Service Plays Sunday 12/28/14

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SB PROFESSOR
NFL
1 PM
323. Dallas Cowboys -4*

4:25 PM
315. Carolina Panthers +3*

Rest of Games
313. New York Jets +6
325. New Orleans Saints -4
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
INSIDE THE PRESSBOX / PHIL STEELE

BEST BETS
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
Top Opninion – Pittsburgh Steelers
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Kyle’s Pick(s)

4 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers – PACKERS -7 (-114)
(Note: I’m risking 4.00 units to win 3.51 units)

A frustrating series of events for me last week. As a 1-2 week could have easily went 3-0. In the Lions/Bears game there was not a single moment in the game to blame, but one after the other rather. All the Lions had to do was hold on to the ball and not turn it over one of those two trips in the red zone and a field goal would have gave us a cover. Or, Jeremy Ross botching a punt return with seconds left in the 1st half hurt as well. Punches to the gut are part of this business, though, just have to accept it an move on to the next game. This week I am heading right back to a Lions game. Week 17 is particularly tricky. I wanted to have one or two more plays, but many of the games this week are essentially pointless for many teams. Some teams already have solidified a spot in the playoffs and others are looking forward to vacation. So I took a game with major implications on the line. The winner here secures the NFC North, with the Lions having a chance at a first-round bye and home playoff game if they can pull the win off. I don’t see them doing so this week. the Lions haven’t won in Green Bay since 1992. For a team that visits Lambeau every year that is pretty bad. After Aaron Rodgers threw up a dud against the Lions in their first meeting this season I had this one circled on the calendar. The Lions won that one 19-7 in week 3 and it was the worst performance of the year for Rodgers. It was after that game when Rogers went on that torrid tear. The Packers are quite phenomenal at home this season, they are 7-0, including a 26-21 victory over the Patriots. 26 points is actually the lowest total they were held to all year. In Green Bay the Packers have averaged 41.1 points per game. The Pack got over 30 points in every game except that Patriots game. Heck, even in the pre-season they went over 30 points in both games. The Lions have a beast of a defensive line and allow nothing on the ground, but I don’t see the Packers fooling around with the ground game. I look for Rodgers to air it out frequently throughout this game, taking advantage of what I think, has been an over achieving Detroit secondary. After the game he had last time against the Lions, Rodgers should be hungry to bounce back. The Lions offense on the other hand have been under achievers. On the road they’ve looked horrible, averaging only 15 points per game. I can see the Packers hitting the mid 30’s. The Lions will be without center, Dominic Raiola, this week after stomping on the ankle of a Bear last week. That forces the team to go with a rookie at center, a rather important position that is often overlooked. Certainly not good for a team that hasn’t won in a place since 1992, going up against a team that hasn’t lost in that same place all season long. The Lions are happy with their already clinched playoff spot. I am a Lions fan, but I don’t like them in this spot. Only one play for me this week, but I’ll be playing it for 4 units on the Packers.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

Kevin’s Pick(s):

2 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans – OVER 46.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SIXTH SENSE (NFL)

1* 302 Green Bay -7.5

1* 315 Carolina +3.5

1* 324 Washington +5.5 , This may go back to 6 so wait if you’d like not much difference from 5 to 5.5

1* 330 San Francisco -6.5 -115
 
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
7,475
Tokens
GC: NFL play

Sunday NFC South Play of the Year + Triple Perfect NFL Afternoon Totals And Sunday Night Football up Along with a Perfect NBA System and a NCAAB RPI Super Side. NFL Ranked #1 7 straight weeks and NCAAB Sweeps. NFL System play below.


On Sunday the NFL System Club Play is on Denver. Game 332 at 4:25 eastern. The Broncos will look to get back on track after the Monday night football loss at Cincinnati. They have Oakland coming in and the Raiders are 0-12 ats as a dog off a spread win of 7 or more in their last game and 0-7 as after scoring 25 or more. The Broncos are 14-4 ats vs losing teams and have covered 4 of 5 in division play while averaging 33 points per game at home. The Raiders were blown out at home by Denver and this one wont be any easier. Teams like Denver who lost the Super Bowl that are playing in their last game of the season have covered 8 of 11 times off a loss. Look for Denver to coast in this one to an easy win and cover. On Sunday their are 4 Bog NFL Plays up Including the NFC South Game Of the Year a Triple Perfect Afternoon Totals system, the Sunday Night Football play, an Undefeated NBA Super system and an NCAAB RPI Power angle play. NFL Ranked #1 for a 7th straight week on several leader boards. NCAAB Sweeps and Bowls go 3-1. Jump on now and End the week big with the Most Powerful data in the Industry. For the Bonus Play take. Denver. GC
 

Member
Joined
Feb 2, 2006
Messages
1,594
Tokens
WAYNE ROOT

Millionaires---Denver
No Limit---Atlanta
-------------------
Perfect Play---Detroit

