Service Plays Sunday 11/27/16

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GC: NFL Play

Sunday NFL card led by the 100% AFC West Total of the Month and a BIG 5* Undefeated power system along with hoops NBA/ NCAAB. Congrats to those who jumped on college GOY on Florida St. as top plays go 4-0. NFL Comp play below.

The NFL Comp play is on the Arizona Cardinals at 1:00 eastern plus the points. This game fits a system that has cashed 25 of 33 for road dogs of less than 5 like Arizona when both teams are coming off straight up and ats road dog losses. Arizona has a solid defense allowing nearly 100 yards less per game than Atlanta. The falcons have failed to cover 16 of the last 20 as a favorite, including 8 straight at home. Take the live dog in this one with Arizona. On Sunday the AFC Perfect system Total of the Month is up along with a big 5* from an undefeated system. NBA + NCAAB Power system Plays up as well. Jump on now and put the most powerful data in the industry on your side. For the NFL Free pick. Take the Points with the Arizona Cardinals. GC
 

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[FONT=&quot]Week #12 Selections[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Top 10 Consensus Picks
Season 18-35-2

Last week's Top 5 Consensus went 2-3[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]Team.......# times picked[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Tennessee (-4.5) 514[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Atlanta (-4) 490 [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Washington (+7) 405 Covered on Thanksgiving Day[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Baltimore (-4) 387[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Kansas City (+3.5) 380[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Oakland (-3) 379[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]San DIego (-1.5) 356[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Carolina (+3) 347[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]NY Giants (-3) 344[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Seattle (-6) 337[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]Top 10 Leaders...Picks.....Last week.....YTD.....%.....Points[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]BNEV [/FONT][FONT=&quot]MIN DAL TB DEN GB 5-0 37-18 67.3% 37[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]skinknee.com[/FONT][FONT=&quot] SD JAC CIN NO DEN 3-1-1 35-17-3 67.3% 36.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]REDWINE [/FONT][FONT=&quot]TEN BUF MIA NYG NE 4-1 36-18-1 66.7% 36.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]MARK DAVIS[/FONT][FONT=&quot] MIN WAS SD ATL KC 3-2 35-17-3 67.3% 36.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]JANKNATION [/FONT][FONT=&quot]MIN WAS SD ATL KC 3-2 35-17-3 67.3% 36.5[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]6 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]POCKET KINGS[/FONT][FONT=&quot] MIN WAS SD TEN NYJ 5-0 36-19 65.5% 36[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]6 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]ORANGE CRUSH[/FONT][FONT=&quot] PIT TEN BAL NYG SEA 4-1 35-18-2 66% 36[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]6 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]morley the 15th[/FONT][FONT=&quot] SD TEN BAL NO NYG 3-2 35-18-2 66% 36[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]6 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]MAC SPORTS INC.[/FONT][FONT=&quot] MIN DAL PIT ATL TB 4-1 36-19 65.5% 36[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]6 [/FONT][FONT=&quot]Just Cover Baby![/FONT][FONT=&quot] JAC ARI LA TB KC 3-2 35-18-2 66% 36[/FONT]
 

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Marc Lawrence

NFL PLAYS


Chiefs
Play - Kansas City Chiefs (Game 271). Edges - Chiefs: 6-0 SU last six division games overall. Broncos: 0-9 ATS division home favorites off SU underdog win since 1990. With KC head coach Andy Reid 17-4 ATS away off a loss in division games in his career, including 10-0 ATS during the regular season when facing a foe off a win

Packers - Monday
Play - Green Bay Packers (Game 275). Edges - Packers: QB Aaron Rodgers 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career as a dog when the Packers are riding a 0-3 SUATS losing streak, and NFL away teams in Game Eleven are 22-6 ATS when off a DD loss and facing a foe a loss off a DD loss. Eagles: 6-10 SU and 5-11 ATS versus NFC North opponents. With NFL away teams off BB losses in the 3rd game of a 3 game road trip who scored 14 or more points in their last game 7-0 ATS since 1980 when facing a non-division foe
 

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Las Vegas Pipeline
11/27/2016
37-19 top play run, #1 CFB 36-13 74%

NBA

20* ROCKETS / TRAILBLAZERS OVER

Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Portland.
Over is 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
Over is 11-1 in Trail Blazers last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 10-1 in Trail Blazers last 11 home games.
Over is 8-2 in Trail Blazers last 10 Sunday games.
Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 16-5 in Trail Blazers last 21 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 16-5 in Trail Blazers last 21 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 6-2 in Trail Blazers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 21-7 in Trail Blazers last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 18-7 in Trail Blazers last 25 overall.
Over is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 41-20 in Trail Blazers last 61 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 7-3 in Rockets last 10 Sunday games.
Over is 35-16 in Rockets last 51 vs. NBA Northwest.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 overall.
 

