Service Plays Saturday 10/1/16

[OleBlueEyes]

The Philly Godfather (current as of 3AM eastern time, my next post will be any plays released after these first three)

$100 Move #140 Louisiana Tech -21
$100 Move #194 UCLA -13
he posted a play on #130 (the total in the South Florida game) and it lists it as a "CORRECTION". I am not going to post this pick. He may be trying to catch someone posting the plays. If anyone sees this pick please post and I will then confirm what I see on my screen.

 

[OleBlueEyes]

Dave Essler (confirmed obviously)

Dave Essler | CFB SideSat, 10/01/16 - 12:00 PM

triple-dime bet​

185 Texas 3.0 (-120) Pinnacle vs 186 Oklahoma St.Analysis: I'm a buyer on Texas and Charlie Strong. Some say he's on the hot seat - and I'm sure there are many schools (LSU) that would hope he is. I doubt it, because Texas has way too much invested in him - and although their defense looks suspect, they CAN score and if they protect the ball better than they did at Cal, they'll win this game handily. I think Mike Gundy has peaked as a coach, and the Cowboys lost at HOME to Central Michigan, and team that's very good, but there was a time not long ago where the Cowboys in Stillwater were almost a mortal lock to win. They were undefeated last season til losing the last two games (at HOME) to Baylor and the Sooners - then getting hammered by Ole Miss in their Bowl Game. The point is that they beat the bad teams - not the good ones. I like Mason Rudolph, but like Brandon Weedon, I think he's a product of the system - he's already been sacked 14 times this season, perhaps holding the ball a bit too much. Texas has a be°tter running game, so they SHOULD be able to hold the ball longer - Texas is averaging .52 points per play, Oklahoma State is averaging .37 points per play - more plays equals more points. As bad as the Longhorn's defense has looked, they have been somewhat better at holding opponents on third down than Oklahoma State, who allowed 45 points at HOME to Pittsburgh. And the Cowboys defense is allowing a whopping 6.7 yards per play. The Longhorns aren't hanging their hat on their defense, but it's "only" allowing 5.1 yards per play. Texas' Red Zone offense is hitting at 93% this season, the Cowboys's Red Zone offense is hitting at 71%. All these little things add up to the fact that the team that makes ONE LESS mistake is going to win this game, and that goes back to coaching. I trust Strong much more than Gundy right now. Texas only lost to these guys in Austin last year by three points, and the question is "which team is more improved" and IMO that's the 'Horns. Two years ago Texas BEAT these guys in Stillwater (it WAS a bad spot for Oklahoma State) - this is an early kickoff, even earlier in the CST, which is a plus for Texas NOT having to play a night game, or even a 3:30 EST game, as the early games like that typically just don't have the same atmosphere.
Dave Essler | CFB SideSat, 10/01/16 - 3:30 PM

double-dime bet​

125 Kansas St. 3.5 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 126 West VirginiaAnalysis: Write up forthcoming. If K-State hadn't been being penalized more than I'd like we'd be done with the obliga±tory 3* for the day. I do think this closes lower -

Dave Essler | CFB SideSat, 10/01/16 - 2:30 PM

double-dime bet​

188 Colorado -18.5 (-110) Greek vs 187 Oregon St.

 

[Mosi]

HONDO

Hondo’s winning streak was snapped at three Friday night when the Blue Jays folded against the Bosawx to lower the earnings to 3,801 perrys.
Saturday night: Mr. Aitch will put his baseball investments on paws for a 20-unit play on Clemson.

 

[Mosi]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on Stanford (LOSS) on Friday and likes Michigan on Saturday. The deficit is 975 sirignanos.

 

[Krueg]

Dr. Bob? Thanks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE COACH'S CLUB

This weeks selections

Syracuse +10
Mary.and _11
UL Monroe +33
Indiana +6 1/2
Missouri +13
Oklahoma State -2 1/2 Big 12 GOY

Oklahoma State is a 2 unit play, all others 1 unit each

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

COMPUTER GROUP TOTALS

Oregon State / Colorado Under 59
North Carolina / Florida St Over 70
Michigan / Wisconsin Over 44 1/2
Nevada / Hawaii Over 57
St Jose State / New Mexico Under 54

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL*|*CALGARY*at*HAMILTON
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (HAMILTON) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% in the second half of the season
23-3*since 1997.**(*88.5%*|*19.7 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)

CFL*|*OTTAWA*at*BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (OTTAWA) an average offensive team (23-28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-32 PPG) after 9+ games, after allowing 14 points or less last game
28-4*since 1997.**(*87.5%*|*0.0 units*)

CFL*|*CALGARY*at*HAMILTON
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
41-10*since 1997.**(*80.4%*|*30.0 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB*|*NY METS*at*PHILADELPHIA
Play Against - Any team (NY METS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL), good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season
189-166*over the last 5 seasons.**(*53.2%*|*75.1 units*)
92-94*this year.**(*49.5%*|*28.6 units*)


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB*|*TAMPA BAY*at*TEXAS
TEXAS is 141-103 (+53.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game*over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.7) , OPPONENT (4.6)

 

[predatorfl]

Dr. Bob? Thanks.

