Mike Handzelek’s
Sunday Super 7 Christmas Bonus
Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Redskins (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 1:00 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title Playing The Hook 8 Star
Play Selected Point Spread: 3.0/-110
Both of teams should mimic a game similar to the New York Jets @ Dallas game played yesterday. The talent may be on the Rex Ryan side but they have consistently found a way to shoot themselves in the foot like committing 15 penalties in Philadelphia last week. There’s always that possibility of a pulling out a 3-point road win. However, adding to that number as a road favorite will be throwing line value right out the window. I’d rather side with the home team as a dog getting more than a FG. Redskins’ QB Kirk Cousins is 5-1 SU @ home the last 6 with that loss coming in intra-divisional play versus Dallas. Cousins has a 18/11 TD/INT ratio this season. But when you adjust that ratio down to home games after his Game 1 adjustment period, Captain Kirk has thrown a perfect 11 TD’s without an INT. My bottom line says the Washington game plan is to stuff the run & force Taylor’s hand. The Redskins clearly aware how successful Bills QB Tyrod Taylor is when forced to pass the ball 30 or more attempts. He’s a perfect 0-5 SU! Washington does also know that Taylor is a 6-0 SU when passes fewer than 30 attempts. After last week, it’s clear that Buffalo’s playoff hopes were crushed despite LeSean McCoy’s highlights. Their chances of winning out & seeing 2 out of the HOT 3 (Jets, Chiefs & Steelers) LOSE 2 or more games each are slim and none. I understand that the Redskins haven’t won back-to-back games (Tennessee & Dallas) since last October. However, winning SU isn’t what we’re asking them to do versus the road-weary Bills. Washington just broke a 9-game road losing streak with a win over the Bears last week. Another 21-game none back-to-back win streak could fall by the waist side today. The Redskins “D” have both risen up & stiffened up with 7 takeaways the last 3 games overall besides giving up less than 16 PPG over their last 3 home tilts. I’m ready and pumped to go to FedEx Field in Landover to play the Washington Redskins as my Playing The Hook 8 Star!
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 1:00 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 9 STAR Headliner Moneyliner
Play Selected Money Line: -270
Count this one like a MLB ace in the heat of making the playoffs playing a team out of contention playing games as their coach searches for the right chemistry for next season. These are the games where you “DO LAY” this kind of number. There’s always a chance for a back-door cover but chances of a SU upset are remote. In this matchup, you have an opportunistic Kansas City squad that’s +12 in turnover ratio playing a bad injury-plagued Baltimore team searching for their identity with a -12 turnover ratio. Last week’s 35-6 home loss to Seattle clearly tells me HC John Harbaugh has put his team in experimental mode. He now faces a team that’s destroyed the competition on the road over the last 3 by tallying a “W” @ Denver 29-13, winning @ San Diego 33-3 & most recently triumphant in Oakland by a 34-20 count. My bottom line says Ravens’ newly-inserted QB Jimmy Clausen (with the team just 2 weeks) or Matt “Not Another Pick 6” Schaub will find it hard to move the ball consistently versus the 8th overall “D” in the NFL whose registered 7 wins in a row. KC usually gets it done as a traveler. Since coming to the mid-west, Chiefs HC Andy “The Walrus” Reid has posted a winning 13-10 record away from Arrowhead including a more importantly 5-1 SU versus all the patsies whose posted a losing record. Kansas City QB Alex Smith (3,034 passing yards, 15/4 TD/INT ratio & 95.8 passer rating) should be able to find success versus a shaky at-best Baltimore secondary that yielded 5 TD passes last week. In the end, too much of RB’s Spencer Ware & Charcandrick West will prove fatal versus a team making too many mistakes in their secondary 7 with turnovers. My 9 STAR Headliner Moneyliner goes to M&T Bank Stadium to play the Kansas City Chiefs!
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 1:00 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 8 Star Battle For The Division Play
Play Selected Money Line: -115
There won’t be too much in reading this play. You have T.J. Yates QB’ing a Houston team that were deflated after failing badly @ home versus the new England Patriots. Now they have to go on the road to play an Indianapolis squad that clearly were looking ahead to this one last week. A win here by the Colts solidifies their stronghold on 1st place in the AFC South. I like our chances with Matt Hasselbeck & the home team versus a Texans’ squad that have a QB that can’t successfully exploit HOT wideout DeAndre Hopkins. Let’s travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to play the Indianapolis Colts as my 8 Star Battle For The Division Play!