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Al DeMarco - GM


SUNDAY


15 DIME play on New Orleans at home against Los Angeles. The Saints are -7 1/2 or -8 depending on where you check as of 11:30 PM Pacific on Saturday night. If you get -7 or -7 1/2 buy down the 1/2-point insurance on New Orleans.


Chuck O'Brien


Sunday Selection


30 Dime Play: Denver


Line as of 3:25 AM Eastern: Denver -3 1/2


Special Instructions: Buy down the 1/2 point on Denver if the price is -3 to -4 1/2.


Sean Michaels


SUNDAY


100 DIME MAX WAGER on Oakland at home against Carolina. The Raiders are -3 1/2 as of 12:40 A.M. my time here in Vegas on Sunday morning. I strongly suggest you buy down the hook on Oakland if the price you get is between -3 and -4 1/2.
 

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[SIZE=+2]THE GOLD SHEET'S FOOTBALL LTS[/SIZE]TODAY'S TOP PLAYS FROM THE TOP HANDICAPPERS FROM OLDEST AND MOST RESPECTED
SPORTS ADVISORY COMPANY IN THE WORLD!
[SIZE=-1][FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Updated 11/26/16[/SIZE][/FONT]
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27NFLTOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units "OVER" 44 1/2 points SAN FRANCISCO at MIAMI 10:00 AM PST (Game #261-62)
HOUSTON +2 1/2 -home over San Diego 10:00 AM PST (Game #252)
BUFFALO -7 1/2 -home over Jacksonville 10:00 AM PST (Game #256)
"OVER" 44 points NY GIANTS at CLEVELAND 10:00 AM PST (Game #265-66)


 
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Joe Gavazzi

Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (-7-) 1:00 ET

Jags are lucky that, at least at this writing, there is no winter storm scheduled for Buffalo this weekend. Again last week, the Jags put themselves in position to win, outgaining Detroit 285-277 and outrushing them 83-14, but in the end they fell 26-19 failing to cover by a point. They are now 1-4 SU on the road, with a victory at only the 2-8 SU Bears. The Bills vaunted ground game came through for us last week as the STEAMROLLER play, outrushing the Bengals 183-93 in a 16-12 road upset. At 5-5 SU, with a ground game that averages 30/158/5.3, they are capable of continuing that momentum on this home field against a Jacksonville team who has not proven capable of road success.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NHL*|*NASHVILLE*at*WINNIPEG
Play On - Home teams against the money line (WINNIPEG) after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games
41-14*over the last 5 seasons.**(*74.5%*|*29.0 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.0 units*)

NHL*|*NASHVILLE*at*WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road teams against the money line (NASHVILLE) off 2 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses
51-21*over the last 5 seasons.**(*70.8%*|*31.4 units*)
3-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*3.1 units*)
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA*|*LA CLIPPERS*at*INDIANA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
4-1*this year.**(*80.0%*|*2.9 units*)

NBA*|*HOUSTON*at*PORTLAND
Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (HOUSTON) good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games
36-13*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.5%*|*22.5 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.4 units*)

NBA*|*ATLANTA*at*LA LAKERS
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (LA LAKERS) off a loss against a division rival, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team
127-70*since 1997.**(*64.5%*|*50.0 units*)
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CBB*|*WOFFORD*at*COLORADO
Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (WOFFORD) after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season
84-42*since 1997.**(*66.7%*|*37.8 units*)

CBB*|*CLEVELAND ST*at*DUQUESNE
Play On - An underdog vs. the money line (CLEVELAND ST) after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a bad team (20% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record
116-158*since 1997.**(*42.3%*|*50.8 units*)

CBB*|*INDIANA ST*at*QUINNIPIAC
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 terrible defensive team - allowing 84+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 155 points or more
41-15*since 1997.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
1-2*this year.**(*33.3%*|*-1.2 units*)
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFL*|*CALGARY*at*OTTAWA
Play Against - Favorites (CALGARY) off a home win by 17 points or more, when playing on a Sunday
30-8*since 1997.**(*78.9%*|*21.2 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)

