Service Plays Sunday 1/18/15

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | IONA at CANISIUS
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CANISIUS) in a game involving two 3 point shooting teams (>=20/game), average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 Reb/G) - 15+ games
32-10 since 1997. ( 76.2% | 21.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

CBB | IONA at CANISIUS
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (CANISIUS) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -6 reb/game)
39-38 over the last 5 seasons. ( 50.6% | 32.6 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -1.2 units )

CBB | IONA at CANISIUS
Play Against - Any team (CANISIUS) a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG), after scoring 80 points or more
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )
 
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Hondo

Hondo’s big rebound

Hondo, who went 1-7 during the wild-card round, flipped the field last weekend by going 7-1 in the divisionals, losing only with the “over” in the Broncos-Colts tussle. Fortunately, the denizens of HondoNation are loyal to their leader and were able to recoup their opening-round losses.

The super surge sends Mr. Aitch into the conference title games only three points behind Lucky Loftis with six to be decided in the race for the Cume Crown (total of spreads plus over/unders).

Packers-Seahawks: Aaron Rodgers amazed last week when he overcame a calf tear to lead the Packers over the Cowboys. However, against the Seahags’ relentless and ruthless marauders, Hondo expects Mr. Rodgers to perform more like a one-legged man in an butt-kicking contest. Additionally, the Packers earned their title game stripes with help from the zebras, and the Cowboys showed what happens to teams like that. Therefore, the Packers will get to sit back and “relax” as they watch XLIX.

Seahawks, 26-16

Colts-Patriots: Andrew Luck is 0-for-3 against the Patriots for his career, including a 42-20 thumping in November. Not much has changed in the two months since Darrelle Revis held deep threat T.Y. Hilton to three catches for 24 yards, while the Colts running-on-empty ground game amassed 19 yards on 16 carries. Luck again will be the residue of the Hoodie’s design, which should result in an easy day for the Pats. In fact, Gisele is so confident, she is telling friends there’s no need to pray for Tommy on Sunday.

Patriots, 38-24
 
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[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]NY Rangers at Pittsburgh[/h] The Rangers head to Pittsburgh today to face a Penguins team that is coming off a 6-3 loss to the Islanders on Friday and is 8-3 in its last 11 games after allowing 5 or more goals in the previous game. Pittsburgh is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-135). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
SUNDAY, JANUARY 18
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.672; Pittsburgh 12.179
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-135); Under
Game 53-54: Dallas at Chicago (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.322; Chicago 12.675
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-250); Under
Game 55-56: Arizona at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 11.112; Winnipeg 10.332
Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+200); Over
Game 57-58: Buffalo at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.775; Detroit 10.633
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-340); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+270); Over
 

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ATS Lock Club
FOOTBALL
5* New Eng -6.5




B-BALL
4* Loyola-Chi -1.5
4* New Mex -5




HOCKEY
3* NYR/undr 5.5
 
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HARRY BONDI

NFL Playoffs Free Selection

UNDER 46.5 POINTS
Green Bay at Seattle
3:05 p.m. ET
We cashed a winner here last Sunday on the under in the Green Bay-Dallas game and we’ll go back to the well here today using similar reasoning. If there is one weakness on the Seattle defense it’s defending the run up the middle. Considering Aaron Rodgers’ calf injury, expect the Pack to feed RB Eddie Lacy and pound the ground. Seattle, meanwhile, has gone under in five of its last seven games and the reason is that they have been shortening games by using a methodical and clock-draining offensive strategy. The Packers have gone under in three of their last four playoff games and are 3-1 to the under in their last four games overall. And, as mentioned in our NFL Conference Championship Betting Preview, the under is 5-1 in the last six Conference Championship Games. Go under!
 
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ROB VINCILETTI:

NCAA-B Premium Picks
League Date Time (ET) Matchup Pick
NCAA-B Jan 18 ,2015 6:00p [809] Loyola-Chicago
[810] Southern Illinois Loyola-Chicago -1½-110
at BMaker
On Sunday the NCAAB Power Angle Play is on Loyola Chicago. Game 809 at 6:00 eastern. Loyola has all the vital numbers in this one as they are 6-0 ats after allowing 60 or less, 5-0 after scoring 60 or less and have won all 5 games vs losing teams. They have a solid 6-2 road record and are 3-0 straight up and ats as a road favorite of 3 or less. Souther Illinois has lost 5 of 6 vs winning teams and has lost 18 of 22 in the Month of January the past few years. IN games vs teams who allow 64 or less they are a dismal 3-22, they have lost all 8 as a dog this season and are 0-4 off 3+ losses. Look for Loyola to get the win and cover here tonight.
 
