NCAAB
Saturday, January 25
Florida State won three of last five games with Duke, with three wins by 5 or less points- they split last four visits here. FSU is 0-2 vs Virginia, 4-0 vs rest of ACC, with road wins at Clemson/Miami. Duke is 2-1 as ACC home favorite, winning by 22-4-35 points. Seminoles are making 43.8% of 3's in ACC games, #1 in league; Duke is #3, at 40.3%. ACC home favorites of 7+ points are 10-6 vs spread.
Providence won/covered last four games, were favored only once, with a win over Creighton; Friars are playing slowest tempo in league because they use a 6-man rotation. Xavier is 5-1 in Big East, 6-0 vs spread, with only loss by 6 at Creighton; they've scored 80+ points last four games. These are two best rebounding teams in league. Big East dogs are 6-1 vs spread in games where number was 4 or less points.
LaSalle won 69-61 at VCU in only A-13 meeting LY, after trailing by 8 in second half; Explorers only had 14 turnovers that day, are turning it over 19% of time in A-13 play this year (17.9% LY). LaSalle is 2-0 at home in league. beating GW/URI, scoring 74 ppg. VCU forces turnovers 26.1% of time; they split first two A-13 road games, winning at Dayton after losing by 10 at GW. A-13 home underdogs are 4-5 vs spread.
Towson beat Delaware by 3-20 points LY after losing previous five to Blue Hens. Underdogs covered Tigers' first four CAA games; they're 2-0 as road dogs, winning at Drexel/Charleston. Delaware is 5-0, with three of five on road- they won first two home games by 7-5 points, but didn't cover either, as road teams covered all seven of their league games. CAA home favorites are 4-14 against the spread this season.
Iowa State lost its last three games (giving up 83.3 ppg) after 14-0 start, despite being favored in all three; Cyclones won three of last four games with Kansas State, with all four games decided by 9 or less. Wildcats are 5-1 vs spread in league games, losing by 26 at Kansas, 3 at Texas, with win at TCU. Big X home favorites of 8 or less points are 3-6 vs spread. ISU's two Big X wins are by 13 at Texas Tech, 15 over Baylor.
Texas lost three of last four games with Baylor, losing last two visits to Waco by 5-7 points. Longhorns won last four games after 0-2 start in league- they're 1-1 as road dogs, losing by 13 at OSU, winning by 11 at West Va. Baylor lost its last three games after a 13-2 start; they're 1-1 as home favorites, losing to Oklahoma after beating TCU by 26. Big X home favorites are 6-9 vs spread, 2-4 if laying 6 or less points.
Maryland lost three of last four games, but they're 2-0 at home in their last year in ACC, beating Ga Tech/Notre Dame; favorites covered five of their six league games. Pitt is 5-1 in ACC, with only loss at Syracuse by 5; they've won at NC State by 12, Ga Tech by 7. ACC home underdogs are 4-8 vs spread. Pitt's 55.2eFG% on offense is best in ACC- they are making 52.5% of 2-pointers, 42.9% outside arc.
Tennessee won last three games with Florida; teams played once LY in first year of un-balanced schedule. Vols are 2-0 as road dogs, losing by 8 at Kentucky, winning at LSU. Gators won by 6 at Alabama Thursday, have less prep time here; they're 1-1 as home favorites, winning by 16-20 points. Vols are rebounding 41.2% of missed shots in league; Florida is #10 in SEC on defensive boards. SEC home faves of 9+ points are 6-3.
Michigan won four of last six games with Michigan State, losing last two visits here by 10-23 points; home side won last four series games, but Spartans have injury issues, with Payne/Dawson (hand) out. State won its last 11 games; they're 1-2 as home favorites, winning by 4-12-5 in its home games. Wolverines are 6-0 in league, with three wins on road, two as dog. Big Dozen single digit favorites are 5-16 vs spread, 1-9 at home.
Creighton was ridiculous 21-35 from arc in win at Villanova Monday, is 2-1 as Big East home favorite, winning by 18-6-28 points- they've made 43.5% of 3's in league (4-19 in only loss, at Providence). Georgetown is 1-4 without Josh Smith (grades/out for year), with only win at Butler in OT. Hoyas lost other two road games. by 18 at Providence, at Xavier by 23. Big East double digit home favorites are 3-3 vs spread.
BYU has to bounce back from triple OT loss at Portland Thursday, in which Austin/Haws both played 50+ minutes, two others played 43+. Cougars lost last four games with Gonzaga after winning first meeting in WCC, losing here by 11-20 points- Portland loss snapped their 5-game win streak. Gonzaga is 3-2 as WCC home favorite, with four wins by 14 or more points. WCC home favorites of 6+ points are 8-10 vs spread.
Cal-Irvine was 2-1 vs Hawai'i LY, beating Warriors by 11 in conference tourney in Hawai'i's first year in league- they won by 4 here, lost by 6 on islands. Anteaters are 4-0 in league, 1-1 as home favorites, winning by 18-6 over Fullerton/CSUN. Big West home favorites of 9 or less points are 1-5 vs spread. Hawai'i won last two games by 31-17; they're 2-2 in true road games, losing by 12 at Cal Poly, 1 at Northridge.
Belmont won seven of last eight games; lone loss was 74-63 at Eastern Kentucky, when they were -11 (20-9) in turnovers. Bruins are 1-2 as home favorites, winning by 11-2-14 points; they swept EKU by 7-11 points LY. Colonels won last four games, are 3-1 on OVC road, losing by 6 as 11-point favorites at Edwardsville. OVC home favorites of 8 or less points are 10-8 against the spread.