Service Plays Sunday 11/2/14

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

10* Play Miami -1 over San Diego (Top NFL Play)

San Diego is 2-5 ATS when playing in the month of November
San Diego is 5-12 ATS coming off an OVER the total in their last game


10* Play New England +3 over Denver (Top NFL Play)

New England is 51-30 ATS after having won four of the last five games
New England is 22-8 ATS when playing as a home underdog


10* Play Baltimore +1 over Pittsburgh (Top NFL Play)

Baltimore is 7-2 SU when playing in the month of November
Baltimore is 15-5 SU coming off a road game

 

[pascal5757]

Winning Angle

SUNDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

Play Los Angeles Clippers -10 over Sacramento (NBA TOP PLAY)

Sacramento has lost 27 of the last 28 games when playing as an underdog of ten points or more and they have lost 63 of the last 82 road games. Sacramento has lost 19 of the last 28 games when playing on a Sunday and they have lost 20 of the last 27 games when playing in the month of November.


Play New York -3 over Charlotte (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Portland -3 over Golden State (NBA BONUS PLAY)



=======================================================


NHL HOCKEY

Play Washington -170 over Arizona (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Montreal -180 over Calgary (NHL TOP PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

Winning Angle Football



SUNDAY

Play Miami -1 over San Diego (NFL)
1:00 PM EST

San Diego has lost 5 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing in the month of November and they have lost 12 of the last 17 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game. San Diego has lost 9 of the last 13 games against the spread coming off a division game and they are allowing an average of 28 points on defense in their last three games.


Play New England +3 over Denver (NFL)
4:30 PM EST

New England has covered the spread in 51 of the last 81 games after having won four of the last five games and they have covered the spread in 22 of the last 30 games when playing as a home underdog. New England has covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 home games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points and they are averaging 34 points on offense in home games this season.


Play Philadelphia -2 over Houston (NFL)
Play Baltimore +1 over Pittsburgh (NFL)

 

[pascal5757]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Tough one Thursday as turnovers in the first half cost us a chance at the OVER. I've added five plays below for Sunday and Kyle has a couple as well.
4 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers - RAMS +10 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
2 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - JAGUARS +17.5 and RAIDERS +22 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
*This teaser was bet at 5Dimes.eu under "6 point ties reduce" teasers. You can find this at other sportsbooks as well, but it's important you get +17.5 or better for the Jags and +21.5 or better for the Raiders. If you can't bet this teaser I would make it a 2 unit play on each of these two teams against the spread.
2 UNIT = San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins - CHARGERS +1.5 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cleveland Browns - BUCCANEERS +7 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys - OVER 44.5 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Sent earlier:
4 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - JETS +17 and RAVENS +7.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
** This was sent earlier in the week and Jets +17 won't be available anymore if you didn't get the bet in because of line movement. If you didn't get this bet in I would add a 2 unit play on Ravens +1.5.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = N.Y. Jets @ K.C. Chiefs - CHIEFS -8.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Before I go any further I have to mention one thing about this game and other peoples perceptions. I am reading and hearing from multiple people that the Jets defense is going to keep them in this game to give them a cover. Maybe the Jets' defense puts on one hell of a defensive effort on Sunday, but these claims are being made with little justification. This is NOT the same Jets team that had Revis in his prime. This is NOT the same Jets' defense that made Mark Sanchez look like an adequate quarterback and beat the Patriots in the playoffs a few years back. All of the focus is on how bad their offense is, and while it is not great, the defense hasn't been shouldering their share of the load either. The last four weeks the Jets have allowed 43, 27, 31, and 31 points. That 43 points was against the horrible Buffalo Bills' offense. Those four games equated to an average of 33 points allowed. Prior to those games they didn't fair that much better either. On the season the Jets are surrendering 29 points per game. They're holding teams back yardage wise for the most part, but what good is it if they are giving up almost 30 points a game, including 43 to the lowly Bills. This is one of those games where it is hard to see the Chiefs scoring less than 27 points. I foresee 30 points for the Chiefs. KC is averaging 25 points per game, so 30 looks like a reasonable prediction. Note that the Chiefs are 1st in the NFL against the pass. They'll be defending against Michael Vick and a Jets attack that is 28th in the NFL in total offense and dead last passing the football, 32nd. There aren't any weapons in the Jets' offense for the quarterback to work with. I don't find Geno Smith to be good, and Vick is just about running on empty, but no one else in the offense does anything either. There is a reason that the Jets are 1-6-1 ATS this season. I originally liked the OVER 42, but I find it hard to believe the Jets find points. The Chiefs cover here.
2 UNIT = Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers - OVER 47.5 (+102)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)
If I told you the Steelers were 3rd offensively in the NFL you'd probably tell me I was crazy. However, it is in fact true that Pittsburgh is 3rd in the league in total offense. Even more, the Steelers are 4th in passing. Ben Roethlisberger is among one of the most underrated quarterbacks out there and this year no different. Have you heard much talk regarding Roethlisberger this season? No, can't say that I have. Although, I think after last weeks performance, it is about time he gets some recognition. Roethlisberger passed for 522 yards with 6 touchdowns on 40-49 passing which made for one of the most impressive passing feats of all time against the Colts. Big Ben has been playing well all season long, he has thrown only 3 interceptions, and had a 10:3 touchdown to interception ratio even before that torrid outing. At home this season it is 12:1. The previous week he was also quite solid, passing on the Texans for 265 yards and 2 touchdowns. Roethlisberger is on pace to have the highest quarterback rating of his career if he can continue to play well. The offense passes for almost 300 yards per game at 291. They are averaging 418 yards as a team in total. The defense has taken a back seat to the Steelers' offense, where they are allowing 25 points per game, and are 16th in the NFL in yards allowed. Most people see this rivalry as lots of defense and pounding the ball on the ground. However, in 2014 both offenses are in the top 10 of the NFL. The Ravens have been scoring consistently as well, scoring 27 points per game and 375.5 yards a game. The Steelers come in with the 3rd best offense and the Ravens a solid 9th. The OVER is 4-0 last four Steelers home games. The OVER is on a 10-4-1 run in Pittsburgh when the Ravens and Steelers meet at Heinz Field. Several years ago I don't think anyone would think we'd see a total this high in a Ravens/Steelers game, and today I am feeling confident about it going OVER the total at 47.5.
**May have an additional play coming.
Cheers,

