StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets
CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) off a home win over a division rival, with a winning record on the season
36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
36-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.9% | 0.0 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )
CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
39-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 24.7 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )
CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) off a home win over a division rival, with a winning record on the season
36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
36-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.9% | 0.0 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )
CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
39-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 24.7 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )
GC: NFL Play
On Sunday the NFL System Club Play is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 467 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are still alive in the inept NFC South and have rest for this one as they catch Minnesota off a tough 3 point home loss here last week to Green Bay. Road teams that lost by less than 7 with rest are 25-7 ats if the total is less than 44. Carolina won 35-10 here last season and are a solid 6-0 ats as a dog vs an opponent that is .333 or less. The Panthers have covered 7 straight vs non division teams on turf. The Vikings are a lousy 0-6 ats as a favorite off a 1-3 point loss. Road teams from +3 to -3 in the 2nd half that are off a dog loss and spread win have covered 40 of 50 times the last 32 seasons. On Sunday a Tremendous NFL Card is up with the Highest rated Sunday night NFL Play of the Season with 6 Big systems, 3 Perfect system 5* plays the highest rated Teaser, an NBA Blowout system that dates to 1995 and an NCAAB Road warrior winner. Football is ranked #1 on Several leader boards. Jump on now and the week and Month big With the most powerful data in the industry. For the Bonus Play Look for Carolina to get the cash on Sunday. GC
WAYNE ROOT
MILLIONAIRES---KANSAS CITY
NO LIMIT CLUB---JACKSONVILLE
________________________________
PERFECT PLAY---TAMPA BAY
There's always some team that appears out of nowhere towards the end of the season and wrecks havoc on all the other teams. This years version may just be the Bucs. Look at the line. Even with Cincinnati beating Houston and New Orleans, they are only a 4 point favorite. The Vegas sportsbooks do not hand out free money. The Wayne Root philosophy on betting the NFL over the 29 years is very "contrarian" in the approach. People that quote stats and name every player on the roster will go broke betting the NFL. It's about the Oddsmakers and following the money. It's about decades of gut raw instincts. Don't be surprised with an outright win!!TAKE TAMPA BAY
__________________________________________________ ______
INNER CIRCLE---GREEN BAY.....NFL FAVORITE OF THE MONTH
WOW!! The top 2 teams square off in as the NFL gives us more and more great games. These are the games that Wayne Root has made fortunes. The big game spotlight!! Green Bay relies entirely upon Aaron Rodgers to create scoring opportunities. With Rodgers behind center there is more room for Eddie Lacy to run and a bigger window for his wide outs to stretch the field. On the defensive side of the ball expect Clay Matthews and Julius Peppers to try and disrupt the Patriot passing game as often as possible. The Patriots are just on one of those rolls and like any streak, even the best come crashing down to earth. You cannot sustain that level of play for 2 months in the NFL. Rodgers has more than enough to win this game. Green Bat is an ATS covering machine at home.
________________________________________
Pinnacle---ATLANTA......NFL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR
The Arizona Cardinals will try to avoid a second straight loss when they travel to the Georgia Dome to take on the Atlanta Falcons. But winning in Atlanta is no sure bet. The Atlanta Falcons are currently 4-7 on the season and somehow tied for first place in the awful NFC West Division. Last weekend, the Falcons lost 26-24 at home against the Cleveland Browns on a Billy Cundiff 37-yard field goal as time expired. This will be a tough spot for Arizona. They will be on the road for a second straight week against a team that is desperate for a win. Falcons QB Matt Ryan has always been good at home and he should lead his team to victory here. This looks like one of the biggest "trap" game in recent weeks as the world loves the Cardinals. TAKE ATLANTA
MILLIONAIRES---KANSAS CITY
NO LIMIT CLUB---JACKSONVILLE
________________________________
PERFECT PLAY---TAMPA BAY
There's always some team that appears out of nowhere towards the end of the season and wrecks havoc on all the other teams. This years version may just be the Bucs. Look at the line. Even with Cincinnati beating Houston and New Orleans, they are only a 4 point favorite. The Vegas sportsbooks do not hand out free money. The Wayne Root philosophy on betting the NFL over the 29 years is very "contrarian" in the approach. People that quote stats and name every player on the roster will go broke betting the NFL. It's about the Oddsmakers and following the money. It's about decades of gut raw instincts. Don't be surprised with an outright win!!TAKE TAMPA BAY
__________________________________________________ ______
INNER CIRCLE---GREEN BAY.....NFL FAVORITE OF THE MONTH
WOW!! The top 2 teams square off in as the NFL gives us more and more great games. These are the games that Wayne Root has made fortunes. The big game spotlight!! Green Bay relies entirely upon Aaron Rodgers to create scoring opportunities. With Rodgers behind center there is more room for Eddie Lacy to run and a bigger window for his wide outs to stretch the field. On the defensive side of the ball expect Clay Matthews and Julius Peppers to try and disrupt the Patriot passing game as often as possible. The Patriots are just on one of those rolls and like any streak, even the best come crashing down to earth. You cannot sustain that level of play for 2 months in the NFL. Rodgers has more than enough to win this game. Green Bat is an ATS covering machine at home.