Just about everyone expected the Packers to win the NFC North this season, and while it's still possible, the Lions might be the team to get a bye while the Packers have to slog through a first-round playoff game. No matter who wins on Sunday when the Lions travel to Lambeau, the division is theirs.
Aaron Rodgers might win the MVP this year, and it might come down to his performance on Sunday. Rodgers might win it or lose it when he faces the Lions, but he's still put in the second-best season of his young career. If you had told a Lions fan they'd lose Calvin Johnson for half the season, they'd likely have responded that the team had no hopes of the playoffs. It turns out, however, that Golden Tate might be just as good as the receiver considered the best in the game. Tate has 1286 receiving yards with 4 touchdowns on the year and has been a pivotal component of the Lions' success. The Lions learned how to maintain with offense and win with defense. Speaking of defense, the same game plan Buffalo implemented two weeks ago with their pressure put on Rodgers will be enough to cover the spread. TAKE DETROIT


------------------------------
Inner Circle---Cincinnati

In week 17 NFL action, the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers will meet at Heinz Field to determine the AFC North Division winner. Both teams have already qualified for the AFC Playoffs. The winner will get the division title and the #3 seed, while the loser will get the wildcard and the #5 seed. The Bengals come into this contest winners of five of their last six and seven of their last nine games overall. Last week, Cincinnati shook their primetime demons in an impressive 37-28 home victory over Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. The Bengals’ defense forced four turnovers in the rain soaked game, including two interceptions in the closing minutes. Through 15 games, Cincinnati ranks 22nd in passing offense, 5th in rushing offense, and 15th in scoring offense at 23.2 points per game. Cincinnati and Pittsburgh feature statistically similar defenses that have been playing better as of late. The Bengals rank 22nd in total defense and allow an average of 19.3 points per contest. The Steelers rank 20th in total defense and allow an average of 23.4 points per contest. The "swag" is back with the Bengals after last weeks win. Winning is about emotions and momentum. Dalton comes up big in a big game. TAKE CINCINNATI


-------------------------
Pinnacle---Kansas City

As Arizona can attest, losing your starting QB can put a damper on an Arrowhead crowd. But for the visiting team, this is a difficult venue to win. "In and you're in" is one of the great truisms that's part of the magic of the last week of NFL regular season football. It's not always exactly the case, since some teams need help from other franchises, but it makes for excitement and sometimes a regular-season playoff game. We'll see such a game as the San Diego Chargers travel to Kansas City, with whichever team winning having the chance to make the playoffs. Here's how we spell win: Jamaal Charles. Losing Alex Smith is a "deal" but not a big deal. Keep in mind that a Chiefs wide receiver has not caught a touchdown pass this entire season. Defense, rushing and the 12th man are Sunday's formula as the Pinnacle plays stay hot. TAKE KANSAS CITY.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Joe Gavazzi

STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-9?) 1:00 PM EST
Each week, I isolate an NFL team who will dominate their opposition at the point of attack. We know from statistical research that any team who outrushes their foe by 30 or more yards in a game has an over 70% chance to beat the pointspread. In a similar way, we know that any team who runs the ball 30 times in a game while their opponent does not has an over 80% chance to cover the pointspread. Finally, if one team runs the ball 22 or less times in a game while the other does not, they are an over 80% ATS play against. When the dust clears this afternoon in Baltimore, expect the Ravens to have recorded this double digit victory on the basis of their strong numbers at the point of attack.

It was just four short weeks ago that these two teams were tied in the division in what was then a four team race. But their lack of experience, poor rush defense, and deplorable signal caller play have negatively separated the Browns from the division pack. Baltimore clings to slim hopes of making the playoffs, as they need a victory today combined with a San Diego loss at Kansas City. It sure looks like the Browns have tossed the towel. In losing four straight games, Cleveland has managed only 47 points. With QB Manziel as the starter the last two weeks, the Browns have been outgained 751-335. In last week’s loss at Carolina, Cleveland was outrushed 209-84 and outgained 404-228. QB Manziel injured his hamstring in that contest, allowing former starter QB Hoyer to again take controls. It may not matter who plays QB today, as the Cleveland rush defense is now allowing 141 RYPG.