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

King Creole | NFL Total
San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins Double-Dime Bet
2** Play On: Under The Total
*Optimum Ou Line: 45 Or More Points
Washington Redskins @ Minnesota Vikings Double-Dime Bet
2** Play On: Under The Total
*Optimum Ou Line: 43.5 Or More Points
Philadelphia Eagles @ Houston Texans Double-Dime Bet
2** Play On: Over The Total
*Optimum Ou Line: 48.5 Or Less Points

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rooster
Arizona ml

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tiger
Dolphins -118
Teaser - cardinals +9.5/49ers-2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vince Akins's Pick Pack
NFL Sunday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Arizona at Dallas Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun) Play: Under (45.5 -110) Line Source: CG Technology Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4.5-STAR Arizona and Dallas Under - No matter who is taking the snaps for Dallas in this game, look for the game plan to be conservative. If its Tony Romo, they are going to absolutely need to avoid him getting hit, eliminating any threat of a deep passing game. If its Brandon Weeden, look for an even heavier dose of running that normal from the Cowboys. With Arizona being able to even keep the Eagles offense in check, do not look for this to be a high scoring game. Last week, Dallas lost to Washington in overtime, 20-17. The Cowboys are 0-6-1 OU (-5.21 ppg) since Dec 17, 2011 when they lost 1-3 points last week (team=Cowboys and -3<=p:margin<0 and date>=20111217). That game with a total of 49.5 went under by 12.5 points. Teams that when under last game by more than 12 points when the total was at least 49 are 43-66-1 OU (p:total>=49 and pu margin<-12). Washington moved the ball consistently all game, picking up 409 yards of total offense. The Cardinals are 0-7-1 OU (-7.31 ppg) since Jan 10, 2009 as a dog when facing a team that allowed 400-plus yards of offense in their last game (team=Cardinals and D and 400<=opo:TY and date>=20090110). Arizona is the underdog here after being a small favorite in a last minute win over Philadelphia. The Cardinals are 0-7 OU (-8.93 ppg) since Nov 13, 2011 as a dog after playing as a favorite (team=Cardinals and D and p:F and date>=20111113). Philly had led almost the entire way, and the Cardinals did not lead after any of the first three quarters. The Cardinals are 0-8 OU (-8.31 ppg) since Sep 18, 2011 the week after a win in which they did not have the lead after any of the first three quarters (team=Cardinals and p:W and p:M1<=0 and p:M2<=0 and p:M3<=0 and date>=20110918). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 36 points

