STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, JUNE 13th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 6/13/15 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2015 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Rounding The Bases - Saturday
National League
•Phillies @ Pirates
--O'Sullivan is 0-2, 6.17 in his last four starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten.
--Cole is 4-0, 1.53 in his last four starts; under is 6-0-1 in his last seven.
--Phillies lost eight of last 11 games with Pittsburgh, lost seven of last eight games overall- eight of their last ten went over the total. Pirates won seven of last ten games; last five stayed under.
•Braves @ Mets
--Miller is 2-1, 1.64 in his last seven starts; his last three went over.
--DeGrom is 4-0, 1.49 in his last five starts, four of which went over.
--Atlanta lost its last five games with the Mets; seven of last eight series games went over. Braves lost seven of last ten games- eight of the ten went over the total. Mets lost six of last ten; four of last five went over.
•Nationals @ Brewers
--Ross allowed three runs in five IP (91 PT) in his first MLB start.
--Nelson is 1-2, 5.16 in his last four starts.
--Washington lost eight of its last ten games; four of its last five went over the total. Nationals lost four of last six games with Milwaukee; five of last six went over total. Brewers won six of last eight games; five of their last seven games stayed under.
•Rockies @ Marlins
--Hale is 2-0, 4.58 in his last three starts; three of his four starts went over. Rockies scored 24 runs in his last three starts.
--Latos was 0-1, 7.05 in his last three starts before going on DL (knee); his last start was May 21.
--Colorado lost five of last six games in Miami; four of last five series games stayed under. Rockies lost last three games, scoring three runs; five of last six games stayed under. Marlins lost four of last seven but won last two; under is 8-3-1 in their last twelve games.
•Diamondbacks @ Giants
--Webster is 6-5, 6.55 in 18 MLB starts with Boston last two years; this is his first '15 start- he was 1-2, 9.00 in five AAA starts this year.
--Vogelsong is 0-2, 6.39 in his last two starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.
--Arizona won four of last five games with Giants; they lost four of last five games overall, three of those five went over. SF won four of their last seven games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine. Giants lost their last six home games.
•Reds @ Cubs
--Leake is 1-3, 8.04 in his last five starts, all of which went over.
--Hendricks is 2-1, 2.96 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.
--Cincinnati lost eight of last ten games with the Cubs. Reds won five of last six games overall; ten of their last 12 games went over. Cubs won four of their last six games.
•Dodgers @ Padres
--Greinke is 0-0, 2.73 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.
--Kennedy is 1-4, 7.42 in his last six starts; eight of his last nine went over.
--Dodgers won eight of last 11 games with San Diego; three of last five series games stayed under. LA won five of its last six games; three of its last four went over total. Padres lost three of last four; over is 9-2 in their last 11.
American League
•Blue Jays @ Red Sox
--Dickey is 0-1, 4.86 in his last three starts; four of his last five went over.
--Buchholz is 1-2, 2.55 in his last five starts, four of which stayed under.
--Blue Jays won last their nine games, scoring 70 runs; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Toronto won three of last four games with Boston; under is 3-1-1 in last five. Red Sox lost last four games, allowing 24 runs in last three.
•Twins @ Ranger
--Pelfrey is 2-1, 0.96 in his last four starts, all of which stayed under.
--Lewis is 1-0, 3.21 in his last to starts; seven of his last eight went over.
--Minnesota lost five of last six games with Texas; under is 8-2-1 in last eleven series games. Twins lost six of last seven games; four of last six went under total. Rangers lost three of last five; six of last eight stayed under total.
•Indians @ Tigers
--Carrasco is 3-1, 3.25 in his last four starts; seven of his last nine went over.
--Verlander is making first start since October 3; he is 2-0, 2.21 in his last three starts- four of his last five went over.
--Detroit won ten of last 11 games with Cleveland; nine of those 11 got over the total. Indians lost four of last five games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Tigers won four of last five- three of those five went over.
•Mariners @ Astros
--Montgomery is 0-1, 2.07 in his first two MLB starts; Seattle scored four runs in the two games.
--McHugh is 1-1, 4.85 in his last four starts; his last three went over.
--Seattle lost nine of last ten games with Houston; eight of last 11 got over total. Mariners are 3-10 in last 13 games; seven of their last nine went under total. Houston lost seven of last eight games; six of last nine stayed under. 2B Altuve is out for Astros (hamstring).
•White Sox @ Rays
--Samardzija is 0-2, 7.45 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.
--Archer is 4-0, 1.05 in his last five starts; under is 3-1-2 in his last six.
--Chicago won four of last six games with Tampa Bay; over is 4-1-1 in the six games. White Sox won three of last four games, allowing 11 runs; three of their last four games stayed under. Rays won seven of last ten games; three of their last four went over the total.
•Yankees @ Orioles
--Sabathia is 3-2, 5.29 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.
--Norris is 1-2, 4.70 in his last three starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight.
--New York won three of last five games with Baltimore; over is 7-2-2 in last eleven series games. Bronx won seven of last nine games overall. Orioles won last five games, allowing 13 runs; six of their last nine stayed under.
•Athletics @ Angels
--Graveman is 2-0, 2.55 in his last four starts; four of his last six went over.
--Wilson is 1-3, 5.76 in his last four starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five.
--Oakland lost seven of last ten games with the Angels; eight of last nine series games went over. A's lost their last four road games; their bullpen is useless. Angels lost six of last nine games; six of their last eight went over.
