Service Plays Saturday 1/3/15

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StatFox Super Situations

NHL | MINNESOTA at DALLAS
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (DALLAS) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
65-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.3% | 40.6 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% | 5.5 units )

NHL | MINNESOTA at DALLAS
Play On - Home Favorites of -200 or less against the money line (DALLAS) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
64-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.0% | 39.6 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% | 5.5 units )

NHL | MINNESOTA at DALLAS
Play On - A favorite against the money line (DALLAS) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
77-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.8% | 43.1 units )
11-2 this year. ( 84.6% | 8.5 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | WASHINGTON at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WASHINGTON) after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents
49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

NBA | BOSTON at CHICAGO
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (CHICAGO) after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, on Saturday games
64-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.0% | 36.2 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.5 units )

NBA | ATLANTA at PORTLAND
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PORTLAND) hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days
164-95 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.3% | 59.5 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.6 units )
 
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CBB | SAVANNAH ST at LSU
Play Against - Home favorites of 10 or more points (LSU) after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a bad team (20% to 40%)
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

CBB | MERCER at UNC-GREENSBORO
Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the money line (UNC-GREENSBORO) after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
91-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.1% | 43.4 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% | -2.6 units )

CBB | CORNELL at BUFFALO
Play Against - Underdogs of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (CORNELL) terrible shooting team (<=40.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40.5%), after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )
 
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NFL | BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH
Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points excellent passing team (>=7.3 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NFL | DETROIT at DALLAS
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (DALLAS) a very good team (>=+7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
 
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Hondo

Hondo eyes playoff payoff

Hondo wrapped up the regular season with a disastrous 5-10-1 performance that caused him to finish below the .500 mark. For that he can point a finger directly at Cincinnati, which, with a cover in hand in Pittsburgh Sunday night, fumbled it away in true Bengwad style.

But that’s enough about 2014. Now that the ball has dropped and everyone has dropped the ball on his or her resolutions, it’s time to shift focus from hangovers to turnovers and make some wise investments in playoff pigskin futures.

Cardinals-Panthers: The knee-jerk play is the Panthers, who have won their last four, while the Cardinals have lost four of their last six. And granted, quarterback Ryan Lindley, a journeyman, ultimately will be responsible for Arizona having a rough journey, man. Nevertheless, the Cardinals play a manly enough defense to keep it within the hefty number against the Panthers’ plodding offense. Expect the Cats to nip ’em, 17-16.

Ravens-Steelers: In their last three games, the Ravens had to rally in the second half to beat the Jaguars, were beaten by the immortal Case Keenum and the Texans and needed a fourth-quarter comeback against the immortal Connor Shaw and the Browns to pull a wild card out of the deck. The Steelers, meanwhile, roll into the playoffs with four straight wins. Le’Veon Bell’s possible absence won’t keep the Ben Roethlisberger-to-Antonio Brown connection from getting the Steelers off to a fast start, which will make it an easy ride. After all, as everyone knows, it’s tough to play catchup at Heinz. Steelers, 23-19.

Bengals-Colts: They don’t call him “One-And-Done” Dalton for nothing. A fourth straight quick exit awaits in Indianapolis, where the Bengwads, who had the league’s least number of sacks appeal, will provide Andrew Luck plenty of time to scan and deliver to T.Y. Hilton, Reggie Wayne and Coby Fleener. The Colts’ underrated defense may not blank the ’Wads as it did Oct. 19, but with A.J. Green still woozy, a 24th straight year of playoff futility awaits Cincinnati. Can’t argue with history; if you put your postseason cash on Dalton, you will be in the red. Colts, 31-23.

Lions-Cowboys: It’s a numbers game — the Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991, while Matt Stafford, for his career, is 0-for-17 on the road against teams that finished with a winning record. And it looks like their number is up again, unless Ndamukong Suh and Dominic Raiola can turn Jerry’s Place into Stomper Room early on and get rid of some key Cowboys. Barring that, the Cowboys will roll as the playoff wheels come off Detroit again. Dallas 38-13.

BTW: Now that Suh has gotten over on the NFL by claiming his feet were numb and he didn’t realize he twice stepped on Aaron Rodgers’ ankle, he wants to appeal his $30,000 fine for kicking Matt Schaub on Thanksgiving in 2012. Suh now contends his foot was numb that day, too, and he merely was trying to warm it up in Schaub’s crotch.
 