Dr Bob CFB
I added a 1-Star Best Bet on (181) *Florida (-10), 1-Star at -11 or less.






Best Bets:


(130) ***Syracuse (+12.5) 3-Stars at +10 or more.


(141) **Florida Atlantic (-5) 2-Stars at -6.5 or less, 1-Star at -7.


(147) *Eastern Michigan (+3) 1-Star at +3 at -120 odds or better.


(150) *Miami-Ohio (+3) 1-Star at +3 at -120 odds or better.


(151) **UCF (+4) 2-Stars at +3 or more.


(157) *Miami-Florida (-6.5) 1-Star at -6.5 or at -7 at -115 or better.


(162) *Michigan (-10) 1-Star at -10 or less.


(181) *Florida (-10), 1-Star at -11 or less.


(196) **USC (-9.5) 2-Stars at -10 or less, 1-Star up to -11.


(200) *Indiana (+7 at -105) 1-Star at +7 at -120 odds or better.






Strong Opinions


(163) Louisville (-2)


(164) UNDER (68) Louisville at Clemson


(166) Florida State (-11)


(188) Colorado (-18.5)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

North coast extra picks



ECONO CLUB PICKS
COLLEGE
1. Kansas St +3.5
2. Tennessee -3
3. Nebraska -21
4. TCU +3.5
5. Michigan -10.5
6. Notre Dame -10
7. Florida -10
8. Texas +3
9. Troy -13.5
10. Cincinnati +5.5
11. UCLA -13.5
12. Ohio U -2.5

Early Bird - Nebraska
Big 10 - Michigan
Pac 12 - UCLA
ACC - Notre Dame
SEC - Alabama
AAC - Temple
CUSA - Florida Atlantic
Big 12 - Texas
MT West - Hawaii
MAC - Northern Illinois
Sun Belt - Troy
TV Play of the Day - Released Sat
900 POD - Released Sat
Inside Info - Released Sat
Totals Play of Day - Released Sat
BIG DOGS
UTEP +19.5 La Tech +700
Navy +7.5 Air Force +260
Missouri +13.5 LSU +400
Arizona St +10 USC +330
Indiana +7 Michigan St +240
South Alabama +19 San Diego St +855
Fresno St +10 UNLV +315

NFL
1. Carolina -3
2. New England -4.5
3. Detroit -2.5
4. Denver -3
5. NY Jets +3

 

[bowlda]

Be wary of a Capper with 7/8 Favorites. Real Capper's use dogs nearly exclusively.

I hear you but that statement is not 100% true. Nemo releases lots of favorites

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ultra sports 10/1


kansas st
navy
texas
clemson
oregon st
arizona st

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gold Sheet LTS


1.5 Units Fresno St +9.5
1 Unit Temple -12.5
1 Unit North Texas +16
1 Unit Clemson +2
1 Unit Navy +7
1 Unit Wake Forest +11
1 Unit Missouri +12.5
1 Unit Boise St -21

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASI

MLB
PATRICK (139-102 +20.57)
San Diego Padres / Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 +100 (8PM)
JEFF (124-121 -5.43)
Houston Astros/Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 +100 (9PM)

 

[seanrabi09]

Be wary of a Capper with 7/8 Favorites. Real Capper's use dogs nearly exclusively.

HAHAHAHAHA - I love when idiots post dumb comments like this. Clearly you have no idea what you are talking about. Real cappers plays where there is line value makes no difference if it is on a favorite or dog.

 

[sportscrazy]

Be wary of a Capper with 7/8 Favorites. Real Capper's use dogs nearly exclusively.[/QUOT Forward Capper This is the 2nd. time in two weeks. this is for service plays only. Go in the chatter Forun. you can put your BS in there.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin complete card:

212 New Mexico -8
201 Oklahoma -3.5
214 Boise State -20
150 Miami Ohio +2.5
127 Virginia +4
185 Texas +2.5
209 Troy -13.5
218 UNLV -9.5
200 Indiana +6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Super Pick: Boise St.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Allan Desrosiers
10 florida st
8 kansas st
5 nc st
5 colorado over
5 rutgers