Craig Davis
Craig Davis
Sunday's Lineup
100 Dime – LAKERS
LAKERS --- The Orlando Magic catch the Los Angeles Lakers at exactly the wrong time as the Lake-show has dropped its last two road games (at Miami and at Charlotte) and I have no doubts they will come into this game today with intense focus. With each game they lose, the Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets (who seem to keep winning) creep closer and closer to the top overall seed in the Western Conference.
Los Angeles dropped a 114-111 overtime decision to Miami and followed that up two days later with a blowout loss to the Charlotte Bobcats. Taking nothing away from the 'Cats, they clearly didn't get Los Angeles' best effort as it was obvious they were looking ahead to today's matchup with Orlando... a rematch of an earlier meeting in Southern California and last year's NBA Finals.
The Lakers won the previous meeting with Orlando by 6, and that was in a game in which Kobe Bryant hit just 4 of 19 from the field, scoring just 11 points that day. Imagine tonight, then, that if other reserves helped the Lakers to a 6 point home win, I can't imagine how many points the Lakers are going to score now that Kobe is back and healthy. Bryant averages over 25 PPG and is starting to get more involved with his assists and rebounds. Bryant is a complete player and as good as any player Orlando has seen all season... and when he feels like he owes a team something, he usually delivers.
Yes, I'm aware that the Lakers don't have the same type of success on the road that they do at home, and although this game couldn't necessarily be considered a "must win" for L.A., this is as close as it gets... whether it's on the road or not. And consider this --- the Lakers HAVE NOT lost three games in a row all season. That's right, not once has this group of veterans dropped three consecutive games no matter where they played and I don't see it happening today.
In fact, only two other times this season have the Lakers dropped back-to-back games, and both times they came back in the third game with a double digit win against a team from the Eastern Conference.
And in case you're counting, the underdog has covered 10 of the last 12 meetings between these two, with one push for a 10-1-1 ATS record over the past five years. I don't know about you, but it's hard NOT to take the Lakers when they are getting points. As a dog this season the Lakers are .500, but they usually win the game when they cover the number. I don't think they'll only stay within the 2 1/2 or 3-point line, I think they'll win the game SU.
The Magic might come into this game a little too overconfident, having won four in a row and six of their last seven games to keep their lead in the Southeast Division. But I'm quite certain that doesn't bother the Lakers much as they have played teams like the Mavericks four times, the Celtics twice and the Cavs twice... and having beaten the doors off Orlando, it's the Lakers (and not Orlando) who should have confidence.
The Lakers have covered the last four vs. Orlando (with one push) and have covered the last three games played in Orlando, twice winning those games SU, and they've covered six of their last seven vs. the Magic. Also, if you believe in this sort of thing, the Lakers are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games on Sunday. Take it for what it's worth. I like the Lakers today, I like them a lot. I think the Lakers win this game SU and it might get ugly. Take the Lakers as your top play of the weekend.