As stated above, Baltimore playoff hopes rest on this victory with a San Diego loss in the same time frame at Kansas City. Baltimore is in this predicament because of their shocking 25-13 loss last week at Houston, when they were outrushed 123-33. A trio of Baltimore INTs greased the slide for that loss. That performance was uncharacteristic of Baltimore, who entered that game averaging 132/4.6 overland. But the Ravens have played far better on their home field, where their five home wins have come by 20, 28, 22, 14, and 8 points. In addition, Baltimore is 6-0 SU ATS at home following a defeat. With those victories coming by an average of 13 PPG, Baltimore will not take Cleveland lightly. Remember they needed last play magic to win 23-21 at Cleveland earlier in the season
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]UCLA at Alabama[/h] The Bruins head to Tuscaloosa tonight to face an Alabama team that is coming off a 60-59 win over Appalachian State and is 3-13-2 ATS in its last 18 games following a SU victory. UCLA is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Crimson Tide favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 813-814: Tulane vs. St. John's (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 53.738; St. John's 68.254
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 12
Dunkel Pick: St John's (-12)
Game 815-816: Harvard at Arizona State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 61.661; Arizona State 62.835
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 1
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+3)
Game 817-818: Buffalo at Wisconsin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.922; Wisconsin 82.505
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 22
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-22)
Game 819-820: Long Beach State at Syracuse (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 57.535; Syracuse 71.962
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-11 1/2)
Game 821-822: Bowling Green at South Florida (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 56.349; South Florida 54.669
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+1 1/2)
Game 823-824: Wake Forest at Richmond (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 52.746; Richmond 61.257
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-6 1/2)
Game 825-826: Illinois-Chicago at Bradley (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 46.723; Bradley 52.868
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 6
Vegas Line: Bradley by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+8 1/2)
Game 827-828: UC-Davis at Washington State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 53.062; Washington State 58.648
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-3)
Game 829-830: UCLA at Alabama (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 63.769; Alabama 65.187
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4 1/2)
Game 831-832: Iona at Drexel (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 60.645; Drexel 52.461
Dunkel Line: Iona by 8
Vegas Line: Iona by 5
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-5)
Game 833-834: Marist at Elon (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 41.877; Elon 55.510
Dunkel Line: Elon by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Elon by 11
Dunkel Pick: Elon (-11)
Game 835-836: NC-Greensboro at East Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 42.735; East Carolina 54.232
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 9
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-9)
Game 837-838: Rutgers at Monmouth (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 50.628; Monmouth 55.262
Dunkel Line: Monmouth by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Monmouth by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (-2 1/2)
Game 839-840: South Dakota State at Northern Iowa (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 52.516; Northern Iowa 68.871
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-13 1/2)
Game 841-842: WI-Milwaukee at South Dakota (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 47.368; South Dakota 53.387
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 6
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 4
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-4)
Game 843-844: St. Peter's at Cornell (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 53.121; Cornell 52.049
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 1
Vegas Line: Cornell by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+1 1/2)
Game 845-846: Belmont at Butler (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.953; Butler 71.232
Dunkel Line: Butler by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 11
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-11)
Game 851-852: Morgan State at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 45.204; Marquette 60,044
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 15
Vegas Line: Marquette by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (+17 1/2)
Game 853-854: Northwestern State at Arkansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 47.497; Arkansas 71.881
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 22
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-22)
Game 855-856: Florida Gulf Coast at Xavier (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 53.566; Xavier 70.105
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-13 1/2)
Game 857-858: Stony Brook at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 54.951; Washington 65.916
Dunkel Line: Washington by 11
Vegas Line: Washington by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (+13 1/2)
Game 859-860: CS-Bakersfield at California (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Bakersfield 48.727; California 67.958
Dunkel Line: California by 19
Vegas Line: California by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-15 1/2)
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations

NBA | PHOENIX at LA LAKERS
Play Against - Any team (LA LAKERS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a road win against a division rival
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

NBA | TORONTO at DENVER
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
60-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 55.0% | 38.3 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | 0.1 units )

NBA | NEW YORK at PORTLAND
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line playing with 2 days rest, on Sunday games
276-171 since 1997. ( 61.7% | 87.9 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% | -2.3 units )
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations

CBB | UCLA at ALABAMA
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALABAMA) after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
44-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% | 25.3 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CBB | TULANE at ST JOHNS
Play Against - Any team (TULANE) after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse
183-116 since 1997. ( 61.2% | 53.8 units )
3-8 this year. ( 27.3% | -9.0 units )

CBB | IL-CHICAGO at BRADLEY
Play On - Any team (IL-CHICAGO) poor three point shooting team (<=32%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after a game where a team made 28% of their shots or worse
146-83 since 1997. ( 63.8% | 54.7 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations

NFL | ST LOUIS at SEATTLE
Play Against - Favorites of 10.5 or more points (SEATTLE) after 3 or more consecutive wins, in the second half of the season
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NFL | JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (HOUSTON) average passing team (185-230 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game
37-19 over the last 10 seasons. ( 66.1% | 0.0 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 0.0 units )

NFL | SAN DIEGO at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (KANSAS CITY) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in December games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NFL | DETROIT at GREEN BAY
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (GREEN BAY) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in December games 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Arizona State (-7 1/2) on Saturday and likes the Panthers (NFL) on Sunday.

The deficit is 1443 sirignanos.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,917
Messages
13,575,212
Members
100,883
Latest member
iniesta2025
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com