA in day games, with those games averaging just 7.6 rpg. Scott Olsen has a solid 3.44 ERA overall, a 3.46 ERA in day games and a 2.86 ERA at home, while allowing a .292 OBP in his home starts. This game features two solid starters and two struggling offenses and that will lead to a low scoring affair in the Sunshine State.




Jeff Scott

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Added 2 Units Red Sox
<!-- / message -->

 

[ytowngambler]

UNCONFIRMED:

Ness 20* GOY

SAN DIEGO

 

[baseballgod]

UNCONFIRMED:

Ness 20* GOY

SAN DIEGO

This is confirmeed, I just posted it and paid for it!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Kingmaker

2 Units Angels

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dsethi Sports

3 units:

Dbacks (-130)...Haren lights out against righties and lefties, Arizona luxury of facing another LHP.

White Sox (-140)...Thought they were going to sweep going into the series. Buerhle pitching best of his career arguably.

Dsethi
<!-- / message -->

 

[ytowngambler]

Thanks for buying Ness.

Should make PlatinumIce Very happy....

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (early game)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the NY Mets at 1:10 ET. Las Vegas Insider on the NY Mets.

Good Luck...Larry
<!-- / message -->

 

[B.S.S.]

i'd imagine either crushers or experts game is the padres as well

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Robert Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Cincinnati at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, June 29)
Note: This is our Total of the Month.

4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.0 (+105) Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (4 p.m.)

3.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.5 San Francisco at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Baltimore at Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 11.0 Philadelphia at Texas (6 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 St. Louis at Kansas City (2 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Atlanta at Toronto (1 p.m., Sunday, June 29)



Sides for Sunday
2-Unit Play. Take #906 Toronto (-145) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

2-Unit Play. Take #913 Baltimore (-125) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #911 Tampa Bay (-115) over Pittsburgh (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

1.5-Unit Play. #918 Chicago White Sox (-135) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Sunday, June 29)

3.5-Unit Play. Take #929 Los Angeles Angels (-120) over Los Angeles Dodgers (4 p.m.)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ethan Law

Sun, 06/29/08 - 1:10 PMEthan Law | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
910 NYM / 909 NYY Over 9.5 Bodog -110
Analysis:

New York Yankees NYY: RHP Darrell Rasner (4-5, 4.50 ERA)

at

New York Mets NYM: LHP Oliver Perez (5-5, 5.29 ERA)

PLAY 1/2* UNIT ON METS/YANKEES OVER 9.5 -110

Sun, 06/29/08 - 1:05 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
905 ATL (+135) BetUS vs 906 TOR
Analysis:

Atlanta Braves ATL: LHP Jo-Jo Reyes (3-5, 4.48 ERA)

at

Toronto Blue Jays TOR: RHP A.J. Burnett (7-7, 5.07 ERA)

PLAY 1/2* UNIT ON ATLANTA +$135
<!-- / message -->