CFL*|*CALGARY*at*OTTAWA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) a good defensive team (19-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (23 to 28 PPG), after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games
27-7*since 1997.**(*79.4%*|*0.0 units*)
4-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)

CFL*|*CALGARY*at*OTTAWA
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (CALGARY) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season
49-22*over the last 5 seasons.**(*69.0%*|*24.8 units*)
5-5*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.5 units*)
 

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COLIN's THANKSGIVING Blazing 5 SPECIAL, posting his picks on Wednesday rather than Friday.

Last week 3-2

Total for year 31-23-1 (%57.41)

Washington at Dallas (-7) – rare favorite that Colin will take. Skins are playing on the road on Thursday after having just played on the Sunday night game the week before. Cowboys are second in the league in 1st half scoring, so they will take a lead early in their games. Redskins defense allow almost 50% of the rushes for more than 4 yards. Dallas are more rested, will take a lead, and keep the ball away from the Redskins. Dallas wins 33-23.

Carolina (+3.5) at Oakland – People are jumping on the Raiders bandwagon now. Oakland is actually a better team playing away from Oakland. They just came off a long trip to Mexico City on Monday night. Panthers have not been on the road much since Week 6, so they are a much fresher team. Cam has won 10 out of his last 14 road games. Raiders do not have the pass rush to get to Cam, with just 15 sacks on the year, fewest in the league. Raiders defense are also allowing 6.3 yards per play, which is the worst in the NFL. Panthers win 30-27.



San Diego (-1) at Houston – Houston on a short week, San Diego rested coming off a bye week. SD has the much better QB this game. All 6 of San Diego’s losses were one possession games. Texans are only averaging 4.7 yards per play, which is the 2nd worst in the league. San Diego wins 34-26.

Arizona at Atlanta (-4) – Colin’s favorite pick this week. He usually doesn’t like favorites, but this is a good spot for the Falcons, they are coming off a bye and are well rested for this matchup. Carson Palmer has turn the ball over 13 times and sacked 26 times in his last 6 starts. This is an early east coast starting time, which is tougher on the west coast teams. Falcons are explosive at home, averaging 37 points a game in their last 3 home games. Bruce Arians was also hospitalized this week, which would be a distraction for the team. Atlanta wins 30-20.

Kansas City (+3.5) at Denver – Colin thinks they played awful last week because they were looking ahead to the Denver game. KC has won 17 of their last 20 games. Their defense probably just as good as Denver’s defense. They lead the league in takeaways and turnover differentials, both better than Denver. They even have the most redzone takeaways. Since week 8, Denver defense has only been ranked 23rd, mostly because their offense is lousy and can’t keep the ball. Siemian is completing less than 55% of his throws in those games. Kansas City wins 24-23.
 
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VEGAS SYNERGY


AFC GAME OF THE WEEK

Game: (251) San Diego Chargers at (252) Houston Texans
Date/Time: Nov 27 2016 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Diego Chargers 0.0 (-105)
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NFL*|*NY GIANTS*at*CLEVELAND
Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in the second half of the season
29-8*over the last 5 seasons.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)

NFL*|*NY GIANTS*at*CLEVELAND
Play On - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CLEVELAND) good rushing team (>=4.5 YPR) against an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.5 YPR) after 8+ games, after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)

NFL*|*KANSAS CITY*at*DENVER
Play Under - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
29-8*since 1997.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
 
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Hondo

Humble Hondo gives thanks

Hondo has plenty to be thankful for this week, but mostly for his Bettor’s Guide-best 10-3-1 record in the Week 11 compulsories that pushed him nine games over .500, and his solid 2-1 Best Bet mark that kept him within striking range of George “Thrillis” Willis.

Enough yammering — it’s time to gather ’round the table and enjoy the annual sumptuous and tasty HondoNation Thanksgiving feast.

Lions over Vikings: Usually the Thanksgiving opener is a turkey of a tussle, but not this year. It’s Sam Bradford against Matthew Stafford in a game neither can afford to lose. Mr. Aitch gives a slight edge to Bill Ford’s Lions, who will enjoy a Ford Field fiesta after pulling a late escape, assuming they keep their focus.

