indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. Take Over 138 between Michigan State @ Louisville (Sunday @ 2:20pm). I'm glad we cashed on the Pod yesterday with the UConn/Missouri Over. I am a huge Rick Pitino fan as I love his fire and coaching style. Louisville beat Morehead State by 20, had a close contest against Siena but rolled on and just crushed Arizona by over 40. This team has put up 74, 79 and 103 points while giving up 54 to Morehead State, 72 to Siena and 64 to Arizona. Michigan State beat Robert Morris 77-62, 74-69 to USC and Kansas 67-62. You have a classic Big East vs. Big 10 battle here and I know the public likes Louisville here but why shouldn't they? Louisville continues to have depth from their starting rotation. What has caught my eye in this game is that we know Louisville can csore points putting up 103 against Texas A&M and 79 against a Siena team that can play sound defense. But, what might be a bit surprising is that Michigan State is able to score some points as well. This team dropped 74 points against a defensive team in USC and that game totaled 143 and even the Kansas game totaled 129. So, there is a high level of scoring in games that we expect to have a defensive intensity too. Why can't a game that features a team like Louisville and Michigan State also reach that 140 mark and go over as well? I think what Louisville will try to do is run and gun a bit more here to get Michigan State out of sync. If you are looking for another play here, I was also looking at the over in UNC vs. Oklahoma, but decided to take the shorter number with the over here as Loiusville and Michigan State square off. Expect this game to go under in the first half likely but with late fouls and double-bonus time both teams should get to the cusp of 70 as the victor should get over 70. I believe the Cardinals will dictate the pace of this game as the over is 9-4 for Louisville as a favorite and the over is 4-1-1 for Louisville as a favorite of 7 to 12 points
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