Service Plays Saturday 9/13/08

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

Dr. Bob Confirmed

3 Star Selection
***VANDERBILT (-7.5) 34 Rice 16
I’ll take Vanderbilt in a 3-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -11 points.

2 Star Selection
**KENTUCKY (-17.0) 34 Middle Tenn 7
I’ll take Kentucky in a 2-Star Best Bet at -20 points or less.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

Elite Sports Circle
Guaranteed Selections

Date: Saturday, September 13, 2008
$49.00 Guaranteed: We started the College Football season off at 5-1 and today we are releasing a 5000* ELITE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PERSONAL FAVORITE! Get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $49 and you will pay only after you win! We were 33-11 last year in College Football so make sure you POUND THIS HUGE WINNER!
9/11/2008

5000* ELITE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PERSONAL FAVORITE
132 Oregon St -12.5 4:00 EST

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

Brian Gabrielle

Title: 2008 College Football Non-Conference Game of the Year
Reason:
**** Big Game Alert: *****
Grab this number now while it is low at -7.5. I expect it will rise dramatically and USC could go off as a double digit favorite if you leave it too late. Where possible, buy the half point down to -7 is prudent, but -7.5 is still a gift, as the Trojans will walk away with a big double digit home win here.

Brian Gabrielle says, lay the points with Southern California over Ohio State as my 2008 College Football Non-Conference Game of the Year!

Southern Cal 38, Ohio State 17

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

Norm Hitzges:

Double Plays

Fresno +1.5 vs Wisconsin
Penn State -27.5 vs Syracuse
Baylor -1 vs Washington State
TCU -13 vs Stanford
Michigan State -17 vs Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan -8 vs Idaho

Single Plays

Auburn -10 vs Mississippi State
Nebraska -25.5 vs New Mexico State
Memphis +3.5 vs Marshall
Boise -16.5 vs Bowling Green
Utah -24.5 vs Utah State
Arizona State -23 vs UNLV
Arizona -10.5 vs New Mexico
USC -11 vs Ohio State

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

COLLIN COWHERD

FRESNO ST
OREGON
USC
GEORGIA
PENN ST.

roadreeler57 · Sep 12, 2008

SPYLOCK
Ohio U .....5 unit
S. Miss.......3 unit

last week 3-0 college
1-0 pro

roadreeler57 · Sep 12, 2008

Big Al

At 7 pm (time change), our selection is on Arkansas State minus the points over Southern Miss. Steve Roberts' squad has gotten off to a terrific start this season. In week 1, the Wolves went into College Station, and upset the Texas A&M Aggies as an 18-point underdog. Then, to show that game wasn't a fluke, they absolutely annihilated Texas Southern this past Saturday 83-10. That was the most points scored in a game since Fresno State piled up 94 points vs. New Mexico in 1991. In its win, Arkansas St. had 670 yards of offense, and that followed up its 415 yard output at Texas A&M. Now, Arkansas St. will attempt to make it three wins in a row, as it will take on Southern Miss at home in Jonesboro. Off their two wins, the Red Wolves fall into two super systems of mine that are 73-15 and 28-15 ATS since 1980. Let's take a look at our 28-15 angle. Here, what we want to do is play on any college football home favorite of less than 10 points, if it scored 60+ points in its previous game. And if our home team is matched up against a non-conference foe, then our 28-15 system improves to 10-2 ATS. Added Board Game of the Year on Arkansas St.

