STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SUNDAY, APRIL 27th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 4/27/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Sunday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Koehler is 2-1, 2.13 in four starts this season. Gee is 1-1, 1.38 in his last two starts.
-- Teheran is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts. Cueto is 2-2, 1.38 in five starts; he is 2-0, 0.50 in his last two.
-- Peralta is 3-0, 2.75 in his last three starts. Hammel is 3-1, 2.60 in four starts this month.
-- Wainwright is 3-0, 1.57 in his last three starts. Volquez is 1-1, 2.42 in four starts this season.
-- Burnett is 1-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Ryu is 2-0, 0.90 in his last three starts.
-- Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.53 in his last couple starts.
-- Shields is 2-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts. Gibson is 3-1, 3.63 in four starts this year.
-- Price is 2-1, 4.03 in his last three starts.
-- McHugh threw 6.2 shutout innings, struck out 12 in first '14 start.
-- Tanaka is 3-0, 2.45 in his first four American starts. Richards is 2-0, 2.52 in four starts this month.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Jordan is 0-3, 10.57 in his last three starts. Kennedy is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-4, 7.61 in his last four starts.
-- De La Rosa is 1-3, 7.13 in five starts this season.
-- Lester is 2-3, 4.54 in five starts. Dickey is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Carroll is making first '14 start; he was 3-1, 1.57 in four AAA starts.
-- Oakland is 0-3 when Milone starts (0-1, 5.82).
-- Harrison is making first '14 start; he was 0-3, 7.56 in his last three starts before getting hurt LY. Maurer allowed one run in 4.1 IP in his only '14 start.
-- Salazar is 0-3, 10.66 in his last three starts. Vogelsong is 0-1, 7.11 in his last three starts.
•Totals
-- Seven of last eight San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under.
-- 13 of 14 games at Miller Park stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Pirate games stayed under.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Arizona home games.
-- Last four Dodger games went over the total.
-- 15 of 22 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games went over; seven of Royals' last ten games stayed under.
-- Last seven Toronto home games went over total.
-- Eight of twelve White Sox home games went over.
-- Last five Oakland road games went over total.
-- 18 of 23 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Texas away games went over total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven San Francisco games.
•Hot Teams
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Nationals won three of their last four games.
-- Braves won seven of last eight home games.
-- Brewers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Rockies won six of its last nine games.
-- Yankees won nine of last 13 games. Angels are 8-6 away from home.
-- Red Sox won their last four road games.
-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Athletics won six of its last eight road games.
-- Twins won six of last eight home games. Detroit is 6-2 in game following a loss.
-- Rangers won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Giants won five of its last six home games.
•Cold Teams
-- Padres are 4-8 on the road.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Cubs lost their last seven away games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last nine games. St Louis lost five of last seven.
-- Diamondbacks lost ten of their last eleven home games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of its last six games.
-- Royals lost three of their last four games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four home games. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five road games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Indians lost its last three road games.
•Umpires Trends
-- SD-Wsh-- Four of five Hudson games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Underdogs won six of last ten Carlson games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Barksdale games.
-- Mia-NY-- Four of five Muchinski games went over total.
-- Cin-Atl-- Under is 7-3-2 in Hamari's last twelve games.
-- Phil-Az-- Last five Davidson games stayed under total.
-- Col-LA-- Rookie ump Scheurwater is calling first game behind plate.
-- LA-NY-- Last three BWelke games went over the total.
-- Bos-Tor-- Five of last seven Foster games went over.
-- Det-Min-- This is rookie ump Woodring's second game behind plate.
-- KC-Balt-- Underdogs won six of last ten Reynolds games.
-- A's-Hst-- Three of four Emmel games stayed under total.
-- TB-Chi-- Four of last five Johnson games went over total.
-- Tex-Sea-- Underdogs won three of four Morales games.
-- Cle-SF-- Underdogs won three of four Barry games.
Diamond Trends - Sunday
•ATLANTA is 17-3 (+14 Units) against the money line in home games versus National League teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.8, OPPONENT 3.0.
•MILWAUKEE is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in home games against right-handed starters this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 2.7, OPPONENT 2.2.
•PHILADELPHIA is 12-39 (-33.9 Units) against the run line after a win by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.8, OPPONENT 5.7.
•JORGE DE LA ROSA is 15-0 (+16.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DE LA ROSA 6.3, OPPONENT 3.6.
•TOM MILONE is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILONE 2.8, OPPONENT 2.8.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+165 to -135) (CHICAGO CUBS) - very bad National League offensive team (<=3.8 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base.
(33-6 since 1997.) (84.6%, +26.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (24-15)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -107
The average score in these games was: Team 3.9, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +0.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 24 (61.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3, +10.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5, +15.4 units).
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