Service Plays Sunday 4/27/14

[goldencontender]

GC: MLB Totals Play

Sunday card has the 6* 100% NBA Playoff total of the Month, a 5* Triple system side at night with a 16-0 lead system. In MLB The Sunday night ESPN Totals system and a 5* NHL Historical system. 4* MLB Totals system below.

On Sunday the 4* MLB Totals system is on the under in the Chicago at Milwaukee game. Rotation numbers 957/958 at 2:10 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has gone under 14 of 15 times since 2004. We play the under for Home favorites of -140 or higher with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored win at -140 or higher and scored 5 or more runs, vs an opponent that lost as a road dog and scored 4 or less runs on 4 or less hits, provided both teams had no errors. These games average just 5 runs. The Brewers may be with out R. Braun today and they are 0-13 to the under at home this year. They have played under in 7 of 8 day games and all 3 times on Sunday. Its no wonder they only average 2.8 runs here. The Cubs average 2.4 runs on the road and have had problems scoring. Both pitchers have excellent current form. W.Peralta for the Brewers has a solid 1.83 home era and Hammel for the Cubs has a 2.63 road era. Look for this one to play under the total. GC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Service Play Tally
Record 14-7

Bulls 3
Wizards 6

LAC 7
GSW 3

Rockets 3
Trailblazers 5

*Dunkel and Premium Picks Only*

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Shaker’s Shorts


#952 Marlins/Mets – UNDER 3.5 -115 1st 5 Innings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

NBA playoffs - Game 4
Toronto/BROOKLYN under 192

Generally speaking, scoring has been way up in the NBA this year but playoff basketball brings an entirely different style. We can’t stress enough how important each possession becomes the deeper the series goes. Teams work in practice on getting the best shot possible and it’s drilled into their heads how important getting a high percentage shot is. Defense wins playoff series and the Nets are loaded with playoff savvy personnel that know a thing or two about playing defense.

The last two games of this series have produced two overs. The total in those two games were 190 and 191 respectively. Now the total moves up another point and we get to take advantage of that overreaction with an under bet here. One point is nothing but the situation is entirely different. This is the most crucial game of the series. Adjustments are made and intensity levels rise. Historically speaking, the deeper a series goes, the better chance the under has of cashing and we’ll put that to the test here.



NBA playoffs - Game 4
Chicago +107 over WASHINGTON

When betting the playoffs, supporting teams with the better head coach and defense has long been a profitable profile. Chicago's Tom Thibodeau against Washington's Randy Wittman is a complete mismatch. Thibodeau has won 66 percent of his games as an NBA head coach and has 34 playoff games under his belt while Wittman has won only 37 percent of his games and is a postseason rookie. The Wiz had a chance to put this series out of reach but failed to do so and now they’ll pay the price.

Defensively, the Bulls boasted the league's second-best defensive rating and effective field goal percentage. With Joakim Noah and Taj Gibson controlling the paint and defending the pick-and-roll, the Wizards will have a very difficult time scoring in the half court. The Bulls can also neutralize the one-man fast break of John Wall and force him to shoot from the perimeter. The Wizards shot just 31 percent from 3-point range after April 1. Additionally, the Wizards lost Nene to a suspension and his presence makes a difference, especially on the defensive end and on the boards. The Bulls Joakim Noah has been the heart of these Bulls but D.J. Augustin has been its knight in shining armor. He'll never be mistaken for Derrick Rose, but Augustin's resurrection in Chicago suddenly makes these Bulls very dangerous. When Chicago scores 90 or more they have an incredible winning percentage and nothing suggests they won’t hit 90 here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

San Diego @ WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON -110 over San Diego

There is value from time to time on favorites that are underpriced and we get a prime example of that here. The reason the Nationals are such a small price at home is because Taylor Jordan is 0-3 with an ERA of 6.23 after four starts. Jordan is another case of why you don’t purchase or bet against surface stats. Jordan might be viewed as a sixth starter, once the return of Doug Fister pushes Jordan or Tanner Roark to the bullpen. That talk just gives Jordan even more profit potential. He made big strides this spring against LH bats, helping to produce an overall spring line of a 20/2 K/BB in 20 IP. With swing-and-miss stuff and an extremely high groundball rate, Jordan is a strong bet to string together some nice starts. He’s been hurt by a high hit % and low strand rate but overall his skills are excellent. Jordan’s groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 55%/19%/29% is one of the better profiles in the majors over the first month. Jordan has a great chance of picking up his first win against a Padres team that is batting a league worst .204 on the road. Washington outscored San Diego 15-1 while winning the past two games and the Nats have outhit the Padres 43-21 in the series.

Less than two years removed from a sub-3.00 ERA season, Ian Kennedy was traded from Arizona to San Diego at the 2013 trade deadline. He had a 5.23 ERA at the time and things didn't exactly turn around after the trade (4.24 ERA in 10 starts with SD). Kennedy is off to a decent start this year with a 3.60 ERA but that’s after only five starts. We’ll look at a much larger sample size and see that he’s certainly trending in the wrong direction over the last three years. His ERA: 2.88, 4.02, 4.91. His WHIP: 1.09, 1.30, 1.40. That erosion has been the result of a rise in both control and HR/9. Kennedy has some upside but his disaster start/dominant start split over the last three years tells us that some clunkers are forthcoming and that’s he’s a poor wager pitching for a team that can’t score runs. The favorite holds all the value in this one.

 

[donlauer]

Broker...look forward to post...stay hot.

 

[MIZZOU]

P Machine
I missed yesterday but I believe he is 7-2 for normal plays since the playoffs started.

GS +2 59.1%
Toronto +4 57.1%

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RTG Sports


2* Washington Wizards -1 (BH) **


2* Toronto Raptors +4 **


2* Golden State Warriors +2 **


1* Houston Rockets +3 (BH) *

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

James jones

Toronto raptors

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE GAVAZZI


5* Chicago Bulls (+1)


5* Toronto Raptors (+4)


5* Portland Trailblazers (-2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS SHARP

4 Units
755 Los Angeles Clippers -2 over Golden St. Warriors

3 Units
757 Toronto Raptors +4 over Brooklyn Nets

 

[uratowel]

SHEEP

• 754 Under 184 1/2 Chi-Wash $1000 (late text)
• 967 Royals -125 $1000
• 965 Under 8 1/2 (-120) Bos-Tor $1000 (late text)

 

[TomWW]

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sunday NBA Play
1/2 Unit
Washington -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit Portland -2 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-10)

8 unit Brooklyn -4

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Florida +100

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

Pass

Iceman
(1-3)

Pass

Genius
(1-10)

8 unit Brooklyn -4

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-10)

8 unit Brooklyn -4

Michael Cash Money
(1-10)

7 unit LA Clippers -2

The Sports Report
(1-10)

7 unit Chicago -1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Derek Hayes

1* Bulls

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PhillyGodFather
MLB [968] TOTAL u8-110 (KC ROYALS vrs BAL ORIOLES)

 

[uratowel]

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sunday NBA Play
1/2 Unit
Washington -2

I just started contributing recently and in fact the only plays I take from here are pgf / big bet tiger but this is ridiculous. Forgive me if you've done more in the past, but posting a twitter play that the guy gives out for a free every day isn't contributing. I play cards with him a lot, I would know. Anyone can follow this guy on twitter and get all of his releases / leans.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Buffett Gambler

Cleveland
Texas
KC

 

[1512strick]

Cokin's Bonus Play is on Boston ML. Anyone have the rest of his plays?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Runner
Kansas City Royals -130 2*


Atlanta/Reds Over 3.5 1st 5 2*