Let's go Brandon!
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FYI - Up to date newsletters are available at the Newsletter Thread in the Rubber Room:

Bowl Issues
Wild Card Issues

Best Bowl Newsletter:
After going 4-1 on Thursday, Marc has a 2-2 day Friday covering with Houston and UCLA and losing on Iowa and Washington. Marc is now on a 26-10 (72%) run with his Marc Lawrence's Playbook Bowl Stat Report.
 

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday


3* = BALTIMORE RAVENS
2* = "over" on Florida/East Carolina
 

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[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h][h=2]South Carolina vs. Iowa State[/h]The Gamecocks head to the Barclays Center tonight to face an Iowa State team that is coming off an 83-33 win over Mississippi Valley State and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in its previous game. South Carolina is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Cyclones favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+6) Here are all of today's early NCAA Basketball picks.
SATURDAY, JANUARY 3
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 517-518: Illinois at Ohio State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.429; Ohio State 76.768
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-8)
Game 519-520: Penn State at Rutgers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 59.918; Rutgers 55.933
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 4
Vegas Line: Penn State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-1 1/2)
Game 521-522: Minnesota at Maryland (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 65.193; Maryland 72.872
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 2
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+5 1/2)
Game 523-524: Pittsburgh at NC State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 64.431; NC State 63.009
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: NC State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3)
Game 525-526: Syracuse at Virginia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 67.919; Virginia Tech 54.496
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-10 1/2)
Game 527-528: Kansas State at Oklahoma State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 60.236; Oklahoma State70.298
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 10
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-7 1/2)
Game 529-530: Villanova at Seton Hall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 75.375; Seton Hall 71.180
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 4
Vegas Line: Villanova by 6
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+6)
Game 531-532: Duquesne at Dayton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 53.215; Dayton 63.727
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 13
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+13)
Game 533-534: College of Charleston at William & Mary (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 46.701; William & Mary 58.186
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (-9 1/2)
Game 535-536: George Washington at St. Joseph's (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 62.265; St. Joseph's 55.325
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 7
Vegas Line: George Washington by 5
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-5)
Game 537-538: Xavier at DePaul (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 64.958; DePaul 57.413
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 10
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+10)
Game 539-540: Northeastern at Delaware (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 55.422; Delaware 50.244
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 5
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+7 1/2)
Game 541-542: Connecticut at Florida (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 65.909; Florida 73.485
Dunkel Line: Florida by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 10
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+10)
Game 543-544: Baylor at Oklahoma (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 70.935; Oklahoma 75.313
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+7 1/2)
Game 545-546: Hofstra at NC-Wilmington (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 59.693; NC-Wilmington 51.488
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 8
Vegas Line: Hofstra by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (-4 1/2)
Game 547-548: Providence at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 62.032; Marquette 65.869
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 4
Vegas Line: Marquette by 2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (-2)
Game 549-550: Utah State at Boise State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 53.670; Boise State 64.705
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 11
Vegas Line: Boise State by 9
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-9)
Game 551-552: AR-Little Rock at Georgia State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 48.547; Georgia State 65.370
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 17
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-14)
Game 553-554: Yale at Vanderbilt (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 58.786; Vanderbilt 62.370
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+5 1/2)
Game 555-556: Texas at Texas Tech (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 68.081; Texas Tech 62.157
Dunkel Line: Texas by 6
Vegas Line: Texas by 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+8)
Game 557-558: Michigan at Purdue (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 62.413; Purdue 63.260
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 1
Vegas Line: Purdue by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+5 1/2)
Game 559-560: Georgia Tech at Notre Dame (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 61.746; Notre Dame 71.428
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 12
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+12)
Game 561-562: Rhode Island at St. Louis (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 65.871; St. Louis 55.856
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 10
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-7 1/2)
Game 563-564: Cornell at Buffalo (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 51.352; Buffalo 65.114
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 14
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 11
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-11)
Game 565-566: SMU at Cincinnati (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 68.819; Cincinnati 65.325
Dunkel Line: SMU by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: SMU
Game 567-568: Towson at James Madison (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 46.537; James Madison 47.254
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 1
Vegas Line: James Madison by 4
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+4)
Game 569-570: Butler at St. John's (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 64.774; St. John's 72.448
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-3 1/2)
Game 571-572: Tulane at Memphis (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 54.018; Memphis 69.531
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 12
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-12)
Game 573-574: Drake at Missouri State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 46.228; Missouri State 51.910
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+7 1/2)