At 3 pm (time change), our selection is on Tulane plus the points over East Carolina. Clearly, the most surprising team in the country thus far has been Skip Holtz' East Carolina Pirates. They upset then-Top 20-ranked Virginia Tech in their first game, and followed that victory up with a blowout win over 8th-ranked West Virginia. In both games, East Carolina was an underdog of more than a touchdown, but now the Pirates have leaped into the Rankings (currently #14), and find themselves installed as big road favorites vs. Tulane on Saturday. The Green Wave are 0-1 on the year, but covered the spread at Alabama last week. (They lost 20-6 as a 29-point underdog.) This will be a very difficult game for East Carolina. Not only are they primed for a letdown after their two monster wins, but they have a revenge game on deck against in-state rival North Carolina St. Indeed, it's very difficult for NCAA teams to cover the spread away from home off back-to-back upset wins, and especially if they're matched up against losing conference foes, and the line is 17 points or less. In this situation, they're a horrid 5-33 ATS since 1982, including 1-20 ATS vs. a foe off an ATS win. Conference USA Game of the Year on Tulane.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Southern Cal minus the points over Ohio State. USC didn't start the year in the #1 spot, but leapfrogged Georgia after its impressive 52-7 win on the road in Charlottesville, Virginia to open the season. In that victory, USC amassed 558 yards of offense, and held Virginia to just 187 -- including a paltry 32 yards on the ground! In contrast, Ohio State struggled last Saturday against a poor Ohio U. team, and trailed for much of the game before eventually winning 26-14 as 34-point favorites. I look for USC to blow out Ohio State on this Saturday Night, as home teams off a 35-point (or greater) victory to open the season are a solid 14-0 ATS since 1980 in Game 2, provided they are priced from -13.5 to +3.5 points in that Game 2, and they covered the spread in their first game by more than 16 points. Take USC.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

SCOTT FERRALL CFB

BYU -9 to UCLA
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Oregon -6 to Purdue--Ducks go in to West Lafayette and dance
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Georgia -10 at South Carolina
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Virginia Tech -10 to Georgia Tech
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Clemson -20 to NC St
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Baylor -3.5 to Washington St
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Michigan St -14.5 to FAU

<LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CADMINI%7E1%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CADMINI%7E1%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CADMINI%7E1%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE></STYLE>BIG SPREADS MEANS BIG BALLS:
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Illinois -26 to La Lafayette
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Middle Tennessee +18.5
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Utah -25 to Utah St
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Washington +20 from Oklahoma
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Tennessee -34 to UAB
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Penn St -26 to Syracuse
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Nebraska -28 to New Mexico St
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GO LIGHT ON THESE:<O

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Rutgers -6 to NC
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Toledo +3.5 from E.Michigan
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Texas -23 to Arkansas
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Iowa -13 to Iowa St
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Western Michigan -11.5 to Idaho
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Central Michigan -3 to Ohio
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S.Miss -2.5 to Arkansas St

<LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CADMINI%7E1%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CADMINI%7E1%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx" rel=themeData><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5CADMINI%7E1%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml" rel=colorSchemeMapping><STYLE></STYLE>WHY THE HELL NOT ?<O

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CAL -10 to Maryland
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Arizona -10 to New Mexico
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Arizona St -24.5 to UNLV
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San Jose St -4 to San Diego St

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

SCOTT FERRALL MLB

BEST IN BOLD

Minney -160 at Baltimore--Perkins get the W at Camden

NY Yanks -120 over TB--Mussina gets #18

Cleveland -140 over KC in Game 1

Tribe -150 in Game 2

LA +105 at Colorado--Kershaw in the thin air at Coors

ymmit2nd · Sep 12, 2008

ASA's College Football Picks
9/13/2008

11:00:00 AM BUFFALO BULLS (-6.5)
over Temple Owls
ASA's 5-Star Top Game Selection - This one will get UGLY. BUFFALO by 20.

9/13/2008
2:00:00 PM TULANE GREEN WAVE (+13)
over East Carolina Pirates
ASA's 4-Star Selection - A very impressive start for a solid East Carolina team.

9/13/2008
7:00:00 PM OVER 44.5,SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TROJANS
-vs-Ohio State Buckeyes
ASA 3-Star- Ohio State @ USC – OVER 44 Saturday, September 13 – 700 PM

we expect a shoot-out from the start and for the total to easily exceed 44 points.

9/13/2008
9:30:00 PM FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS (+2)
over Wisconsin Badgers
Fresno wins and covers at home.

ymmit2nd · Sep 12, 2008

Sat, 09/13/08 - 12:00 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Side
triple-dime bet150 Maryland 14.5 (-110) Bodog vs 149 California
Analysis:
The Cal Bears are now ranked for the first time in 2008, after impressive wins against Michigan State and a terrible Washington State team. Last week creates at least five points of value to this line, as the Bears blew out the Cougars and Maryland lost on the road to Middle Tennessee State.