Interleague
•Royals @ Cardinals
--Guthrie is 0-0, 2.25 in his last two starts, after allowing 11 runs in 1+ innings three starts ago.
--Lyons is 0-0, 6.92 in his three starts (under 2-1).
--Royals won six of last nine games with St Louis; under is 4-0-1 in last five in series. KC won four of its last five games, allowing ten runs; under is 9-1-1 in last eleven games. Cardinals won seven of last ten games; six of last seven stayed under.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Phil-Pitt-- O'Sullivan 3-5; Cole 9-3
-- Atl-NY-- Miller 8-4; DeGrom 8-4
-- Wsh-Mil-- Ross 0-1; Nelson 4-8
-- Col-Mia-- Hale 2-1; Latos 3-6
-- Az-SF-- Webster 0-0; Vogelsong 6-4
-- Cin-Chi-- Leake 4-8; Hendricks 6-5
-- LA-SD-- Greinke 8-4; Kennedy 4-6
-- Tor-Bos-- Dickey 5-7; Buchholz 4-8
-- Min-Tex-- Pelfrey 8-3; Lewis 5-7
-- Clev-Det-- Carrasco 7-5; Verlander 0-0
-- Sea-Hst-- Montgomery 0-2; McHugh 8-4
-- Chi-TB-- Samardzija 6-6; Archer 8-5
-- NY-Balt-- Sabathia 5-7; Norris 3-4
-- A's-LA-- Graveman 5-3; Wilson 5-7
-- KC-StL-- Guthrie 7-4; Lyons 1-2
•Times This Starting Pitcher Allowed A Run In First Inning
-- Phil-Pitt-- O'Sullivan 4-8; Cole 4-12
-- Atl-NY-- Miller 1-12; DeGrom 4-12
-- Wsh-Mil-- Ross 0-1; Nelson 6-12
-- Col-Mia-- Hale 1-3; Latos 3-9
-- Az-SF-- Webster 0-0; Vogelsong 1-10
-- Cin-Chi-- Leake 3-12; Hendricks 1-11
-- LA-SD-- Greinke 4-12; Kennedy 5-10
-- Tor-Bos-- Dickey 3-12; Buchholz 4-12
-- Min-Tex-- Pelfrey 1-11; Lewis 2-12
-- Clev-Det-- Carrasco 5-12; Verlander 0-0
-- Sea-Hst-- Montgomery 1-2; McHugh 3-12
-- Chi-TB-- Samardzija 6-12; Archer 3-13
-- NY-Balt-- Sabathia 4-12; Norris 1-7
-- A's-LA-- Graveman 3-8; Wilson 2-12
-- KC-StL-- Guthrie 3-11; Lyons 2-3
•Umpires Trends
-- Phil-Pitt-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Nelson games.
-- Atl-NY-- Underdogs won three of last four Wolcott games.
-- Wsh-Mil-- Oer is 6-3-1 in Timmons games this season.
-- Col-Mia-- Last four Schrieber games stayed under.
-- Az-SF-- Underdogs won six of last nine Gorman games.
-- Cin-Chi-- Three of last four Bellino games went over.
-- LA-SD-- Last three Wolf games stayed under total.
-- Tor-Bos-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven O'Nora games.
-- Min-Tor-- Underdogs won eight of last ten Davidson games.
-- Cle-Det-- Five of last six Drake games stayed under total.
-- Sea-Hst-- Nine of last ten Demuth games went over.
-- Chi-TB-- Nine of 12 Scott games went over the total.
-- NY-Balt-- Over is 4-2-2 in last eight Meals games; dogs are 4-3 in last seven.
-- A's-LA-- Last three Conroy games went over the total.
-- KC-Stl-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Little games.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Baltimore Orioles Bud Norris is 17-5 against the money line (77.2%) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs per game on the season, the right-hander has also recorded an Incredible 15-4 recorded against the money line against division opponents over the last two seasons.
The Cal Poly star turned in his best start of a rough season Sunday, giving up one run in five innings of a 7-3 victory at Cleveland. Norris, finally shaking off a bout of bronchitis that caused him to miss a month and lose 15 pounds, is 4-1 with a 4.02 ERA in six career starts against New York. He lost 6-2 at Yankee Stadium in his most recent matchup May 10, allowing four runs in 3 1/3 innings.
Diamond Trends - Saturday
•CINCINNATI is 5-21 (-20.2 Units) against the money line off a one run win over a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9.
•SAN DIEGO is 17-3 OVER (+13.9 Units) with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 5.2, OPPONENT 4.6.
•BOSTON is 1-14 (-14.7 Units) against the run line after scoring 9 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 3.8, OPPONENT 4.9.
•CLAY BUCHHOLZ is 16-1 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997.
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 5.1, OPPONENT 2.5.
•R.A. DICKEY is 14-2 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DICKEY 2.8, OPPONENT 3.4.
•COLLIN MCHUGH is 19-5 (+15.8 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MCHUGH 5.1, OPPONENT 3.2.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home teams against a run line of (+1.5, -155) to (-1.5, +135) (MIAMI) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -National League, with a slugging percentage of .480 or better over their last 10 games, with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games.
(41-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.7%, +42.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-14 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.1, money line price: +145
The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.5 (Average run differential = +2.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 30 (51.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-8, +10.0 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (159-226, -7.8 units).
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