Game 575-576: Boston College at Duke (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 58.128; Duke 78.212
Dunkel Line: Duke by 20
Vegas Line: Duke by 23
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+23)
Game 577-578: St. Bonaventure at Massachusetts (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 53.696; Massachusetts 63.198
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-7 1/2)
Game 579-580: West Virginia at TCU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 71.699; TCU 67.523
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 4
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-2)
Game 581-582: Elon at Drexel (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 50.082; Drexel 51.953
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+5 1/2)
Game 583-584: St. Mary's (CA) at Loyola Marymount (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 60.699; Loyola Marymount 53.711
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 7
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 9
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+9)
Game 585-586: Creighton at Georgetown (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 58.722; Georgetown 68.893
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 10
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-8 1/2)
Game 587-588: Richmond at Davidson (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 54.940; Davidson 68.062
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 13
Vegas Line: Davidson by 7
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-7)
Game 589-590: Air Force at Nevada (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 53.658; Nevada 57.292
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 1
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-1)
Game 591-592: LaSalle at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 59.645; George Mason 56.220
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 1
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-1)
Game 593-594: Texas State at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 49.396; Georgia Southern 50.421
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 4
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+4)
Game 595-596: Oregon State at Oregon (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 60.301; Oregon 67.291
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7
Vegas Line: Oregon by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9 1/2)
Game 597-598: North Carolina at Clemson (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 75.620; Clemson 62.228
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-7 1/2)
Game 599-600: Virginia at Miami (FL) (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 77.889; Miami (FL) 62.012
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 16
Vegas Line: Virginia by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-7 1/2)
Game 601-602: East Carolina at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 49.453; South Florida 49.301
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: South Florida by 4
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+4)
Game 603-604: Pacific at Pepperdine (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 52.385; Pepperdine 56.280
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 4
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+7 1/2)
Game 605-606: Appalachian State at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 44.655; Arkansas State 54.733
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 10
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-8 1/2)
Game 607-608: Colorado State at New Mexico (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 62.092; New Mexico 64.055
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico
Game 609-610: Southern Illinois at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 49.468; Bradley 48.524
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 1
Vegas Line: Bradley by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+1 1/2)
Game 611-612: Louisiana Tech at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 59.385; Southern Mississippi 52.345
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 7
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 10
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+10)
Game 613-614: South Alabama at TX-Arlington (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 43.792; TX-Arlington 56.033
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 12
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 9
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-9)
Game 615-616: Troy at UL-Lafayette (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 44.677; UL-Lafayette 59.548
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 15
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-12 1/2)
Game 617-618: Gonzaga at Portland (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 72.690; Portland 62.499
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 10
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 12
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+12)
Game 619-620: South Carolina vs. Iowa State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 68.771; Iowa State 71.605
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 3
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 6
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+6)
Game 621-622: San Diego at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 60.266; Santa Clara 59.357
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+3 1/2)
Game 623-624: Wyoming at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 60.347; San Jose State 43.109
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 17
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 19
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+19)
Game 625-626: San Diego State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 64.864; Fresno State 53.981
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 11
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-8)
Game 627-628: BYU at San Francisco (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 68.982; San Francisco 60.421
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 5
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-5)
 

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Football Crusher
Baltimore Ravens +3 over Pittsburgh Steelers
(System Record: 51-5, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 51-44-3

Rest of the Plays
East Carolina +7 over Florida
 

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Hockey Crusher
Arizona Coyotes -106 over Columbus Blue Jackets
(System Record: 45-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 45-33-1

Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Kings -127 over Nashville Predators
Minnesota Wild +129 over Dallas Stars
San Jose Sharks -143 over St Louis Blues
 

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Basketball Crusher
Cornell+11 over Buffalo
(System Record: 29-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 29-32-1

Rest of the Plays
Cincinnati PK over SMU
Seton Hall +6 over Villanova
Virginia Tech +10 over Syracuse
 

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Soccer Crusher
Huddersfield + Reading OVER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 684-24, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 684-570-105
 
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Rainman
All Regular plays
Arizona Cards
Baltimore
East Carolina

Has anyone found the updated Pointwise newsletter?
 

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