The Bears haven't traveled to the East Coast since 2001 and head coach Jeff Tedford has never faced an ACC opponent. Why are they here? I think that's exactly what the players will think - after they get over the jet lag of flying across the country on Friday and play at Noon EST (9:00 AM PST - easily their earliest start time in years)

Maryland is a solid 34-11 at Chevy Chase Bank Field and was an impressive 2-1 against ranked foes last year - winning two of those straight up.

Cal hasn't covered their longest traveling road game the past four years - failing to cover by more than 11 points. Tremendous home dog value - when their opponent is just 8-9 in their last 17 road games

ymmit2nd · Sep 12, 2008

Sat, 09/13/08 - 3:30 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
double-dime bet127 Georgia -7.0 (-110) BetUS vs 128 South Carolina
Analysis: Last season the Gamecocks upset Georgia 19-14 in a game that ultimately kept the Bulldogs from playing for the National Title. You think the Dawgs remember that? What a great spot for Georgia. They were able to sleepwalk through their first two games, keeping their players fresh for this matchup. The Bulldogs offense can score on any team and as SC showed against Vandy, their defense isn't all it was cracked up to be. In reality, NC State is just hideous and they made the Gamecocks defense look better than it is. Steve Spurrier has no idea who his quarterback will be but it doesn't really matter does it? Both guys stink and the Dawgs defense will eat them alive. To make matters worse, the Cocks are without their one offensive playmaker for this game, WR Kenny McKinley. People can use all the trends and numbers they want to tell you this series is usually close. I handicap teams now, not 10 years ago. Right now, the Dawgs are the far superior team and they are going to open up a can on SC in this game. **2 UNIT PLAY**

Sat, 09/13/08 - 2:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
double-dime bet147 Cent. Michigan -3.0 (-115) SportBet vs 148 Ohio
Analysis: This is a great spot for the Chips. They get blasted by the big boys but own the MAC. In the last two years, Central Michigan has been drilled by Purdue, Clemson and Georgia, only to come back and dominate the MAC Conference. We are getting great line value here because Ohio played Wyoming tough and led Ohio State in the fourth quarter. But let's take a closer look at those games. We now know that Wyoming stinks, while Jim Tressel admitted his team was looking past the Bobcats. Plus, I think Ohio is mentally drained after traveling to Wyoming and being in a hard-fought battle with the Buckeyes. Because Ohio looked good and Central Michigan got hammered last week, we are in position to jump all over a soft line. I think Dan LeFevour and the Chips offense is too much for Ohio to handle and Central Michigan takes this one by double-digits. Also, I bought the half point down to -3 just to be safe. **2 UNIT PLAY**

Sat, 09/13/08 - 8:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
double-dime bet167 Ohio St. 12.0 (-115) Bodog vs 168 Southern Cal
Analysis:
NOTE: I JUST WENT TO BET THIS GAME AT BODOG AND IT'S AT -11.5. GO AS SOON AS POSSIBLE AND BUY UP TO 12 POINTS. This is just too many points for me to pass up fellas. I was leaning toward the Buckeyes in the first place but I've been talking to some people here in Vegas and there is going to be a lot of late money put on the Bucks. Why? Because as I said, we are being forced to take Ohio State with the line value here. I've been told by a good friend of mine close to the OSU program that the Buckeyes have a lot in store for USC. They have been game-planning for this game all summer long, which almost came back to haunt them last week because they weren't prepared to play Ohio. And yes, Terrelle Pryor is going to be a big part of the gameplan. I keep hearing about Pete Carroll. Let's say he's the best coach in CFB. Who is second? Probably Jim Tressel. My point being, Carroll doesn't have a huge coaching advantage here. I have the coaching even, defenses even, special teams to OSU and offense to USC. I'm sorry but that doesn't sound like a blowout to me. I expect the Buckeyes to come out strong and for their defense to make life miserable for Mark Sanchez. And I've seen tape on a lot of players in high school and the only guy in Pryor's league was Mike Vick, who remains the best high school player I've ever seen. If you think Pryor can't be a factor as a freshman, think again. This guy is the real deal and Saturday will be his coming out party. Like I said, I was thinking about OSU and once I heard the sharps are also going to pound it late Saturday, taking 12 points with the Buckeyes is a no-brainer. **2 UNIT PLAY**