Matchup: N.Y. Jets at Kansas City Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun) Play: N.Y. Jets (+10 -115) Line Source: Sportsbook.ag Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4-STAR Ny Jets over KANSAS CITY - The public perception on the Jets has gone done the drain, but what they really are just an inconsistent team. Just two weeks ago they had a chance to win on the final play at New England and the week prior to that had chances to tie the game late in the fourth quarter against Denver. The Jets are built to run and kill clock and the Chiefs are 24th in the league in run defense. Look for them to shorten this game and have a real chance to win. Kansas City is just 4-3 on the season, making them a risky play as this big of favorites. Teams that are more than TD-favorites that have not won at least 62.5% of their games on the year are 236-334-11 ATS (line<-7 and WP<62.5). However after lowering expectations with their week one loss, they've covered in each o the last six games. Teams that have covered in at least six straight games are 37-48-2 ATS (ats streak>=6). Kansas City is home for the second straight week after winning as a home favorite last week over St. Louis. The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS (-10.67 ppg) since Nov 11, 2007 at home after playing as a home favorite (team=Chiefs and H and p:HF and date>=20071111). They won that game handily, 34-7. The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a favorite after scoring 34+ points at home (team=Chiefs and F and points>=34 and p:H and date>=20031116). Alex Smith was extremely efficient throwing the ball in that game, going 25-of-29 to pick apart the Rams. The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS (-13.14 ppg) since Dec 20, 2003 as a favorite the week after a win in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average (team=Chiefs and F and p:W and Average((100.*tp:completions)@team and season and tp:season=season) / Average(tpasses@team and season and tp:season=season) + 10<=100. * p:completions / passes and date>=20031220). New York meanwhile lost big to division rival Buffalo last week, 43-23. They are good at rebounding from those games. The Jets are 11-0 ATS after a loss at home against the Bills (team=Jets and p:HL and po:team=Bills). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY 20, Ny Jets 17

Matchup: Arizona at Dallas Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun) Play: Arizona (+4 -110) Line Source: Stations Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4-STAR Arizona over DALLAS - We would like Arizona on this line if Tony Romo was 100% healthy but his struggles only further muddy the equation on the Dallas side. Grab this very fair line while you can as any further Tony Romo news is going to cause this to swing. Dallas is still the favorite here after losing outright as a huge 10-point favorite to Washington last week. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS (-9.64 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 as a home favorite after a loss as a favorite (team=Cowboys and HF and p:FL and date>=20091122). That loss came in over, 20-17. The Cowboys are 0-6 ATS (-8.67 ppg) since Nov 11, 2001 the week after playing an overtime loss (team=Cowboys and pvertime=1 and p:L and date>=20011111). They had covered in the previous two games to that by 15.5 and four points. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS (-7.43 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 as a favorite when their ats margin decreased over each of their past two games (team=Cowboys and F and p:ats margin=20091122). Arizona is coming off a 24-20 last second win over Philadelphia as a small favorite. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS (8.94 ppg) since Nov 17, 2013 after a win as a favorite (team=Cardinals and p:FW and date>=20131117). Arizona did most of their work through the air in that game including the 75-yard game winner. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS (10.12 ppg) since Dec 02, 2012 the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards (team=Cardinals and 3 * p:rushing yards=20121202). Larry Fitzgerald had a huge game in the win with seven catches for 160 yards. The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS (11.7 ppg) since October 6, 2013 after a win in which Larry Fitzgerald had more than 5 receptions (5<=Cardinals:Larry Fitzgerald:receptions and p:W and date>=20131006). They gave up an even bigger day to Philly receiver Jeremy Maclin, with 12 catches for 187 yards. Teams that allowed a receive to have 12+ catches last game are 72-59-2 ATS (maxo:receptions>=12). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Arizona by 4