Cleveland Browns vs. Seattle Seahawks (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:05 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 9 Star Chalk Play Of The Week
Play Selected Point Spread: -14.0/-115
No, it’s not advantage to take your typical double-digit favorite week-in & week-out in the NFL! But let’s examine what we really have here! We have a surging & hungry Seattle Seahawks team that’s 5-1 ATS their last 6 times out as double-digit favorites including 3-1 ATS in that role this season. Even though the Hawks’ have hit a min-slump 2 home this season (4-2 SU), they still carry a very impressive 30-4 SU home record since 2012. Now let’s get to the bulletin board material. Lame-duck HC Mike Pettine of Cleveland said, “Russell Wilson is just a second-tier QB.” Wilson may have had his early-season woes. However, he has rebounded BIG by registering a nifty 138.5 passer rating in the past 4 games. The Brownies have too many holes to fill. Add Johnny “Football” Manziel to the mix and we we’re eager to go to CenturyLink Field to play the Seattle Seahawks (but buy to -13 1/2) as my 9 Star Chalk Play Of The Week!
Green Bay Packers vs. Oakland Raiders (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:05 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 8 Star “Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood” Play
Play Selected Money Line: -196
Just like the opening song used to sing, it will be a beautiful day in Mr. Aaron Rodgers’ neighborhood today when he gets a chance to go up against the 28th-ranked pass defense of Oakland. Rodgers will be well aware of where the pressure will be coming from SLB Khalil Mack whose registered an NFL-best 14 sacks this season. What’s different now? For starters, HC Mike McCarthy is back calling the plays for the Green N’ Gold. He’ll find success versus a “D” that’s 25th-ranked in total yards & points allowed. Green Bay rushed for a season-high 230 yards on 44 carries as RB Eddie Lacy looks dominant once again. My bottom line says the NFL’s reigning MVP in Aaron Rodgers will step up his game BIG returning close to where he grew up (in Chico) while also playing college ball (down in Berkeley @ Cal) down the road. His 1st visit to the Bay area this season saw the Pack’ (despite Tom Clements calling signals) best the 49ers by 2 TD’s, 24-10. This game looks like a proposed shootout with Aaron Rodgers versus the younger Derek Carr. I don’t see the Raiders coming out on top of a shootout by averaging less than 17 points their last 5 games. They were 3 for 15 on 3rd downs last Sunday while their opponent held Dallas to 1 for 11 on 3rd down. Look for WR Randall Cobb (65 receptions, 737 yards & 6 TD’s) to burn the Black N’ Gold secondary on a few occasions as Rodgers wins the shootout. My 8 Star “Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood” Play goes to O.Co Coliseum to play the better-disciplined Green Bay Packers!
Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Francisco 49ers (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:25 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 8 Star Ugly Pig Play Of The Week
Play Selected Point Spread: 6.5/-107
I feel coming into this week, HC Marvin Lewis wants to game-manage his green QB A.J. McCarron into getting a “W”. Now let’s try to let this one sink in. It’s hard to believe but Alabama QB’s are riding an unbelievable 0-13 SU run in a starting role going back to 1987. The good part is Cincinnati’s top 10 defense is largely responsible for their current 5-1 SU record on the road. But this game has and always been about the numbers and where the advantages are. The 49ers are 3-3 defending their home turf & their defense has yielded less than 16 PPG @ Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. Another factor today has to be the tricky & sometimes sub-par playing surface. Playing on natural grass for the Bengals without their full arsenal of players on both sides of the ball suddenly changes their complexion. My bottom line says that San Francisco QB Blaine Gabbert’s 2-3 SU record has looked like an improvement of Colin Kaepernick’s 2-6 SU over the first half of the season. I believe LB Navarro Bowman & Co. have avery good chance @ limiting the Cincinnati ground game (RB’s Jeremy Hill & Giovani Bernard) to less than 100 yards. That’s right! The “Orange & Black Attack” are a perfect 0-3 SU when this happens. Let’s dial it up one more time. At Levi’s Stadium, let’s play the San Francisco 49ers (but buy to + 7 1/2) as my 8 Star Ugly Pig Game Of The Week!
