[h=3]Steve Merril - Premium Picks[/h]
Premium Pick
Feb 21 '16, 1:00 PM
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Maryland
Play on: Maryland -9 -106
Game Analysis
Michigan comes into today’s game at Maryland with a 19-8 record, but 12 of those wins have come on their home court. Michigan is just 4-4 in true road games with those four losses all coming by 10 points or more with their average loss coming by 15.5 points per game. The Wolverines have not been a competitive bunch in their away games, and we expect that to be the case once again this afternoon. Michigan’s defense has been atrocious on the road this season. The Wolverines are giving up 74.5 points per game on 48.3% shooting from the field and 36.2% shooting from the field. Michigan’s defense has been even worse lately as they’ve allowed 75 points per game on 50.5% shooting from the field and 40.2% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. The Wolverines will face a Maryland offense that is averaging 77.4 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the field and 36% shooting from three-point land at home this season.
Maryland returns home off a poor 68-63 road loss at Minnesota on Thursday night. The Terrapins also lost their previous game 70-57 at home to Wisconsin. Maryland played two of their worst offensive games of the season as they combined to shoot just 38.7% (41-106) from the field, 36.4% (12-33) from three-point land, and 63.4% (26-41) from the free throw line. Off those two poor performances and back at home where they recently lost, we expect a peak effort in this game. The Terrapins are 14-1 at home where they own an a terrific +15 point differential on the season. Maryland’s defense has been good at home while holding opponents to just 62.4 points per game on 40.2% shooting from the field and 27.4% shooting from three-point land. Maryland is in a terrific spot for a big bounce win, so we’ll lay the points with the Terrapins in this game on Sunday afternoon.
10* Play MARYLAND (-).
Premium Pick
Feb 21 '16, 1:00 PM
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Maryland
Play on: Maryland -9 -106
Game Analysis
Michigan comes into today’s game at Maryland with a 19-8 record, but 12 of those wins have come on their home court. Michigan is just 4-4 in true road games with those four losses all coming by 10 points or more with their average loss coming by 15.5 points per game. The Wolverines have not been a competitive bunch in their away games, and we expect that to be the case once again this afternoon. Michigan’s defense has been atrocious on the road this season. The Wolverines are giving up 74.5 points per game on 48.3% shooting from the field and 36.2% shooting from the field. Michigan’s defense has been even worse lately as they’ve allowed 75 points per game on 50.5% shooting from the field and 40.2% shooting from three-point land over their last five games. The Wolverines will face a Maryland offense that is averaging 77.4 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the field and 36% shooting from three-point land at home this season.
Maryland returns home off a poor 68-63 road loss at Minnesota on Thursday night. The Terrapins also lost their previous game 70-57 at home to Wisconsin. Maryland played two of their worst offensive games of the season as they combined to shoot just 38.7% (41-106) from the field, 36.4% (12-33) from three-point land, and 63.4% (26-41) from the free throw line. Off those two poor performances and back at home where they recently lost, we expect a peak effort in this game. The Terrapins are 14-1 at home where they own an a terrific +15 point differential on the season. Maryland’s defense has been good at home while holding opponents to just 62.4 points per game on 40.2% shooting from the field and 27.4% shooting from three-point land. Maryland is in a terrific spot for a big bounce win, so we’ll lay the points with the Terrapins in this game on Sunday afternoon.
10* Play MARYLAND (-).
GC: NCAAB Play
Sunday Headline play is a rare 6* 25-0 NCAAB Play. In the NBA the Undefeated Non Conference system Game of the month is up along with 2 More Powerful Plays. #1 ranked overall all sports last 2+ months. NCAAB Comp play below.
On Sunday the NCAAB Complimentary play is on Boston College plus the 8 points at 6:30 eastern. This is a match between 2 ACC Cellar dwellers and the Eagles are getting too many points here. They are 12-3 vs losing teams, 4-1 vs teams who allow 77 or more and 7-3 ats on the road with 3+ days rest. Wake Forest has lost 11 straight after starting 10-5. They are 4-17 ats the last few years off a road game, including 0-6 ats as favorites. They are also 1-5 ats at home with revenge. Play on BC. On Sunday end the week big as we are ranked #1 in all sports the last 2+ months. The Power card is led by a rare 25-0 6* Side in College hoops along with one more big side. in the NBA the lead play is the 100% NBA Non Conference Perfect system Game of the Month. Jump on now and put this cutting edge data on your side. For the NCAAB Comp play. Take the 8 points with Boston College. GC
Sunday Headline play is a rare 6* 25-0 NCAAB Play. In the NBA the Undefeated Non Conference system Game of the month is up along with 2 More Powerful Plays. #1 ranked overall all sports last 2+ months. NCAAB Comp play below.