Matchup: Oakland at Seattle Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun) Play: Over (42.5 -110) Line Source: The Greek Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4-STAR Oakland and Seattle Over - Oakland has not been putting up enough points to win games and certainly aren't expected to win this one. As monster underdogs, look for them to take a few more chances, going both ways, that leads to a few more points for the visitors. Oakland is the only winless team left in the league, having lost their first seven games. The Seahawks are 9-0 OU (10.22 ppg) since Nov 14, 2010 when their opponent is on a 3+ game losing streak (team=Seahawks and o:streak<=-3 and date>=20101114). They were on the road last week as well, losing to Cleveland 23-13. The Raiders are 8-0 OU (17.31 ppg) since Oct 24, 2010 on the road the week after an away game (team=Raiders and A and p:A and NB and date>=20101024). Oakland threw for 316 yards in that loss but ran for just 71. Teams that are more than 10-point dogs after a game where they had more than three times as many passing yards as rushing yards last game are 98-58-4 ATS (line>10 and 3 * p:rushing yards=20111204). They've fallen behind early in most game and have been forced to give up the run. They've ran a league low 19 times per game this year. The Seahawks are 6-0 OU (12.83 ppg) since Nov 27, 2011 as a home favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25 (team=Seahawks and HF and Average(o:rushes@o:team and season)<25 and date>=20111127). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: SEATTLE 31, Oakland 24

Matchup: Denver at New England Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun) Play: New England (+3.5 -120) Line Source: Sportsbook.ag Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4.5-STAR NEW ENGLAND over Denver - Games where the Patriots are home underdogs are few and far between. They've won both games as a home underdog outright the last two years, and haven't been one prior to that since 2005. Going back to 2001, the Pats are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games as home dogs. We know these teams can play very similarly, but Denver's recent margins are driving this line too high. New England is already 4-0 this season and has won 13 straight home games. The Patriots are 6-0 ATS (6.08 ppg) since Dec 24, 1989 as a home dog when they won their last two home games (team=Patriots and HD and Sum(0=19891224). Denver meanwhile is on a feverish run their last four games, winning by margins of 21, 14, 25 and 14 the past four games. Teams that have won by double digits in each of their last four games are 39-54-4 ATS (p:margin>=10 and pp:margin>=10 and ppp:margin>=10 and pppp:margin>=10). New England hasn't had any issues stopping opponents winning streaks at home. The Patriots are 6-0 ATS (15.83 ppg) since Nov 18, 2012 at home when their opponent is on a 3+ game winning streak (team=Patriots and H and o:streak>=3 and date>=20121118). Denver's last two games were both primetime tills against San Francisco and San Diego, both coming at home. The Broncos are 0-8 ATS (-16.56 ppg) since Sep 30, 2007 on the road on artificial turf after playing at home in each of the previous two weeks (team=Broncos and A and surface=artificial and p:H and pp:H and date>=20070930). Last week they were able to score 35 against San Diego in the win. Teams that road favorite of more than a point after a game last week where they scored at least 30 points and did not win by more than 27 last game (A and line<-1 and points>=30 and NB and p:margin<=27). New England scored even more last game, thrashing Chicago 51-23 at home. Tom Brady threw for 354 yards and five touchdowns. Teams that threw for at least four touchdowns last game are 156-121-7 ATS (pTD>=4). Despite that huge passing performance, Julian Edelman was a non-factor. He had just one catch for 14 yards. The Patriots are 9-0 ATS (12.00 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at home after a game in which Julian Edelman didn't have a a 20+ yard reception (H and Patriots:Julian Edelman:longest reception<20 and date>=20130922). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND 31, Denver 27

Matchup: Baltimore at Pittsburgh Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun) Play: Pittsburgh (+2 -105) Line Source: Bookmaker Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4-STAR PITTSBURGH over Baltimore - The Steelers are a team notorious for rising to the team, and the occasion, especially at home. They don't look great overall when losing to Tampa Bay at home and struggling against the Browns. But then they will dominate the Colts and put an amazing stretch of football against Houston. Having already lost to the Ravens this is a huge game for them and we expect their hot play to continue. Pittsburgh was a four-point dog against Indianapolis last week, covering by 21 pionts in a 17-point win. The Steelers are 6-0 ATS (7.67 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 within 3 of pick when they covered by 10+ points last game (team=Steelers and -3<=line<=3 and 10<=p:ats margin and date>=20121104). The final score was 51-34, going over the total by 36 points in that win. Teams coming off a game that went over the total by at least 29.5 points last game are 176-134-7 ATS (pu margin>=29.5). Most of that was the Steelers who scored 28.5 points more than expected. Teams that scored at least 23.5 points more than expected last game are 75-55-4 ATS (p:dps>=23.5). Pittsburgh put a whopping 639 yards of total offense in the win. The Steelers are 10-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since October 29, 1995 at home the week after a game at home in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average (team=Steelers and H and p:H and tA(p:TY)+100<=p:TY and date>=19951029). Ben Roethlisberger put up 522 of those=yards and six touchdowns. Teams that threw for at least four touchdowns last game are 156-121-7 ATS (pTD>=4). It was another big game for Antonio Brown with 10 catches for 133 yards. The Steelers are 11-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) after a game that was not the season opener where Antonio Brown had more than 90 and less than 150 receiving yards (150>AntonioBrown:receiving yards>90 and game number>2). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: PITTSBURGH 27, Baltimore 20