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Kelso

Sunday, January 18, 2015

10 Units
Colts/Patriots UNDER 53½ Points
6:40 PM --
Cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds southeast at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

15 Units
Colts (+6½) over Patriots
6:40 PM --
Cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds southeast at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

10 Units
Packers/Seahawks UNDER 46½ Points
3:05 PM --
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds southwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 50.

100 Units
Seahawks (-7½) over Packers
3:05 PM --
 
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Larry Ness' 10* CBB Weekend Wipeout Winner (25-14 TY in BKB)
My 10* Weekend Wipeout Winner is on St Bonaventure at 2:30 ET.
St Bonaventure was often a ‘tough out’ last season but an 18-15 record was surely nothing to brag about, nor was the teams’ 6-10 record in the A-10. Head coach Mark Schmidt was optimistic heading into this year, expecting improvement from the 7-0 Ndoye plus had high hopes for three newcomers in the backcourt, Ball St transfer Posley, as well as freshman Jaylen and Jalen Adams. Ndoye (11.4-11.1) has turned into a double-double performer, Posley (17.1) is the team’s leading scorer plus Jaylen (8.6) and Jalen (6.8) have both been OK. That said, the Bonnies are a modest 9-6, including 2-2 in the A-10.
However, this date here in Olean vs St Joe’s, is one the team has had ?circled!” St Bonny lost last year’s regular season matchup with St Joe’s and then was CRUSHED by the Hawks 67-48 in the A-10 tourney. Last year's St Joe’s team won the A-10 tourney and then took UConn n (eventual national champs) to OT in the team's first NCAA game. The Hawks were a 24-win team last year but TY’s Phil Martelli’s squad (7-8 / 1-3 in A-10) HARDLY resembles last year’s team. PG and leading scorer Galloway (17.7), 6-8 PF Roberts (14.4-7.6) and 6-8 do-everything Kanacevic (10.8-8.8-4.4) have all moved on.
The 6-6 Bembry (15.9-6.7-2.9) leads TY’s team in scoring, rebounding and assists but the frontcourt offers little size, as the 6-7 Miles (10.3-5.3) and 6-6 freshman Demery (7.0-3.4), are the main contributors with Bembry (who guards Ndoye, who just went for 28 & 13 in his last game?). In the backcourt, Brown (10.1-4.3), Wilson (8.7-4.2) and Newkirk (3.7) can't match up with deep a St Bonny’s group. Joining Posley and the two Adams’ are, Wright (12.0), and Cumberbatch (10.7-5.5).
Look out below. This one is a R-O-U-T!
 
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Tom Stryker's 20-8 ATS CBB Slam Dunk Conference Best Bet
OREGON (+) over Washington at 8:30 PM EST
Off Thursday's 108-99 road loss at Washington State, Oregon will get back on track when it visits Washington on Sunday evening. The Ducks lead the Pac-12 in scoring (77.8 ppg) and assists (16.1 aps) and they'll be too much for the Huskies too handle.


Since 1994, UO has been at its best in its series against UW provided the Huskies check in off a straight up win - now 16-9 ATS. Equally impressive, when coming off a straight up loss, the Ducks have won 29 of their last 41 games straight up (21-18 ATS) including a nearly perfect 8-1 ATS in this set priced as an underdog of +2.5 or more. Also, in its last 35 games as a road pup, Oregon holds a decent 23-11-1 ATS mark including a strong 20-8 ATS in this set matched up against a conference foe.


U-Dub finally picked up a nice win and cover at home against Oregon State on Thursday night. Before that victory, the Huskies were losers of four straight (0-4 ATS) to Stony Brook, California, Stanford and Washington State. Surprisingly, Washington is on a dismal 7-16 ATS run at home when facing a foe that enters off a SU and ATS loss including just 2-9 ATS in this set provided the Huskies take the floor off a SU and ATS victory. Finally, as Pac-12 chalk, UW is on a soft 18-27-1 ATS run including just 5-11-1 ATS in this set competitively priced at -4 or less.


The Huskies survived Oregon State without the services of forward Jernard Jarreau but they won't be as fortunate against the Ducks. UW would struggle even more if guard Darin Johnson remains out with a quadriceps problem. UO's youth showed in its first Pac-12 road game. However, Ducks head coach Dana Altman is one of the best and he'll have his diaper dandy's ready to bounce back. Take Oregon. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Brandon Lang

150 Dimes - The New England Patriots -6 1/2 (if you can only get -7, buy the half point to -6 1/2) over the Indianapolis Colts, 6:40 PM EST

Bonus Play - UNDER the posted total in the Seattle/Green Bay game

Video
 

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