Denver Broncos vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:25 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 9 Star Barking Out Loud Dogger
Play Selected Point Spread: 7.0/-115
These 2 teams could both be coined “Kings Of December”. The Broncos come into this contest with a stellar 13-2 SU record in December while the Steelers are currently riding a 9-0 SU & ATS run in the last month of the calendar year. Something’s gotta give here with Pittsburgh reaching 30 pts. in each of their last 5 games (a franchise record) going up against Denver’s #1 ranked defense (6-1 SU this season on the road) that gives up the fewest points, fewest total yards, fewest passing yards & records the most sacks in the NFL. Keep in mind the Raiders with only 126 yards of offense wouldn’t have registered double-digits without that Emmanuel Sanders muffed punt last week. I feel that game caught the Broncos in clear look-ahead mode toward Three Rivers Land. For this matchup, Denver will look to play a methodical game offensively while the Steelers will chose the shootout tempo. The key here is the protection (5 sacks last week) & efficiency (35 for 51, 276 yards, 0/0 ratio last week) of Orange Crush QB Brock Osweiler. My bottom line says Osweiler is 3-1 SU & 2-0 SU on the road taking over the helm for the Broncos. I also like the way the “Mile High Men” have responded to the dog role going a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS this season beating 3 highly probable playoff-bounders in Kansas City, Green Bay & New England. Here’s the dagger for us. Home-standing Pittsburgh may have their talented quad-group of receivers in (Antonio Brown-Martavis Bryant-Marcus Wheaton-Heath Miller) to throw to for Black N’ Gold QB Ben Roethlisberger, but reality says this stingy Denver “D” has only allowed 188.2 passing yards per game & just 2 receiving TD’s to WR’s in 14 games! I look for fewer dropped balls & fumbles on offense & special teams this time out as our 9 Star Barking Out Loud Dogger goes to Heinz Field to play the Denver Broncos (but buy to + 7 1/2)!
Sunday Super 7 Christmas Bonus
Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Redskins (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 1:00 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title Playing The Hook 8 Star
Play Selected Point Spread: 3.0/-110
Both of teams should mimic a game similar to the New York Jets @ Dallas game played yesterday. The talent may be on the Rex Ryan side but they have consistently found a way to shoot themselves in the foot like committing 15 penalties in Philadelphia last week. There’s always that possibility of a pulling out a 3-point road win. However, adding to that number as a road favorite will be throwing line value right out the window. I’d rather side with the home team as a dog getting more than a FG. Redskins’ QB Kirk Cousins is 5-1 SU @ home the last 6 with that loss coming in intra-divisional play versus Dallas. Cousins has a 18/11 TD/INT ratio this season. But when you adjust that ratio down to home games after his Game 1 adjustment period, Captain Kirk has thrown a perfect 11 TD’s without an INT. My bottom line says the Washington game plan is to stuff the run & force Taylor’s hand. The Redskins clearly aware how successful Bills QB Tyrod Taylor is when forced to pass the ball 30 or more attempts. He’s a perfect 0-5 SU! Washington does also know that Taylor is a 6-0 SU when passes fewer than 30 attempts. After last week, it’s clear that Buffalo’s playoff hopes were crushed despite LeSean McCoy’s highlights. Their chances of winning out & seeing 2 out of the HOT 3 (Jets, Chiefs & Steelers) LOSE 2 or more games each are slim and none. I understand that the Redskins haven’t won back-to-back games (Tennessee & Dallas) since last October. However, winning SU isn’t what we’re asking them to do versus the road-weary Bills. Washington just broke a 9-game road losing streak with a win over the Bears last week. Another 21-game none back-to-back win streak could fall by the waist side today. The Redskins “D” have both risen up & stiffened up with 7 takeaways the last 3 games overall besides giving up less than 16 PPG over their last 3 home tilts. I’m ready and pumped to go to FedEx Field in Landover to play the Washington Redskins as my Playing The Hook 8 Star!