I will also be playing *1 UNIT* on the OSU ML to win +340

Sat, 09/13/08 - 7:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Total
double-dime bet120 Nebraska / 119 New Mexico St. Over 58.0 BetUS
Analysis: This is going to be an offensive showcase. Nebraska's offense has played well in two games this year and they should pile up points on an undermanned Aggies defense. While this is New Mexico State's first game of the season, they return a ton of firepower in Hal Mumme's high-flying offense, including QB Chase Holbrook. The Huskers pass defense hasn't been good against two lightweights, allowing 342 yards through the air to Western Michigan and 242 to a San Jose State team that has no offense whatsoever. Holbrook will exploit the Huskers secondary all day long, as I expect him to eclipse 400 yards passing. Meanwhile, Nebraska should top 50 points all by themselves in this game. I see us cashing an easy over here. It could be in the bag before the fourth quarter even gets underway. **2 UNIT PLAY**

ymmit2nd · Sep 12, 2008

Boston Blackie

Utah vs Utah St. OVER 51.5

Ga. vs So. Carolina OVER 43

Ohio St. vs USC UNDER 44.5

ymmit2nd · Sep 12, 2008

TheProSource
Saturday 9/13

Iowa -13 Blowout GOW
vs Iowa St Saturday Noon ET (1-0 in Big 12 )
Home favorite System: 44-15 ats, 75% thru 15 seasons
Iowa St in a tough spot off a revenge game at home for a
loss at home last season to Kent. They run into a red hot
Iowa team playing with the revenge for a 2 pt loss at Iowa
St last season as a 17 pt road chalk.
Here we get to use one of our favorite angles. Iowa St will
be starting an inexperienced QB on the road in this game.
We love to go vs a green QB in his 1st road start in a
hostile stadium. With the Hawkeyes playing with revenge
and rolling up big numbers, we think this gets ugly.
System play to:
Play Against any 2-0 College FB team if they are playing in
their first road game of the season game AND they must be
an underdog and game line must be in this spread range.
26-14, 65% S1980, including 14-5, S2001, 74% .

New Mexico +11 Pac 10 GOW (3-1 Pac 10 gms TY)
vs Arizona Saturday 10 pm et
Arizona barely snuck past the big number at home last
week winning 41-16 as a 24 pt home chalk. AZ blew out
Idaho at home the week before, but we think they come
up short laying dble digits on the road today. The points
look promising as things will not go so perfectly well for
Arizona 3 wks in a row, and in a tough road venue. The
young Wildcat defense that returns just 3 starters from
last year, is an untested and inexperienced group that
will struggle some in their first game away from home.
Team Specific system play that has gone 32-8 S1987.
That's 80% thru 21 seasons, including covering in 15
of the last 18 chances.
AZ 3-8 as non conf favs of 3+, 8-20 as 3 to 12 pt favs ,

Arkansas St - 1.5 ** TOP Play ** Small College GOM
vs S Mississippi 7 pm et
We played against S Miss last week in their road game
at Arkansas. We just missed the cover as S miss lost by
14 as a 17 pt dog. We think we get even here. S Miss was
fortunate to stay respectably close with Auburn last week.
The Golden Eagles will face a tough situation tonite with a
2nd straight road game vs a confident Ark St team after
posting 83 pts last week and beating Texas A&M on the
road in Wk1. Last season Arkansas St badly out gained
the Eagles at S Miss but lost by 6. The Red Wolves have
huge momentum and revenge and this is a very big game
for them.
We have a Play On home favorites system that says the
positive momentum will continue.
Overall Record thru 7 seasons, 25-6-1...81%

Texas - 23 (1-0 in Big 12)
vs Arkansas 3:30 et
System play leads us in here to:
Play Against any 2-0 College FB team if they are playing in
their first road game of the season game AND they must be
an underdog and game line must be in this spread range.
26-14, 65% S1980, including 14-5, S2001, 74% .
Arkansas has not been able to run the ball or stop the run
in 2 games vs pretty weak teams. Those shortcomings
will bring disaster vs a strong Texas team at home.
Arkansas has had to come from behind in dramatic fashion
to manage wins in their first 2 home games, despite playing
two weaker level teams. They should be drained emotionally
and we expect them to be flat today.
Texas 13-6-1 L20 as a home fav, 11-2 home vs a team with
revenge off 2 SU wins.

