Sports Wagers CBK
Syracuse @ VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA -3½ -110 over Syracuse
4:00 PM EST. We’ve been playing against the Orange practically all season and the main reason for doing so is that there is value playing against over-hyped and extremely popular teams that are ranked highly. Syracuse has been ranked as #1 for a good portion of the season and come into this game ranked #4. In February, the Orangemen went 6-2 straight up but just 2-6 against the spread (ATS) and probably should have gone 0-8 against the spread after a miracle buzzer beater against Pitt and a one-point home cover against Clemson. Syracuse ranks 242nd in points per game, 168th in rebounding, 216th in assists, and 170th in field goal % and it now appears as though there are no more proverbial rabbits to be pulled out of their hats. The Orange used them all up.
Virginia is quietly one of the best teams in the country. There is no hype surrounding them whatsoever. The Cavaliers are not shown on TV every week and they have a coach that many of you reading this are likely not able to name. The media loves the Orange, their pedigree and their coach. Virginia is ranked #12 in the country after they reeled off its 12th straight win on Wednesday. They have also won 15 of its last 16. In five of those 12 wins, the Cavaliers held their opponents to 50 points or fewer five times and 53 points or fewer eight times. In those 15 wins, they held the opposition to 53 points or fewer 11 times. Virginia’s defense may just be the best in the nation, making this under-hyped squad one of the most undervalued, ranked teams we’ve seen in some time. Oh, in case you were wondering, Virginia’s Coach is Tony Bennett, who is not the longest running show in Vegas. Our Pick: #586 VIRGINIA -3½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)
Kansas @ OKLAHOMA STATE
OKLAHOMA STATE -106 over Kansas
9:00 PM EST. This is truly a great time of year to be fading overpriced teams because there are literally thousands of college basketball bettors that show up this time of year in an attempt to get familiar with who’s who before the big event at the end of this month. The #5 ranked Jayhawks are sure to get a big majority of those wagers today being a small dog against a Cowboys team that has dropped seven of their past nine games and is third last in the Big-12. How can they be favored over Kansas? Thing is, this isn’t the same Cowboys squad that lost seven in a row before winning their past two games. Incidentally, OSU is not going to get much credit for defeating TCU and Texas Tech because that pair is feeding under them at the bottom of the Big-12.
Oklahoma State was ranked as high as #8 before that string of losses but two of those losses occurred in OT and three more occurred in the final minute in which the Cowboys lost by six points or less. In the midst of all that, outstanding PG Marcus Smart was suspended and as a result Oklahoma State’s stock went tumbling. Smart has returned from his suspension with 33 points, 17 assists, 11 rebounds and 11 steals in those two aforementioned blowout wins. The Cowboys remain the selection committee's toughest evaluation due to the Marcus Smart suspension. The selection committee will likely disregard the three losses suffered without Smart if the Cowboys continue the solid play we've seen in the two games since his return. A win here, followed by one more win in its final two games and the committee will have a difficult time excluding the Cowboys. Oklahoma State nearly rallied from a 17-point halftime deficit in the first meeting between these two in Kansas, covering the spread in a two-point loss despite getting outshot 56% to 39% percent. They forced 19 Jayhawks turnovers and got the money despite a 3-for-14 shooting effort from Smart. There is new focus for the Cowboys while the Jayhawks are going to cruise to the finish line with games against Texas Tech and West Virginia to close out the regular season. Expect OSU’s intensity level to be about 10 times higher than the Jayhawks’ and that makes this undervalued team very playable in this favorable spot. Our Pick: #654 OKLAHOMA STATE -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)
Mississippi @ TEXAS A&M
TEXAS A&M -1½ -106 over Mississippi
6:00 PM EST. Ole Miss is playing for nothing. They have two games left after this at Arkansas and at home against Vandy next Saturday to close out the regular season. Ole Miss is not going to the dance unless they win the SEC tournament but that’s unlikely. The Rebels had their chance with a string of games against Tennessee, Kentucky (twice), Florida and Georgia but lost them all. In fact, the Rebels do not have a signature win this entire season and they figure to be mentally down for this road contest. Aside from that, they are a garbage team that gives up a ton of offensive rebounds and that occurred when their intensity levels was high. The Rebels are getting way too much credit in this line because they are ahead of the Aggies in the standings.
Texas A&M is not going to the dance either and they don’t have a signature win on its résumé either. However, the Aggies have won four straight at home over Mississippi State by 20, LSU by 10, Alabama by 15 and Tennessee by three in OT. The Aggies are 15-2 at home and their defense is far superior to the Rebels’ defense. We like the direction of the Aggies and we also like this spot against what should be a disinterested visitor. Our Pick: #616 TEXAS A&M -1½ -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)
Last 30 Days | 9 | 16 | 0.00 | -15.16 |
Season to Date | 24 | 37 | 0.00 | -29.20 |