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 1:00 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 9 STAR Headliner Moneyliner
Play Selected Money Line: -270
Count this one like a MLB ace in the heat of making the playoffs playing a team out of contention playing games as their coach searches for the right chemistry for next season. These are the games where you “DO LAY” this kind of number. There’s always a chance for a back-door cover but chances of a SU upset are remote. In this matchup, you have an opportunistic Kansas City squad that’s +12 in turnover ratio playing a bad injury-plagued Baltimore team searching for their identity with a -12 turnover ratio. Last week’s 35-6 home loss to Seattle clearly tells me HC John Harbaugh has put his team in experimental mode. He now faces a team that’s destroyed the competition on the road over the last 3 by tallying a “W” @ Denver 29-13, winning @ San Diego 33-3 & most recently triumphant in Oakland by a 34-20 count. My bottom line says Ravens’ newly-inserted QB Jimmy Clausen (with the team just 2 weeks) or Matt “Not Another Pick 6” Schaub will find it hard to move the ball consistently versus the 8th overall “D” in the NFL whose registered 7 wins in a row. KC usually gets it done as a traveler. Since coming to the mid-west, Chiefs HC Andy “The Walrus” Reid has posted a winning 13-10 record away from Arrowhead including a more importantly 5-1 SU versus all the patsies whose posted a losing record. Kansas City QB Alex Smith (3,034 passing yards, 15/4 TD/INT ratio & 95.8 passer rating) should be able to find success versus a shaky at-best Baltimore secondary that yielded 5 TD passes last week. In the end, too much of RB’s Spencer Ware & Charcandrick West will prove fatal versus a team making too many mistakes in their secondary 7 with turnovers. My 9 STAR Headliner Moneyliner goes to M&T Bank Stadium to play the Kansas City Chiefs!
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 1:00 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 8 Star Battle For The Division Play
Play Selected Money Line: -115
There won’t be too much in reading this play. You have T.J. Yates QB’ing a Houston team that were deflated after failing badly @ home versus the new England Patriots. Now they have to go on the road to play an Indianapolis squad that clearly were looking ahead to this one last week. A win here by the Colts solidifies their stronghold on 1st place in the AFC South. I like our chances with Matt Hasselbeck & the home team versus a Texans’ squad that have a QB that can’t successfully exploit HOT wideout DeAndre Hopkins. Let’s travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to play the Indianapolis Colts as my 8 Star Battle For The Division Play!
Cleveland Browns vs. Seattle Seahawks (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:05 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 9 Star Chalk Play Of The Week
Play Selected Point Spread: -14.0/-115
No, it’s not advantage to take your typical double-digit favorite week-in & week-out in the NFL! But let’s examine what we really have here! We have a surging & hungry Seattle Seahawks team that’s 5-1 ATS their last 6 times out as double-digit favorites including 3-1 ATS in that role this season. Even though the Hawks’ have hit a min-slump 2 home this season (4-2 SU), they still carry a very impressive 30-4 SU home record since 2012. Now let’s get to the bulletin board material. Lame-duck HC Mike Pettine of Cleveland said, “Russell Wilson is just a second-tier QB.” Wilson may have had his early-season woes. However, he has rebounded BIG by registering a nifty 138.5 passer rating in the past 4 games. The Brownies have too many holes to fill. Add Johnny “Football” Manziel to the mix and we we’re eager to go to CenturyLink Field to play the Seattle Seahawks (but buy to -13 1/2) as my 9 Star Chalk Play Of The Week!
Green Bay Packers vs. Oakland Raiders (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:05 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 8 Star “Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood” Play
Play Selected Money Line: -196
Just like the opening song used to sing, it will be a beautiful day in Mr. Aaron Rodgers’ neighborhood today when he gets a chance to go up against the 28th-ranked pass defense of Oakland. Rodgers will be well aware of where the pressure will be coming from SLB Khalil Mack whose registered an NFL-best 14 sacks this season. What’s different now? For starters, HC Mike McCarthy is back calling the plays for the Green N’ Gold. He’ll find success versus a “D” that’s 25th-ranked in total yards & points allowed. Green Bay rushed for a season-high 230 yards on 44 carries as RB Eddie Lacy looks dominant once again. My bottom line says the NFL’s reigning MVP in Aaron Rodgers will step up his game BIG returning close to where he grew up (in Chico) while also playing college ball (down in Berkeley @ Cal) down the road. His 1st visit to the Bay area this season saw the Pack’ (despite Tom Clements calling signals) best the 49ers by 2 TD’s, 24-10. This game looks like a proposed shootout with Aaron Rodgers versus the younger Derek Carr. I don’t see the Raiders coming out on top of a shootout by averaging less than 17 points their last 5 games. They were 3 for 15 on 3rd downs last Sunday while their opponent held Dallas to 1 for 11 on 3rd down. Look for WR Randall Cobb (65 receptions, 737 yards & 6 TD’s) to burn the Black N’ Gold secondary on a few occasions as Rodgers wins the shootout. My 8 Star “Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood” Play goes to O.Co Coliseum to play the better-disciplined Green Bay Packers!