________________________________________
Pinnacle---ATLANTA......NFL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR
The Arizona Cardinals will try to avoid a second straight loss when they travel to the Georgia Dome to take on the Atlanta Falcons. But winning in Atlanta is no sure bet. The Atlanta Falcons are currently 4-7 on the season and somehow tied for first place in the awful NFC West Division. Last weekend, the Falcons lost 26-24 at home against the Cleveland Browns on a Billy Cundiff 37-yard field goal as time expired. This will be a tough spot for Arizona. They will be on the road for a second straight week against a team that is desperate for a win. Falcons QB Matt Ryan has always been good at home and he should lead his team to victory here. This looks like one of the biggest "trap" game in recent weeks as the world loves the Cardinals. TAKE ATLANTA
Joe Gavazzi
Houston Texans -7
Steamroller Game of the Week
At the beginning of the week, this was billed as a match-up of losing teams who were each featuring the face of their future in rookie QB Mettenberger (Tennessee) and 1st year starter QB Mallett (Houston). But an injury to Mallett thrusts QB Fitzpatrick into the starting role of signal caller. Regardless of who is at the controls for either team, the result of this contest will be proof positive that controlling the football overland is of utmost importance when considering pointspread success in the NFL. Remember that teams who outrushed their opponent by 30 or more yards are a long term 75% ATS winner in the NFL. Teams who rush the ball for 30 or more times in an NFL game while their opponent does not are an over 80% winner. Correspondingly, teams who run the ball 22 or fewer times a game if their opponent does not are an over 80% Play Against. Now consider the following facts: for the season, the Titans rush the ball an average of only 22 times/game for 89/4.1. They allow opponents to run the ball 33 times/game on average for 145/4.4. That 56 yard negative differential in the run game is the largest negative difference of any team in the league (here’s a clue, Oakland is 2nd worst at 54 YPG). Thus, the Titans record of 2-9 SU, 3-8 ATS should hardly come as a surprise. And the fact that QB Mettenberger has over 608 passing yards and 4 TDs in starts against Pittsburgh and Philly the last 2 weeks means little when you consider the Titans defense gave up 70 points in those 2 games, were outrushed 164-52 last week by Philly and 206-49 two weeks ago by the Steelers. With Houston running the ball an average of 32 times/game for 137/4.3 (3rd most yards in the league), it will be no surprise if, regardless who plays QB for Houston, that they steamroll the Titans at the point of attack, extend their series dominance to 7-1 ATS and repeat the 30-16 victory of October 26th at Tennessee.
Houston Texans -7
Steamroller Game of the Week
At the beginning of the week, this was billed as a match-up of losing teams who were each featuring the face of their future in rookie QB Mettenberger (Tennessee) and 1st year starter QB Mallett (Houston). But an injury to Mallett thrusts QB Fitzpatrick into the starting role of signal caller. Regardless of who is at the controls for either team, the result of this contest will be proof positive that controlling the football overland is of utmost importance when considering pointspread success in the NFL. Remember that teams who outrushed their opponent by 30 or more yards are a long term 75% ATS winner in the NFL. Teams who rush the ball for 30 or more times in an NFL game while their opponent does not are an over 80% winner. Correspondingly, teams who run the ball 22 or fewer times a game if their opponent does not are an over 80% Play Against. Now consider the following facts: for the season, the Titans rush the ball an average of only 22 times/game for 89/4.1. They allow opponents to run the ball 33 times/game on average for 145/4.4. That 56 yard negative differential in the run game is the largest negative difference of any team in the league (here’s a clue, Oakland is 2nd worst at 54 YPG). Thus, the Titans record of 2-9 SU, 3-8 ATS should hardly come as a surprise. And the fact that QB Mettenberger has over 608 passing yards and 4 TDs in starts against Pittsburgh and Philly the last 2 weeks means little when you consider the Titans defense gave up 70 points in those 2 games, were outrushed 164-52 last week by Philly and 206-49 two weeks ago by the Steelers. With Houston running the ball an average of 32 times/game for 137/4.3 (3rd most yards in the league), it will be no surprise if, regardless who plays QB for Houston, that they steamroll the Titans at the point of attack, extend their series dominance to 7-1 ATS and repeat the 30-16 victory of October 26th at Tennessee.
StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets
NHL | VANCOUVER at DETROIT
Play On – Road teams against the money line (VANCOUVER) after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games
27-13 since 1997. ( 67.5% | 24.4 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.3 units )
NHL | VANCOUVER at DETROIT
Play On – Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (DETROIT) good defensive team – allowing <=2.55 goals/game on the season, after winning their previous game in overtime
73-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.6% | 36.2 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.6 units )
NHL | VANCOUVER at DETROIT
Play On – Any team against the money line (VANCOUVER) after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games
52-27 since 1997. ( 65.8% | 28.9 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.3 units )
NHL | VANCOUVER at DETROIT
Play On – Road teams against the money line (VANCOUVER) after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games
27-13 since 1997. ( 67.5% | 24.4 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.3 units )
NHL | VANCOUVER at DETROIT
Play On – Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (DETROIT) good defensive team – allowing <=2.55 goals/game on the season, after winning their previous game in overtime
73-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.6% | 36.2 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.6 units )
NHL | VANCOUVER at DETROIT
Play On – Any team against the money line (VANCOUVER) after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games
52-27 since 1997. ( 65.8% | 28.9 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.3 units )
StatFox Super Situations
NBA | CHICAGO at BROOKLYN
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days, in November games
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 29.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
NBA | TORONTO at LA LAKERS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
404-207 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.1% | 117.0 units )
19-5 this year. ( 79.2% | 13.4 units )
NBA | MEMPHIS at SACRAMENTO
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MEMPHIS) off 2 or more consecutive road wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NBA | CHICAGO at BROOKLYN
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days, in November games
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 29.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
NBA | TORONTO at LA LAKERS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
404-207 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.1% | 117.0 units )
19-5 this year. ( 79.2% | 13.4 units )
NBA | MEMPHIS at SACRAMENTO
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MEMPHIS) off 2 or more consecutive road wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