On Sunday the NCAAB Complimentary play is on Boston College plus the 8 points at 6:30 eastern. This is a match between 2 ACC Cellar dwellers and the Eagles are getting too many points here. They are 12-3 vs losing teams, 4-1 vs teams who allow 77 or more and 7-3 ats on the road with 3+ days rest. Wake Forest has lost 11 straight after starting 10-5. They are 4-17 ats the last few years off a road game, including 0-6 ats as favorites. They are also 1-5 ats at home with revenge. Play on BC. On Sunday end the week big as we are ranked #1 in all sports the last 2+ months. The Power card is led by a rare 25-0 6* Side in College hoops along with one more big side. in the NBA the lead play is the 100% NBA Non Conference Perfect system Game of the Month. Jump on now and put this cutting edge data on your side. For the NCAAB Comp play. Take the 8 points with Boston College. GC
Here are the upcoming system bet(s):
Boston {B} bet - This is a confirmed official bet
Note that all bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.
Make sure to follow the Exterminator NBA System guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
Boston {B} bet - This is a confirmed official bet
Note that all bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.
Make sure to follow the Exterminator NBA System guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
Dave Essler | CBB Sides - Sunday, Feb 21 2016 7:00PM
854 Houston -4.0(-110) Pinnacle vs 853 Temple triple-dime bet
Analysis: I do think waiting might get us a better number - but as usual want these out as soon as we can. Temple was crushed at home by the Cougars at home this season, so my only overnight hesitation was whether or not the Owls would be in revenge mode. We know they will, of course - but this is a situation and a matchup issue, IMO. Temple shot 3-23 in that last game from behind the are, and the Owls ARE a streaky shooting team. But, the Cougars are 7th in the nation in defending the perimeter, allowing less than a 30% make rate. Conversely Houston does much more damage offensively inside, which is where Temple's defensive vulnerability shows up. Temple doesn't get to the FT line very often - nor do they shoot well from it. Houston's FT % isn't tremendous, but they do get there more - which should add up. Houston beat Tulsa badly at home, LSU at home, Memphis, and even SMU. They can beat Temple. The Owls on the road - beat a UConn team that beat themselves (we were on Uconn, I know) - lost at Memphis, lost at a terrible ECU team, and struggled to beat both UCF and USF. If they finally played well enough on the road, great - but history says not tonight. Houston has a reasonable length advantage - so the only way Temple wins is to get super hot from deep, and back to the beginning, Houston a Äs a GREAT perimeter defense - the matchup "Trumps" the situation here.
854 Houston -4.0(-110) Pinnacle vs 853 Temple triple-dime bet
Analysis: I do think waiting might get us a better number - but as usual want these out as soon as we can. Temple was crushed at home by the Cougars at home this season, so my only overnight hesitation was whether or not the Owls would be in revenge mode. We know they will, of course - but this is a situation and a matchup issue, IMO. Temple shot 3-23 in that last game from behind the are, and the Owls ARE a streaky shooting team. But, the Cougars are 7th in the nation in defending the perimeter, allowing less than a 30% make rate. Conversely Houston does much more damage offensively inside, which is where Temple's defensive vulnerability shows up. Temple doesn't get to the FT line very often - nor do they shoot well from it. Houston's FT % isn't tremendous, but they do get there more - which should add up. Houston beat Tulsa badly at home, LSU at home, Memphis, and even SMU. They can beat Temple. The Owls on the road - beat a UConn team that beat themselves (we were on Uconn, I know) - lost at Memphis, lost at a terrible ECU team, and struggled to beat both UCF and USF. If they finally played well enough on the road, great - but history says not tonight. Houston has a reasonable length advantage - so the only way Temple wins is to get super hot from deep, and back to the beginning, Houston a Äs a GREAT perimeter defense - the matchup "Trumps" the situation here.