Boise St -16.5
vs Bowling Green 8 pm et
This looks like a game in which B Green could get over
whelmed in early. We'll take a shot that Boise will be far
enough ahead, and grind time with their running game to
curtail the possible backdoor cover. Boise has a game at
Oregon on deck. We feel the Bronco's will be chomping at
the bit with 2 wks to get ready for this game. Boise is an
incredible home team, and almost always a first look when
they are at home. Trouble is, you have to pay a big price
when backing Boise at home. Here, we think Boise can win
this by at least 21, so we'll jump in.
The Broncos have covered nearly 75% of the time as a
home favorite since 1992. We get an even better 10-3
mark since 1992 if we make the posted total in the game
between 56 to 63 ots....77% for 15 seasons.
This is more a feel play..it smells like a B-L-O-W-O-U-T

Plays are in red
ProSource

ymmit2nd · Sep 12, 2008

Joyce Sterling
Plays are in RED

UL Lafette +25.5
Underdog Game of the Week

They were ranked 7th nationally last season running the ball and top runner Chase Daniel is going for the school record.
They have had an extra week to prepare.
Illinois poor defending the run, giving up too many points and they look ahead to 2 Big 10 matchups.

Syracuse +27.5 vs Penn St.
Coach on the hot seat Game of the Week

3rd game at home. Losing by 20 and 14 points gives good line value.
They put up 28 points last week vs Akron.
The Orange are 23-5 ATS 2nd of back to back home games and 6-2 ATS here vs non Big East opponents.
Penn St. 1-9 ATS vs Big East. Take the big points

Washington +20.5 vs Oklahoma
Washington is a good dog going 30-16 ATS & coming off a 1 point loss to BYU scoring 27 points. Defense should be stronger after 2 games.
Sooners are only 2-6 ATS laying points vs the PAC 10.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

Wunderdog

Game: California at Maryland (Saturday 9/13 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Maryland +14 (-110)

We faded Maryland last week and good thing as the Terps lost by 10 points as a 12.5 point favorite. They have not been able to get anything going on offense, and they will be hoping for different results from newly appointed signal caller Chris Turner. The Bears in contrast are out of the gate fast outscoring two opponents 104-34. The one thing about this recruited group of Cal players is they can look like world beaters one week, and come back and lay an egg the next week. Last year they opened with a big 14 point win vs. Tennessee, then went on the road favored by the same as they are here at Colorado State and almost lost. They go to Oregon as a TD dog and win, then come home and inexcusably lose to Oregon State as a two-TD favorite. Then they finish the season at home vs Stanford as a two-TD favorite, and again lose outright at home. They have gone just 5-11 ATS on the road the last three years (10-22 over the past fifteen). While this one looks to easy for California, we have seen from this group that when it looks like a cakewalk, they are often a no-show. Maryland hangs tough at home.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

HQ Report Newsletter 9/13

5* CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-3) over OHIO U by 18
3* ARIZONA (-10) over NEW MEXICO by 20
3* IOWA STATE (+12) over IOWA
3* CLEMSON (-18) over NC STATE by 30

HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK:
*BAYLOR (+3) over WASHINGTON STATE

HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL OVER/UNDER
*FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs MICHIGAN STATE PLAY OVER

A.T.S. (Angles, Trends & Systems) `
*GEORGIA TECH (+7) over VIRGINIA TECH

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Sep 12, 2008

RON RAYMOND'S 5* CFB GAME OF THE MONTH!
Pick # 1 San Jose State (-6.0)

LongboardLarry · Sep 12, 2008

Anastasius4 said:
Football Jesus

Free Pick for Saturday is Washington +21.5

anyone see any others let me know, Thanks gang!!

i went to that site ana whatever, got an email reply with Kansas +4.5 for Bonus Play tonite , but nothing else, i dont have the money

LongboardLarry · Sep 12, 2008

Can'tPickaWinner said:
Power Sweep

4* Penn St. 52-10
3* Baylor 30-13
3* USF 34-17
2* Notre Dame 23-10
2* South Carolina + 17+-16
2* Iowa 38-17
Underdog Ohio St. + 10