Cowboys over Redskins: Thanksgiving/Black Friday Shopping Tip of the Day: Eat a light meal on Thursday so you will be able to move quickly and powerfully when the stampedes begin.

Steelers over Colts: If it wasn’t for bad Luck, the Colts would have no Luck, which sums up their season going into Thursday night. The Steel Curtain will fall early and often on some guy named Scott Tolzien.

Giants over Browns: It would be so much more fun for Big Blue backers if the defense would show up in the first half, Ben “Big Suit” McAdoo would keep his foot on the gas when the Giants get in covering range, and Robbie Gould would make more PATs than he misses. How ’bout it fellas?

One key indicator that bodes well for a Big Blue cover against Cleveland’s winless wonders is that the Pope officially brought to a close the Holy Year of Mercy on Sunday.
Jason Pierre-Paul should be in the running for Comeback Player of the Year — especially after getting 2.5 sacks against the Bears. One more and he would have had a handful.

Patriots over Jets: Forget Gang Green’s QB issues; there should be a CB controversy. Justin Burriss surely would be an improvement over the declining Darrelle Revis.

Tom Brady has assembled some gaudy stats since his four-game suspension ended. In fact, they’re so incredible rumor has it Roger Goodell wants to check out Brady’s balls again.

Chargers over Texans: “Hatchimals” reportedly are the hot Christmas toys for this year. The kiddies enjoy the interactive little critters, because they not only can teach them how to walk, talk and play, but also to whine, whimper and pout when elections don’t go their way.

Titans over Bears: Therapy dogs are helping some of the fragile Hillary supporters as they continue to struggle to get over her failure. Somehow, the distressed wimps feel a special kinship as they lick their wounds while watching the dogs lick their private parts.

Jaguars over Bills: It was a good week for Buffalo — not only did Dan Carpenter kick three field goals in a victory at Cincy, but his wife refrained from calling for a Bengal to be castrated.

Ravens over Bengals: Donald Trump was way off base Monday when he summoned mainstream media execs and anchors and ripped into them for being “deceitful liars.” He should have thanked them profusely, since voter rejection of the ’Crats’ devoted and loyal LapDog Media helped tilt the election in his favor.

Falcons over Cardinals: The dress Marilyn Monroe wore when she serenaded JFK on his birthday was sold at auction for $4.8 million. The only article of clothing that has a shot at topping that amount would be Monica Lewinsky’s Crusty Blue Love Dress.

49ers over Dolphins: Some people are giving Megyn Kelly a hard time about posing seductively for her interview with the Hollywood Reporter. There’s that darn double standard again — nobody ever gave Walter Cronkite grief for striking come-hither poses for a magazine article.

Saints over Rams: From BarkingMut, aka the HondoNation SoBe Correspondent: Arnold Schwarzenegger says the offensively impotent Rams are a bunch of Todd Gurley-men.
Buccaneers over Seahawks: Condolences to all those who were hoping to be thankful on Thursday that the 2 ¹/₂ -year war for Sofia Vergara’s frozen embryos had ended. Maybe next year.

Raiders over Panthers: Congrats are in order for Gov. Cuomo, who visited Harlem’s Abyssinian Baptist church Sunday to tell the parishioners about his “heavy heart” and talk about intolerance in the Trump era. With a full four years until the next big election, it marks the earliest visit to a black church by a pandering white politician presumed to be running for president.

Broncos over Chiefs: Another woof from BarkingMut: Scandal-tinged N.J. Gov. Chris Christie, who met with Trump for a possible cabinet post even after the Prez-elect demoted him from running his transition team, said The Donald’s dis was water under the George Washington Bridge.

Eagles over Packers: Trump’s decision not to have his administration pursue charges against Hillary accomplished three things: It puts him in a class with every other flip-flopping politician who has disregarded a campaign promise; it promotes the dreaded two-tiered justice system; and it renders unnecessary a secret tête-à-tête on the tarmac between Bill Clinton and new Attorney General Jeff Sessions.
Happy Thanksgiving to all in HondoNation and points beyond.

Best bets: Steelers, Ravens, Saints
 
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Arthur Ralph Sports

Super Pk SUN: NY Giants -7


ALL Silver Bullets KC Chiefs + 4,LA Rams +7,

Total plays
UNDER 45 Browns/NYG, OVER 45 TBay/Seattle
 

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