ProfessorWins
2* MIAMI +3.5 over Baltimore
2* MINNESOTA +3 over Philadelphia
2* MIAMI over Baltimore: Baltimore beat Miami 27-13 earlier this season, and NFL teams prior to the Superbowl that lost to today’s playoff opponent in their previous meeting this same season are 27-12-1 ATS since 2002, and the record is 12-3-1 ATS in the Wild Card round. Note that the record is 13-4 ATS if they lost by double digits, including 4-1 ATS in Wild Card games.
2* MINNESOTA over Philadelphia: Philadelphia closed out the regular season strong, especially on the defensive side of the ball where they allowed 14 or less pts in each of their last four regular season games. That, however, usually plays out as a negative as NFL playoff teams that allowed 20 or less pts in each of their final two regular season games are just 8-26 ATS in the Wild Card round. Minnesota is 14-4 ATS over the years when they are getting +3 or more pts at home, so I have no problem riding them here with the Eagles.