Cincinnati Bengals vs. San Francisco 49ers (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:25 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 8 Star Ugly Pig Play Of The Week
Play Selected Point Spread: 6.5/-107
I feel coming into this week, HC Marvin Lewis wants to game-manage his green QB A.J. McCarron into getting a “W”. Now let’s try to let this one sink in. It’s hard to believe but Alabama QB’s are riding an unbelievable 0-13 SU run in a starting role going back to 1987. The good part is Cincinnati’s top 10 defense is largely responsible for their current 5-1 SU record on the road. But this game has and always been about the numbers and where the advantages are. The 49ers are 3-3 defending their home turf & their defense has yielded less than 16 PPG @ Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. Another factor today has to be the tricky & sometimes sub-par playing surface. Playing on natural grass for the Bengals without their full arsenal of players on both sides of the ball suddenly changes their complexion. My bottom line says that San Francisco QB Blaine Gabbert’s 2-3 SU record has looked like an improvement of Colin Kaepernick’s 2-6 SU over the first half of the season. I believe LB Navarro Bowman & Co. have avery good chance @ limiting the Cincinnati ground game (RB’s Jeremy Hill & Giovani Bernard) to less than 100 yards. That’s right! The “Orange & Black Attack” are a perfect 0-3 SU when this happens. Let’s dial it up one more time. At Levi’s Stadium, let’s play the San Francisco 49ers (but buy to + 7 1/2) as my 8 Star Ugly Pig Game Of The Week!
Denver Broncos vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL) – Dec 20, 2015 4:25 PM EST
Premium Play
Play Title 9 Star Barking Out Loud Dogger
Play Selected Point Spread: 7.0/-115
These 2 teams could both be coined “Kings Of December”. The Broncos come into this contest with a stellar 13-2 SU record in December while the Steelers are currently riding a 9-0 SU & ATS run in the last month of the calendar year. Something’s gotta give here with Pittsburgh reaching 30 pts. in each of their last 5 games (a franchise record) going up against Denver’s #1 ranked defense (6-1 SU this season on the road) that gives up the fewest points, fewest total yards, fewest passing yards & records the most sacks in the NFL. Keep in mind the Raiders with only 126 yards of offense wouldn’t have registered double-digits without that Emmanuel Sanders muffed punt last week. I feel that game caught the Broncos in clear look-ahead mode toward Three Rivers Land. For this matchup, Denver will look to play a methodical game offensively while the Steelers will chose the shootout tempo. The key here is the protection (5 sacks last week) & efficiency (35 for 51, 276 yards, 0/0 ratio last week) of Orange Crush QB Brock Osweiler. My bottom line says Osweiler is 3-1 SU & 2-0 SU on the road taking over the helm for the Broncos. I also like the way the “Mile High Men” have responded to the dog role going a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS this season beating 3 highly probable playoff-bounders in Kansas City, Green Bay & New England. Here’s the dagger for us. Home-standing Pittsburgh may have their talented quad-group of receivers in (Antonio Brown-Martavis Bryant-Marcus Wheaton-Heath Miller) to throw to for Black N’ Gold QB Ben Roethlisberger, but reality says this stingy Denver “D” has only allowed 188.2 passing yards per game & just 2 receiving TD’s to WR’s in 14 games! I look for fewer dropped balls & fumbles on offense & special teams this time out as our 9 Star Barking Out Loud Dogger goes to Heinz Field to play the Denver Broncos (but buy to + 7 1/2)!
let me clear something up on the Billy Walter plays ok... First of all any of us that has followed his plays knows if he really play that game these line not only moves it moves big... I mean at least a few points if what I'm saying... All of the players that were posted today as his plays did not move with the exception of maybe one or two of them... I understand that Johnny the FAG is saying that he reposted from another forum? he did not state that when he posted the plays on here! if he had stated that he was reposting some of you may not have thought of the place as if they were 100% real right? so come on guys if you're going to post please either confirm 100% or at least let everyone know that you are not 100% sure if they are real plays??!!these guys are wagering their hard earned money own a bunch of b******* information if you are just throwing plays up here for the hell of it to say you got Billy Walters plays! Good luck to all!
10 Game of the Year Side Play · [322] Seattle Seahawks
Goalrim/Goalpost Sun Dec 20th, 2015 4:05pm EST