Member Plays

Matchup: San Diego at Miami Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun) Play: San Diego (+2.5 -110) Line Source: William Hill Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4-STAR San Diego over MIAMI - We heard the narrative of San Diego struggling going to the East early this year and the Chargers came out and thrashed Buffalo, a place where these same Dolphins were dominated. We also heard it last season where they pulled off a big playoff upset in Cincinnati. This tired narrative is keeping the line down as they travel to Miami, where the home field advantage is quite small. Against non-AFC West foes, San Diego has thrived for the better part of a season. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 vs a non-divisional opponent (team=Chargers and NDIV and date>=20131208). This is their second straight game as a road dog after heading to Denver last Thursday night as a heavy road dog. The Chargers are 6-0-1 ATS (8.29 ppg) since Jan 01, 2012 as a road dog after playing as a dog (team=Chargers and AD and p and date>=20120101). Teams playing on the road for the second straight week carry an advantage. Teams on the road for the second straight games are 474-360-20 ATS since 2003 (A and p:A and season>=2003). Miami meanwhile is playing a lone home game, having won in comfortably in Jacksonville last week and traveling to Detroit next week. The Dolphins are 0-15 ATS (-13.3 ppg) since Oct 19, 2003 as a home favorite between away games, if they did not win by less than a TD (team=Dolphins and HF and p:A and n:A and date>=20031019 and (p:margin>=7 or p:margin<0)). San Diego lost in Denver last week, 35-21. They stuck with the running game as long as they could, but it was unsuccessful. They ultimately threw for 245 yards while running for just 61. The Chargers are 10-0-1 ATS (8.86 ppg) since Dec 17, 1989 as a road dog the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards on the road (team=Chargers and AD and 3 * p:rushing yards=19891217). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: San Diego by7

Matchup: Tampa Bay at Cleveland Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun) Play: Over (43 -110) Line Source: 5Dimes Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4-STAR Tampa Bay and Cleveland Over - These teams are not highly thought of offenses, keeping this total quite modest. However, the Browns have scored 23.3 points per game, reaching at least 20 in all but one game this year. Meanwhile, the Bucs defense is a train wreck, despite decent play last week, allowing 31.9 ppg. There will be enough big play opportunities for these teams to send this over. Tampa Bay has lost and failed to cover in two straight games and will need to turn to their offense to try to pick things up. The Buccaneers are 7-0 OU (10.21 ppg) since Oct 13, 2013 when they lost and failed to cover their last two games (team=Buccaneers and streak<=-2 and ats streak<=-2 and date>=20131013). They need to shoot for big plays as they've not been able to steadily move the chains, picking up just 32.9% of third downs. The Browns are 7-0 OU (13.36 ppg) since Dec 16, 2012 when facing a team that has an average third down conversion rate of less than 35% (team=Browns and Sum(o:third downs made@ o:team and o:season) / Sum(o:third downs attempted@ o:team and o:season)<.35 and date>=20121216). Meanwhile, their defense is second worst in the league on third downs, part of an overall troubling picture where they a league worst 410 yards per game. The Browns are 6-0 OU (14.67 ppg) since Dec 16, 2012 at home when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date (team=Browns and H and oA(o:TY)>=375 and date>=20121216). Cleveland is coming off a 23-13 win against Oakland last week. They again did not commit any turnovers in that game, something that has not given the opponent easy scoring chances, but also something that's hard to sustain. The Browns are 8-0 OU (12.4 ppg) since Dec 16, 2012 after a game in which they committed no turnovers (team=Browns and p:turnovers=0 and date>=20121216). Neither team ran the ball well last week. Cleveland had just 39 yards on the ground while Tampa Bay was not much better with just 66 in an overtime loss to Minnesota. Teams that rushed for less than 50 yards last game and are playing a team that ran for less than 75 yards last game are 72-31-1 OU (p:RY<50 and op:RY<75 and season>=2002). A Cleveland team that has had such success running the ball did not have a carry of more than seven yards against the Raiders. Teams that did not have a carry of longer than seven yards last game are 83-60-2 OU (max:longest rush<=7). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 51 points

