WAYNE ROOT
MILL--Baltimore -
No Limit--Buffalo +
Perfect Play--San Francisco +
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Inner Circle--Chicago +
This is an ugly game. Make no mistake in that. There's an old adage when betting the NFL. 'If the team you're about to bet makes you sick, then you're on the right side. If betting the other side make you feel all warm and fuzzy, then you usually are booking a loser'. This game shows 75% of the bettor's are feeling all "warm and fuzzy". Wayne is the "great contrarian". Loves to bet games that no one else dares to bet. Vegas does not make it easy to walk up and get free money. Running the ball was a chore for the Lions last week as they played their first game without Ameer Abdullah. They had no success running the ball in their first game without Abdullah last week (just 50 yards on 23 carries). Riddick is the Lions’ starter with Abdullah on injured reserve, but his 10-carry, nine-yard performance last week didn’t convince anyone he’s ready to handle the lead role. The Bears rank 10th in the NFL in pass defense (214.3 ypg) and hope to stop the run and force the Lions into a passing game. For Chicago, Brian Hoyer is expected to start at quarterback in place of Cutler, who’s doubtful with a thumb injury, and rookie Jordan Howard takes over at running back for the injured Langford. Jeffery had a huge game against the Lions at Ford Field last year and is one of the top receivers in the NFL. Tight end Zach Miller leads the Bears with 15 catches, and tight ends have killed the Lions this year. Detroit won’t have Levy or top pass rusher Ansah up front so the pass rush should help Hoyer. Soldier Field can be a tricky place to play and the Bears are a desperate team, the public is rarely right and laying point on the road in a division game usually has a bad outcome for the road team.
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Pinnacle--Tampa Bay + NFL Underdog of Month
This game has the oddsmakers and sportsbooks begging and enticing you to take Denver. The reigning Super Bowl champions should be two touchdowns better than a non-playoff team, but you never know in the NFL how things will shake loose on game day. The public can't lay 3 points fast enough. But hold all tickets, this game is certainly a game on the Broncos game schedule that could produce a huge letdown. The Broncos have played at a high level their first three games and that pressure will show in this game. Trevor Siemian posted an unbelievable QBR last week against a strong Cincinnati defense, so it is easy to think the Broncos will have a comfortable win against the Bucs. However, we must not forget the Bucs have been building up their defense, and Siemian almost was picked off 4 times last week. This is a bit of a trap game. The hardest part of the schedule has passed, so there could be a hint of overconfidence in the air. Add to that the big time performance of the offense and it could become an equation for an upset. Any given Sunday and all. The Broncos will eventually be upset when their defense can’t make up for Trevor Siemian’s mistakes. The Bucs hope to keep what the had last week and build somewhat at home. Last week, Jameis Winston set carer highs in yards (405), attempts (58), and completions (36). The squad went at it without injured starting running back Doug Martin. Charles Sims filled in and finished with 124 total yards, with 55 of those coming on the ground. Two different receiver went over 100 yards with Mike Evans pulling in 10 passes for 132 and a score while Adam Humphries hauled in nine receptions for 100 yards. The oddsmakers think this game will have some mistakes and turnovers and played between the twenty's resulting in a low scoring contest bringing the points into play.