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: St. Louis at San Francisco Time: 4:05 PM EDT (Sun) Play: St. Louis (+10 -110) Line Source: Stations Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT 4.5-STAR St Louis over SAN FRANCISCO - Last week was a natural letdown game for a young team in the Rams after their thrilling win over Seattle the game prior. However that was their first big loss since week one, as even their first matchup against San Francisco was much closer than the final score would indicate. The 49ers have not shown anything this season to suggest they should be this big of favorites here. St Louis is on the road for the second straight game here after losing big in Kansas City last game. Teams on the road for the second straight games are 474-360-20 ATS since 2003 (A and p:A and season>=2003). St. Louis was competitive even last week, leading 7-0 after one quarter in the 34-7 loss. Teams that led by at least a TD after one quarter and allowed at least 33 points last game are 126-74-2 ATS (33<=pooints and 7<=p:M1). Even at half they were down just 10-7 before falling apart in the second half. Teams that were outscored by at least 24 points in the second half last game are 64-51-3 ATS (p:M2-p:margin>=24). They were seven point underdogs in that game and are even bigger dogs here. Teams that are at least 6.5 point underdogs after being at least TD dogs last game as well are 132-95-4 ATS since 2006 (line>=6.5 and p:line>= 7 and season>=2006). San Francisco was on bye last week but the game prior they were throughly destroyed by the Broncos, 42-17. Teams that are favored after a game where they scored no more than 19 points and allowed at least 37 are 61-90-3 ATS (pooints>=37 and F and points<=19). These teams met just three weeks ago with San Francisco winning 31-17 even though the Rams led at halftime. Teams that are more than eight point dogs after a double digit loss at home their first matchup against this team this season are 58-41-1 ATS (P:season=season and P:H and P:margin<-10 and line>8).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

2* Dolphins -2

2* Broncos -3

2* Ravens -2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

Cleveland -7

Version 3 (11/2)

CLE -7 (B)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Insider Sports Report

4* Seattle -14 over Oakland (NFL)
Range: -12 to -16


3* Houston +1.5 over Philadelphia (NFL)
Range: +3 to -1

3* New England +3 over Denver (NFL)
Range: +4.5 to +1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

National Sports Service

4* San Francisco -9.5 over St. Louis (NFL)

3* Arizona +3 over Dallas (NFL)

3* Pittsburgh +2 over Baltimore (NFL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Elite Sports Picks

San Diego +2.5 over Miami (NFL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FSOTB - Fat Side Of The Bacon

HIT THE PROS HARD.....JUST A FEW HIGH QUALITY PLAYS
JOE DIMAGGIO 5 PLAYS....THE JOEY D
MIAMI DOLPHINS MONEY LINE...... NEG BODY CLOCK
ARIZONA CARDINALS PLUS 4 1/2......... MY BACK HURTS
OAKLAND RAIDERS PLUS 15 1/2.......... FOR BIG BUBBA
BALTIMORE RAVENS MONEY LINE..........RAY LEWIS REINCARNATED
NEW YORK FOOTBALL GIANTS PLUS 3 1/2.........ELI BYE WEEK WORKS

 

[billbeater]

Colin's Blazin Five ?

 

[Tiznow214]

Colin blazing 5
Philly
Arizona
San Diego
Denver
Indy

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NY Sports Genius

5 units

(NFL) Chargers +2.5 (-110)

4 units

(England Soccer) Manchester City/Manchester United over 3 goals (-102)
(NFL) Redskins moneyline (-110)
(NFL) Steelers +2 (-110)

3 units

(NFL) Seahawks -14 (-110)
(NBA) Knicks -4 (-110)
© 2014 Microsoft Terms Privacy & cookies Developers English (United States)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hall of Fame Sports/Holloway

San Francisco 49ers -9.5 -120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Erin Rynning

Nfc goy minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bob Balfe

Sunday NFL Comp Pick

Broncos -3 over Patriots

The hype this year just is not the same as it has been when Manning and Brady get together, but both guys are amazing to watch. Remember a month ago when people were writing off this Pats team? Brady responded with 4 big wins, but a lot of that is because of weak teams he has played. There is no doubt that the best team in the NFL is the Broncos and it is not even close. This is a team that has few flaws on either side of the ball where New England has a lot of defensive injuries and still does not have a solid offensive line to protect Brady. I am glad the Patriots won their last 4 games because we have a low spread in this game. I have to go with the much better football team. Take the Broncos.